Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation |
Popularity[t] = -1.41465694137495 + 2.84541301823415G[t] + 0.262356738378074FindingFriends[t] -0.287189836726076`Findingfriends*G`[t] + 0.242880624654639KnowingPeople[t] + 0.0250638601849269`Knowingpeople*G`[t] + 0.267990498590281Liked[t] + 0.139922302256939`Liked*G`[t] + 0.737523946024839Celebrity[t] -0.198880217805659`Celebrity*G`[t] -0.00161048216137737t + e[t] |
Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares | |||||
Variable | Parameter | S.D. | T-STAT H0: parameter = 0 | 2-tail p-value | 1-tail p-value |
(Intercept) | -1.41465694137495 | 2.274897 | -0.6219 | 0.535013 | 0.267507 |
G | 2.84541301823415 | 2.911505 | 0.9773 | 0.330048 | 0.165024 |
FindingFriends | 0.262356738378074 | 0.14129 | 1.8569 | 0.065358 | 0.032679 |
`Findingfriends*G` | -0.287189836726076 | 0.195479 | -1.4692 | 0.143956 | 0.071978 |
KnowingPeople | 0.242880624654639 | 0.111389 | 2.1805 | 0.030835 | 0.015417 |
`Knowingpeople*G` | 0.0250638601849269 | 0.134617 | 0.1862 | 0.852559 | 0.426279 |
Liked | 0.267990498590281 | 0.15151 | 1.7688 | 0.079031 | 0.039516 |
`Liked*G` | 0.139922302256939 | 0.199783 | 0.7004 | 0.484818 | 0.242409 |
Celebrity | 0.737523946024839 | 0.295153 | 2.4988 | 0.013577 | 0.006789 |
`Celebrity*G` | -0.198880217805659 | 0.348175 | -0.5712 | 0.568743 | 0.284372 |
t | -0.00161048216137737 | 0.003841 | -0.4192 | 0.675654 | 0.337827 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics | |
Multiple R | 0.72411450195401 |
R-squared | 0.524341811940104 |
Adjusted R-squared | 0.491537798970456 |
F-TEST (value) | 15.9840752540018 |
F-TEST (DF numerator) | 10 |
F-TEST (DF denominator) | 145 |
p-value | 0 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics | |
Residual Standard Deviation | 2.09400719950607 |
Sum Squared Residuals | 635.805591979574 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals | |||
Time or Index | Actuals | Interpolation Forecast | Residuals Prediction Error |
1 | 13 | 11.0911472402918 | 1.90885275970824 |
2 | 12 | 11.2691788631867 | 0.730821136813296 |
3 | 15 | 14.1513946478404 | 0.848605352159571 |
4 | 12 | 11.2032436364403 | 0.796756363559656 |
5 | 10 | 10.2651794927626 | -0.265179492762576 |
6 | 12 | 8.85258321993403 | 3.14741678006597 |
7 | 15 | 17.035344421642 | -2.03534442164198 |
8 | 9 | 10.7088800948235 | -1.70888009482352 |
9 | 12 | 12.7348414697225 | -0.734841469722498 |
10 | 11 | 8.6991096946965 | 2.3008903053035 |
11 | 11 | 11.9425120976275 | -0.942512097627461 |
12 | 11 | 12.1876384234636 | -1.18763842346359 |
13 | 15 | 12.6040269347816 | 2.39597306521836 |
14 | 7 | 11.3163399086972 | -4.3163399086972 |
15 | 11 | 11.8433646939026 | -0.84336469390258 |
16 | 11 | 11.2318852072116 | -0.231885207211631 |
17 | 10 | 12.1795860126567 | -2.1795860126567 |
18 | 14 | 13.7984795252922 | 0.201520474707815 |
19 | 10 | 8.82839434834366 | 1.17160565165634 |
20 | 6 | 8.47354747452822 | -2.47354747452822 |
21 | 11 | 9.42920332766743 | 1.57079667233257 |
22 | 15 | 14.0186904194266 | 0.981309580573407 |
23 | 11 | 11.9120648274811 | -0.912064827481084 |
