| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 11.73 | NA | NA | 1.00338094126547 | NA |
| 2 | 11.75 | NA | NA | 0.99895552953958 | NA |
| 3 | 11.39 | 11.1989259487137 | 11.206 | 0.99936872646026 | 1.0170618193353 |
| 4 | 11.54 | 10.7874280301809 | 10.824 | 0.996621214909545 | 1.0697637998338 |
| 5 | 9.62 | 10.4795090758267 | 10.462 | 1.00167358782515 | 0.917981933160464 |
| 6 | 9.82 | 10.1983638870222 | 10.164 | 1.00338094126547 | 0.962899550240239 |
| 7 | 9.94 | 9.80574747796052 | 9.816 | 0.99895552953958 | 1.01369120735989 |
| 8 | 9.9 | 9.85777311780401 | 9.864 | 0.99936872646026 | 1.00428361270759 |
| 9 | 9.8 | 9.96621214909545 | 10 | 0.996621214909545 | 0.983322435183106 |
| 10 | 9.86 | 10.0948664181018 | 10.078 | 1.00167358782515 | 0.976734073699017 |
| 11 | 10.5 | 10.1642489350192 | 10.13 | 1.00338094126547 | 1.03303255037606 |
| 12 | 10.33 | 10.1413965358858 | 10.152 | 0.99895552953958 | 1.01859738581829 |
| 13 | 10.16 | 10.1655786855538 | 10.172 | 0.99936872646026 | 0.999451218103137 |
| 14 | 9.91 | 10.0439486038584 | 10.078 | 0.996621214909545 | 0.986663750568483 |
| 15 | 9.96 | 9.9386053384011 | 9.922 | 1.00167358782515 | 1.00215268248114 |
| 16 | 10.03 | 9.82510617687147 | 9.792 | 1.00338094126547 | 1.02085410777655 |
| 17 | 9.55 | 9.7597955236017 | 9.77 | 0.99895552953958 | 0.978504106659371 |
| 18 | 9.51 | 9.78781730695179 | 9.794 | 0.99936872646026 | 0.971616010164547 |
| 19 | 9.8 | 9.79479330013101 | 9.828 | 0.996621214909545 | 1.00053157833039 |
| 20 | 10.08 | 9.98067562908975 | 9.964 | 1.00167358782515 | 1.00995166806351 |
| 21 | 10.2 | 10.1361542686638 | 10.102 | 1.00338094126547 | 1.00629881211789 |
| 22 | 10.23 | 10.145392358004 | 10.156 | 0.99895552953958 | 1.00833951403854 |
| 23 | 10.2 | 10.13559762376 | 10.142 | 0.99936872646026 | 1.0063540778384 |
| 24 | 10.07 | 10.0778337251653 | 10.112 | 0.996621214909545 | 0.999222677672707 |
| 25 | 10.01 | 10.0668195576427 | 10.05 | 1.00167358782515 | 0.994355758805711 |
| 26 | 10.05 | 10.0498635077149 | 10.016 | 1.00338094126547 | 1.00001358150635 |
| 27 | 9.92 | 10.0275156055183 | 10.038 | 0.99895552953958 | 0.989277941840436 |
| 28 | 10.03 | 10.0496519132844 | 10.056 | 0.99936872646026 | 0.998044518013763 |
| 29 | 10.18 | 10.0439486038584 | 10.078 | 0.996621214909545 | 1.01354560855572 |
| 30 | 10.1 | 10.1409434031418 | 10.124 | 1.00167358782515 | 0.995962564673313 |
| 31 | 10.16 | 10.1782962681969 | 10.144 | 1.00338094126547 | 0.998202423302014 |
| 32 | 10.15 | 10.1154236921178 | 10.126 | 0.99895552953958 | 1.00341817692809 |
| 33 | 10.13 | 10.13559762376 | 10.142 | 0.99936872646026 | 0.999447726323819 |
| 34 | 10.09 | 10.0877999373144 | 10.122 | 0.996621214909545 | 1.00021809142719 |
| 35 | 10.18 | 10.0387726971836 | 10.022 | 1.00167358782515 | 1.01406818413729 |
| 36 | 10.06 | 9.97762007994382 | 9.944 | 1.00338094126547 | 1.00825646991929 |
| 37 | 9.65 | 9.82173076643315 | 9.832 | 0.99895552953958 | 0.982515223587674 |
| 38 | 9.74 | 9.68987917175869 | 9.696 | 0.99936872646026 | 1.00517249259283 |
| 39 | 9.53 | 9.45195560220213 | 9.484 | 0.996621214909545 | 1.00825695772203 |
