Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 89.924 | NA | NA | 0.900510120162767 | NA |
2 | 31.795 | NA | NA | 0.877921261066405 | NA |
3 | 27.922 | NA | NA | 0.987848807627763 | NA |
4 | 59.954 | NA | NA | 1.07381727242246 | NA |
5 | 52.15 | NA | NA | 1.1063078010585 | NA |
6 | 39.964 | NA | NA | 1.09173258007438 | NA |
7 | 34.604 | 46.116848372413 | 47.0339166666667 | 0.980501979013295 | 0.750354831721328 |
8 | 51.106 | 48.4214766252632 | 45.2262916666667 | 1.07064883811713 | 1.05544075814772 |
9 | 52.593 | 48.2860584152581 | 46.4394166666667 | 1.03976453369013 | 1.08919637937109 |
10 | 68.794 | 51.1449959185401 | 48 | 1.06552074830292 | 1.3450778275468 |
11 | 47.124 | 47.7866102433634 | 50.2006666666667 | 0.951911865248073 | 0.986133976861114 |
12 | 32.315 | 45.7269162122825 | 53.574875 | 0.853514193216177 | 0.706695370621122 |
13 | 42.248 | 51.1440220195843 | 56.7945 | 0.900510120162767 | 0.826059397202321 |
14 | 36.088 | 51.6564846205693 | 58.8395416666667 | 0.877921261066405 | 0.698615096731341 |
15 | 52.744 | 58.8298951254269 | 59.5535416666667 | 0.987848807627763 | 0.896550977824257 |
16 | 72.586 | 63.5459558659394 | 59.177625 | 1.07381727242246 | 1.14225994417539 |
17 | 92.334 | 65.5363373461129 | 59.2387916666667 | 1.1063078010585 | 1.40889777700518 |
18 | 80.761 | 66.7386588636692 | 61.1309583333333 | 1.09173258007438 | 1.21010822475434 |
19 | 71.078 | 62.007026861299 | 63.2400833333333 | 0.980501979013295 | 1.14628943843722 |
20 | 63.713 | 69.8665282423811 | 65.25625 | 1.07064883811713 | 0.911924516686542 |
21 | 57.122 | 69.8996437770747 | 67.2264166666667 | 1.03976453369013 | 0.817200158875982 |
22 | 55.243 | 72.3602243644167 | 67.9106666666667 | 1.06552074830292 | 0.763444288422713 |
23 | 62.143 | 63.2048060507752 | 66.39775 | 0.951911865248073 | 0.983200548864556 |
24 | 62.708 | 54.5706035252919 | 63.936375 | 0.853514193216177 | 1.14911684953121 |
25 | 62.474 | 55.9264061402387 | 62.10525 | 0.900510120162767 | 1.11707517631909 |
26 | 64.25 | 53.5233110221219 | 60.9659583333333 | 0.877921261066405 | 1.20041153607714 |
27 | 71.866 | 59.7605721833133 | 60.4956666666667 | 0.987848807627763 | 1.20256546037668 |
28 | 69.886 | 64.5866637724622 | 60.1467916666667 | 1.07381727242246 | 1.08205000719974 |
29 | 58.724 | 65.460877934849 | 59.1705833333333 | 1.1063078010585 | 0.897085432591448 |
30 | 55.298 | 62.9365181981302 | 57.6482916666667 | 1.09173258007438 | 0.878631382592799 |
31 | 52.594 | 55.1138528233408 | 56.2098333333333 | 0.980501979013295 | 0.954279138651079 |
32 | 54.854 | 58.7231259145215 | 54.8481666666667 | 1.07064883811713 | 0.934112398577803 |
33 | 54.694 | 55.2912553433842 | 53.1767083333333 | 1.03976453369013 | 0.989198014411593 |
34 | 49.298 | 54.7499189902359 | 51.38325 | 1.06552074830292 | 0.900421423615106 |
35 | 44.659 | 47.9282071333191 | 50.3494166666667 | 0.951911865248073 | 0.931789496648074 |
36 | 43.657 | 42.9772491126538 | 50.3532916666667 | 0.853514193216177 | 1.01581652854431 |
37 | 47.002 | 46.135497295004 | 51.232625 | 0.900510120162767 | 1.01878169209829 |
38 | 47.042 | 46.2986774844912 | 52.7367083333333 | 0.877921261066405 | 1.01605494057056 |
39 | 48.959 | 53.7838399349634 | 54.4454166666667 | 0.987848807627763 | 0.910292014463867 |
40 | 49.75 | 60.4648609146549 | 56.3083333333333 | 1.07381727242246 | 0.822791936464077 |
41 | 54.048 | 64.8031779471197 | 58.5760833333333 | 1.1063078010585 | 0.834033171090836 |
42 | 60.067 | 66.6929880507361 | 61.089125 | 1.09173258007438 | 0.900649404916519 |
43 | 68.929 | 62.208111475495 | 63.4451666666667 | 0.980501979013295 | 1.10803878087751 |
44 | 74.617 | 70.5608440139001 | 65.90475 | 1.07064883811713 | 1.05748451627507 |
45 | 75.94 | 71.4146240261835 | 68.6834583333333 | 1.03976453369013 | 1.06336763702848 |
46 | 72.762 | 76.5900753549923 | 71.8804166666667 | 1.06552074830292 | 0.950018650102519 |
47 | 75.621 | 71.4863599524447 | 75.0976666666667 | 0.951911865248073 | 1.0578381673134 |
48 | 73.008 | 67.1440767364733 | 78.6677916666667 | 0.853514193216177 | 1.0873334409905 |
49 | 74.196 | 74.4158300124406 | 82.6374166666667 | 0.900510120162767 | 0.997045924067448 |
50 | 78.878 | 75.5622805594075 | 86.0695416666667 | 0.877921261066405 | 1.0438806163081 |
51 | 83.812 | 88.2646202444765 | 89.3503333333333 | 0.987848807627763 | 0.949553737022337 |
52 | 91.624 | 100.480303632387 | 93.573 | 1.07381727242246 | 0.911860301847928 |
53 | 89.388 | 109.15007930645 | 98.6615833333333 | 1.1063078010585 | 0.818945808999678 |
54 | 110.41 | 113.874849852385 | 104.306541666667 | 1.09173258007438 | 0.969573177423488 |
55 | 113.857 | NA | NA | 0.980501979013295 | NA |
56 | 112.06 | NA | NA | 1.07064883811713 | NA |
57 | 117.236 | NA | NA | 1.03976453369013 | NA |
58 | 132.81 | NA | NA | 1.06552074830292 | NA |
59 | 137.699 | NA | NA | 0.951911865248073 | NA |
60 | 146.409 | NA | NA | 0.853514193216177 | NA |