| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 11.73 | NA | NA | 0.0320962162162161 | NA |
| 2 | 11.75 | NA | NA | -0.0125956756756756 | NA |
| 3 | 11.39 | 11.1967016216216 | 11.206 | -0.0092983783783783 | 0.193298378378378 |
| 4 | 11.54 | 10.7955664864865 | 10.824 | -0.0284335135135135 | 0.744433513513513 |
| 5 | 9.62 | 10.4802313513514 | 10.462 | 0.0182313513513513 | -0.860231351351354 |
| 6 | 9.82 | 10.1960962162162 | 10.164 | 0.0320962162162161 | -0.376096216216217 |
| 7 | 9.94 | 9.80340432432432 | 9.816 | -0.0125956756756756 | 0.136595675675675 |
| 8 | 9.9 | 9.85470162162162 | 9.864 | -0.0092983783783783 | 0.0452983783783782 |
| 9 | 9.8 | 9.97156648648649 | 10 | -0.0284335135135135 | -0.171566486486485 |
| 10 | 9.86 | 10.0962313513514 | 10.078 | 0.0182313513513513 | -0.236231351351353 |
| 11 | 10.5 | 10.1620962162162 | 10.13 | 0.0320962162162161 | 0.337903783783783 |
| 12 | 10.33 | 10.1394043243243 | 10.152 | -0.0125956756756756 | 0.190595675675677 |
| 13 | 10.16 | 10.1627016216216 | 10.172 | -0.0092983783783783 | -0.0027016216216218 |
| 14 | 9.91 | 10.0495664864865 | 10.078 | -0.0284335135135135 | -0.139566486486487 |
| 15 | 9.96 | 9.94023135135135 | 9.922 | 0.0182313513513513 | 0.0197686486486486 |
| 16 | 10.03 | 9.82409621621622 | 9.792 | 0.0320962162162161 | 0.205903783783784 |
| 17 | 9.55 | 9.75740432432432 | 9.77 | -0.0125956756756756 | -0.207404324324324 |
| 18 | 9.51 | 9.78470162162162 | 9.794 | -0.0092983783783783 | -0.274701621621622 |
| 19 | 9.8 | 9.79956648648649 | 9.828 | -0.0284335135135135 | 0.000433513513513617 |
| 20 | 10.08 | 9.98223135135135 | 9.964 | 0.0182313513513513 | 0.097768648648648 |
| 21 | 10.2 | 10.1340962162162 | 10.102 | 0.0320962162162161 | 0.0659037837837815 |
| 22 | 10.23 | 10.1434043243243 | 10.156 | -0.0125956756756756 | 0.0865956756756763 |
| 23 | 10.2 | 10.1327016216216 | 10.142 | -0.0092983783783783 | 0.0672983783783785 |
| 24 | 10.07 | 10.0835664864865 | 10.112 | -0.0284335135135135 | -0.0135664864864857 |
| 25 | 10.01 | 10.0682313513514 | 10.05 | 0.0182313513513513 | -0.0582313513513508 |
| 26 | 10.05 | 10.0480962162162 | 10.016 | 0.0320962162162161 | 0.00190378378378497 |
| 27 | 9.92 | 10.0254043243243 | 10.038 | -0.0125956756756756 | -0.105404324324324 |
| 28 | 10.03 | 10.0467016216216 | 10.056 | -0.0092983783783783 | -0.0167016216216229 |
| 29 | 10.18 | 10.0495664864865 | 10.078 | -0.0284335135135135 | 0.130433513513513 |
| 30 | 10.1 | 10.1422313513514 | 10.124 | 0.0182313513513513 | -0.0422313513513526 |
| 31 | 10.16 | 10.1760962162162 | 10.144 | 0.0320962162162161 | -0.0160962162162157 |
| 32 | 10.15 | 10.1134043243243 | 10.126 | -0.0125956756756756 | 0.0365956756756756 |
