Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 1911 | 0 | 192 |
Trend | 9 | 1 | 1 |
Low-pass | 5 | 1 | 1 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 11.73 | 11.5213114911731 | 0.0435174178804456 | 11.8951710909465 | -0.208688508826915 |
2 | 11.75 | 11.8966151198939 | -0.00802794810338437 | 11.6114128282095 | 0.146615119893927 |
3 | 11.39 | 11.4774658605693 | -0.0142748979880885 | 11.3168090374187 | 0.087465860569349 |
4 | 11.54 | 12.0919991367276 | -0.0299674422730849 | 11.0179683055455 | 0.551999136727579 |
5 | 9.62 | 8.51977895164561 | 0.00875285458844912 | 10.7114681937659 | -1.10022104835439 |
6 | 9.82 | 9.222715589488 | 0.0435174178804456 | 10.3737669926316 | -0.597284410511996 |
7 | 9.94 | 9.9379313972814 | -0.00802794810338437 | 9.950096550822 | -0.00206860271860521 |
8 | 9.9 | 9.90828766131654 | -0.0142748979880885 | 9.90598723667155 | 0.00828766131653502 |
9 | 9.8 | 9.69812384404147 | -0.0299674422730849 | 9.93184359823161 | -0.101876155958529 |
10 | 9.86 | 9.69924218116251 | 0.00875285458844912 | 10.012004964249 | -0.160757818837485 |
11 | 10.5 | 10.8985304413914 | 0.0435174178804456 | 10.0579521407281 | 0.398530441391429 |
12 | 10.33 | 10.575389756922 | -0.00802794810338437 | 10.0926381911814 | 0.245389756921959 |
13 | 10.16 | 10.214778268846 | -0.0142748979880885 | 10.1194966291421 | 0.0547782688460252 |
14 | 9.91 | 9.7937580216273 | -0.0299674422730849 | 10.0562094206458 | -0.116241978372706 |
15 | 9.96 | 9.97372993870662 | 0.00875285458844912 | 9.93751720670494 | 0.0137299387066143 |
16 | 10.03 | 10.1755593742843 | 0.0435174178804456 | 9.84092320783529 | 0.145559374284264 |
17 | 9.55 | 9.29082266618663 | -0.00802794810338437 | 9.81720528191675 | -0.259177333813369 |
18 | 9.51 | 9.20296984724197 | -0.0142748979880885 | 9.83130505074612 | -0.307030152758033 |
19 | 9.8 | 9.75847374130048 | -0.0299674422730849 | 9.8714937009726 | -0.0415262586995251 |
20 | 10.08 | 10.1705071806703 | 0.00875285458844912 | 9.98073996474122 | 0.090507180670329 |
21 | 10.2 | 10.2628482252064 | 0.0435174178804456 | 10.0936343569132 | 0.0628482252063822 |
22 | 10.23 | 10.3237354210183 | -0.00802794810338437 | 10.1442925270851 | 0.0937354210182502 |
23 | 10.2 | 10.2728895664294 | -0.0142748979880885 | 10.1413853315587 | 0.0728895664293905 |
24 | 10.07 | 10.0653358653334 | -0.0299674422730849 | 10.1046315769397 | -0.0046641346665961 |
25 | 10.01 | 9.95663553535302 | 0.00875285458844912 | 10.0546116100585 | -0.0533644646469824 |
26 | 10.05 | 10.0308865954502 | 0.0435174178804456 | 10.0255959866693 | -0.0191134045497794 |
27 | 9.92 | 9.81480484670557 | -0.00802794810338437 | 10.0332231013978 | -0.105195153294433 |
28 | 10.03 | 10.0183557423783 | -0.0142748979880885 | 10.0559191556098 | -0.0116442576216702 |
29 | 10.18 | 10.3052277499402 | -0.0299674422730849 | 10.0847396923328 | 0.125227749940237 |
30 | 10.1 | 10.0739274898375 | 0.00875285458844912 | 10.117319655574 | -0.0260725101624715 |
31 | 10.16 | 10.1431272076416 | 0.0435174178804456 | 10.133355374478 | -0.0168727923584022 |
