Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation |
Popularity[t] = -1.42983001087101 + 2.84020419065605G[t] + 0.255310644726747FindingFriends[t] -0.280871718072339`Findingfriends*G`[t] + 0.239737612907327KnowingPeople[t] + 0.0307639092683203`Knowingpeople*G`[t] + 0.269027325629953Liked[t] + 0.129060192292364`Liked*G`[t] + 0.736542054753877Celebrity[t] -0.197707988203984`Celebrity*G`[t] + e[t] |
Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares | |||||
Variable | Parameter | S.D. | T-STAT H0: parameter = 0 | 2-tail p-value | 1-tail p-value |
(Intercept) | -1.42983001087101 | 2.268179 | -0.6304 | 0.529427 | 0.264714 |
G | 2.84020419065605 | 2.903248 | 0.9783 | 0.329552 | 0.164776 |
FindingFriends | 0.255310644726747 | 0.13989 | 1.8251 | 0.070032 | 0.035016 |
`Findingfriends*G` | -0.280871718072339 | 0.194346 | -1.4452 | 0.150542 | 0.075271 |
KnowingPeople | 0.239737612907327 | 0.110822 | 2.1633 | 0.032148 | 0.016074 |
`Knowingpeople*G` | 0.0307639092683203 | 0.13355 | 0.2304 | 0.818138 | 0.409069 |
Liked | 0.269027325629953 | 0.151062 | 1.7809 | 0.077007 | 0.038504 |
`Liked*G` | 0.129060192292364 | 0.197536 | 0.6534 | 0.514558 | 0.257279 |
Celebrity | 0.736542054753877 | 0.294309 | 2.5026 | 0.01343 | 0.006715 |
`Celebrity*G` | -0.197707988203984 | 0.34718 | -0.5695 | 0.569913 | 0.284957 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics | |
Multiple R | 0.723716252676761 |
R-squared | 0.523765214388494 |
Adjusted R-squared | 0.494408275549428 |
F-TEST (value) | 17.8412748433947 |
F-TEST (DF numerator) | 9 |
F-TEST (DF denominator) | 146 |
p-value | 0 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics | |
Residual Standard Deviation | 2.08808807120738 |
Sum Squared Residuals | 636.576321795308 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals | |||
Time or Index | Actuals | Interpolation Forecast | Residuals Prediction Error |
1 | 13 | 10.9525163487303 | 2.04748365126968 |
2 | 12 | 11.1369615427827 | 0.863038457217293 |
3 | 15 | 14.0031863984933 | 0.996813601506678 |
4 | 12 | 11.0838897892714 | 0.916110210728592 |
5 | 10 | 10.1626634211686 | -0.162663421168602 |
6 | 12 | 8.75001508802231 | 3.24998491197769 |
7 | 15 | 16.8823524361036 | -1.88235243610356 |
8 | 9 | 10.6134570069151 | -1.61345700691512 |
9 | 12 | 12.619224127209 | -0.619224127209015 |
10 | 11 | 8.6181408002658 | 2.3818591997342 |
11 | 11 | 11.8681599066226 | -0.868159906622564 |
12 | 11 | 12.0892126579372 | -1.08921265793722 |
13 | 15 | 12.5303597576888 | 2.46964024231116 |
14 | 7 | 11.1958664967663 | -4.19586649676632 |
15 | 11 | 11.7392898673674 | -0.739289867367392 |
16 | 11 | 11.1544600512664 | -0.154460051266416 |
17 | 10 | 12.0892126579372 | -2.08921265793722 |
18 | 14 | 13.6983408133356 | 0.301659186664373 |
19 | 10 | 8.76083695571349 | 1.23916304428651 |
20 | 6 | 8.42045181932716 | -2.42045181932716 |
21 | 11 | 9.32664104099415 | 1.67335895900585 |
22 | 15 | 13.9261179295522 | 1.07388207044778 |
23 | 11 | 11.8617707175909 | -0.86177071759088 |
24 | 12 | 9.21752981714624 | 2.78247018285376 |
25 | 14 | 13.5693062645621 | 0.430693735437869 |
