| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 68897 | 68897 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 38683 | 46220.024705057 | -1041.16528899006 | -7537.024705057 | -3.90585273555604 |
| 3 | 44720 | 42974.6491048626 | -1154.48649410617 | 1745.35089513737 | -0.460469734365187 |
| 4 | 39525 | 40880.6823010863 | -1184.14883489966 | -1355.68230108627 | -0.230350559527975 |
| 5 | 45315 | 43436.6426156671 | -1112.99065251882 | 1878.35738433287 | 0.936217528267848 |
| 6 | 50380 | 48260.3170777132 | -1018.01799713379 | 2119.6829222868 | 1.48395393566453 |
| 7 | 40600 | 45041.4958071015 | -1055.69635192669 | -4441.49580710146 | -0.548793408631984 |
| 8 | 36279 | 39770.4180547933 | -1136.00064815917 | -3491.41805479327 | -1.04897288853221 |
| 9 | 42438 | 40758.5526376441 | -1091.99185158999 | 1679.44736235593 | 0.527713818330193 |
| 10 | 38064 | 39738.6321387395 | -1090.40166758102 | -1674.6321387395 | 0.0178806274781367 |
| 11 | 31879 | 35371.1508924434 | -1166.53680517257 | -3492.15089244337 | -0.811996060198095 |
| 12 | 11379 | 21050.2743452747 | -1486.44290600067 | -9671.27434527474 | -3.25536398285996 |
| 13 | 70249 | 35363.0531598219 | -1624.0739752222 | 34885.9468401781 | 4.23373201286705 |
| 14 | 39253 | 42236.1815394034 | -1447.55171181498 | -2983.18153940335 | 2.08248194116293 |
| 15 | 47060 | 45047.4372612872 | -1287.79844928492 | 2012.56273871278 | 0.97174802995881 |
| 16 | 41697 | 45707.2237435084 | -1213.41443358458 | -4010.22374350836 | 0.462538951120114 |
| 17 | 38708 | 42346.3542835281 | -1285.51003284955 | -3638.35428352814 | -0.524667808746566 |
| 18 | 49267 | 43824.0159709013 | -1202.20094143748 | 5442.98402909868 | 0.6784099782396 |
| 19 | 39018 | 43008.3094713851 | -1190.9439885153 | -3990.30947138514 | 0.0947877107682116 |
| 20 | 32228 | 39432.0337776318 | -1261.55176022795 | -7204.03377763176 | -0.584204446969156 |
| 21 | 40870 | 38432.8827936403 | -1253.52757229456 | 2437.11720635973 | 0.064201137373208 |
| 22 | 39383 | 37892.7057789803 | -1231.22625062694 | 1490.29422101975 | 0.174365287526989 |
| 23 | 34571 | 35216.1245323056 | -1275.6588277677 | -645.124532305584 | -0.352627536527848 |
| 24 | 12066 | 31249.6913392591 | -1351.58897511951 | -19183.6913392591 | -0.656708011790571 |
| 25 | 70938 | 35296.7960797119 | -1215.79508613871 | 35641.2039202881 | 1.33923181300638 |
| 26 | 34077 | 37673.983032593 | -1105.04791665343 | -3596.98303259297 | 0.87494033083517 |
| 27 | 45409 | 41317.0885167782 | -928.336491276915 | 4091.91148322183 | 1.12109338955825 |
| 28 | 40809 | 43248.7078558542 | -815.519566909012 | -2439.7078558542 | 0.678920177130717 |
| 29 | 37013 | 42624.9506686401 | -808.113443299924 | -5611.95066864007 | 0.0462589549281739 |
| 30 | 44953 | 40613.5628352074 | -852.723428903096 | 4339.4371647926 | -0.292206284320128 |
| 31 | 37848 | 40230.3155590609 | -835.77684558935 | -2382.31555906085 | 0.114050568494819 |
| 32 | 32745 | 39809.4324916529 | -820.913177695299 | -7064.43249165293 | 0.100697843598049 |
| 33 | 39401 | 37823.4523995741 | -862.702482202829 | 1577.54760042588 | -0.282498440405328 |
| 34 | 34931 | 34176.9693422626 | -962.221113483782 | 754.030657737389 | -0.67409357181314 |
| 35 | 33008 | 32666.0671112807 | -981.517935161443 | 341.932888719294 | -0.132699186747811 |
| 36 | 8620 | 31032.0921793746 | -1003.93296196442 | -22412.0921793746 | -0.158125121447522 |
| 37 | 68906 | 32984.1041546611 | -902.399241237005 | 35921.8958453389 | 0.719730993139648 |
| 38 | 39556 | 39983.8622840992 | -616.068457979114 | -427.862284099239 | 1.90998487606706 |
| 39 | 50669 | 45157.9252992211 | -392.725049415203 | 5511.07470077892 | 1.38083715367614 |
| 40 | 36432 | 42311.7251092892 | -490.477291728709 | -5879.72510928925 | -0.58464739455055 |
| 41 | 40891 | 44006.6559123779 | -403.283905162012 | -3115.65591237792 | 0.524937476662095 |
| 42 | 48428 | 44399.9999456239 | -371.933580092325 | 4028.00005437612 | 0.192418616530821 |
