Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation |
Popularity[t] = + 0.311900251104237 + 0.0962538968572747FindingFriends[t] + 0.243370280084764KnowingPeople[t] + 0.351380635996807Liked[t] + 0.627591839447788Celebrity[t] -0.000729053587325965t + e[t] |
Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares | |||||
Variable | Parameter | S.D. | T-STAT H0: parameter = 0 | 2-tail p-value | 1-tail p-value |
(Intercept) | 0.311900251104237 | 1.430354 | 0.2181 | 0.82768 | 0.41384 |
FindingFriends | 0.0962538968572747 | 0.096681 | 0.9956 | 0.321055 | 0.160528 |
KnowingPeople | 0.243370280084764 | 0.061616 | 3.9498 | 0.00012 | 6e-05 |
Liked | 0.351380635996807 | 0.097657 | 3.5981 | 0.000435 | 0.000217 |
Celebrity | 0.627591839447788 | 0.156555 | 4.0088 | 9.6e-05 | 4.8e-05 |
t | -0.000729053587325965 | 0.003824 | -0.1907 | 0.84905 | 0.424525 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics | |
Multiple R | 0.706626862823286 |
R-squared | 0.499321523263479 |
Adjusted R-squared | 0.482632240705595 |
F-TEST (value) | 29.918693121269 |
F-TEST (DF numerator) | 5 |
F-TEST (DF denominator) | 150 |
p-value | 0 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics | |
Residual Standard Deviation | 2.11226554360225 |
Sum Squared Residuals | 669.249859003394 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals | |||
Time or Index | Actuals | Interpolation Forecast | Residuals Prediction Error |
1 | 13 | 11.42037956415 | 1.57962043584996 |
2 | 12 | 11.1183586120924 | 0.88164138790758 |
3 | 15 | 13.5803366325678 | 1.41966336743219 |
4 | 12 | 10.8609797377122 | 1.13902026228784 |
5 | 10 | 10.7076429457918 | -0.707642945791809 |
6 | 12 | 9.26550780276597 | 2.73449219723403 |
7 | 15 | 16.7976081800186 | -1.79760818001857 |
8 | 9 | 10.5137420193814 | -1.51374201938135 |
9 | 12 | 12.2972657140387 | -0.297265714038741 |
10 | 11 | 8.01514785864562 | 2.98485214135438 |
11 | 11 | 13.3639545679283 | -2.36395456792827 |
12 | 11 | 12.1173901199244 | -1.11739011992443 |
13 | 15 | 12.2582860944591 | 2.74171390554094 |
14 | 7 | 11.2966264076535 | -4.29662640765352 |
15 | 11 | 11.6856102685348 | -0.685610268534755 |
16 | 11 | 10.9946501508523 | 0.00534984914772395 |
17 | 10 | 12.1137448519878 | -2.1137448519878 |
18 | 14 | 14.3957655658695 | -0.395765565869486 |
19 | 10 | 8.73322614073082 | 1.26677385926918 |
20 | 6 | 9.53698333187754 | -3.53698333187754 |
21 | 11 | 8.68959910493327 | 2.31040089506673 |
22 | 15 | 14.4256902748864 | 0.574309725113601 |
23 | 11 | 11.6562446425042 | -0.656244642504229 |
24 | 12 | 9.52859604164508 | 2.47140395835492 |
25 | 14 | 13.4327741796251 | 0.56722582037494 |
26 | 15 | 14.8766736973404 | 0.123326302659594 |
27 | 9 | 14.6654152870345 | -5.66541528703453 |
28 | 13 | 12.5259899478982 | 0.474010052101763 |
29 | 13 | 13.249106630616 | -0.249106630615974 |
30 | 16 | 10.8217339081963 | 5.17826609180369 |
31 | 13 | 8.5202132449136 | 4.4797867550864 |
32 | 12 | 13.6193845701623 | -1.61938457016225 |
33 | 14 | 14.5139245822831 | -0.513924582283089 |
34 | 11 | 10.0824214704211 | 0.917578529578899 |
35 | 9 | 10.4940575725236 | -1.49405757252355 |