| 33 | 10.13 | 10.1327016216216 | 10.142 | -0.0092983783783783 | -0.0027016216216218 |
| 34 | 10.09 | 10.0935664864865 | 10.122 | -0.0284335135135135 | -0.00356648648648594 |
| 35 | 10.18 | 10.0402313513514 | 10.022 | 0.0182313513513513 | 0.139768648648648 |
| 36 | 10.06 | 9.97609621621622 | 9.944 | 0.0320962162162161 | 0.0839037837837839 |
| 37 | 9.65 | 9.81940432432432 | 9.832 | -0.0125956756756756 | -0.169404324324324 |
| 38 | 9.74 | 9.68670162162162 | 9.696 | -0.0092983783783783 | 0.0532983783783774 |
| 39 | 9.53 | 9.45556648648649 | 9.484 | -0.0284335135135135 | 0.0744335135135135 |
| 40 | 9.5 | 9.40223135135135 | 9.384 | 0.0182313513513513 | 0.097768648648648 |
| 41 | 9 | 9.33209621621622 | 9.3 | 0.0320962162162161 | -0.332096216216216 |
| 42 | 9.15 | 9.30540432432432 | 9.318 | -0.0125956756756756 | -0.155404324324323 |
| 43 | 9.32 | 9.32670162162162 | 9.336 | -0.0092983783783783 | -0.00670162162162136 |
| 44 | 9.62 | 9.38156648648649 | 9.41 | -0.0284335135135135 | 0.238433513513513 |
| 45 | 9.59 | 9.46823135135135 | 9.45 | 0.0182313513513513 | 0.121768648648647 |
| 46 | 9.37 | 9.48209621621622 | 9.45 | 0.0320962162162161 | -0.112096216216216 |
| 47 | 9.35 | 9.41140432432432 | 9.424 | -0.0125956756756756 | -0.0614043243243234 |
| 48 | 9.32 | 9.40070162162162 | 9.41 | -0.0092983783783783 | -0.0807016216216212 |
| 49 | 9.49 | 9.42556648648649 | 9.454 | -0.0284335135135135 | 0.0644335135135137 |
| 50 | 9.52 | 9.47223135135135 | 9.454 | 0.0182313513513513 | 0.0477686486486473 |
| 51 | 9.59 | 9.46209621621622 | 9.43 | 0.0320962162162161 | 0.127903783783784 |
| 52 | 9.35 | 9.43340432432432 | 9.446 | -0.0125956756756756 | -0.0834043243243237 |
| 53 | 9.2 | 9.48870162162162 | 9.498 | -0.0092983783783783 | -0.288701621621621 |
| 54 | 9.57 | 9.50956648648649 | 9.538 | -0.0284335135135135 | 0.0604335135135141 |
| 55 | 9.78 | 9.60023135135135 | 9.582 | 0.0182313513513513 | 0.179768648648647 |
| 56 | 9.79 | 9.68009621621622 | 9.648 | 0.0320962162162161 | 0.109903783783782 |
| 57 | 9.57 | 9.65140432432433 | 9.664 | -0.0125956756756756 | -0.0814043243243248 |
| 58 | 9.53 | 9.57070162162162 | 9.58 | -0.0092983783783783 | -0.0407016216216221 |
| 59 | 9.65 | 9.47356648648649 | 9.502 | -0.0284335135135135 | 0.176433513513514 |
| 60 | 9.36 | 9.47023135135135 | 9.452 | 0.0182313513513513 | -0.110231351351354 |
| 61 | 9.4 | 9.44009621621622 | 9.408 | 0.0320962162162161 | -0.0400962162162166 |
| 62 | 9.32 | 9.30340432432432 | 9.316 | -0.0125956756756756 | 0.016595675675676 |
| 63 | 9.31 | 9.31270162162162 | 9.322 | -0.0092983783783783 | -0.0027016216216218 |
| 64 | 9.19 | 9.26956648648649 | 9.298 | -0.0284335135135135 | -0.0795664864864865 |