26 | 15 | 14.1778160391503 | 0.822183960849718 |
27 | 9 | 14.1658555424596 | -5.16585554245955 |
28 | 13 | 13.2603024871413 | -0.260302487141274 |
29 | 13 | 12.4099272597149 | 0.590072740285101 |
30 | 16 | 10.9962149941551 | 5.00378500584487 |
31 | 13 | 8.65881203331241 | 4.34118796668759 |
32 | 12 | 13.1327526335656 | -1.13275263356557 |
33 | 14 | 14.633813844781 | -0.63381384478101 |
34 | 11 | 8.97407950240648 | 2.02592049759352 |
35 | 9 | 10.6134570069151 | -1.61345700691512 |
36 | 16 | 13.669051100613 | 2.330948899387 |
37 | 12 | 13.0129736895285 | -1.01297368952853 |
38 | 10 | 8.3792016099138 | 1.6207983900862 |
39 | 13 | 13.3243658157321 | -0.324365815732075 |
40 | 16 | 15.5984654804002 | 0.401534519599787 |
41 | 14 | 12.6670942553579 | 1.33290574464214 |
42 | 15 | 8.52829702734812 | 6.47170297265188 |
43 | 5 | 9.58452267172383 | -4.58452267172383 |
44 | 8 | 9.95045933677143 | -1.95045933677142 |
45 | 11 | 11.3032691647559 | -0.303269164755873 |
46 | 16 | 13.4173529910149 | 2.58264700898506 |
47 | 17 | 13.4541207892801 | 3.54587921071985 |
48 | 9 | 8.93664216152929 | 0.0633578384707053 |
49 | 9 | 12.2445287048309 | -3.24452870483089 |
50 | 13 | 15.0340703405047 | -2.03407034050473 |
51 | 10 | 10.8642910428057 | -0.864291042805654 |
52 | 6 | 11.8425828957324 | -5.84258289573237 |
53 | 12 | 11.9598419133266 | 0.0401580866733899 |
54 | 8 | 9.99532208131347 | -1.99532208131347 |
55 | 14 | 12.1858628453307 | 1.81413715466927 |
56 | 12 | 12.7855317491822 | -0.785531749182182 |
57 | 11 | 11.3587292670499 | -0.358729267049861 |
58 | 16 | 15.1107535605415 | 0.889246439458497 |
59 | 8 | 9.28445720415353 | -1.28445720415353 |
60 | 15 | 15.4687105068521 | -0.468710506852142 |
61 | 7 | 8.98975270092964 | -1.98975270092964 |
62 | 16 | 13.6553344197098 | 2.3446655802902 |
63 | 14 | 14.3299080553792 | -0.32990805537918 |
64 | 16 | 14.1205408515767 | 1.87945914842329 |
65 | 9 | 10.2745542005459 | -1.27455420054587 |
66 | 14 | 12.4894691536609 | 1.51053084633906 |
67 | 11 | 12.8775421555426 | -1.87754215554256 |
68 | 13 | 10.2230991975301 | 2.77690080246993 |
69 | 15 | 13.0283032202108 | 1.97169677978916 |
70 | 5 | 5.92169020459028 | -0.921690204590281 |
71 | 15 | 12.7855317491822 | 2.21446825081782 |
72 | 13 | 12.4894691536609 | 0.510530846339057 |
73 | 11 | 11.4647936556925 | -0.464793655692535 |
74 | 11 | 12.4510773024245 | -1.45107730242452 |
75 | 12 | 12.8089238447264 | -0.808923844726372 |
76 | 12 | 13.5693062645621 | -1.56930626456213 |
77 | 12 | 12.3363220845687 | -0.336322084568682 |
78 | 12 | 12.5917134470433 | -0.59171344704331 |
79 | 14 | 10.9962149941551 | 3.00378500584487 |
80 | 6 | 8.1832812629371 | -2.1832812629371 |
81 | 7 | 9.48655714277619 | -2.48655714277619 |
82 | 14 | 12.7835821423621 | 1.21641785763793 |
83 | 14 | 14.2481268473234 | -0.248126847323378 |
84 | 10 | 11.6015007380785 | -1.60150073807851 |
85 | 13 | 8.27053986220766 | 4.72946013779234 |
86 | 12 | 12.4136399615473 | -0.413639961547329 |
87 | 9 | 8.93292945969687 | 0.0670705403031345 |
88 | 12 | 12.8724465118822 | -0.87244651188224 |
89 | 16 | 15.1982089846765 | 0.801791015323506 |