36 | 16 | 14.2746322453856 | 1.72536775461442 |
37 | 12 | 12.9099354081469 | -0.90993540814694 |
38 | 10 | 9.20532065467508 | 0.794679345324915 |
39 | 13 | 13.0829432524605 | -0.0829432524604571 |
40 | 16 | 15.2506885064809 | 0.749311493519134 |
41 | 14 | 12.9343687620583 | 1.06563123794168 |
42 | 15 | 8.11237898688407 | 6.88762101311592 |
43 | 5 | 9.7706647906915 | -4.7706647906915 |
44 | 8 | 10.4992525492924 | -2.49925254929239 |
45 | 11 | 11.2669666144311 | -0.26696661443111 |
46 | 16 | 13.813442072709 | 2.18655792729099 |
47 | 17 | 13.0442699003956 | 3.95573009960437 |
48 | 9 | 8.5023482580459 | 0.4976517419541 |
49 | 9 | 11.9613203169699 | -2.96132031696988 |
50 | 13 | 14.7120600280171 | -1.71206002801709 |
51 | 10 | 10.9801159855069 | -0.980115985506942 |
52 | 6 | 12.4215667702018 | -6.42156677020182 |
53 | 12 | 12.4060386354747 | -0.406038635474658 |
54 | 8 | 10.4528559861037 | -2.45285598610368 |
55 | 14 | 12.3928240692452 | 1.60717593075476 |
56 | 12 | 12.4429575020281 | -0.442957502028128 |
57 | 11 | 10.7840076191121 | 0.215992380887871 |
58 | 16 | 14.4174659087467 | 1.58253409125334 |
59 | 8 | 10.2872749745773 | -2.28727497457734 |
60 | 15 | 15.2689483581006 | -0.268948358100565 |
61 | 7 | 9.4687801355478 | -2.46878013554781 |
62 | 16 | 14.0005501129756 | 1.99944988702443 |
63 | 14 | 13.7384089370771 | 0.261591062922901 |
64 | 16 | 13.7674781847709 | 2.23252181522908 |
65 | 9 | 9.94554534935272 | -0.945545349352724 |
66 | 14 | 12.2885505829274 | 1.71144941707262 |
67 | 11 | 13.0507732929606 | -2.05077329296056 |
68 | 13 | 10.4754901592473 | 2.52450984075266 |
69 | 15 | 12.9139552616132 | 2.08604473838681 |
70 | 5 | 5.59398903521193 | -0.59398903521193 |
71 | 15 | 12.4320216982182 | 2.56797830178176 |
72 | 13 | 12.2841762614034 | 0.715823738596577 |
73 | 11 | 12.0518333867861 | -1.0518333867861 |
74 | 11 | 13.9816794366049 | -2.9816794366049 |
75 | 12 | 12.4737028662899 | -0.473702866289919 |
76 | 12 | 13.3955924466714 | -1.39559244667144 |
77 | 12 | 12.268774534412 | -0.268774534412026 |
78 | 12 | 11.8947863524504 | 0.105213647549632 |
79 | 14 | 10.7860102824173 | 3.21398971758266 |
80 | 6 | 7.98921508177449 | -1.98921508177449 |
81 | 7 | 9.83842062316431 | -2.83842062316431 |
82 | 14 | 11.9755735478375 | 2.0244264521625 |
83 | 14 | 13.8616365225238 | 0.13836347747623 |
84 | 10 | 11.2447986284746 | -1.24479862847463 |
85 | 13 | 8.72117200919769 | 4.27882799080231 |
86 | 12 | 12.4030643314044 | -0.403064331404351 |
87 | 9 | 9.27840141287423 | -0.27840141287423 |
88 | 12 | 12.0072626315439 | -0.0072626315439181 |
89 | 16 | 15.0044355239833 | 0.995564476016653 |
90 | 10 | 10.2223458041906 | -0.222345804190629 |
91 | 14 | 13.1256932535709 | 0.874306746429131 |
92 | 10 | 13.503694404241 | -3.50369440424103 |
93 | 16 | 15.3083025632099 | 0.691697436790135 |
94 | 15 | 13.4333319684698 | 1.56666803153022 |
95 | 12 | 11.3330329358713 | 0.666967064128684 |
96 | 10 | 9.71947446344238 | 0.280525536557623 |
97 | 8 | 10.2219397561188 | -2.22193975611881 |
98 | 8 | 8.59192749759564 | -0.591927497595641 |
99 | 11 | 12.8256077791949 | -1.8256077791949 |