32 | 10.15 | 10.1743037078809 | -0.00802794810338437 | 10.1337242402224 | 0.0243037078809465 |
33 | 10.13 | 10.1403279667662 | -0.0142748979880885 | 10.1339469312219 | 0.0103279667661589 |
34 | 10.09 | 10.1031883291356 | -0.0299674422730849 | 10.1067791131374 | 0.0131883291356356 |
35 | 10.18 | 10.3172078478655 | 0.00875285458844912 | 10.0340392975461 | 0.137207847865467 |
36 | 10.06 | 10.1360151350984 | 0.0435174178804456 | 9.94046744702113 | 0.0760151350984213 |
37 | 9.65 | 9.47949924945813 | -0.00802794810338437 | 9.82852869864525 | -0.170500750541866 |
38 | 9.74 | 9.7976762342324 | -0.0142748979880885 | 9.6965986637557 | 0.057676234232396 |
39 | 9.53 | 9.52455892317192 | -0.0299674422730849 | 9.56540851910117 | -0.00544107682808281 |
40 | 9.5 | 9.5324991548807 | 0.00875285458844912 | 9.45874799053085 | 0.0324991548807034 |
41 | 9 | 8.5572561865984 | 0.0435174178804456 | 9.39922639552115 | -0.442743813401599 |
42 | 9.15 | 8.92553359212247 | -0.00802794810338437 | 9.38249435598092 | -0.22446640787753 |
43 | 9.32 | 9.27339985347659 | -0.0142748979880885 | 9.3808750445115 | -0.0466001465234136 |
44 | 9.62 | 9.8573603092895 | -0.0299674422730849 | 9.41260713298358 | 0.237360309289501 |
45 | 9.59 | 9.73612909607043 | 0.00875285458844912 | 9.43511804934112 | 0.146129096070434 |
46 | 9.37 | 9.26207117097163 | 0.0435174178804456 | 9.43441141114792 | -0.107928829028367 |
47 | 9.35 | 9.29097078088526 | -0.00802794810338437 | 9.41705716721813 | -0.059029219114743 |
48 | 9.32 | 9.23412610037684 | -0.0142748979880885 | 9.42014879761125 | -0.0858738996231612 |
49 | 9.49 | 9.56372219513465 | -0.0299674422730849 | 9.44624524713844 | 0.073722195134648 |
50 | 9.52 | 9.57120984860402 | 0.00875285458844912 | 9.46003729680753 | 0.0512098486040209 |
51 | 9.59 | 9.6800800480439 | 0.0435174178804456 | 9.45640253407565 | 0.090080048043907 |
52 | 9.35 | 9.23282865400946 | -0.00802794810338437 | 9.47519929409392 | -0.117171345990537 |
53 | 9.2 | 8.89766234841946 | -0.0142748979880885 | 9.51661254956863 | -0.302337651580542 |
54 | 9.57 | 9.60802292466568 | -0.0299674422730849 | 9.5619445176074 | 0.0380229246656771 |
55 | 9.78 | 9.93940757817894 | 0.00875285458844912 | 9.6118395672326 | 0.159407578178941 |
56 | 9.79 | 9.89041280319846 | 0.0435174178804456 | 9.6460697789211 | 0.100412803198459 |
57 | 9.57 | 9.51300789406747 | -0.00802794810338437 | 9.63502005403592 | -0.0569921059325349 |
58 | 9.53 | 9.49793509157488 | -0.0142748979880885 | 9.5763398064132 | -0.0320649084251219 |
59 | 9.65 | 9.8249322490935 | -0.0299674422730849 | 9.5050351931796 | 0.174932249093494 |
60 | 9.36 | 9.2634377399902 | 0.00875285458844912 | 9.44780940542134 | -0.0965622600097902 |
61 | 9.4 | 9.36602652591207 | 0.0435174178804456 | 9.39045605620748 | -0.0339734740879294 |
62 | 9.32 | 9.31174708997458 | -0.00802794810338437 | 9.3362808581288 | -0.0082529100254174 |
63 | 9.31 | 9.32030845789514 | -0.0142748979880885 | 9.31396644009295 | 0.0103084578951407 |