| 40 | 9.5 | 9.39970494815117 | 9.384 | 1.00167358782515 | 1.0106700212828 |
| 41 | 9 | 9.33144275376886 | 9.3 | 1.00338094126547 | 0.964481081595341 |
| 42 | 9.15 | 9.3082676242498 | 9.318 | 0.99895552953958 | 0.98299709133443 |
| 43 | 9.32 | 9.33010643023299 | 9.336 | 0.99936872646026 | 0.998916793681984 |
| 44 | 9.62 | 9.37820563229882 | 9.41 | 0.996621214909545 | 1.02578258327674 |
| 45 | 9.59 | 9.46581540494763 | 9.45 | 1.00167358782515 | 1.01311927073789 |
| 46 | 9.37 | 9.48194989495868 | 9.45 | 1.00338094126547 | 0.988193367798938 |
| 47 | 9.35 | 9.414156910381 | 9.424 | 0.99895552953958 | 0.993185060436984 |
| 48 | 9.32 | 9.40405971599105 | 9.41 | 0.99936872646026 | 0.991061337493624 |
| 49 | 9.49 | 9.42205696575484 | 9.454 | 0.996621214909545 | 1.00721106171318 |
| 50 | 9.52 | 9.46982209929893 | 9.454 | 1.00167358782515 | 1.00529871629846 |
| 51 | 9.59 | 9.46188227613337 | 9.43 | 1.00338094126547 | 1.01354040561145 |
| 52 | 9.35 | 9.43613393203087 | 9.446 | 0.99895552953958 | 0.990871904463067 |
| 53 | 9.2 | 9.49200416391955 | 9.498 | 0.99936872646026 | 0.969236827241448 |
| 54 | 9.57 | 9.50577314780724 | 9.538 | 0.996621214909545 | 1.0067566152899 |
| 55 | 9.78 | 9.59803631854055 | 9.582 | 1.00167358782515 | 1.01895842810138 |
| 56 | 9.79 | 9.68061932132924 | 9.648 | 1.00338094126547 | 1.0112989339876 |
| 57 | 9.57 | 9.6539062374705 | 9.664 | 0.99895552953958 | 0.99130857132786 |
| 58 | 9.53 | 9.5739523994893 | 9.58 | 0.99936872646026 | 0.995409168788886 |
| 59 | 9.65 | 9.4698947840705 | 9.502 | 0.996621214909545 | 1.01901871351649 |
| 60 | 9.36 | 9.46781875212328 | 9.452 | 1.00167358782515 | 0.9886120810985 |
| 61 | 9.4 | 9.43980789542553 | 9.408 | 1.00338094126547 | 0.995782976108569 |
| 62 | 9.32 | 9.30626971319073 | 9.316 | 0.99895552953958 | 1.00147538027936 |
| 63 | 9.31 | 9.31611526806255 | 9.322 | 0.99936872646026 | 0.999343581751987 |
| 64 | 9.19 | 9.26658405622895 | 9.298 | 0.996621214909545 | 0.991735459823788 |
| 65 | 9.39 | 9.30554763089561 | 9.29 | 1.00167358782515 | 1.00907548619965 |
| 66 | 9.28 | 9.3214089443562 | 9.29 | 1.00338094126547 | 0.995557651788116 |
| 67 | 9.28 | 9.29827806895441 | 9.308 | 0.99895552953958 | 0.998034252275651 |
| 68 | 9.31 | 9.28613420626874 | 9.292 | 0.99936872646026 | 1.00257004617865 |
| 69 | 9.28 | 9.27455702594823 | 9.306 | 0.996621214909545 | 1.00058687159252 |
| 70 | 9.31 | 9.30354428371996 | 9.288 | 1.00167358782515 | 1.0006938985921 |
| 71 | 9.35 | 9.27123989729293 | 9.24 | 1.00338094126547 | 1.00849509920783 |
| 72 | 9.19 | 9.16641593905518 | 9.176 | 0.99895552953958 | 1.00257287702212 |
| 73 | 9.07 | 9.04628571191828 | 9.052 | 0.99936872646026 | 1.00262143921129 |
| 74 | 8.96 | 8.86793557026513 | 8.898 | 0.996621214909545 | 1.01038172063897 |
| 75 | 8.69 | 8.78668071240218 | 8.772 | 1.00167358782515 | 0.98899690160976 |
| 76 | 8.58 | 8.68125190382884 | 8.652 | 1.00338094126547 | 0.988336716299618 |
| 77 | 8.56 | 8.54306768862249 | 8.552 | 0.99895552953958 | 1.00198199428995 |
| 78 | 8.47 | 8.55859377340567 | 8.564 | 0.99936872646026 | 0.989648559593872 |