90 | 10 | 9.7107217238641 | 0.289278276135902 |
91 | 14 | 13.4366222807964 | 0.563377719203565 |
92 | 10 | 13.8500393294011 | -3.85003932940106 |
93 | 16 | 15.5729044070546 | 0.427095592945378 |
94 | 15 | 13.890929933429 | 1.10907006657104 |
95 | 12 | 10.9267390044326 | 1.07326099556737 |
96 | 10 | 9.80195244038818 | 0.198047559611822 |
97 | 8 | 10.721594887358 | -2.72159488735797 |
98 | 8 | 8.46727108148916 | -0.467271081489156 |
99 | 11 | 11.6871018858642 | -0.687101885864228 |
100 | 13 | 12.4873001758595 | 0.512699824140459 |
101 | 16 | 15.8689670025759 | 0.13103299742414 |
102 | 16 | 14.9043153669567 | 1.09568463304334 |
103 | 14 | 15.4818026245904 | -1.48180262459043 |
104 | 11 | 9.29891098984716 | 1.70108901015284 |
105 | 4 | 6.24558425383306 | -2.24558425383306 |
106 | 14 | 14.463168267205 | -0.463168267205038 |
107 | 9 | 10.921920122901 | -1.92192012290105 |
108 | 14 | 15.4687105068521 | -1.46871050685214 |
109 | 8 | 11.0495061186477 | -3.04950611864771 |
110 | 8 | 11.7926094009811 | -3.79260940098105 |
111 | 11 | 12.6681772960988 | -1.6681772960988 |
112 | 12 | 14.2103846244944 | -2.21038462449439 |
113 | 11 | 11.4052940871569 | -0.40529408715695 |
114 | 14 | 13.8244782560555 | 0.175521743944531 |
115 | 15 | 13.9709806740943 | 1.02901932590573 |
116 | 16 | 13.7224533336544 | 2.27754666634561 |
117 | 16 | 13.6968922603088 | 2.3031077396912 |
118 | 11 | 12.2754881677111 | -1.27548816771108 |
119 | 14 | 13.4155968068025 | 0.584403193197531 |
120 | 14 | 10.4299345625861 | 3.57006543741392 |
121 | 12 | 11.6801335649354 | 0.319866435064598 |
122 | 14 | 12.1254270689693 | 1.87457293103073 |
123 | 8 | 9.7107217238641 | -1.7107217238641 |
124 | 13 | 13.6709074515292 | -0.670907451529216 |
125 | 16 | 13.4155968068025 | 2.58440319319753 |
126 | 12 | 10.9940460163537 | 1.00595398364627 |
127 | 16 | 15.5707354292532 | 0.42926457074678 |
128 | 12 | 13.5693062645621 | -1.56930626456213 |
129 | 11 | 12.1782963984387 | -1.17829639843868 |
130 | 4 | 6.57658106396303 | -2.57658106396303 |
131 | 16 | 15.5707354292532 | 0.42926457074678 |
132 | 15 | 12.7833627713808 | 2.21663722861922 |
133 | 10 | 11.7923900299998 | -1.79239002999976 |
134 | 13 | 13.2579141383586 | -0.257914138358582 |
135 | 15 | 12.9361215809878 | 2.06387841901219 |
136 | 12 | 10.8686289984085 | 1.13137100159154 |
137 | 14 | 13.1602861620757 | 0.839713837924278 |
138 | 7 | 11.0137135026388 | -4.01371350263884 |
139 | 19 | 14.3654813004068 | 4.63451869959323 |
140 | 12 | 13.2091803404501 | -1.20918034045009 |
141 | 12 | 11.6579123398453 | 0.342087660154658 |
142 | 13 | 13.1758591938951 | -0.175859193895142 |
143 | 15 | 13.4153991630536 | 1.58460083694635 |
144 | 8 | 8.08098473826496 | -0.080984738264962 |
145 | 12 | 11.1391305205841 | 0.860869479415893 |
146 | 10 | 10.5682284472844 | -0.568228447284415 |
147 | 8 | 11.0008914616973 | -3.0008914616973 |
148 | 10 | 14.4505560666127 | -4.45055606661266 |
149 | 15 | 13.400023774983 | 1.59997622501695 |
150 | 16 | 14.6316448669796 | 1.36835513302039 |
151 | 13 | 13.3221968379307 | -0.322196837930673 |
152 | 16 | 15.302402884879 | 0.697597115121026 |