64 | 9.19 | 9.1088840570899 | -0.0299674422730849 | 9.30108338518318 | -0.081115942910099 |
65 | 9.39 | 9.4794223438402 | 0.00875285458844912 | 9.29182480157134 | 0.0894223438402069 |
66 | 9.28 | 9.22288255881446 | 0.0435174178804456 | 9.29360002330509 | -0.0571174411855377 |
67 | 9.28 | 9.26909099810993 | -0.00802794810338437 | 9.29893694999345 | -0.0109090018900702 |
68 | 9.31 | 9.33485710836248 | -0.0142748979880885 | 9.29941778962561 | 0.0248571083624753 |
69 | 9.28 | 9.29023308977705 | -0.0299674422730849 | 9.29973435249603 | 0.0102330897770528 |
70 | 9.31 | 9.32855614961008 | 0.00875285458844912 | 9.28269099580147 | 0.0185561496100828 |
71 | 9.35 | 9.417708959474 | 0.0435174178804456 | 9.23877362264556 | 0.067708959473995 |
72 | 9.19 | 9.22307993563212 | -0.00802794810338437 | 9.16494801247126 | 0.0330799356321236 |
73 | 9.07 | 9.10557659692115 | -0.0142748979880885 | 9.04869830106693 | 0.0355765969211532 |
74 | 8.96 | 9.04331310100088 | -0.0299674422730849 | 8.9066543412722 | 0.0833131010008774 |
75 | 8.69 | 8.5994106459792 | 0.00875285458844912 | 8.77183649943236 | -0.0905893540208087 |
76 | 8.58 | 8.46411093072048 | 0.0435174178804456 | 8.65237165139907 | -0.115889069279518 |
77 | 8.56 | 8.55281068684725 | -0.00802794810338437 | 8.57521726125614 | -0.00718931315275384 |
78 | 8.47 | 8.37752726625978 | -0.0142748979880885 | 8.5767476317283 | -0.0924727337402178 |
79 | 8.46 | 8.2962179352997 | -0.0299674422730849 | 8.65374950697338 | -0.163782064700293 |
80 | 8.75 | 8.69029354022147 | 0.00875285458844912 | 8.80095360519008 | -0.0597064597785284 |
81 | 8.95 | 8.85538036341912 | 0.0435174178804456 | 9.00110221870044 | -0.094619636580882 |
82 | 9.33 | 9.44177022341295 | -0.00802794810338437 | 9.22625772469044 | 0.111770223412949 |
83 | 9.51 | 9.58648021977288 | -0.0142748979880885 | 9.44779467821521 | 0.0764802197728756 |
84 | 9.561 | 9.51799835873457 | -0.0299674422730849 | 9.63396908353851 | -0.0430016412654251 |
85 | 9.94 | 10.1455225556449 | 0.00875285458844912 | 9.72572458976663 | 0.205522555644919 |
86 | 9.9 | 10.017675373664 | 0.0435174178804456 | 9.73880720845558 | 0.117675373663976 |
87 | 9.275 | 8.8003628066151 | -0.00802794810338437 | 9.75766514148828 | -0.474637193384899 |
88 | 9.56 | 9.3828205046607 | -0.0142748979880885 | 9.75145439332739 | -0.177179495339299 |
89 | 9.779 | 9.84053139301862 | -0.0299674422730849 | 9.74743604925446 | 0.0615313930186225 |
90 | 9.746 | 9.66414873441684 | 0.00875285458844912 | 9.8190984109947 | -0.0818512655831594 |
91 | 9.991 | 10.0076572071137 | 0.0435174178804456 | 9.93082537500584 | 0.0166572071137132 |
92 | 9.98 | 9.92649553616994 | -0.00802794810338437 | 10.0415324119334 | -0.0535044638300644 |
93 | 10.195 | 10.2813164581017 | -0.0142748979880885 | 10.1229584398864 | 0.086316458101658 |
94 | 10.31 | 10.505110939157 | -0.0299674422730849 | 10.1448565031161 | 0.195110939157031 |
95 | 10.25 | 10.3608530191007 | 0.00875285458844912 | 10.1303941263109 | 0.110853019100666 |
