Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation
1999[t] = + 0.00455821185079025 + 1.23481363130071`2000`[t] + 0.0820194844802405`2001`[t] -0.309704300093048`2002`[t] + 0.202492130324872`2003`[t] -0.140344706624565`2004`[t] -0.138041934729031`2005`[t] -0.00398108215334124`2006`[t] + 0.101506534072317`2007`[t] -0.0280264425141695`2008`[t] + e[t]


Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares
VariableParameterS.D.T-STAT
H0: parameter = 0
2-tail p-value1-tail p-value
(Intercept)0.004558211850790250.0022931.98820.0509990.0255
`2000`1.234813631300710.08305914.866700
`2001`0.08201948448024050.140270.58470.5607570.280379
`2002`-0.3097043000930480.127794-2.42350.0181660.009083
`2003`0.2024921303248720.120151.68530.096720.04836
`2004`-0.1403447066245650.114452-1.22620.2245330.112267
`2005`-0.1380419347290310.099367-1.38920.1695090.084755
`2006`-0.003981082153341240.092215-0.04320.9656970.482849
`2007`0.1015065340723170.1360440.74610.4582780.229139
`2008`-0.02802644251416950.082711-0.33880.7358150.367908


Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics
Multiple R0.99997991905451
R-squared0.999959838512264
Adjusted R-squared0.999954277690885
F-TEST (value)179822.326665364
F-TEST (DF numerator)9
F-TEST (DF denominator)65
p-value0
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics
Residual Standard Deviation0.00455020712834922
Sum Squared Residuals0.00134578501920721


Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals
Time or IndexActualsInterpolation
Forecast
Residuals
Prediction Error
15.7765.78199122127357-0.00599122127356808
24.2654.2588904066690.00610959333099908
33.2553.253572524975710.0014274750242864
43.5453.538923913110.00607608688999579
52.922.92646709098793-0.00646709098793099
63.2693.259723279816810.00927672018319332
72.9532.95501094788311-0.00201094788311316
83.3163.31970306309478-0.00370306309477966
93.1843.180473542923470.00352645707652796
102.6872.6908289473439-0.00382894734390457
113.1953.187287083194370.0077129168056263
122.7592.77195822075761-0.0129582207576119
132.6152.61803235474232-0.0030323547423172
142.5042.50651390002464-0.00251390002464444
152.3812.38189374644296-0.000893746442955526
162.7882.784874825846370.00312517415363257
172.5622.56609124768759-0.0040912476875949
182.3382.33958903195719-0.00158903195718682
192.4772.475603385966970.0013966140330316
202.5292.52737803831280.00162196168719882
212.3752.373692003123660.00130799687633624
222.0972.094229791447690.00277020855230512
232.2242.222745796207420.00125420379258291
242.1562.15790596488914-0.00190596488913534
251.7181.72576622580396-0.00776622580396388
262.1882.18836246558222-0.000362465582215274
271.8751.88439207081301-0.00939207081301427
281.8311.8321287138295-0.0011287138294994
292.4432.44820699458135-0.00520699458134717
301.4531.45599730491057-0.00299730491056768
311.9751.972685649610990.00231435038900764
321.7091.708961014467963.89855320409234e-05
332.1182.116740261318450.00125973868154564
341.9281.92806823621162-6.8236211619158e-05
351.9421.939459500347490.00254049965251296
361.9011.9031717583082-0.00217175830819542
371.9511.946438879895730.0045611201042742
382.0112.003229882992110.00777011700789192
392.042.039674482854360.000325517145639328
402.0362.034428899391290.00157110060870816
411.9951.99605067752706-0.00105067752706127
421.6731.672315913177910.000684086822085095
431.6091.601942401442460.0070575985575381
442.0052.00731720581379-0.00231720581378876
451.6771.675792348323270.00120765167673236
461.7321.728128742370.00387125763000428
471.691.69483947034666-0.004839470346657
481.5821.58380993117255-0.00180993117255425
492.1072.10801014557358-0.00101014557358109
502.0982.09565260457170.00234739542829785
511.8421.84429110122955-0.00229110122954856
522.0032.001228760377150.00177123962285294
532.6952.7013507308945-0.00635073089449532
542.092.087443579566230.00255642043376701
552.0692.07709982875361-0.00809982875360644
562.2712.27196547240286-0.000965472402860334
572.0622.059089560323490.00291043967651298
581.7041.703887518005290.000112481994706231
592.0732.07443089581689-0.00143089581689125
601.7911.790207101707840.000792898292156352
611.8881.89063847268789-0.0026384726878857
621.9421.940232032837940.00176796716205985
632.1672.165128389523420.00187161047658486
642.2022.195097840186140.00690215981386237
651.8781.867777355241690.0102226447583053
661.9921.99390867876369-0.00190867876368846
672.6282.62342531582550.00457468417450075
681.7831.78371325922755-0.000713259227551448
691.5791.57974908185909-0.000749081859090076
701.6711.67312021045448-0.00212021045448218
711.7741.77113317912280.00286682087719871
721.6871.685201109805310.00179889019469208
731.8381.84094223077575-0.00294223077574665
741.7611.76457756614619-0.00357756614619405
751.8991.895408618548350.0035913814516536


Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
p-valuesAlternative Hypothesis
breakpoint indexgreater2-sidedless
130.9413397687202840.1173204625594310.0586602312797156
140.9192005699637120.1615988600725750.0807994300362877
150.9681410970719110.06371780585617790.0318589029280889
160.9484413537738940.1031172924522120.0515586462261062
170.9349764809057810.1300470381884380.065023519094219
180.9115250712236250.176949857552750.0884749287763749
190.8715931316242020.2568137367515970.128406868375798
200.8650381602652150.269923679469570.134961839734785
210.858137426126160.2837251477476810.14186257387384
220.8285637874747440.3428724250505130.171436212525256
230.7764305253261970.4471389493476060.223569474673803
240.7130965789880350.573806842023930.286903421011965
250.9324444721202570.1351110557594860.0675555278797432
260.9262501651580420.1474996696839160.0737498348419578
270.969045453644320.06190909271136070.0309545463556803
280.9548099051354990.09038018972900190.045190094864501
290.9717003451399970.05659930972000670.0282996548600033
300.9601244599987990.07975108000240170.0398755400012008
310.9475877021724840.1048245956550310.0524122978275157
320.9325733331415160.1348533337169680.067426666858484
330.9094299172644760.1811401654710480.0905700827355238
340.9061526536148710.1876946927702580.0938473463851291
350.8947995826674780.2104008346650430.105200417332522
360.8625194726901920.2749610546196160.137480527309808
370.877858002528570.244283994942860.12214199747143
380.9231496641693690.1537006716612630.0768503358306314
390.8912947507367850.2174104985264290.108705249263215
400.8566483428495910.2867033143008190.143351657150409
410.8094170575943260.3811658848113480.190582942405674
420.7639826548777860.4720346902444290.236017345122214
430.8692427106928090.2615145786143820.130757289307191
440.8257071534108570.3485856931782860.174292846589143
450.7767489248125930.4465021503748140.223251075187407
460.7676119660128060.4647760679743880.232388033987194
470.850404958673010.299190082653980.14959504132699
480.8385277525679020.3229444948641960.161472247432098
490.7823398809161160.4353202381677680.217660119083884
500.7341862253644410.5316275492711180.265813774635559
510.6712074031538030.6575851936923930.328792596846196
520.5879559167901320.8240881664197370.412044083209868
530.591166580656510.8176668386869790.40883341934349
540.5080353645258120.9839292709483750.491964635474188
550.864501590987470.270996818025060.13549840901253
560.7984540973653110.4030918052693770.201545902634689
570.7182561494704310.5634877010591380.281743850529569
580.6235485573254370.7529028853491260.376451442674563
590.5014017617061880.9971964765876240.498598238293812
600.6669839300616230.6660321398767550.333016069938377
610.52419674345430.95160651309140.4758032565457
620.375244383404550.7504887668091010.62475561659545


Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
Description# significant tests% significant testsOK/NOK
1% type I error level00OK
5% type I error level00OK
10% type I error level50.1NOK