| 79 | 8.46 | 8.60881405438865 | 8.638 | 0.996621214909545 | 0.982713756686058 |
| 80 | 8.75 | 8.80671418415868 | 8.792 | 1.00167358782515 | 0.993560119816231 |
| 81 | 8.95 | 9.03042847138922 | 9 | 1.00338094126547 | 0.991093615143065 |
| 82 | 9.33 | 9.21056977346083 | 9.2202 | 0.99895552953958 | 1.01296664912993 |
| 83 | 9.51 | 9.45222928860644 | 9.4582 | 0.99936872646026 | 1.00611186098323 |
| 84 | 9.561 | 9.61560080569028 | 9.6482 | 0.996621214909545 | 0.994321643879188 |
| 85 | 9.94 | 9.6533287005885 | 9.6372 | 1.00167358782515 | 1.02969662675985 |
| 86 | 9.9 | 9.67981661657623 | 9.6472 | 1.00338094126547 | 1.02274664822128 |
| 87 | 9.275 | 9.68067824566216 | 9.6908 | 0.99895552953958 | 0.958094026537454 |
| 88 | 9.56 | 9.64590694779444 | 9.652 | 0.99936872646026 | 0.991093948110905 |
| 89 | 9.779 | 9.63752647241828 | 9.6702 | 0.996621214909545 | 1.01467944373347 |
| 90 | 9.746 | 9.82761990487007 | 9.8112 | 1.00167358782515 | 0.991694845175115 |
| 91 | 9.991 | 9.97180047048448 | 9.9382 | 1.00338094126547 | 1.00192538243944 |
| 92 | 9.98 | 10.0339089209074 | 10.0444 | 0.99895552953958 | 0.994627326066811 |
| 93 | 10.195 | 10.1387956036846 | 10.1452 | 0.99936872646026 | 1.00554349831206 |
| 94 | 10.31 | 10.0870026403425 | 10.1212 | 0.996621214909545 | 1.02210739578531 |
| 95 | 10.25 | 10.1541654945011 | 10.1372 | 1.00167358782515 | 1.00943794992812 |
| 96 | 9.871 | 10.1110697451321 | 10.077 | 1.00338094126547 | 0.976256741256512 |
| 97 | 10.06 | 9.92262527491665 | 9.933 | 0.99895552953958 | 1.01384459467905 |
| 98 | 9.894 | 9.80480657530162 | 9.811 | 0.99936872646026 | 1.00909690813514 |
| 99 | 9.59 | 9.78163790009421 | 9.8148 | 0.996621214909545 | 0.980408403781502 |
| 100 | 9.64 | 9.72504852947678 | 9.7088 | 1.00167358782515 | 0.991254693565899 |
| 101 | 9.89 | 9.64008273130212 | 9.6076 | 1.00338094126547 | 1.02592480538433 |
| 102 | 9.53 | 9.51165497006406 | 9.5216 | 0.99895552953958 | 1.00192868959121 |
| 103 | 9.388 | 9.47121729440918 | 9.4772 | 0.99936872646026 | 0.991213664323983 |
| 104 | 9.16 | 9.38139482018653 | 9.4132 | 0.996621214909545 | 0.976400649964103 |
| 105 | 9.418 | 9.49446326955943 | 9.4786 | 1.00167358782515 | 0.991946541116802 |
| 106 | 9.57 | 9.60877724593463 | 9.5764 | 1.00338094126547 | 0.995964393289371 |
| 107 | 9.857 | 9.68627239662758 | 9.6964 | 0.99895552953958 | 1.01762572808007 |
| 108 | 9.877 | 9.75863574013915 | 9.7648 | 0.99936872646026 | 1.01212918106718 |
| 109 | 9.76 | 9.75672236972147 | 9.7898 | 0.996621214909545 | 1.00033593558926 |
| 110 | 9.76 | 9.72965622798077 | 9.7134 | 1.00167358782515 | 1.00311868901719 |
| 111 | 9.695 | 9.62282457911235 | 9.5904 | 1.00338094126547 | 1.00750044025995 |
| 112 | 9.475 | 9.44792160727944 | 9.4578 | 0.99895552953958 | 1.00286606873407 |
| 113 | 9.262 | 9.20998230931247 | 9.2158 | 0.99936872646026 | 1.00564796857806 |
| 114 | 9.097 | 8.87869907938616 | 8.9088 | 0.996621214909545 | 1.02458703900898 |
| 115 | 8.55 | 8.53445930298781 | 8.5202 | 1.00167358782515 | 1.00182093515951 |