96 | 9.871 | 9.62950613023364 | 0.0435174178804456 | 10.0689764518859 | -0.241493869766364 |
97 | 10.06 | 10.1729407519689 | -0.00802794810338437 | 9.95508719613448 | 0.112940751968905 |
98 | 9.894 | 9.95240107389168 | -0.0142748979880885 | 9.8498738240964 | 0.0584010738916803 |
99 | 9.59 | 9.42971835645403 | -0.0299674422730849 | 9.78024908581906 | -0.160281643545972 |
100 | 9.64 | 9.57348855408145 | 0.00875285458844912 | 9.6977585913301 | -0.0665114459185538 |
101 | 9.89 | 10.1306317131479 | 0.0435174178804456 | 9.60585086897166 | 0.240631713147899 |
102 | 9.53 | 9.53911267754314 | -0.00802794810338437 | 9.52891527056024 | 0.00911267754313982 |
103 | 9.388 | 9.31904239155415 | -0.0142748979880885 | 9.47123250643393 | -0.0689576084458459 |
104 | 9.16 | 8.90473809361271 | -0.0299674422730849 | 9.44522934866037 | -0.255261906387286 |
105 | 9.418 | 9.33827373119546 | 0.00875285458844912 | 9.4889734142161 | -0.0797262688045421 |
106 | 9.57 | 9.51467548880583 | 0.0435174178804456 | 9.58180709331372 | -0.0553245111941703 |
107 | 9.857 | 10.0376432608839 | -0.00802794810338437 | 9.68438468721948 | 0.180643260883899 |
108 | 9.877 | 10.0148334699379 | -0.0142748979880885 | 9.75344142805022 | 0.137833469937865 |
109 | 9.76 | 9.78215593359524 | -0.0299674422730849 | 9.76781150867785 | 0.0221559335952364 |
110 | 9.76 | 9.8049137580517 | 0.00875285458844912 | 9.70633338735986 | 0.0449137580516883 |
111 | 9.695 | 9.75360727701657 | 0.0435174178804456 | 9.59287530510299 | 0.0586072770165664 |
112 | 9.475 | 9.5253076931426 | -0.00802794810338437 | 9.4327202549608 | 0.0503076931425905 |
113 | 9.262 | 9.34551698920411 | -0.0142748979880885 | 9.19275790878398 | 0.0835169892041083 |
114 | 9.097 | 9.34105994676313 | -0.0299674422730849 | 8.88290749550996 | 0.244059946763128 |
115 | 8.55 | 8.57492263448682 | 0.00875285458844912 | 8.51632451092473 | 0.0249226344868241 |
116 | 8.16 | 8.16643578302933 | 0.0435174178804456 | 8.11004679909023 | 0.00643578302932823 |
117 | 7.532 | 7.33324323562057 | -0.00802794810338437 | 7.73878471248282 | -0.198756764379433 |
118 | 7.325 | 7.18677824365344 | -0.0142748979880885 | 7.47749665433465 | -0.138221756346561 |
119 | 6.749 | 6.22669822933846 | -0.0299674422730849 | 7.30126921293463 | -0.52230177066154 |
120 | 7.13 | 7.01494919030953 | 0.00875285458844912 | 7.23629795510202 | -0.115050809690473 |
121 | 6.995 | 6.6899186444679 | 0.0435174178804456 | 7.25656393765165 | -0.305081355532098 |
122 | 7.346 | 7.32977674345763 | -0.00802794810338437 | 7.37025120464576 | -0.0162232565423714 |
123 | 7.73 | 8.00619101655414 | -0.0142748979880885 | 7.46808388143395 | 0.276191016554138 |
124 | 7.837 | 8.19099468619747 | -0.0299674422730849 | 7.51297275607561 | 0.35399468619747 |
125 | 7.514 | 7.57649561629524 | 0.00875285458844912 | 7.44275152911631 | 0.062495616295239 |
126 | 7.58 | 7.84628470336455 | 0.0435174178804456 | 7.270197878755 | 0.266284703364555 |
127 | 6.83 | 6.60964024642938 | -0.00802794810338437 | 7.05838770167401 | -0.220359753570623 |