153 | 9 | 10.4961025538317 | -1.49610255383173 |
154 | 14 | 12.4547900042569 | 1.54520999574306 |
155 | 14 | 12.3824938979085 | 1.61750610209151 |
156 | 12 | 10.7556125009279 | 1.24438749907212 |
Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity | |||
p-values | Alternative Hypothesis | ||
breakpoint index | greater | 2-sided | less |
13 | 0.430069615223123 | 0.860139230446245 | 0.569930384776877 |
14 | 0.274888764574922 | 0.549777529149844 | 0.725111235425078 |
15 | 0.506026789806371 | 0.987946420387259 | 0.493973210193629 |
16 | 0.375166525712516 | 0.750333051425032 | 0.624833474287484 |
17 | 0.318875913845689 | 0.637751827691378 | 0.681124086154311 |
18 | 0.230799664956417 | 0.461599329912834 | 0.769200335043583 |
19 | 0.188984045098725 | 0.377968090197449 | 0.811015954901275 |
20 | 0.330147775667826 | 0.660295551335652 | 0.669852224332174 |
21 | 0.251700848401222 | 0.503401696802444 | 0.748299151598778 |
22 | 0.255607402386979 | 0.511214804773957 | 0.744392597613021 |
23 | 0.212313050608447 | 0.424626101216894 | 0.787686949391553 |
24 | 0.28648442578635 | 0.572968851572701 | 0.71351557421365 |
25 | 0.234265454143882 | 0.468530908287765 | 0.765734545856118 |
26 | 0.179541095764658 | 0.359082191529316 | 0.820458904235342 |
27 | 0.346553527185449 | 0.693107054370898 | 0.653446472814551 |
28 | 0.3227888082245 | 0.645577616449 | 0.6772111917755 |
29 | 0.296309579479623 | 0.592619158959246 | 0.703690420520377 |
30 | 0.5440326457264 | 0.9119347085472 | 0.4559673542736 |
31 | 0.654968626300755 | 0.690062747398491 | 0.345031373699245 |
32 | 0.663772152259153 | 0.672455695481694 | 0.336227847740847 |
33 | 0.60501202784111 | 0.789975944317781 | 0.39498797215889 |
34 | 0.558794794488371 | 0.882410411023259 | 0.441205205511629 |
35 | 0.563512980439373 | 0.872974039121254 | 0.436487019560627 |
36 | 0.604886180185599 | 0.790227639628802 | 0.395113819814401 |
37 | 0.56171174699452 | 0.87657650601096 | 0.43828825300548 |
38 | 0.605394950500548 | 0.789210098998904 | 0.394605049499452 |
39 | 0.547033852166422 | 0.905932295667156 | 0.452966147833578 |
40 | 0.506119494644498 | 0.987761010711003 | 0.493880505355502 |
41 | 0.502298318708825 | 0.995403362582351 | 0.497701681291175 |
42 | 0.760259852485568 | 0.479480295028863 | 0.239740147514432 |
43 | 0.882446326927136 | 0.235107346145729 | 0.117553673072864 |
44 | 0.892012932229151 | 0.215974135541698 | 0.107987067770849 |
45 | 0.868384760568135 | 0.263230478863731 | 0.131615239431865 |
46 | 0.892444156730835 | 0.21511168653833 | 0.107555843269165 |
47 | 0.928652958343992 | 0.142694083312016 | 0.071347041656008 |
48 | 0.90970323573131 | 0.180593528537381 | 0.0902967642686905 |
49 | 0.942853451368332 | 0.114293097263336 | 0.0571465486316681 |
50 | 0.941243581084431 | 0.117512837831139 | 0.0587564189155695 |
51 | 0.926038714763268 | 0.147922570473463 | 0.0739612852367316 |
52 | 0.983457593554058 | 0.0330848128918846 | 0.0165424064459423 |
53 | 0.977964156375552 | 0.0440716872488965 | 0.0220358436244483 |
54 | 0.984456487508796 | 0.0310870249824084 | 0.0155435124912042 |