100 | 13 | 12.4046140402366 | 0.595385959763445 |
101 | 16 | 15.4495865177387 | 0.550413482261253 |
102 | 16 | 14.7069901648424 | 1.29300983515764 |
103 | 14 | 15.8120595336817 | -1.81205953368174 |
104 | 11 | 8.86619283332075 | 2.13380716667925 |
105 | 4 | 6.94035975221045 | -2.94035975221045 |
106 | 14 | 14.5624489223711 | -0.562448922371106 |
107 | 9 | 10.3242273530674 | -1.32422735306736 |
108 | 14 | 15.2339537859089 | -1.23395378590892 |
109 | 8 | 10.4307796018048 | -2.43077960180475 |
110 | 8 | 10.8768910530054 | -2.87689105300543 |
111 | 11 | 12.1712457336952 | -1.1712457336952 |
112 | 12 | 13.6119227695464 | -1.61192276954639 |
113 | 11 | 11.4216552232623 | -0.421655223262261 |
114 | 14 | 13.5839091221771 | 0.416090877822867 |
115 | 15 | 14.3187822639496 | 0.681217736050363 |
116 | 16 | 13.3781867622332 | 2.62181323776684 |
117 | 16 | 13.4737116055031 | 2.52628839449689 |
118 | 11 | 12.7155221434008 | -1.71552214340081 |
119 | 14 | 13.7156237784132 | 0.284376221586775 |
120 | 14 | 10.9305850368251 | 3.06941496317486 |
121 | 12 | 11.3774905160919 | 0.622509483908102 |
122 | 14 | 12.5301998894373 | 1.46980011056266 |
123 | 8 | 10.1982870358089 | -2.19828703580887 |
124 | 13 | 13.8082324073339 | -0.80823240733387 |
125 | 16 | 13.7112494568893 | 2.28875054311073 |
126 | 12 | 10.8925960430913 | 1.10740395690872 |
127 | 16 | 15.424366020519 | 0.575633979480958 |
128 | 12 | 13.3576816601305 | -1.35768166013049 |
129 | 11 | 11.4788744152393 | -0.478874415239258 |
130 | 4 | 6.36326604189702 | -2.36326604189702 |
131 | 16 | 15.4214498061697 | 0.578550193830262 |
132 | 15 | 12.5284007086696 | 2.47159929133039 |
133 | 10 | 11.4494026606953 | -1.44940266069535 |
134 | 13 | 13.1788413871184 | -0.178841387118361 |
135 | 15 | 13.2172183608465 | 1.78278163915352 |
136 | 12 | 10.6364438720277 | 1.36355612797228 |
137 | 14 | 13.6062469169841 | 0.393753083015917 |
138 | 7 | 10.6294944097475 | -3.62949440974753 |
139 | 19 | 14.0524233426635 | 4.94757665733649 |
140 | 12 | 12.6368437398323 | -0.636843739832278 |
141 | 12 | 12.2401366678272 | -0.240136667827161 |
142 | 13 | 13.45548526582 | -0.455485265819964 |
143 | 15 | 12.9023338053307 | 2.09766619466933 |
144 | 8 | 8.22180947772168 | -0.221809477721678 |
145 | 12 | 10.8732526698265 | 1.12674733017345 |
146 | 10 | 10.7637395114835 | -0.763739511483486 |
147 | 8 | 11.364026477927 | -3.36402647792696 |
148 | 10 | 14.3346235509494 | -4.3346235509494 |
149 | 15 | 13.8408685540209 | 1.15913144597906 |
150 | 16 | 14.5694765918442 | 1.43052340815579 |
151 | 13 | 13.1421405299582 | -0.142140529958208 |
152 | 16 | 15.0219181214729 | 0.978081878527131 |
153 | 9 | 10.1764154281891 | -1.17641542818909 |
154 | 14 | 13.1188689048848 | 0.881131095115219 |
155 | 14 | 12.6469924003338 | 1.35300759966616 |
156 | 12 | 10.1085464206947 | 1.89145357930532 |
Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity | |||
p-values | Alternative Hypothesis | ||
breakpoint index | greater | 2-sided | less |
9 | 0.0271288973144725 | 0.054257794628945 | 0.972871102685527 |
10 | 0.0237320160187825 | 0.047464032037565 | 0.976267983981218 |
