Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 841 | 0 | 85 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 68897 | 69202.3821105313 | 27906.3525305165 | 40685.2653589522 | 305.382110531253 |
2 | 38683 | 36420.9494800285 | 222.579292619694 | 40722.4712273518 | -2262.05051997153 |
3 | 44720 | 42211.9389433098 | 6468.38396093873 | 40759.6770957515 | -2508.06105669019 |
4 | 39525 | 39317.2386830724 | -1037.70720539682 | 40770.4685223244 | -207.761316927586 |
5 | 45315 | 49288.8220412673 | 559.918009835337 | 40781.2599488973 | 3973.82204126733 |
6 | 50380 | 52370.9200679168 | 7595.95727548396 | 40793.1226565992 | 1990.92006791679 |
7 | 40600 | 41910.1653500111 | -1515.15071431224 | 40804.9853643012 | 1310.16535001108 |
8 | 36279 | 36323.0326211115 | -4607.09558600039 | 40842.0629648888 | 44.0326211115462 |
9 | 42438 | 43576.3309117904 | 420.528522733055 | 40879.1405654765 | 1138.33091179041 |
10 | 38064 | 35944.2211361075 | -639.25265213085 | 40823.0315160234 | -2119.77886389252 |
11 | 31879 | 29251.9663516258 | -6260.88881819605 | 40766.9224665702 | -2627.03364837416 |
12 | 11379 | 11271.7322365359 | -29113.6231195642 | 40599.8908830283 | -107.267763464071 |
13 | 70249 | 72158.7881699971 | 27906.3525305165 | 40432.8592994864 | 1909.78816999706 |
14 | 39253 | 37957.3555146607 | 222.579292619694 | 40326.0651927196 | -1295.64448533926 |
15 | 47060 | 47432.3449531085 | 6468.38396093873 | 40219.2710859527 | 372.344953108543 |
16 | 41697 | 44221.1721617854 | -1037.70720539682 | 40210.5350436114 | 2524.17216178537 |
17 | 38708 | 36654.2829888945 | 559.918009835337 | 40201.7990012702 | -2053.7170111055 |
18 | 49267 | 50726.3824931935 | 7595.95727548396 | 40211.6602313225 | 1459.38249319352 |
19 | 39018 | 39329.6292529374 | -1515.15071431224 | 40221.5214613749 | 311.629252937375 |
20 | 32228 | 28948.6470767625 | -4607.09558600039 | 40114.4485092379 | -3279.3529232375 |
21 | 40870 | 41312.095920166 | 420.528522733055 | 40007.3755571009 | 442.095920166037 |
22 | 39383 | 39554.46485947 | -639.25265213085 | 39850.7877926608 | 171.464859470012 |
23 | 34571 | 35708.6887899753 | -6260.88881819605 | 39694.2000282208 | 1137.68878997528 |
24 | 12066 | 13704.6461362138 | -29113.6231195642 | 39540.9769833504 | 1638.64613621379 |
25 | 70938 | 74581.8935310034 | 27906.3525305165 | 39387.7539384801 | 3643.89353100336 |
26 | 34077 | 28709.1015057187 | 222.579292619694 | 39222.3192016617 | -5367.89849428135 |
27 | 45409 | 45292.7315742181 | 6468.38396093873 | 39056.8844648432 | -116.26842578192 |
28 | 40809 | 43819.2626948164 | -1037.70720539682 | 38836.4445105804 | 3010.26269481644 |
29 | 37013 | 34850.0774338471 | 559.918009835337 | 38616.0045563176 | -2162.9225661529 |
30 | 44953 | 43825.8689360229 | 7595.95727548396 | 38484.1737884931 | -1127.13106397705 |
31 | 37848 | 38858.8076936436 | -1515.15071431224 | 38352.3430206686 | 1010.80769364362 |
32 | 32745 | 31647.8818824365 | -4607.09558600039 | 38449.2137035639 | -1097.11811756351 |
33 | 39401 | 39835.3870908078 | 420.528522733055 | 38546.0843864592 | 434.387090807773 |
34 | 34931 | 31776.7752316462 | -639.25265213085 | 38724.4774204846 | -3154.22476835378 |
35 | 33008 | 33374.018363686 | -6260.88881819605 | 38902.8704545101 | 366.018363685966 |
36 | 8620 | 7293.47980228087 | -29113.6231195642 | 39060.1433172834 | -1326.52019771913 |
37 | 68906 | 70688.2312894268 | 27906.3525305165 | 39217.4161800566 | 1782.23128942682 |
38 | 39556 | 39577.7503872274 | 222.579292619694 | 39311.6703201529 | 21.7503872274174 |
39 | 50669 | 55463.6915788121 | 6468.38396093873 | 39405.9244602491 | 4794.69157881214 |
40 | 36432 | 34400.8259422447 | -1037.70720539682 | 39500.8812631521 | -2031.17405775526 |
41 | 40891 | 41626.2439241096 | 559.918009835337 | 39595.838066055 | 735.243924109644 |