128 | 6.617 | 6.36823326394578 | -0.0142748979880885 | 6.88004163404231 | -0.248766736054222 |
129 | 6.715 | 6.68973573795773 | -0.0299674422730849 | 6.77023170431535 | -0.0252642620422661 |
130 | 6.63 | 6.46899677194926 | 0.00875285458844912 | 6.78225037346229 | -0.161003228050737 |
131 | 6.891 | 6.86579084623621 | 0.0435174178804456 | 6.87269173588335 | -0.0252091537637904 |
132 | 7.002 | 7.00753849530858 | -0.00802794810338437 | 7.0044894527948 | 0.00553849530857864 |
133 | 7.09 | 7.02761841746372 | -0.0142748979880885 | 7.16665648052437 | -0.0623815825362826 |
134 | 7.36 | 7.40852538902657 | -0.0299674422730849 | 7.34144205324652 | 0.0485253890265653 |
135 | 7.477 | 7.45467157120618 | 0.00875285458844912 | 7.49057557420537 | -0.0223284287938172 |
136 | 7.826 | 8.02899600439647 | 0.0435174178804456 | 7.57948657772308 | 0.202996004396472 |
137 | 7.79 | 7.99582420582212 | -0.00802794810338437 | 7.59220374228127 | 0.205824205822116 |
138 | 7.578 | 7.61386484601585 | -0.0142748979880885 | 7.55641005197224 | 0.0358648460158522 |
139 | 7.204 | 6.90102390748252 | -0.0299674422730849 | 7.53694353479056 | -0.30297609251748 |
140 | 7.198 | 6.86278424354715 | 0.00875285458844912 | 7.5244629018644 | -0.335215756452852 |
141 | 7.685 | 7.82186454755893 | 0.0435174178804456 | 7.50461803456062 | 0.136864547558932 |
142 | 7.795 | 8.08871348363005 | -0.00802794810338437 | 7.50931446447333 | 0.29371348363005 |
143 | 7.46 | 7.43688385135506 | -0.0142748979880885 | 7.49739104663303 | -0.0231161486449425 |
144 | 7.274 | 7.09505966557971 | -0.0299674422730849 | 7.48290777669338 | -0.178940334420295 |
145 | 7.33 | 7.14596954534066 | 0.00875285458844912 | 7.50527760007089 | -0.184030454659339 |
146 | 7.655 | 7.70282360609325 | 0.0435174178804456 | 7.56365897602631 | 0.047823606093246 |
147 | 7.767 | 7.93733831648674 | -0.00802794810338437 | 7.60468963161664 | 0.170338316486744 |
148 | 7.84 | 8.0824555929824 | -0.0142748979880885 | 7.6118193050057 | 0.242455592982393 |
149 | 7.424 | 7.32982406499909 | -0.0299674422730849 | 7.548143377274 | -0.0941759350009148 |
150 | 7.54 | 7.6800165019445 | 0.00875285458844912 | 7.39123064346705 | 0.140016501944499 |
151 | 7.351 | 7.45958799533988 | 0.0435174178804456 | 7.19889458677967 | 0.108587995339883 |
152 | 6.735 | 6.46222199709107 | -0.00802794810338437 | 7.01580595101231 | -0.272778002908929 |
153 | 6.777 | 6.69600363790222 | -0.0142748979880885 | 6.87227126008587 | -0.0809963620977792 |
154 | 6.679 | 6.55762196208903 | -0.0299674422730849 | 6.83034548018405 | -0.121378037910969 |
155 | 7.34 | 7.84702971174214 | 0.00875285458844912 | 6.8242174336694 | 0.507029711742143 |
156 | 6.978 | 7.10361801836188 | 0.0435174178804456 | 6.80886456375768 | 0.125618018361878 |
157 | 6.92 | 7.07122490666834 | -0.00802794810338437 | 6.77680304143505 | 0.151224906668337 |
158 | 6.628 | 6.62434597137518 | -0.0142748979880885 | 6.6459289266129 | -0.00365402862481634 |
159 | 6.385 | 6.26825514612111 | -0.0299674422730849 | 6.53171229615198 | -0.116744853878893 |