| 65 | 9.39 | 9.30823135135135 | 9.29 | 0.0182313513513513 | 0.081768648648648 |
| 66 | 9.28 | 9.32209621621621 | 9.29 | 0.0320962162162161 | -0.0420962162162155 |
| 67 | 9.28 | 9.29540432432432 | 9.308 | -0.0125956756756756 | -0.015404324324324 |
| 68 | 9.31 | 9.28270162162162 | 9.292 | -0.0092983783783783 | 0.0272983783783793 |
| 69 | 9.28 | 9.27756648648649 | 9.306 | -0.0284335135135135 | 0.00243351351351251 |
| 70 | 9.31 | 9.30623135135135 | 9.288 | 0.0182313513513513 | 0.00376864864864856 |
| 71 | 9.35 | 9.27209621621622 | 9.24 | 0.0320962162162161 | 0.0779037837837837 |
| 72 | 9.19 | 9.16340432432432 | 9.176 | -0.0125956756756756 | 0.0265956756756758 |
| 73 | 9.07 | 9.04270162162162 | 9.052 | -0.0092983783783783 | 0.0272983783783793 |
| 74 | 8.96 | 8.86956648648649 | 8.898 | -0.0284335135135135 | 0.0904335135135153 |
| 75 | 8.69 | 8.79023135135135 | 8.772 | 0.0182313513513513 | -0.100231351351354 |
| 76 | 8.58 | 8.68409621621622 | 8.652 | 0.0320962162162161 | -0.104096216216217 |
| 77 | 8.56 | 8.53940432432432 | 8.552 | -0.0125956756756756 | 0.0205956756756756 |
| 78 | 8.47 | 8.55470162162162 | 8.564 | -0.0092983783783783 | -0.0847016216216208 |
| 79 | 8.46 | 8.60956648648649 | 8.638 | -0.0284335135135135 | -0.149566486486485 |
| 80 | 8.75 | 8.81023135135135 | 8.792 | 0.0182313513513513 | -0.0602313513513533 |
| 81 | 8.95 | 9.03209621621622 | 9 | 0.0320962162162161 | -0.0820962162162164 |
| 82 | 9.33 | 9.20760432432432 | 9.2202 | -0.0125956756756756 | 0.122395675675676 |
| 83 | 9.51 | 9.44890162162162 | 9.4582 | -0.0092983783783783 | 0.0610983783783787 |
| 84 | 9.561 | 9.61976648648649 | 9.6482 | -0.0284335135135135 | -0.058766486486487 |
| 85 | 9.94 | 9.65543135135135 | 9.6372 | 0.0182313513513513 | 0.284568648648648 |
| 86 | 9.9 | 9.67929621621622 | 9.6472 | 0.0320962162162161 | 0.220703783783783 |
| 87 | 9.275 | 9.67820432432432 | 9.6908 | -0.0125956756756756 | -0.403204324324324 |
| 88 | 9.56 | 9.64270162162162 | 9.652 | -0.0092983783783783 | -0.0827016216216219 |
| 89 | 9.779 | 9.64176648648649 | 9.6702 | -0.0284335135135135 | 0.137233513513515 |
| 90 | 9.746 | 9.82943135135135 | 9.8112 | 0.0182313513513513 | -0.0834313513513525 |
| 91 | 9.991 | 9.97029621621622 | 9.9382 | 0.0320962162162161 | 0.0207037837837838 |
| 92 | 9.98 | 10.0318043243243 | 10.0444 | -0.0125956756756756 | -0.0518043243243245 |
| 93 | 10.195 | 10.1359016216216 | 10.1452 | -0.0092983783783783 | 0.0590983783783781 |
| 94 | 10.31 | 10.0927664864865 | 10.1212 | -0.0284335135135135 | 0.217233513513513 |
| 95 | 10.25 | 10.1554313513514 | 10.1372 | 0.0182313513513513 | 0.0945686486486483 |
| 96 | 9.871 | 10.1090962162162 | 10.077 | 0.0320962162162161 | -0.238096216216215 |