55 | 0.984882036535365 | 0.0302359269292692 | 0.0151179634646346 |
56 | 0.980526484830116 | 0.0389470303397688 | 0.0194735151698844 |
57 | 0.978379064364489 | 0.043241871271022 | 0.021620935635511 |
58 | 0.972105548624488 | 0.055788902751024 | 0.027894451375512 |
59 | 0.973218009020024 | 0.0535639819599512 | 0.0267819909799756 |
60 | 0.965632642242348 | 0.0687347155153035 | 0.0343673577576517 |
61 | 0.964923897947721 | 0.0701522041045578 | 0.0350761020522789 |
62 | 0.970263611405282 | 0.0594727771894352 | 0.0297363885947176 |
63 | 0.96157515433289 | 0.0768496913342197 | 0.0384248456671099 |
64 | 0.960153614321477 | 0.079692771357045 | 0.0398463856785225 |
65 | 0.961843718708436 | 0.0763125625831275 | 0.0381562812915638 |
66 | 0.958179148000494 | 0.0836417039990121 | 0.041820851999506 |
67 | 0.95731082560228 | 0.0853783487954405 | 0.0426891743977203 |
68 | 0.964296876378111 | 0.0714062472437786 | 0.0357031236218893 |
69 | 0.966022795118322 | 0.0679544097633556 | 0.0339772048816778 |
70 | 0.957271413416692 | 0.0854571731666151 | 0.0427285865833075 |
71 | 0.959769241163511 | 0.0804615176729781 | 0.040230758836489 |
72 | 0.949151092919737 | 0.101697814160527 | 0.0508489070802634 |
73 | 0.93672650961414 | 0.12654698077172 | 0.06327349038586 |
74 | 0.942326184308425 | 0.115347631383149 | 0.0576738156915746 |
75 | 0.930248108586299 | 0.139503782827403 | 0.0697518914137013 |
76 | 0.923288147136212 | 0.153423705727576 | 0.076711852863788 |
77 | 0.906547903742471 | 0.186904192515058 | 0.0934520962575291 |
78 | 0.897788435090234 | 0.204423129819532 | 0.102211564909766 |
79 | 0.922516867755525 | 0.154966264488951 | 0.0774831322444755 |
80 | 0.928685400972063 | 0.142629198055873 | 0.0713145990279366 |
81 | 0.936562572292374 | 0.126874855415251 | 0.0634374277076255 |
82 | 0.948484365202093 | 0.103031269595814 | 0.0515156347979071 |
83 | 0.934447231901996 | 0.131105536196008 | 0.0655527680980039 |
84 | 0.927185396527688 | 0.145629206944624 | 0.0728146034723121 |
85 | 0.990505441397758 | 0.0189891172044848 | 0.0094945586022424 |
86 | 0.987003894656189 | 0.0259922106876224 | 0.0129961053438112 |
87 | 0.98228448264463 | 0.0354310347107406 | 0.0177155173553703 |
88 | 0.982014655666861 | 0.0359706886662776 | 0.0179853443331388 |
89 | 0.977414637766681 | 0.0451707244666384 | 0.0225853622333192 |
90 | 0.971043633528738 | 0.0579127329425244 | 0.0289563664712622 |
91 | 0.963318846180936 | 0.0733623076381289 | 0.0366811538190644 |
92 | 0.984916147078963 | 0.0301677058420732 | 0.0150838529210366 |
93 | 0.980287379600093 | 0.0394252407998147 | 0.0197126203999074 |
94 | 0.977620320722816 | 0.044759358554368 | 0.022379679277184 |
95 | 0.971935732090093 | 0.0561285358198144 | 0.0280642679099072 |
96 | 0.962745888704103 | 0.0745082225917931 | 0.0372541112958965 |
97 | 0.96360399763183 | 0.0727920047363391 | 0.0363960023681695 |
98 | 0.962866782924812 | 0.0742664341503761 | 0.0371332170751881 |
99 | 0.983888543524648 | 0.0322229129507048 | 0.0161114564753524 |
100 | 0.978212342726523 | 0.0435753145469535 | 0.0217876572734767 |
101 | 0.970452619276104 | 0.0590947614477921 | 0.0295473807238961 |