160 | 5.984 | 5.48599455570187 | 0.00875285458844912 | 6.47325258970968 | -0.498005444298133 |
161 | 6.268 | 6.04759772463763 | 0.0435174178804456 | 6.44488485748193 | -0.220402275362374 |
162 | 6.596 | 6.73496614983722 | -0.00802794810338437 | 6.46506179826617 | 0.138966149837218 |
163 | 6.395 | 6.24082753084374 | -0.0142748979880885 | 6.56344736714435 | -0.154172469156257 |
164 | 6.715 | 6.78715135993425 | -0.0299674422730849 | 6.67281608233884 | 0.0721513599342476 |
165 | 6.804 | 6.83960762493325 | 0.00875285458844912 | 6.7596395204783 | 0.0356076249332533 |
166 | 6.929 | 6.98030281750274 | 0.0435174178804456 | 6.83417976461681 | 0.0513028175027443 |
167 | 6.846 | 6.83746422687743 | -0.00802794810338437 | 6.86256372122595 | -0.00853577312256526 |
168 | 6.992 | 7.15739708594054 | -0.0142748979880885 | 6.84087781204755 | 0.165397085940538 |
169 | 6.774 | 6.80812946422114 | -0.0299674422730849 | 6.76983797805195 | 0.0341294642211372 |
170 | 6.75 | 6.8261810398402 | 0.00875285458844912 | 6.66506610557135 | 0.0761810398401979 |
171 | 6.485 | 6.34121337010977 | 0.0435174178804456 | 6.58526921200979 | -0.143786629890235 |
172 | 6.27 | 5.98727880127293 | -0.00802794810338437 | 6.56074914683045 | -0.282721198727065 |
173 | 6.47 | 6.38329084917137 | -0.0142748979880885 | 6.57098404881672 | -0.0867091508286268 |
174 | 6.78 | 6.96118460398524 | -0.0299674422730849 | 6.62878283828784 | 0.18118460398524 |
175 | 6.71 | 6.72857599154798 | 0.00875285458844912 | 6.68267115386357 | 0.0185759915479826 |
176 | 6.141 | 5.54206282376552 | 0.0435174178804456 | 6.69641975835403 | -0.598937176234477 |
177 | 6.72 | 6.79762879920318 | -0.00802794810338437 | 6.6503991489002 | 0.0776287992031852 |
178 | 6.68 | 6.80742444558356 | -0.0142748979880885 | 6.56685045240453 | 0.127424445583559 |
179 | 6.371 | 6.30959644189697 | -0.0299674422730849 | 6.46237100037612 | -0.0614035581030352 |
180 | 6.097 | 5.79362584567316 | 0.00875285458844912 | 6.39162129973839 | -0.303374154326836 |
181 | 6.27 | 6.14787018556553 | 0.0435174178804456 | 6.34861239655402 | -0.12212981443447 |
182 | 6.447 | 6.54712878618136 | -0.00802794810338437 | 6.35489916192202 | 0.100128786181363 |
183 | 6.37 | 6.34877111295634 | -0.0142748979880885 | 6.40550378503174 | -0.0212288870436561 |
184 | 6.446 | 6.49294771087504 | -0.0299674422730849 | 6.42901973139805 | 0.0469477108750382 |
185 | 6.54 | 6.641356436077 | 0.00875285458844912 | 6.42989070933455 | 0.101356436076999 |
186 | 6.374 | 6.25656025532664 | 0.0435174178804456 | 6.44792232679292 | -0.117439744673362 |
187 | 6.33 | 6.20509589747421 | -0.00802794810338437 | 6.46293205062917 | -0.124904102525789 |
188 | 6.63 | 6.81621779612424 | -0.0142748979880885 | 6.45805710186385 | 0.186217796124238 |
189 | 6.498 | 6.57639475478321 | -0.0299674422730849 | 6.44957268748987 | 0.0783947547832113 |
190 | 6.485 | 6.51925465532113 | 0.00875285458844912 | 6.44199249009042 | 0.0342546553211323 |
191 | 6.36 | 6.24561095144426 | 0.0435174178804456 | 6.4308716306753 | -0.114389048555741 |