24 | 12 | 9.2931279884638 | 2.7068720115362 |
25 | 14 | 13.6463928955712 | 0.353607104428836 |
26 | 15 | 14.2713569173104 | 0.728643082689556 |
27 | 9 | 14.2535186332743 | -5.25351863327435 |
28 | 13 | 13.3422184302675 | -0.342218430267513 |
29 | 13 | 12.4771891229257 | 0.522810877074315 |
30 | 16 | 11.0933544352962 | 4.90664556470383 |
31 | 13 | 8.69393334474748 | 4.30606665525252 |
32 | 12 | 13.2042478622542 | -1.20424786225418 |
33 | 14 | 14.7200338833542 | -0.720033883354197 |
34 | 11 | 9.00645783517293 | 1.99354216482707 |
35 | 9 | 10.6653970764663 | -1.66539707646633 |
36 | 16 | 13.7443809724518 | 2.25561902754825 |
37 | 12 | 13.1031702871312 | -1.10317028713124 |
38 | 10 | 8.40322111981306 | 1.59677888018694 |
39 | 13 | 13.3807347588203 | -0.380734758820316 |
40 | 16 | 15.6773953770989 | 0.322604622901092 |
41 | 14 | 12.7340624288785 | 1.26593757112154 |
42 | 15 | 8.58231235912411 | 6.41768764087589 |
43 | 5 | 9.64344954224065 | -4.64344954224065 |
44 | 8 | 9.99519397941238 | -1.99519397941237 |
45 | 11 | 11.3554921559674 | -0.355492155967435 |
46 | 16 | 13.4691677243086 | 2.53083227569138 |
47 | 17 | 13.5050644589969 | 3.4949355410031 |
48 | 9 | 8.99469451129948 | 0.00530548870052034 |
49 | 9 | 12.2900972393082 | -3.29009723930823 |
50 | 13 | 15.097813728918 | -2.09781372891795 |
51 | 10 | 10.9250755109797 | -0.92507551097969 |
52 | 6 | 11.8790571620978 | -5.8790571620978 |
53 | 12 | 12.0023225708527 | -0.0023225708527319 |
54 | 8 | 10.0236751454577 | -2.02367514545768 |
55 | 14 | 12.2363484709724 | 1.76365152902759 |
56 | 12 | 12.8147128338577 | -0.814712833857722 |
57 | 11 | 11.3803230496468 | -0.380323049646818 |
58 | 16 | 15.1594291666709 | 0.84057083332906 |
59 | 8 | 9.29996035071288 | -1.29996035071288 |
60 | 15 | 15.5079721764038 | -0.507972176403754 |
61 | 7 | 9.00688732571292 | -2.00688732571292 |
62 | 16 | 13.6968746760437 | 2.30312532395627 |
63 | 14 | 14.3235590069939 | -0.323559006993875 |
64 | 16 | 14.1562983064803 | 1.84370169351968 |
65 | 9 | 10.2984160115376 | -1.29841601153758 |
66 | 14 | 12.5058304290564 | 1.49416957094362 |
67 | 11 | 12.9099606434016 | -1.90996064340164 |
68 | 13 | 10.2277812179783 | 2.77221878202169 |
69 | 15 | 13.0396427107914 | 1.96035728920857 |
70 | 5 | 5.93212652824131 | -0.932126528241306 |
71 | 15 | 12.7905556014371 | 2.20944439856294 |
72 | 13 | 12.4961675360881 | 0.503832463911884 |
73 | 11 | 11.4648755645925 | -0.464875564592471 |
74 | 11 | 12.4216187063003 | -1.42161870630032 |
75 | 12 | 12.8117015296796 | -0.811701529679601 |
76 | 12 | 13.5642583053409 | -1.56425830534092 |
77 | 12 | 12.3233137109256 | -0.323313710925574 |
78 | 12 | 12.5858370365119 | -0.585837036511859 |
79 | 14 | 11.0144408093887 | 2.98555919061132 |
80 | 6 | 8.17591549856816 | -2.17591549856816 |
81 | 7 | 9.46932100385557 | -2.46932100385557 |
82 | 14 | 12.7597922319343 | 1.24020776806569 |
83 | 14 | 14.2656674614218 | -0.265667461421804 |
84 | 10 | 11.5827061763212 | -1.58270617632124 |
85 | 13 | 8.23959387987594 | 4.76040612012406 |
86 | 12 | 12.4130763467496 | -0.413076346749629 |