102 | 0.962836934973764 | 0.0743261300524725 | 0.0371630650262362 |
103 | 0.953359576154337 | 0.093280847691327 | 0.0466404238456635 |
104 | 0.971279055700849 | 0.0574418885983018 | 0.0287209442991509 |
105 | 0.965761982290385 | 0.0684760354192304 | 0.0342380177096152 |
106 | 0.960923334957236 | 0.078153330085528 | 0.039076665042764 |
107 | 0.954728249858873 | 0.0905435002822546 | 0.0452717501411273 |
108 | 0.955678188686966 | 0.0886436226260672 | 0.0443218113130336 |
109 | 0.960543296189549 | 0.078913407620902 | 0.039456703810451 |
110 | 0.965206657705316 | 0.0695866845893684 | 0.0347933422946842 |
111 | 0.959729103613211 | 0.0805417927735786 | 0.0402708963867893 |
112 | 0.961852712872646 | 0.076294574254708 | 0.038147287127354 |
113 | 0.94811713829389 | 0.103765723412219 | 0.0518828617061097 |
114 | 0.93234757929272 | 0.13530484141456 | 0.0676524207072802 |
115 | 0.914516423745829 | 0.170967152508341 | 0.0854835762541707 |
116 | 0.915296163677018 | 0.169407672645965 | 0.0847038363229823 |
117 | 0.916635724857786 | 0.166728550284429 | 0.0833642751422144 |
118 | 0.899184794195659 | 0.201630411608682 | 0.100815205804341 |
119 | 0.869480774562665 | 0.26103845087467 | 0.130519225437335 |
120 | 0.950853862932875 | 0.0982922741342508 | 0.0491461370671254 |
121 | 0.933064059092508 | 0.133871881814983 | 0.0669359409074915 |
122 | 0.915181044858135 | 0.16963791028373 | 0.0848189551418649 |
123 | 0.889428723733168 | 0.221142552533663 | 0.110571276266832 |
124 | 0.853712135783923 | 0.292575728432154 | 0.146287864216077 |
125 | 0.865949380095356 | 0.268101239809287 | 0.134050619904644 |
126 | 0.840054927240337 | 0.319890145519325 | 0.159945072759663 |
127 | 0.799459838610169 | 0.401080322779663 | 0.200540161389831 |
128 | 0.808944729074374 | 0.382110541851252 | 0.191055270925626 |
129 | 0.761343649908805 | 0.47731270018239 | 0.238656350091195 |
130 | 0.718842669339033 | 0.562314661321934 | 0.281157330660967 |
131 | 0.68071751531851 | 0.63856496936298 | 0.31928248468149 |
132 | 0.697295346869192 | 0.605409306261616 | 0.302704653130808 |
133 | 0.80819043348079 | 0.38361913303842 | 0.19180956651921 |
134 | 0.800638798962863 | 0.398722402074273 | 0.199361201037137 |
135 | 0.852804160225774 | 0.294391679548451 | 0.147195839774226 |
136 | 0.831967804465355 | 0.336064391069291 | 0.168032195534645 |
137 | 0.764880005134964 | 0.470239989730073 | 0.235119994865036 |
138 | 0.977796206690887 | 0.0444075866182255 | 0.0222037933091127 |
139 | 0.996900374872304 | 0.00619925025539222 | 0.00309962512769611 |
140 | 0.994662528161493 | 0.0106749436770133 | 0.00533747183850665 |
141 | 0.985511284904342 | 0.0289774301913162 | 0.0144887150956581 |
142 | 0.957137969176596 | 0.0857240616468077 | 0.0428620308234038 |
143 | 0.892498843441304 | 0.215002313117391 | 0.107501156558696 |
Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity | |||
Description | # significant tests | % significant tests | OK/NOK |
1% type I error level | 1 | 0.00763358778625954 | OK |
5% type I error level | 20 | 0.152671755725191 | NOK |
10% type I error level | 54 | 0.412213740458015 | NOK |