11 | 0.0500746483944131 | 0.100149296788826 | 0.949925351605587 |
12 | 0.0336895022363796 | 0.0673790044727592 | 0.96631049776362 |
13 | 0.43771699354397 | 0.875433987087939 | 0.56228300645603 |
14 | 0.631656304602175 | 0.736687390795651 | 0.368343695397825 |
15 | 0.564406468568958 | 0.871187062862085 | 0.435593531431042 |
16 | 0.489853896617639 | 0.979707793235279 | 0.510146103382361 |
17 | 0.407174961263709 | 0.814349922527418 | 0.592825038736291 |
18 | 0.375228327888679 | 0.750456655777358 | 0.624771672111321 |
19 | 0.323424298017495 | 0.646848596034991 | 0.676575701982505 |
20 | 0.450755020313337 | 0.901510040626674 | 0.549244979686663 |
21 | 0.455250233936693 | 0.910500467873386 | 0.544749766063307 |
22 | 0.498067015927554 | 0.996134031855107 | 0.501932984072446 |
23 | 0.436371586039588 | 0.872743172079176 | 0.563628413960412 |
24 | 0.454569124582036 | 0.909138249164072 | 0.545430875417964 |
25 | 0.430355914805024 | 0.860711829610048 | 0.569644085194976 |
26 | 0.376137803284551 | 0.752275606569102 | 0.623862196715449 |
27 | 0.607141574223035 | 0.785716851553929 | 0.392858425776964 |
28 | 0.558213708658504 | 0.883572582682992 | 0.441786291341496 |
29 | 0.501877526164308 | 0.996244947671385 | 0.498122473835692 |
30 | 0.680614978273514 | 0.638770043452972 | 0.319385021726486 |
31 | 0.784874824073709 | 0.430250351852581 | 0.215125175926291 |
32 | 0.747531869458115 | 0.50493626108377 | 0.252468130541885 |
33 | 0.699162236299025 | 0.60167552740195 | 0.300837763700975 |
34 | 0.663536604513489 | 0.672926790973023 | 0.336463395486511 |
35 | 0.669657108768265 | 0.66068578246347 | 0.330342891231735 |
36 | 0.677031010873086 | 0.645937978253828 | 0.322968989126914 |
37 | 0.644196270547147 | 0.711607458905706 | 0.355803729452853 |
38 | 0.594445117584088 | 0.811109764831824 | 0.405554882415912 |
39 | 0.54024751934887 | 0.91950496130226 | 0.45975248065113 |
40 | 0.510925384464888 | 0.978149231070224 | 0.489074615535112 |
41 | 0.470276725018736 | 0.940553450037471 | 0.529723274981264 |
42 | 0.73593252757433 | 0.528134944851339 | 0.26406747242567 |
43 | 0.949896926661653 | 0.100206146676695 | 0.0501030733383473 |
44 | 0.961863763625622 | 0.0762724727487558 | 0.0381362363743779 |
45 | 0.950479420029323 | 0.0990411599413531 | 0.0495205799706766 |
46 | 0.956121562441371 | 0.0877568751172581 | 0.0438784375586291 |
47 | 0.978005041638857 | 0.0439899167222854 | 0.0219949583611427 |
48 | 0.970977851856592 | 0.0580442962868155 | 0.0290221481434077 |
49 | 0.979869971208341 | 0.0402600575833186 | 0.0201300287916593 |
50 | 0.976882069208047 | 0.0462358615839069 | 0.0231179307919534 |
51 | 0.972188747529155 | 0.0556225049416899 | 0.0278112524708449 |
52 | 0.997313877436859 | 0.00537224512628198 | 0.00268612256314099 |
53 | 0.996146192790614 | 0.0077076144187722 | 0.0038538072093861 |
54 | 0.996909857342269 | 0.00618028531546138 | 0.00309014265773069 |
55 | 0.996789174791947 | 0.00642165041610641 | 0.00321082520805321 |
56 | 0.99547462674024 | 0.00905074651952008 | 0.00452537325976004 |
57 | 0.993655762891814 | 0.0126884742163714 | 0.00634423710818569 |
58 | 0.992966186786152 | 0.0140676264276951 | 0.00703381321384755 |