87 | 9 | 8.90420099998331 | 0.0957990000166922 |
88 | 12 | 12.8745019452614 | -0.874501945261393 |
89 | 16 | 15.1933237088842 | 0.806676291115756 |
90 | 10 | 9.67823117533438 | 0.321768824665623 |
91 | 14 | 13.4489501496121 | 0.551049850387913 |
92 | 10 | 13.8432603211222 | -3.84326032112219 |
93 | 16 | 15.5672067241979 | 0.432793275802094 |
94 | 15 | 13.8528803079717 | 1.14711969202831 |
95 | 12 | 10.8934639598616 | 1.10653604013839 |
96 | 10 | 9.76332421010361 | 0.23667578989639 |
97 | 8 | 10.7072143384568 | -2.70721433845677 |
98 | 8 | 8.43079460228483 | -0.430794602284826 |
99 | 11 | 11.6325651858166 | -0.632565185816637 |
100 | 13 | 12.4538287941096 | 0.546171205890404 |
101 | 16 | 15.8471004500945 | 0.152899549905545 |
102 | 16 | 14.8768550990587 | 1.12314490094128 |
103 | 14 | 15.4704010031992 | -1.47040100319917 |
104 | 11 | 9.27345496846516 | 1.72654503153484 |
105 | 4 | 6.16628519203221 | -2.16628519203221 |
106 | 14 | 14.4524141769338 | -0.452414176933781 |
107 | 9 | 10.8762904310184 | -1.87629043101842 |
108 | 14 | 15.4306690326576 | -1.43066903265764 |
109 | 8 | 11.0130377827033 | -3.01303778270332 |
110 | 8 | 11.7645386398128 | -3.76453863981278 |
111 | 11 | 12.6229932444981 | -1.62299324449806 |
112 | 12 | 14.1442570691425 | -2.14425706914252 |
113 | 11 | 11.3611145866534 | -0.361114586653425 |
114 | 14 | 13.7829966152239 | 0.217003384776115 |
115 | 15 | 13.9135015660776 | 1.08649843392243 |
116 | 16 | 13.6646404332415 | 2.33535956675852 |
117 | 16 | 13.6381968527321 | 2.3618031472679 |
118 | 11 | 12.19962367495 | -1.19962367495005 |
119 | 14 | 13.3621965681906 | 0.637803431809418 |
120 | 14 | 10.358558584457 | 3.64144141554302 |
121 | 12 | 11.6106656971219 | 0.38933430287812 |
122 | 14 | 12.0643840647776 | 1.93561593522238 |
123 | 8 | 9.62508526400892 | -1.62508526400892 |
124 | 13 | 13.6165008957618 | -0.616500895761769 |
125 | 16 | 13.3525336752223 | 2.64746632477768 |
126 | 12 | 10.941502906344 | 1.05849709365601 |
127 | 16 | 15.5152050892511 | 0.484794910748877 |
128 | 12 | 13.4805132329493 | -1.4805132329493 |
129 | 11 | 12.1077817926101 | -1.10778179261013 |
130 | 4 | 6.41662163439912 | -2.41662163439912 |
131 | 16 | 15.5087631606056 | 0.491236839394387 |
132 | 15 | 12.6950709481331 | 2.30492905186691 |
133 | 10 | 11.7433003743687 | -1.74330037436875 |
134 | 13 | 13.1900649039692 | -0.190064903969203 |
135 | 15 | 12.8506676042993 | 2.14933239570074 |
136 | 12 | 10.7826750101825 | 1.21732498981748 |
137 | 14 | 13.0708511509077 | 0.929148849092284 |
138 | 7 | 10.9046754561516 | -3.90467545615163 |
139 | 19 | 14.2786235308686 | 4.72137646913142 |
140 | 12 | 13.1121782314972 | -1.11217823149724 |
141 | 12 | 11.5642514562769 | 0.435748543723112 |
142 | 13 | 13.0822748538243 | -0.0822748538242634 |
143 | 15 | 13.3348624617924 | 1.66513753820763 |
144 | 8 | 7.96384603335488 | 0.0361539666451202 |
145 | 12 | 11.0361251555697 | 0.96387484443031 |
146 | 10 | 10.4793021224613 | -0.479302122461271 |
147 | 8 | 10.8794147490647 | -2.8794147490647 |
148 | 10 | 14.3705532992351 | -4.37055329923514 |
149 | 15 | 13.2944059896258 | 1.70559401037417 |