| 97 | 10.06 | 9.92040432432433 | 9.933 | -0.0125956756756756 | 0.139595675675675 |
| 98 | 9.894 | 9.80170162162162 | 9.811 | -0.0092983783783783 | 0.0922983783783771 |
| 99 | 9.59 | 9.78636648648649 | 9.8148 | -0.0284335135135135 | -0.196366486486488 |
| 100 | 9.64 | 9.72703135135135 | 9.7088 | 0.0182313513513513 | -0.0870313513513512 |
| 101 | 9.89 | 9.63969621621622 | 9.6076 | 0.0320962162162161 | 0.250303783783785 |
| 102 | 9.53 | 9.50900432432432 | 9.5216 | -0.0125956756756756 | 0.0209956756756746 |
| 103 | 9.388 | 9.46790162162162 | 9.4772 | -0.0092983783783783 | -0.0799016216216213 |
| 104 | 9.16 | 9.38476648648649 | 9.4132 | -0.0284335135135135 | -0.224766486486486 |
| 105 | 9.418 | 9.49683135135135 | 9.4786 | 0.0182313513513513 | -0.0788313513513526 |
| 106 | 9.57 | 9.60849621621622 | 9.5764 | 0.0320962162162161 | -0.0384962162162168 |
| 107 | 9.857 | 9.68380432432432 | 9.6964 | -0.0125956756756756 | 0.173195675675675 |
| 108 | 9.877 | 9.75550162162162 | 9.7648 | -0.0092983783783783 | 0.121498378378378 |
| 109 | 9.76 | 9.76136648648649 | 9.7898 | -0.0284335135135135 | -0.00136648648648574 |
| 110 | 9.76 | 9.73163135135135 | 9.7134 | 0.0182313513513513 | 0.0283686486486481 |
| 111 | 9.695 | 9.62249621621622 | 9.5904 | 0.0320962162162161 | 0.0725037837837839 |
| 112 | 9.475 | 9.44520432432432 | 9.4578 | -0.0125956756756756 | 0.0297956756756754 |
| 113 | 9.262 | 9.20650162162162 | 9.2158 | -0.0092983783783783 | 0.0554983783783776 |
| 114 | 9.097 | 8.88036648648649 | 8.9088 | -0.0284335135135135 | 0.216633513513512 |
| 115 | 8.55 | 8.53843135135135 | 8.5202 | 0.0182313513513513 | 0.0115686486486481 |
| 116 | 8.16 | 8.16489621621622 | 8.1328 | 0.0320962162162161 | -0.00489621621621694 |
| 117 | 7.532 | 7.65060432432433 | 7.6632 | -0.0125956756756756 | -0.118604324324325 |
| 118 | 7.325 | 7.36990162162162 | 7.3792 | -0.0092983783783783 | -0.044901621621622 |
| 119 | 6.749 | 7.11776648648649 | 7.1462 | -0.0284335135135135 | -0.368766486486487 |
| 120 | 7.13 | 7.12723135135135 | 7.109 | 0.0182313513513513 | 0.00276864864864823 |
| 121 | 6.995 | 7.22209621621622 | 7.19 | 0.0320962162162161 | -0.227096216216217 |
| 122 | 7.346 | 7.39500432432432 | 7.4076 | -0.0125956756756756 | -0.0490043243243248 |
| 123 | 7.73 | 7.47510162162162 | 7.4844 | -0.0092983783783783 | 0.254898378378379 |
| 124 | 7.837 | 7.57296648648649 | 7.6014 | -0.0284335135135135 | 0.264033513513513 |
| 125 | 7.514 | 7.51643135135135 | 7.4982 | 0.0182313513513513 | -0.00243135135135208 |
| 126 | 7.58 | 7.30769621621622 | 7.2756 | 0.0320962162162161 | 0.272303783783785 |
| 127 | 6.83 | 7.03860432432432 | 7.0512 | -0.0125956756756756 | -0.208604324324324 |