59 | 0.994591443992065 | 0.0108171120158696 | 0.0054085560079348 |
60 | 0.992928010947237 | 0.0141439781055269 | 0.00707198905276343 |
61 | 0.993793912215512 | 0.0124121755689765 | 0.00620608778448824 |
62 | 0.994479896176263 | 0.0110402076474742 | 0.00552010382373709 |
63 | 0.992674929042306 | 0.0146501419153878 | 0.00732507095769389 |
64 | 0.993195313062856 | 0.0136093738742871 | 0.00680468693714357 |
65 | 0.99136242508632 | 0.0172751498273609 | 0.00863757491368044 |
66 | 0.990606359909093 | 0.0187872801818146 | 0.00939364009090729 |
67 | 0.990515114431232 | 0.0189697711375371 | 0.00948488556876853 |
68 | 0.992012311213737 | 0.0159753775725258 | 0.00798768878626288 |
69 | 0.992159276137787 | 0.0156814477244258 | 0.0078407238622129 |
70 | 0.989475595730578 | 0.0210488085388445 | 0.0105244042694222 |
71 | 0.99114658164435 | 0.0177068367112996 | 0.00885341835564978 |
72 | 0.988363180633268 | 0.0232736387334635 | 0.0116368193667318 |
73 | 0.985394380199667 | 0.0292112396006668 | 0.0146056198003334 |
74 | 0.98942340946403 | 0.0211531810719393 | 0.0105765905359696 |
75 | 0.985733315128355 | 0.0285333697432906 | 0.0142666848716453 |
76 | 0.983271056609379 | 0.0334578867812428 | 0.0167289433906214 |
77 | 0.977992489647992 | 0.0440150207040156 | 0.0220075103520078 |
78 | 0.970991389696049 | 0.0580172206079011 | 0.0290086103039505 |
79 | 0.981765248884743 | 0.0364695022305147 | 0.0182347511152574 |
80 | 0.980886214979935 | 0.0382275700401304 | 0.0191137850200652 |
81 | 0.984064893625104 | 0.0318702127497929 | 0.0159351063748964 |
82 | 0.985001189458743 | 0.0299976210825143 | 0.0149988105412572 |
83 | 0.979919393845566 | 0.0401612123088683 | 0.0200806061544342 |
84 | 0.97530171908528 | 0.0493965618294392 | 0.0246982809147196 |
85 | 0.993587234709698 | 0.0128255305806037 | 0.00641276529030183 |
86 | 0.991135110114601 | 0.0177297797707973 | 0.00886488988539866 |
87 | 0.988020449050021 | 0.0239591018999589 | 0.0119795509499795 |
88 | 0.984352853029984 | 0.031294293940033 | 0.0156471469700165 |
89 | 0.980594392819938 | 0.0388112143601248 | 0.0194056071800624 |
90 | 0.974571293674753 | 0.0508574126504931 | 0.0254287063252466 |
91 | 0.970102708590616 | 0.0597945828187672 | 0.0298972914093836 |
92 | 0.981754149379339 | 0.0364917012413225 | 0.0182458506206613 |
93 | 0.976473922759029 | 0.0470521544819421 | 0.023526077240971 |
94 | 0.973686917170783 | 0.0526261656584349 | 0.0263130828292174 |
95 | 0.96749354240508 | 0.0650129151898403 | 0.0325064575949201 |
96 | 0.959984093492006 | 0.0800318130159871 | 0.0400159065079936 |
97 | 0.956231924218429 | 0.0875361515631425 | 0.0437680757815713 |
98 | 0.944653293551337 | 0.110693412897326 | 0.0553467064486631 |
99 | 0.939551430804507 | 0.120897138390987 | 0.0604485691954934 |
100 | 0.927186228815638 | 0.145627542368725 | 0.0728137711843623 |
101 | 0.90965443157833 | 0.18069113684334 | 0.0903455684216701 |
102 | 0.897477661405154 | 0.205044677189692 | 0.102522338594846 |
103 | 0.899061654614461 | 0.201876690771079 | 0.100938345385539 |
104 | 0.934848375124725 | 0.130303249750549 | 0.0651516248752747 |