150 | 16 | 14.5343622290131 | 1.46563777098691 |
151 | 13 | 13.2031155152861 | -0.203115515286098 |
152 | 16 | 15.2042437918371 | 0.795756208162925 |
153 | 9 | 10.3722171109399 | -1.37221711093989 |
154 | 14 | 12.3204648404126 | 1.67953515958741 |
155 | 14 | 12.2630008501677 | 1.73699914983228 |
156 | 12 | 10.641812779391 | 1.35818722060903 |
Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity | |||
p-values | Alternative Hypothesis | ||
breakpoint index | greater | 2-sided | less |
14 | 0.262458409224725 | 0.524916818449451 | 0.737541590775275 |
15 | 0.13387335234643 | 0.26774670469286 | 0.86612664765357 |
16 | 0.110490289004253 | 0.220980578008505 | 0.889509710995747 |
17 | 0.0613305946334693 | 0.122661189266939 | 0.938669405366531 |
18 | 0.0375323320296061 | 0.0750646640592122 | 0.962467667970394 |
19 | 0.120938741283476 | 0.241877482566952 | 0.879061258716524 |
20 | 0.0812606519112916 | 0.162521303822583 | 0.918739348088708 |
21 | 0.111734599455358 | 0.223469198910716 | 0.888265400544642 |
22 | 0.170058862818588 | 0.340117725637175 | 0.829941137181412 |
23 | 0.1175910004197 | 0.2351820008394 | 0.8824089995803 |
24 | 0.30580908327397 | 0.61161816654794 | 0.69419091672603 |
25 | 0.272489342098799 | 0.544978684197598 | 0.727510657901201 |
26 | 0.216192061964731 | 0.432384123929461 | 0.783807938035269 |
27 | 0.370659179093778 | 0.741318358187557 | 0.629340820906222 |
28 | 0.317750514808796 | 0.635501029617592 | 0.682249485191204 |
29 | 0.317572955595509 | 0.635145911191018 | 0.682427044404491 |
30 | 0.585007741397638 | 0.829984517204725 | 0.414992258602362 |
31 | 0.663120785561899 | 0.673758428876201 | 0.3368792144381 |
32 | 0.654551019407052 | 0.690897961185895 | 0.345448980592948 |
33 | 0.599191531600814 | 0.801616936798373 | 0.400808468399186 |
34 | 0.565907426404317 | 0.868185147191365 | 0.434092573595683 |
35 | 0.592698166845059 | 0.814603666309883 | 0.407301833154941 |
36 | 0.611200036348652 | 0.777599927302695 | 0.388799963651348 |
37 | 0.583957120038868 | 0.832085759922264 | 0.416042879961132 |
38 | 0.603933627913419 | 0.792132744173162 | 0.396066372086581 |
39 | 0.547393068455947 | 0.905213863088105 | 0.452606931544053 |
40 | 0.493243217415245 | 0.98648643483049 | 0.506756782584755 |
41 | 0.465497813395165 | 0.93099562679033 | 0.534502186604835 |
42 | 0.683855712041688 | 0.632288575916623 | 0.316144287958312 |
43 | 0.864951970131099 | 0.270096059737802 | 0.135048029868901 |
44 | 0.893581924463931 | 0.212836151072138 | 0.106418075536069 |
45 | 0.874422606497611 | 0.251154787004778 | 0.125577393502389 |
46 | 0.892960066858591 | 0.214079866282817 | 0.107039933141409 |
47 | 0.92073529317076 | 0.158529413658479 | 0.0792647068292396 |
48 | 0.899121779634927 | 0.201756440730147 | 0.100878220365073 |
49 | 0.944569884909138 | 0.110860230181724 | 0.0554301150908622 |
50 | 0.94347459454854 | 0.11305081090292 | 0.0565254054514601 |
51 | 0.929606700813594 | 0.140786598372812 | 0.0703932991864061 |
52 | 0.985010163202789 | 0.0299796735944213 | 0.0149898367972106 |
53 | 0.980062309373286 | 0.0398753812534277 | 0.0199376906267139 |
