| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 89924 | 89924 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 31795 | 34816.5994455412 | -3042.91316261991 | -3021.59944554125 | -2.8175579923738 |
| 3 | 27922 | 30946.8534716997 | -3047.98627822669 | -3024.85347169969 | -0.0704822007056294 |
| 4 | 59954 | 62842.3251182564 | -2795.70700802407 | -2888.32511825641 | 2.97700286780136 |
| 5 | 52150 | 55057.6560692204 | -2837.05007745314 | -2907.65606922036 | -0.424792518274317 |
| 6 | 39964 | 42907.4054573412 | -2923.992645727 | -2943.40545734124 | -0.792539801838628 |
| 7 | 34604 | 37556.6243204692 | -2949.14224112532 | -2952.62432046922 | -0.206401189515555 |
| 8 | 51106 | 53985.8468756821 | -2728.83012141393 | -2879.84687568209 | 1.64724680964498 |
| 9 | 52593 | 55457.2672307886 | -2676.95340309379 | -2864.26723078858 | 0.356846618864642 |
| 10 | 68794 | 71589.4285604265 | -2426.64793512883 | -2795.42856042649 | 1.59714214512064 |
| 11 | 47124 | 49988.6041393838 | -2699.65456307119 | -2864.60413938378 | -1.62729049157642 |
| 12 | 32315 | 35222.4777606691 | -2882.36055403943 | -2907.47776066909 | -1.02354392211762 |
| 13 | 42248 | 17251.9763486509 | -2492.49143117021 | 24996.0236513491 | -1.54166722728618 |
| 14 | 36088 | 37806.1531496235 | -1680.62811713916 | -1718.1531496235 | 1.66219639173844 |
| 15 | 52744 | 54433.2217559616 | -1386.71480061588 | -1689.2217559616 | 1.54916538751373 |
| 16 | 72586 | 74242.2923491943 | -1028.55840606325 | -1656.29234919434 | 1.79273455774205 |
| 17 | 92334 | 93958.634268475 | -661.124630682986 | -1624.63426847491 | 1.75382435989326 |
| 18 | 80761 | 82401.9540425396 | -862.662186621986 | -1640.95404253958 | -0.92074291886644 |
| 19 | 71078 | 72731.8921106667 | -1032.23152956679 | -1653.89211066673 | -0.743972800563073 |
| 20 | 63713 | 65375.9959737759 | -1158.57511178006 | -1662.99597377592 | -0.533955004769785 |
| 21 | 57122 | 58792.644272722 | -1270.74135406237 | -1670.64427272199 | -0.4578785962196 |
| 22 | 55243 | 56914.4823849417 | -1283.70662644882 | -1671.48238494171 | -0.0512503427294081 |
| 23 | 62143 | 63803.453720473 | -1104.03616412443 | -1660.45372047299 | 0.689313289802789 |
| 24 | 62708 | 64366.2552220375 | -1066.37307021787 | -1658.25522203751 | 0.140538923437869 |
| 25 | 62474 | 47635.7163414827 | -1186.59175521494 | 14838.2836585173 | -1.45157895233364 |
| 26 | 64250 | 65311.0660630474 | -552.176469775726 | -1061.06606304738 | 1.446424608922 |
| 27 | 71866 | 72920.5919709932 | -356.711209565404 | -1054.59197099324 | 0.687310021967908 |
| 28 | 69886 | 70941.8471302839 | -396.399696018871 | -1055.84713028388 | -0.136555056894514 |
| 29 | 58724 | 59787.9636737842 | -664.930680265504 | -1063.96367378421 | -0.905399526207779 |
| 30 | 55298 | 56363.9924346257 | -735.097360053845 | -1065.99243462574 | -0.23215324148588 |
| 31 | 52594 | 53661.4017228156 | -786.010306926011 | -1067.40172281563 | -0.165509283895469 |
| 32 | 54854 | 55919.2787694264 | -705.957255973854 | -1065.27876942639 | 0.25599721031565 |
| 33 | 54694 | 55758.9084107528 | -691.39006382206 | -1064.90841075281 | 0.0458746897753258 |
| 34 | 49298 | 50366.013491962 | -818.70307821153 | -1068.01349196202 | -0.395233235706552 |
| 35 | 44659 | 45729.4657809004 | -923.456950293918 | -1070.46578090035 | -0.320883076273444 |
| 36 | 43657 | 44727.5147989292 | -925.637291737124 | -1070.51479892922 | -0.00659601517149821 |
| 37 | 47002 | 36304.808828603 | -1080.67898632274 | 10697.191171397 | -0.671284462503545 |
| 38 | 47042 | 47873.8716786989 | -652.99372666793 | -831.871678698948 | 0.995225183750228 |
| 39 | 48959 | 49789.8021803445 | -579.522260455196 | -830.802180344543 | 0.215735122696489 |
| 40 | 49750 | 50580.2483055976 | -539.965592913193 | -830.248305597596 | 0.115030647842126 |
| 41 | 54048 | 54876.3500560173 | -399.078752789085 | -828.35005601734 | 0.406005963893263 |
| 42 | 60067 | 60892.9057722992 | -210.613139717924 | -825.905772299217 | 0.538542725875979 |
| 43 | 68929 | 69751.5527821319 | 57.8849982728046 | -822.552782131899 | 0.761195398467263 |
| 44 | 74617 | 75437.534073061 | 225.72139863535 | -820.534073061037 | 0.472316003595253 |
| 45 | 75940 | 76760.1524462238 | 258.654962745937 | -820.152446223831 | 0.0920421551756602 |
| 46 | 72762 | 73583.311591289 | 154.850187248873 | -821.311591288967 | -0.288245785726599 |
| 47 | 75621 | 76441.4272255767 | 237.016000586578 | -820.427225576745 | 0.226786655920744 |
| 48 | 73008 | 73829.3308167594 | 149.936072196029 | -821.330816759375 | -0.238999048441227 |
| 49 | 74196 | 66023.7796081872 | -63.7330473839001 | 8172.2203918128 | -0.700133805911435 |
| 50 | 78878 | 79502.8305635425 | 394.964574898335 | -624.830563542537 | 1.08066557190714 |
| 51 | 83812 | 84435.8256612386 | 535.573220685396 | -623.825661238609 | 0.380555123265106 |
| 52 | 91624 | 92246.2648552216 | 761.948526614375 | -622.26485522159 | 0.610017550647984 |
| 53 | 89388 | 90010.8878337063 | 668.305390845726 | -622.887833706328 | -0.251316111195416 |
| 54 | 110410 | 111028.790911964 | 1306.45475694232 | -618.790911963882 | 1.7061339601364 |
| 55 | 113857 | 114475.373605571 | 1373.80275207887 | -618.373605570895 | 0.179419491758059 |
| 56 | 112060 | 112678.972251169 | 1273.71257330826 | -618.972251169268 | -0.265761031863365 |
| 57 | 117236 | 117854.258829385 | 1397.27054347362 | -618.258829385113 | 0.327054125189359 |
| 58 | 132810 | 133425.749318892 | 1847.43394890496 | -615.74931889249 | 1.18810844365456 |
| 59 | 137699 | 138314.228054667 | 1944.27355820792 | -615.228054666752 | 0.254893175919128 |
| 60 | 146409 | 147023.105552862 | 2160.2250233946 | -614.10555286191 | 0.566966646937518 |