105 | 0.931324635983792 | 0.137350728032416 | 0.0686753640162082 |
106 | 0.912549356355866 | 0.174901287288269 | 0.0874506436441343 |
107 | 0.893024651661996 | 0.213950696676008 | 0.106975348338004 |
108 | 0.884385350042089 | 0.231229299915823 | 0.115614649957911 |
109 | 0.880434174354857 | 0.239131651290285 | 0.119565825645143 |
110 | 0.902229301375204 | 0.195541397249592 | 0.0977706986247961 |
111 | 0.893033452157635 | 0.21393309568473 | 0.106966547842365 |
112 | 0.927979968102992 | 0.144040063794016 | 0.0720200318970082 |
113 | 0.90683113463983 | 0.186337730720339 | 0.0931688653601697 |
114 | 0.883707520886727 | 0.232584958226545 | 0.116292479113273 |
115 | 0.85636259365643 | 0.28727481268714 | 0.14363740634357 |
116 | 0.851984345793722 | 0.296031308412556 | 0.148015654206278 |
117 | 0.856968071949158 | 0.286063856101684 | 0.143031928050842 |
118 | 0.85091577610826 | 0.298168447783479 | 0.14908422389174 |
119 | 0.816568062541468 | 0.366863874917065 | 0.183431937458532 |
120 | 0.863431181346933 | 0.273137637306134 | 0.136568818653067 |
121 | 0.836895978377214 | 0.326208043245573 | 0.163104021622786 |
122 | 0.815218552596203 | 0.369562894807593 | 0.184781447403797 |
123 | 0.802197681751186 | 0.395604636497627 | 0.197802318248814 |
124 | 0.761517246718793 | 0.476965506562415 | 0.238482753281207 |
125 | 0.763932977711338 | 0.472134044577324 | 0.236067022288662 |
126 | 0.754777102760488 | 0.490445794479024 | 0.245222897239512 |
127 | 0.701166807279828 | 0.597666385440343 | 0.298833192720172 |
128 | 0.664311142846481 | 0.671377714307038 | 0.335688857153519 |
129 | 0.679217672931069 | 0.641564654137861 | 0.320782327068931 |
130 | 0.680976361163367 | 0.638047277673266 | 0.319023638836633 |
131 | 0.629433684744462 | 0.741132630511077 | 0.370566315255538 |
132 | 0.601317962540632 | 0.797364074918737 | 0.398682037459368 |
133 | 0.588562363407912 | 0.822875273184176 | 0.411437636592088 |
134 | 0.51398051650978 | 0.972038966980441 | 0.48601948349022 |
135 | 0.471456293692949 | 0.942912587385898 | 0.528543706307051 |
136 | 0.461456555572392 | 0.922913111144785 | 0.538543444427608 |
137 | 0.386247460572806 | 0.772494921145613 | 0.613752539427194 |
138 | 0.458288756373684 | 0.916577512747368 | 0.541711243626316 |
139 | 0.819063253587958 | 0.361873492824083 | 0.180936746412042 |
140 | 0.825905389449817 | 0.348189221100366 | 0.174094610550183 |
141 | 0.789378580520582 | 0.421242838958836 | 0.210621419479418 |
142 | 0.719747878942648 | 0.560504242114705 | 0.280252121057352 |
143 | 0.657440650234046 | 0.685118699531909 | 0.342559349765954 |
144 | 0.54245115139797 | 0.91509769720406 | 0.45754884860203 |
145 | 0.620754860570398 | 0.758490278859203 | 0.379245139429602 |
146 | 0.772988593262024 | 0.454022813475953 | 0.227011406737976 |
147 | 0.630413159579242 | 0.739173680841516 | 0.369586840420758 |
Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity | |||
Description | # significant tests | % significant tests | OK/NOK |
1% type I error level | 5 | 0.0359712230215827 | NOK |
5% type I error level | 43 | 0.309352517985612 | NOK |
10% type I error level | 57 | 0.410071942446043 | NOK |