54 | 0.985831371154864 | 0.0283372576902713 | 0.0141686288451357 |
55 | 0.986134603074309 | 0.0277307938513825 | 0.0138653969256912 |
56 | 0.982064704407215 | 0.0358705911855702 | 0.0179352955927851 |
57 | 0.979279034764832 | 0.0414419304703362 | 0.0207209652351681 |
58 | 0.973000198680252 | 0.0539996026394969 | 0.0269998013197484 |
59 | 0.971674622861564 | 0.0566507542768718 | 0.0283253771384359 |
60 | 0.964472606902847 | 0.0710547861943054 | 0.0355273930971527 |
61 | 0.961997214935219 | 0.0760055701295627 | 0.0380027850647814 |
62 | 0.969471516292416 | 0.0610569674151688 | 0.0305284837075844 |
63 | 0.96009143629549 | 0.0798171274090203 | 0.0399085637045102 |
64 | 0.959744723797948 | 0.0805105524041051 | 0.0402552762020525 |
65 | 0.95867127292781 | 0.0826574541443802 | 0.0413287270721901 |
66 | 0.95665066841966 | 0.0866986631606806 | 0.0433493315803403 |
67 | 0.955675291228972 | 0.0886494175420565 | 0.0443247087710283 |
68 | 0.963512541928293 | 0.0729749161434144 | 0.0364874580717072 |
69 | 0.966043772002472 | 0.0679124559950563 | 0.0339562279975282 |
70 | 0.957217368057052 | 0.0855652638858968 | 0.0427826319429484 |
71 | 0.959992373835102 | 0.0800152523297956 | 0.0400076261648978 |
72 | 0.949470307065195 | 0.10105938586961 | 0.0505296929348051 |
73 | 0.936906340155203 | 0.126187319689594 | 0.0630936598447972 |
74 | 0.94144878836978 | 0.117102423260439 | 0.0585512116302196 |
75 | 0.928538679879457 | 0.142922640241087 | 0.0714613201205434 |
76 | 0.92151186017388 | 0.156976279652241 | 0.0784881398261205 |
77 | 0.905749185828109 | 0.188501628343781 | 0.0942508141718906 |
78 | 0.894447420009123 | 0.211105159981754 | 0.105552579990877 |
79 | 0.91996288822715 | 0.1600742235457 | 0.0800371117728499 |
80 | 0.924115554805506 | 0.151768890388989 | 0.0758844451944944 |
81 | 0.930421721216531 | 0.139156557566939 | 0.0695782787834694 |
82 | 0.941900133677797 | 0.116199732644406 | 0.0580998663222031 |
83 | 0.926355407892037 | 0.147289184215927 | 0.0736445921079634 |
84 | 0.916012433690845 | 0.16797513261831 | 0.0839875663091552 |
85 | 0.988852018513648 | 0.022295962972703 | 0.0111479814863515 |
86 | 0.984879850025617 | 0.030240299948767 | 0.0151201499743835 |
87 | 0.979583101538275 | 0.0408337969234509 | 0.0204168984617255 |
88 | 0.978477428364939 | 0.0430451432701214 | 0.0215225716350607 |
89 | 0.973677589447888 | 0.0526448211042234 | 0.0263224105521117 |
90 | 0.966494272118754 | 0.0670114557624925 | 0.0335057278812462 |
91 | 0.958093253273076 | 0.0838134934538485 | 0.0419067467269243 |
92 | 0.981639341298046 | 0.0367213174039071 | 0.0183606587019536 |
93 | 0.976789600140332 | 0.0464207997193366 | 0.0232103998596683 |
94 | 0.973543098391788 | 0.052913803216424 | 0.026456901608212 |
95 | 0.967383443256466 | 0.0652331134870685 | 0.0326165567435342 |
96 | 0.956974307965043 | 0.0860513840699143 | 0.0430256920349572 |
97 | 0.956215845240969 | 0.0875683095180618 | 0.0437841547590309 |
98 | 0.955303136940296 | 0.089393726119408 | 0.044696863059704 |
99 | 0.979898209934851 | 0.0402035801302984 | 0.0201017900651492 |
100 | 0.97337405611347 | 0.0532518877730606 | 0.0266259438865303 |