| 116 | 8.16 | 8.1602965191238 | 8.1328 | 1.00338094126547 | 0.999963663192494 |
| 117 | 7.532 | 7.65519601396771 | 7.6632 | 0.99895552953958 | 0.9839068766178 |
| 118 | 7.325 | 7.37454170629555 | 7.3792 | 0.99936872646026 | 0.993282063039489 |
| 119 | 6.749 | 7.12205452598659 | 7.1462 | 0.996621214909545 | 0.947619816076188 |
| 120 | 7.13 | 7.12089753584896 | 7.109 | 1.00167358782515 | 1.00127827483898 |
| 121 | 6.995 | 7.21430896769872 | 7.19 | 1.00338094126547 | 0.96960083513464 |
| 122 | 7.346 | 7.39986298061739 | 7.4076 | 0.99895552953958 | 0.992721084058114 |
| 123 | 7.73 | 7.47967529631917 | 7.4844 | 0.99936872646026 | 1.03346732227855 |
| 124 | 7.837 | 7.57571650301342 | 7.6014 | 0.996621214909545 | 1.03448960859117 |
| 125 | 7.514 | 7.51074889623051 | 7.4982 | 1.00167358782515 | 1.00043286013344 |
| 126 | 7.58 | 7.30019837627104 | 7.2756 | 1.00338094126547 | 1.03832794799638 |
| 127 | 6.83 | 7.04383522988948 | 7.0512 | 0.99895552953958 | 0.969642215794301 |
| 128 | 6.617 | 6.87006037317841 | 6.8744 | 0.99936872646026 | 0.963164752646659 |
| 129 | 6.715 | 6.71383847635964 | 6.7366 | 0.996621214909545 | 1.00017300440641 |
| 130 | 6.63 | 6.78233186316406 | 6.771 | 1.00167358782515 | 0.977539898336234 |
| 131 | 6.891 | 6.8888121903522 | 6.8656 | 1.00338094126547 | 1.00031758880738 |
| 132 | 7.002 | 6.98729434691754 | 6.9946 | 0.99895552953958 | 1.0021046276788 |
| 133 | 7.09 | 7.15947755636131 | 7.164 | 0.99936872646026 | 0.990295722583895 |
| 134 | 7.36 | 7.32616255080007 | 7.351 | 0.996621214909545 | 1.00461871395363 |
| 135 | 7.477 | 7.52116630154389 | 7.5086 | 1.00167358782515 | 0.994127732352518 |
| 136 | 7.826 | 7.63191611545341 | 7.6062 | 1.00338094126547 | 1.02543055788488 |
| 137 | 7.79 | 7.56708813626232 | 7.575 | 0.99895552953958 | 1.02945807683532 |
| 138 | 7.578 | 7.51445332799999 | 7.5192 | 0.99936872646026 | 1.00845659281204 |
| 139 | 7.204 | 7.4656895208874 | 7.491 | 0.996621214909545 | 0.96494770909569 |
| 140 | 7.198 | 7.50453851998599 | 7.492 | 1.00167358782515 | 0.959152915376525 |
| 141 | 7.685 | 7.49365022174703 | 7.4684 | 1.00338094126547 | 1.02553492257987 |
| 142 | 7.795 | 7.47458485422695 | 7.4824 | 0.99895552953958 | 1.04286728320327 |
| 143 | 7.46 | 7.5040598932448 | 7.5088 | 0.99936872646026 | 0.994128525908426 |
| 144 | 7.274 | 7.47744965122334 | 7.5028 | 0.996621214909545 | 0.972791571897772 |
| 145 | 7.33 | 7.50974722264268 | 7.4972 | 1.00167358782515 | 0.976064810530409 |
| 146 | 7.655 | 7.59880454439165 | 7.5732 | 1.00338094126547 | 1.00739530215313 |
| 147 | 7.767 | 7.59525868219533 | 7.6032 | 0.99895552953958 | 1.02261164826516 |
| 148 | 7.84 | 7.64037378753398 | 7.6452 | 0.99936872646026 | 1.02612780709652 |
| 149 | 7.424 | 7.55877394235995 | 7.5844 | 0.996621214909545 | 0.982169867310799 |
| 150 | 7.54 | 7.39034773097393 | 7.378 | 1.00167358782515 | 1.02024969250078 |
| 151 | 7.351 | 7.18962579654359 | 7.1654 | 1.00338094126547 | 1.02244542456354 |
| 152 | 6.735 | 7.00907157746151 | 7.0164 | 0.99895552953958 | 0.960897591866116 |
| 153 | 6.777 | 6.97199598327736 | 6.9764 | 0.99936872646026 | 0.972031541075889 |
