Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 601 | 0 | 61 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 89924 | 124007.732114667 | 1824.42531664541 | 54015.8425686875 | 34083.7321146671 |
2 | 31795 | 21327.6688873722 | -10766.2838071104 | 53028.6149197382 | -10467.3311126278 |
3 | 27922 | 10151.4151546412 | -6348.80242543002 | 52041.3872707888 | -17770.5848453588 |
4 | 59954 | 64496.4018163857 | 4222.72486375828 | 51188.8733198561 | 4542.40181638567 |
5 | 52150 | 50299.977392406 | 3663.6632386707 | 50336.3593689233 | -1850.02260759396 |
6 | 39964 | 27773.2651797734 | 2588.37120256838 | 49566.3636176582 | -12190.7348202266 |
7 | 34604 | 19957.3493499716 | 454.282783635204 | 48796.3678663932 | -14646.6506500284 |
8 | 51106 | 51574.6385676511 | 2386.50150532216 | 48250.8599270267 | 468.63856765112 |
9 | 52593 | 55972.5267850706 | 1508.12122726908 | 47705.3519876603 | 3379.52678507064 |
10 | 68794 | 84506.4883973094 | 4140.49698285136 | 48941.0146198393 | 15712.4883973094 |
11 | 47124 | 43895.0351824875 | 176.287565494228 | 50176.6772520182 | -3228.96481751246 |
12 | 32315 | 15708.2565023576 | -3849.77901004501 | 52771.5225076874 | -16606.7434976424 |
13 | 42248 | 27305.206919998 | 1824.42531664541 | 55366.3677633566 | -14942.793080002 |
14 | 36088 | 25673.4790836959 | -10766.2838071104 | 57268.8047234145 | -10414.5209163041 |
15 | 52744 | 52665.5607419577 | -6348.80242543002 | 59171.2416834723 | -78.4392580422937 |
16 | 72586 | 80656.9546629292 | 4222.72486375828 | 60292.3204733126 | 8070.95466292916 |
17 | 92334 | 119590.937498176 | 3663.6632386707 | 61413.3992631528 | 27256.9374981765 |
18 | 80761 | 96193.8672518292 | 2588.37120256838 | 62739.7615456025 | 15432.8672518291 |
19 | 71078 | 77635.5933883127 | 454.282783635204 | 64066.1238280521 | 6557.59338831266 |
20 | 63713 | 60022.0047152833 | 2386.50150532216 | 65017.4937793946 | -3690.99528471673 |
21 | 57122 | 46767.0150419939 | 1508.12122726908 | 65968.863730737 | -10354.9849580061 |
22 | 55243 | 40756.1302021022 | 4140.49698285136 | 65589.3728150465 | -14486.8697978978 |
23 | 62143 | 58899.8305351498 | 176.287565494228 | 65209.881899356 | -3243.16946485021 |
24 | 62708 | 65152.4404561528 | -3849.77901004501 | 64113.3385538922 | 2444.44045615281 |
25 | 62474 | 60106.7794749262 | 1824.42531664541 | 63016.7952084284 | -2367.22052507382 |
26 | 64250 | 77078.6630347132 | -10766.2838071104 | 62187.6207723972 | 12828.6630347132 |
27 | 71866 | 88722.356089064 | -6348.80242543002 | 61358.446336366 | 16856.356089064 |
28 | 69886 | 75237.5794195275 | 4222.72486375828 | 60311.6957167143 | 5351.57941952746 |
29 | 58724 | 54519.3916642668 | 3663.6632386707 | 59264.9450970625 | -4204.60833573321 |
30 | 55298 | 50442.8777747711 | 2588.37120256838 | 57564.7510226605 | -4855.12222522891 |
31 | 52594 | 48869.1602681063 | 454.282783635204 | 55864.5569482585 | -3724.83973189375 |
32 | 54854 | 53126.6447363143 | 2386.50150532216 | 54194.8537583635 | -1727.35526368566 |
33 | 54694 | 55354.7282042625 | 1508.12122726908 | 52525.1505684685 | 660.728204262457 |
34 | 49298 | 42905.6311274046 | 4140.49698285136 | 51549.8718897441 | -6392.36887259544 |
35 | 44659 | 38567.1192234861 | 176.287565494228 | 50574.5932110197 | -6091.88077651394 |
36 | 43657 | 40301.2983104479 | -3849.77901004501 | 50862.4806995971 | -3355.70168955206 |
37 | 47002 | 41029.2064951802 | 1824.42531664541 | 51150.3681881744 | -5972.79350481984 |
38 | 47042 | 52258.9694709344 | -10766.2838071104 | 52591.314336176 | 5216.96947093442 |
39 | 48959 | 50234.5419412525 | -6348.80242543002 | 54032.2604841775 | 1275.54194125254 |
40 | 49750 | 39029.0153288811 | 4222.72486375828 | 56248.2598073606 | -10720.9846711189 |
41 | 54048 | 45968.0776307855 | 3663.6632386707 | 58464.2591305438 | -8079.92236921447 |
42 | 60067 | 56577.5071342166 | 2588.37120256838 | 60968.121663215 | -3489.49286578341 |
43 | 68929 | 73931.7330204785 | 454.282783635204 | 63471.9841958863 | 5002.73302047851 |
44 | 74617 | 80561.9118467804 | 2386.50150532216 | 66285.5866478975 | 5944.91184678038 |
45 | 75940 | 81272.6896728222 | 1508.12122726908 | 69099.1890999087 | 5332.68967282225 |
46 | 72762 | 69178.0489110627 | 4140.49698285136 | 72205.454106086 | -3583.95108893732 |
47 | 75621 | 75753.9933222425 | 176.287565494228 | 75311.7191122633 | 132.993322242502 |
48 | 73008 | 71197.4924163381 | -3849.77901004501 | 78668.2865937069 | -1810.50758366191 |
49 | 74196 | 64542.720608204 | 1824.42531664541 | 82024.8540751506 | -9653.27939179598 |
50 | 78878 | 82832.4287849642 | -10766.2838071104 | 85689.8550221462 | 3954.42878496421 |
51 | 83812 | 84617.9464562882 | -6348.80242543002 | 89354.8559691418 | 805.946456288249 |
52 | 91624 | 84416.7053701626 | 4222.72486375828 | 94608.5697660792 | -7207.29462983744 |
53 | 89388 | 75250.0531983127 | 3663.6632386707 | 99862.2835630166 | -14137.9468016873 |
54 | 110410 | 112832.330918792 | 2588.37120256838 | 105399.29787864 | 2422.3309187915 |
55 | 113857 | 116323.405022101 | 454.282783635204 | 110936.312194264 | 2466.4050221011 |
56 | 112060 | 105141.895866981 | 2386.50150532216 | 116591.602627697 | -6918.10413301895 |
57 | 117236 | 110716.985711601 | 1508.12122726908 | 122246.89306113 | -6519.01428839896 |
58 | 132810 | 133443.042703374 | 4140.49698285136 | 128036.460313775 | 633.0427033741 |
59 | 137699 | 141395.684868087 | 176.287565494228 | 133826.027566419 | 3696.68486808657 |
60 | 146409 | 156924.967747978 | -3849.77901004501 | 139742.811262067 | 10515.9677479782 |