101 | 0.964445601451436 | 0.0711087970971288 | 0.0355543985485644 |
102 | 0.95600078240686 | 0.0879984351862796 | 0.0439992175931398 |
103 | 0.944168200241607 | 0.111663599516785 | 0.0558317997583927 |
104 | 0.965206425105202 | 0.069587149789596 | 0.034793574894798 |
105 | 0.957622877357083 | 0.0847542452858337 | 0.0423771226429169 |
106 | 0.951663064118954 | 0.0966738717620927 | 0.0483369358810464 |
107 | 0.942616828516312 | 0.114766342967376 | 0.0573831714836879 |
108 | 0.94442083508996 | 0.11115832982008 | 0.0555791649100399 |
109 | 0.950710058941324 | 0.0985798821173513 | 0.0492899410586757 |
110 | 0.956355021615942 | 0.0872899567681158 | 0.0436449783840579 |
111 | 0.95264990268598 | 0.0947001946280398 | 0.0473500973140199 |
112 | 0.958581973327314 | 0.0828360533453724 | 0.0414180266726862 |
113 | 0.946381579939625 | 0.107236840120751 | 0.0536184200603754 |
114 | 0.936800285146852 | 0.126399429706295 | 0.0631997148531477 |
115 | 0.916117230095796 | 0.167765539808409 | 0.0838827699042044 |
116 | 0.910295710890544 | 0.179408578218911 | 0.0897042891094557 |
117 | 0.905082086819595 | 0.18983582636081 | 0.0949179131804048 |
118 | 0.882171134569501 | 0.235657730860998 | 0.117828865430499 |
119 | 0.852640715809153 | 0.294718568381694 | 0.147359284190847 |
120 | 0.938033934660453 | 0.123932130679093 | 0.0619660653395467 |
121 | 0.915568533295645 | 0.16886293340871 | 0.0844314667043549 |
122 | 0.894630260627343 | 0.210739478745314 | 0.105369739372657 |
123 | 0.862474787991645 | 0.27505042401671 | 0.137525212008355 |
124 | 0.820335723385823 | 0.359328553228354 | 0.179664276614177 |
125 | 0.834987702116988 | 0.330024595766024 | 0.165012297883012 |
126 | 0.811345944447021 | 0.377308111105959 | 0.188654055552979 |
127 | 0.762144797482389 | 0.475710405035222 | 0.237855202517611 |
128 | 0.763657380715639 | 0.472685238568722 | 0.236342619284361 |
129 | 0.708825289177286 | 0.582349421645427 | 0.291174710822714 |
130 | 0.655476531919645 | 0.689046936160711 | 0.344523468080355 |
131 | 0.616343294498086 | 0.767313411003828 | 0.383656705501914 |
132 | 0.635235627437152 | 0.729528745125696 | 0.364764372562848 |
133 | 0.758486512684389 | 0.483026974631221 | 0.241513487315611 |
134 | 0.772229901846618 | 0.455540196306765 | 0.227770098153382 |
135 | 0.795303875583917 | 0.409392248832166 | 0.204696124416083 |
136 | 0.768077972557151 | 0.463844054885699 | 0.231922027442849 |
137 | 0.681725950712357 | 0.636548098575286 | 0.318274049287643 |
138 | 0.956529330785047 | 0.0869413384299068 | 0.0434706692149534 |
139 | 0.992788205545587 | 0.0144235889088269 | 0.00721179445441347 |
140 | 0.98389263737676 | 0.0322147252464804 | 0.0161073626232402 |
141 | 0.959177472170541 | 0.0816450556589174 | 0.0408225278294587 |
142 | 0.888900162292654 | 0.222199675414693 | 0.111099837707346 |
Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity | |||
Description | # significant tests | % significant tests | OK/NOK |
1% type I error level | 0 | 0 | OK |
5% type I error level | 15 | 0.116279069767442 | NOK |
10% type I error level | 50 | 0.387596899224806 | NOK |