| 128 | 6.617 | 6.86510162162162 | 6.8744 | -0.0092983783783783 | -0.248101621621621 |
| 129 | 6.715 | 6.70816648648649 | 6.7366 | -0.0284335135135135 | 0.00683351351351291 |
| 130 | 6.63 | 6.78923135135135 | 6.771 | 0.0182313513513513 | -0.159231351351352 |
| 131 | 6.891 | 6.89769621621622 | 6.8656 | 0.0320962162162161 | -0.00669621621621541 |
| 132 | 7.002 | 6.98200432432432 | 6.9946 | -0.0125956756756756 | 0.0199956756756761 |
| 133 | 7.09 | 7.15470162162162 | 7.164 | -0.0092983783783783 | -0.0647016216216212 |
| 134 | 7.36 | 7.32256648648649 | 7.351 | -0.0284335135135135 | 0.0374335135135127 |
| 135 | 7.477 | 7.52683135135135 | 7.5086 | 0.0182313513513513 | -0.0498313513513526 |
| 136 | 7.826 | 7.63829621621622 | 7.6062 | 0.0320962162162161 | 0.187703783783783 |
| 137 | 7.79 | 7.56240432432432 | 7.575 | -0.0125956756756756 | 0.227595675675675 |
| 138 | 7.578 | 7.50990162162162 | 7.5192 | -0.0092983783783783 | 0.0680983783783784 |
| 139 | 7.204 | 7.46256648648649 | 7.491 | -0.0284335135135135 | -0.258566486486487 |
| 140 | 7.198 | 7.51023135135135 | 7.492 | 0.0182313513513513 | -0.312231351351352 |
| 141 | 7.685 | 7.50049621621622 | 7.4684 | 0.0320962162162161 | 0.184503783783783 |
| 142 | 7.795 | 7.46980432432432 | 7.4824 | -0.0125956756756756 | 0.325195675675675 |
| 143 | 7.46 | 7.49950162162162 | 7.5088 | -0.0092983783783783 | -0.0395016216216222 |
| 144 | 7.274 | 7.47436648648649 | 7.5028 | -0.0284335135135135 | -0.200366486486487 |
| 145 | 7.33 | 7.51543135135135 | 7.4972 | 0.0182313513513513 | -0.185431351351351 |
| 146 | 7.655 | 7.60529621621622 | 7.5732 | 0.0320962162162161 | 0.0497037837837846 |
| 147 | 7.767 | 7.59060432432432 | 7.6032 | -0.0125956756756756 | 0.176395675675676 |
| 148 | 7.84 | 7.63590162162162 | 7.6452 | -0.0092983783783783 | 0.204098378378379 |
| 149 | 7.424 | 7.55596648648649 | 7.5844 | -0.0284335135135135 | -0.131966486486486 |
| 150 | 7.54 | 7.39623135135135 | 7.378 | 0.0182313513513513 | 0.143768648648648 |
| 151 | 7.351 | 7.19749621621622 | 7.1654 | 0.0320962162162161 | 0.153503783783784 |
| 152 | 6.735 | 7.00380432432433 | 7.0164 | -0.0125956756756756 | -0.268804324324325 |
| 153 | 6.777 | 6.96710162162162 | 6.9764 | -0.0092983783783783 | -0.190101621621622 |
| 154 | 6.679 | 6.87336648648649 | 6.9018 | -0.0284335135135135 | -0.194366486486487 |
| 155 | 7.34 | 6.95703135135135 | 6.9388 | 0.0182313513513513 | 0.382968648648648 |
| 156 | 6.978 | 6.94109621621622 | 6.909 | 0.0320962162162161 | 0.0369037837837842 |
| 157 | 6.92 | 6.83760432432432 | 6.8502 | -0.0125956756756756 | 0.0823956756756754 |
| 158 | 6.628 | 6.56970162162162 | 6.579 | -0.0092983783783783 | 0.0582983783783781 |
| 159 | 6.385 | 6.40856648648649 | 6.437 | -0.0284335135135135 | -0.0235664864864873 |