42 | 48428 | 49568.0742088798 | 7595.95727548396 | 39691.9685156362 | 1140.0742088798 |
43 | 36222 | 34171.0517490948 | -1515.15071431224 | 39788.0989652175 | -2050.94825090522 |
44 | 33425 | 31548.3304835358 | -4607.09558600039 | 39908.7651024646 | -1876.66951646422 |
45 | 39401 | 38352.0402375552 | 420.528522733055 | 40029.4312397118 | -1048.95976244481 |
46 | 37967 | 36363.0909679384 | -639.25265213085 | 40210.1616841925 | -1603.9090320616 |
47 | 34801 | 35471.9966895229 | -6260.88881819605 | 40390.8921286732 | 670.996689522894 |
48 | 12657 | 13757.4105668598 | -29113.6231195642 | 40670.2125527045 | 1100.41056685978 |
49 | 69116 | 69376.1144927477 | 27906.3525305165 | 40949.5329767358 | 260.114492747707 |
50 | 41519 | 41559.0160175359 | 222.579292619694 | 41256.4046898444 | 40.0160175358833 |
51 | 51321 | 54610.3396361082 | 6468.38396093873 | 41563.2764029531 | 3289.33963610818 |
52 | 38529 | 36336.7775570752 | -1037.70720539682 | 41758.9296483216 | -2192.22244292482 |
53 | 41547 | 40579.4990964745 | 559.918009835337 | 41954.5828936902 | -967.500903525521 |
54 | 52073 | 54543.7564539937 | 7595.95727548396 | 42006.2862705223 | 2470.75645399374 |
55 | 38401 | 36259.1610669578 | -1515.15071431224 | 42057.9896473544 | -2141.83893304219 |
56 | 40898 | 44252.0844991845 | -4607.09558600039 | 42151.0110868159 | 3354.08449918448 |
57 | 40439 | 38213.4389509895 | 420.528522733055 | 42244.0325262774 | -2225.56104901045 |
58 | 41888 | 42049.7834358143 | -639.25265213085 | 42365.4692163165 | 161.783435814323 |
59 | 37898 | 39569.9829118404 | -6260.88881819605 | 42486.9059063557 | 1671.98291184038 |
60 | 8771 | 4122.75969487651 | -29113.6231195642 | 42532.8634246877 | -4648.24030512349 |
61 | 68184 | 65882.8265264637 | 27906.3525305165 | 42578.8209430198 | -2301.17347353631 |
62 | 50530 | 58277.4089882475 | 222.579292619694 | 42560.0117191328 | 7747.40898824755 |
63 | 47221 | 45432.4135438155 | 6468.38396093873 | 42541.2024952457 | -1788.58645618447 |
64 | 41756 | 42164.9428866886 | -1037.70720539682 | 42384.7643187082 | 408.94288668863 |
65 | 45633 | 48477.755847994 | 559.918009835337 | 42228.3261421706 | 2844.75584799403 |
66 | 48138 | 47005.8926371282 | 7595.95727548396 | 41674.1500873879 | -1132.10736287183 |
67 | 39486 | 39367.1766817071 | -1515.15071431224 | 41119.9740326051 | -118.823318292882 |
68 | 39341 | 43152.2032311148 | -4607.09558600039 | 40136.8923548856 | 3811.20323111479 |
69 | 41117 | 42659.6608001009 | 420.528522733055 | 39153.8106771661 | 1542.66080010087 |
70 | 41629 | 45886.6431095785 | -639.25265213085 | 38010.6095425523 | 4257.64310957852 |
71 | 29722 | 28837.4804102575 | -6260.88881819605 | 36867.4084079386 | -884.519589742544 |
72 | 7054 | 7426.16551848926 | -29113.6231195642 | 35795.457601075 | 372.165518489259 |
73 | 56676 | 50722.1406752721 | 27906.3525305165 | 34723.5067942114 | -5953.85932472789 |
74 | 34870 | 35612.9749235609 | 222.579292619694 | 33904.4457838195 | 742.974923560854 |
75 | 35117 | 30680.2312656337 | 6468.38396093873 | 33085.3847734275 | -4436.76873436627 |
76 | 30169 | 28313.5741847836 | -1037.70720539682 | 33062.1330206132 | -1855.42581521641 |
77 | 30936 | 28273.2007223657 | 559.918009835337 | 33038.8812677989 | -2662.79927763425 |
78 | 35699 | 30704.5330062764 | 7595.95727548396 | 33097.5097182396 | -4994.46699372361 |
79 | 33228 | 34815.0125456319 | -1515.15071431224 | 33156.1381686804 | 1587.01254563186 |
80 | 27733 | 26780.6302243289 | -4607.09558600039 | 33292.4653616715 | -952.369775671064 |
81 | 33666 | 33482.6789226044 | 420.528522733055 | 33428.7925546625 | -183.321077395587 |
82 | 35429 | 37844.2943114199 | -639.25265213085 | 33652.958340711 | 2415.29431141986 |
83 | 27438 | 27259.7646914366 | -6260.88881819605 | 33877.1241267594 | -178.235308563388 |
84 | 8170 | 11289.5594324142 | -29113.6231195642 | 34164.06368715 | 3119.55943241419 |