| 154 | 6.679 | 6.8784803010627 | 6.9018 | 0.996621214909545 | 0.970999364346238 |
| 155 | 7.34 | 6.95041269120112 | 6.9388 | 1.00167358782515 | 1.05605239949163 |
| 156 | 6.978 | 6.93235892320312 | 6.909 | 1.00338094126547 | 1.00658377289787 |
| 157 | 6.92 | 6.84304516845203 | 6.8502 | 0.99895552953958 | 1.01124569978038 |
| 158 | 6.628 | 6.57484685138205 | 6.579 | 0.99936872646026 | 1.00808431737186 |
| 159 | 6.385 | 6.41525076037274 | 6.437 | 0.996621214909545 | 0.995284555272632 |
| 160 | 5.984 | 6.38286443633939 | 6.3722 | 1.00167358782515 | 0.937510119427173 |
| 161 | 6.268 | 6.34698648206885 | 6.3256 | 1.00338094126547 | 0.987555278037539 |
| 162 | 6.596 | 6.38492416260518 | 6.3916 | 0.99895552953958 | 1.0330584721164 |
| 163 | 6.395 | 6.55146162318288 | 6.5556 | 0.99936872646026 | 0.976118058506329 |
| 164 | 6.715 | 6.66520336107206 | 6.6878 | 0.996621214909545 | 1.0074711357224 |
| 165 | 6.804 | 6.74907630004827 | 6.7378 | 1.00167358782515 | 1.00813795807159 |
| 166 | 6.929 | 6.88038379044557 | 6.8572 | 1.00338094126547 | 1.00706591536681 |
| 167 | 6.846 | 6.86182553240737 | 6.869 | 0.99895552953958 | 0.997693684817162 |
| 168 | 6.992 | 6.85387059980976 | 6.8582 | 0.99936872646026 | 1.02015348819017 |
| 169 | 6.774 | 6.74652765220868 | 6.7694 | 0.996621214909545 | 1.00407207221367 |
| 170 | 6.75 | 6.66533638810609 | 6.6542 | 1.00167358782515 | 1.01270207637907 |
| 171 | 6.485 | 6.57194448910057 | 6.5498 | 1.00338094126547 | 0.98677035552495 |
| 172 | 6.27 | 6.54415767401379 | 6.551 | 0.99895552953958 | 0.958106499312747 |
| 173 | 6.47 | 6.53886957722948 | 6.543 | 0.99936872646026 | 0.989467663115761 |
| 174 | 6.78 | 6.45232506956738 | 6.4742 | 0.996621214909545 | 1.05078400838453 |
| 175 | 6.71 | 6.57518576520182 | 6.5642 | 1.00167358782515 | 1.0205034868386 |
| 176 | 6.141 | 6.62853517418794 | 6.6062 | 1.00338094126547 | 0.926449032648052 |
| 177 | 6.72 | 6.51758545692803 | 6.5244 | 0.99895552953958 | 1.03105667649617 |
| 178 | 6.68 | 6.3977587130533 | 6.4018 | 0.99936872646026 | 1.04411565043409 |
| 179 | 6.371 | 6.40588252095259 | 6.4276 | 0.996621214909545 | 0.994554611197052 |
| 180 | 6.097 | 6.38366577520966 | 6.373 | 1.00167358782515 | 0.955093862162569 |
| 181 | 6.27 | 6.33233712032637 | 6.311 | 1.00338094126547 | 0.990155748321378 |
| 182 | 6.447 | 6.31939267986738 | 6.326 | 0.99895552953958 | 1.02019297210935 |
| 183 | 6.37 | 6.41055063275199 | 6.4146 | 0.99936872646026 | 0.99367439162795 |
| 184 | 6.446 | 6.41365616642889 | 6.4354 | 0.996621214909545 | 1.0050429634411 |
| 185 | 6.54 | 6.42273104513484 | 6.412 | 1.00167358782515 | 1.01825842527751 |
| 186 | 6.374 | 6.48585440433999 | 6.464 | 1.00338094126547 | 0.98275409878687 |
| 187 | 6.33 | 6.46763768045106 | 6.4744 | 0.99895552953958 | 0.978719018094183 |
| 188 | 6.63 | 6.45931982660325 | 6.4634 | 0.99936872646026 | 1.02642386164156 |
| 189 | 6.498 | 6.43877102104461 | 6.4606 | 0.996621214909545 | 1.00919880187722 |
| 190 | 6.485 | NA | NA | 1.00167358782515 | NA |
| 191 | 6.36 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