| 43 | 36222 | 41161.6356071285 | -483.10780029676 | -4939.63560712848 | -0.693103990926147 |
| 44 | 33425 | 39642.9285711514 | -522.882848154507 | -6217.92857115141 | -0.250173276491603 |
| 45 | 39401 | 37375.9762513072 | -589.435510281963 | 2025.02374869281 | -0.42073470118426 |
| 46 | 37967 | 36463.2849632308 | -601.6861282772 | 1503.71503676919 | -0.0778782575926734 |
| 47 | 34801 | 35068.5384965148 | -631.49031242686 | -267.538496514813 | -0.191025121616656 |
| 48 | 12657 | 36021.8224693757 | -572.248445989284 | -23364.8224693757 | 0.382548616556821 |
| 49 | 69116 | 36770.322323167 | -522.564953642448 | 32345.677676833 | 0.319438424150413 |
| 50 | 41519 | 40859.2242336029 | -345.474246787035 | 659.775766397057 | 1.11108776071277 |
| 51 | 51321 | 43622.2992049083 | -223.19961982381 | 7698.7007950917 | 0.743915782875368 |
| 52 | 38529 | 44983.3904071258 | -159.91861424094 | -6454.39040712577 | 0.378591786000154 |
| 53 | 41547 | 44967.2466647145 | -154.155198682632 | -3420.2466647145 | 0.0344979890369746 |
| 54 | 52073 | 45831.5067491934 | -113.510875496275 | 6241.4932508066 | 0.245352072378347 |
| 55 | 38401 | 44139.1461993073 | -176.065649599875 | -5738.14619930725 | -0.380818851517686 |
| 56 | 40898 | 44978.8527052718 | -136.098519626914 | -4080.85270527177 | 0.244777851170619 |
| 57 | 40439 | 41233.4445496084 | -277.273460878826 | -794.444549608444 | -0.868394564012734 |
| 58 | 41888 | 40055.3546321345 | -312.32398963682 | 1832.64536786545 | -0.21649620157021 |
| 59 | 37898 | 39270.7630902289 | -330.624603485718 | -1372.76309022885 | -0.113541018391587 |
| 60 | 8771 | 35841.2878441499 | -450.586876256947 | -27070.2878441499 | -0.746398566269161 |
| 61 | 68184 | 36672.1058114119 | -400.768926788694 | 31511.8941885881 | 0.308984964598216 |
| 62 | 50530 | 44815.7238326438 | -65.529162446575 | 5714.2761673562 | 2.0557424394921 |
| 63 | 47221 | 43337.8645288225 | -121.511171844306 | 3883.13547117747 | -0.338493028941166 |
| 64 | 41756 | 45917.021262385 | -13.6939538109498 | -4161.02126238499 | 0.64648431777277 |
| 65 | 45633 | 48172.0933920622 | 77.102738976144 | -2539.09339206216 | 0.544308465559436 |
| 66 | 48138 | 44700.7802110025 | -64.702571507641 | 3437.21978899751 | -0.853697479158119 |
| 67 | 39486 | 44509.820197455 | -69.7304479640724 | -5023.82019745495 | -0.0304067937665069 |
| 68 | 39341 | 42869.9921036289 | -131.998833985873 | -3528.99210362888 | -0.377827014177128 |
| 69 | 41117 | 41722.6097331917 | -172.110976628629 | -605.609733191652 | -0.243985648634321 |
| 70 | 41629 | 40069.8850523399 | -230.410915489711 | 1559.11494766012 | -0.355468686169117 |
| 71 | 29722 | 34269.6274269138 | -449.272120784821 | -4547.62742691381 | -1.33788774628906 |
| 72 | 7054 | 34282.7658818765 | -431.103640584311 | -27228.7658818765 | 0.111236593639713 |
| 73 | 56676 | 31240.3302365759 | -533.95172730443 | 25435.6697634241 | -0.628644883609773 |
| 74 | 34870 | 29449.5748206831 | -583.665333844014 | 5420.42517931691 | -0.302148694753612 |
| 75 | 35117 | 30850.6999319558 | -504.790764211967 | 4266.30006804416 | 0.476036930077661 |
| 76 | 30169 | 33086.3045064283 | -395.521583019731 | -2917.30450642831 | 0.656670548336699 |
| 77 | 30936 | 32536.3263287067 | -401.688690045216 | -1600.3263287067 | -0.0370595160412192 |
| 78 | 35699 | 32036.171382424 | -405.618339661292 | 3662.82861757599 | -0.0236704764917075 |
| 79 | 33228 | 34772.3506189983 | -280.445915775804 | -1544.35061899835 | 0.755864327693937 |
| 80 | 27733 | 32637.8584195127 | -354.147441326347 | -4904.85841951266 | -0.445772940390027 |
| 81 | 33666 | 32335.3404874431 | -352.099736463004 | 1330.65951255691 | 0.0123985586181123 |
| 82 | 35429 | 31615.3919659671 | -366.661747467748 | 3813.6080340329 | -0.0882791224562238 |
| 83 | 27438 | 31487.8742381075 | -357.205045897558 | -4049.87423810747 | 0.0574182711240023 |
| 84 | 8170 | 32772.50420025 | -292.276509332724 | -24602.50420025 | 0.394648646693754 |