| 160 | 5.984 | 6.39043135135135 | 6.3722 | 0.0182313513513513 | -0.406431351351351 |
| 161 | 6.268 | 6.35769621621622 | 6.3256 | 0.0320962162162161 | -0.0896962162162156 |
| 162 | 6.596 | 6.37900432432432 | 6.3916 | -0.0125956756756756 | 0.216995675675676 |
| 163 | 6.395 | 6.54630162162162 | 6.5556 | -0.0092983783783783 | -0.151301621621622 |
| 164 | 6.715 | 6.65936648648649 | 6.6878 | -0.0284335135135135 | 0.055633513513512 |
| 165 | 6.804 | 6.75603135135135 | 6.7378 | 0.0182313513513513 | 0.0479686486486486 |
| 166 | 6.929 | 6.88929621621622 | 6.8572 | 0.0320962162162161 | 0.0397037837837839 |
| 167 | 6.846 | 6.85640432432432 | 6.869 | -0.0125956756756756 | -0.0104043243243241 |
| 168 | 6.992 | 6.84890162162162 | 6.8582 | -0.0092983783783783 | 0.143098378378379 |
| 169 | 6.774 | 6.74096648648649 | 6.7694 | -0.0284335135135135 | 0.0330335135135131 |
| 170 | 6.75 | 6.67243135135135 | 6.6542 | 0.0182313513513513 | 0.077568648648648 |
| 171 | 6.485 | 6.58189621621622 | 6.5498 | 0.0320962162162161 | -0.0968962162162157 |
| 172 | 6.27 | 6.53840432432432 | 6.551 | -0.0125956756756756 | -0.268404324324324 |
| 173 | 6.47 | 6.53370162162162 | 6.543 | -0.0092983783783783 | -0.0637016216216217 |
| 174 | 6.78 | 6.44576648648649 | 6.4742 | -0.0284335135135135 | 0.334233513513514 |
| 175 | 6.71 | 6.58243135135135 | 6.5642 | 0.0182313513513513 | 0.127568648648649 |
| 176 | 6.141 | 6.63829621621622 | 6.6062 | 0.0320962162162161 | -0.497296216216216 |
| 177 | 6.72 | 6.51180432432432 | 6.5244 | -0.0125956756756756 | 0.208195675675675 |
| 178 | 6.68 | 6.39250162162162 | 6.4018 | -0.0092983783783783 | 0.287498378378378 |
| 179 | 6.371 | 6.39916648648649 | 6.4276 | -0.0284335135135135 | -0.0281664864864872 |
| 180 | 6.097 | 6.39123135135135 | 6.373 | 0.0182313513513513 | -0.294231351351352 |
| 181 | 6.27 | 6.34309621621622 | 6.311 | 0.0320962162162161 | -0.073096216216217 |
| 182 | 6.447 | 6.31340432432432 | 6.326 | -0.0125956756756756 | 0.133595675675675 |
| 183 | 6.37 | 6.40530162162162 | 6.4146 | -0.0092983783783783 | -0.0353016216216204 |
| 184 | 6.446 | 6.40696648648649 | 6.4354 | -0.0284335135135135 | 0.0390335135135125 |
| 185 | 6.54 | 6.43023135135135 | 6.412 | 0.0182313513513513 | 0.109768648648648 |
| 186 | 6.374 | 6.49609621621622 | 6.464 | 0.0320962162162161 | -0.122096216216216 |
| 187 | 6.33 | 6.46180432432432 | 6.4744 | -0.0125956756756756 | -0.131804324324325 |
| 188 | 6.63 | 6.45410162162162 | 6.4634 | -0.0092983783783783 | 0.175898378378378 |
| 189 | 6.498 | 6.43216648648649 | 6.4606 | -0.0284335135135135 | 0.0658335135135131 |
| 190 | 6.485 | NA | NA | 0.0182313513513513 | NA |
| 191 | 6.36 | NA | NA | NA | NA |
