Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation
YT[t] = -2.70676782746938 + 0.804825696596371X1[t] + 0.246618734551963X2[t] + 0.190858166207396X3[t] + 0.5682129740418X4[t] -0.100756792404192X5[t] + 0.00564436253658327t + e[t]


Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares
VariableParameterS.D.T-STAT
H0: parameter = 0
2-tail p-value1-tail p-value
(Intercept)-2.706767827469383.230753-0.83780.4034510.201726
X10.8048256965963710.1307656.154700
X20.2466187345519630.1331411.85230.065920.03296
X30.1908581662073960.1685681.13220.259320.12966
X40.56821297404180.0960195.917700
X5-0.1007567924041920.105352-0.95640.3403970.170199
t0.005644362536583270.0080040.70520.4817420.240871


Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics
Multiple R0.639616097712746
R-squared0.40910875245328
Adjusted R-squared0.385784097944857
F-TEST (value)17.5397561539675
F-TEST (DF numerator)6
F-TEST (DF denominator)152
p-value2.22044604925031e-15
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics
Residual Standard Deviation4.48508352276095
Sum Squared Residuals3057.62807933355


Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals
Time or IndexActualsInterpolation
Forecast
Residuals
Prediction Error
12424.5869751364709-0.586975136470905
22521.29871815743543.70128184256465
31722.3859726679103-5.38597266791033
41819.44541093851-1.44541093850998
51819.0235142417146-1.02351424171457
61619.2495257409872-3.24952574098718
72020.5436429620918-0.543642962091785
81621.9567214062097-5.95672140620968
91821.9596456847955-3.9596456847955
101720.1583618178568-3.15836181785682
112321.93889798349571.06110201650432
123021.85577854055028.14422145944982
132314.73314737815758.2668526218425
141818.603269980984-0.603269980983952
151521.3229006529394-6.32290065293938
161217.5861185544217-5.58611855442169
172119.05545929268991.94454070731014
181514.81900780842570.180992191574258
192019.45012869555080.549871304449199
203126.01940004615384.98059995384624
212724.8676845731562.13231542684405
223426.7505329508887.24946704911197
232119.28045609096921.71954390903083
243120.599736608392610.4002633916074
251919.0701646017547-0.0701646017546607
261619.9463310706596-3.94633107065955
272021.3206525792539-1.32065257925392
282117.9963561270583.00364387294204
292221.68367835586360.316321644136373
301719.2404660680385-2.24046606803853
312420.16455935666393.83544064333612
322530.1993051078831-5.19930510788308
332626.390560835707-0.390560835707007
342523.88307340885351.11692659114645
351722.7338898244853-5.73388982448527
363227.59685762230484.4031423776952
373323.41318769743459.5868123025655
381321.7416158659416-8.74161586594163
393227.59401972731614.40598027268392
402525.6331170331415-0.633117033141512
412926.89076322585012.10923677414994
422221.83203057377710.167969426222916
431817.052459241220.947540758780044
441721.5731241031246-4.57312410312459
452022.0446692276098-2.04466922760976
461520.2957922888319-5.29579228883186
472021.9969914249525-1.99699142495246
483327.96109108648485.03890891351516
492921.99227117281827.00772882718179
502326.4609674131011-3.46096741310109
512623.10556753028852.89443246971151
521818.8307698752602-0.8307698752602
532018.66999979073461.33000020926542
541111.5812129333856-0.58121293338563
552828.8095440113789-0.809544011378862
562623.27350507189652.72649492810354
572222.2026118775359-0.202611877535911
581720.0774839975062-3.07748399750625
591215.4292884866592-3.42928848665917
601420.780061210624-6.78006121062399
611720.6763094340181-3.67630943401805
622121.261580521485-0.261580521484976
631922.9113260083569-3.91132600835689
641823.0268271622096-5.02682716220963
651017.8541098959786-7.8541098959786
662924.28460062767994.71539937232012
673118.432203856202412.5677961437976
681922.8792466318609-3.87924663186088
69920.0338902827611-11.0338902827611
702022.4674961633225-2.46749616332249
712817.575629511418110.4243704885819
721918.11369954853280.886300451467227
733023.08778011783416.91221988216585
742927.0733696770651.92663032293498
752621.49082518860574.50917481139428
762319.50511767590533.49488232409465
771322.7601530313896-9.76015303138962
782122.6443090003536-1.6443090003536
791921.5370492704958-2.53704927049577
802822.937731302595.06226869740997
812325.6175014577243-2.61750145772435
821813.8646394460414.13536055395896
832120.73192857496010.268071425039858
842021.8476069466243-1.84760694662434
852320.04341655982312.95658344017692
862120.85973339265540.140266607344571
872121.8550198976718-0.855019897671836
881522.9508811919658-7.9508811919658
892827.19650374341430.80349625658569
901917.68864166308471.31135833691528
912621.29541407010554.70458592989447
921013.3326243716318-3.3326243716318
931617.1873143264118-1.18731432641177
942221.20203881329270.797961186707265
951918.90630468498350.093695315016467
963128.91577792891492.08422207108509
973125.30188490848825.69811509151183
982924.85512878768254.14487121231755
991917.50282820335941.49717179664061
1002218.95228874806013.04771125193991
1012322.4724381975160.52756180248399
1021516.2874647056108-1.28746470561081
1032021.4645212040962-1.46452120409622
1041819.6425371514452-1.64253715144523
1052322.2171502344810.782849765518966
1062520.97445993751394.02554006248607
1072116.65294710756854.34705289243147
1082419.54557442782974.45442557217025
1092525.3595410763598-0.359541076359756
1101719.6935475859109-2.69354758591087
1111314.6943965458432-1.69439654584321
1122818.40987461177099.59012538822914
1132120.31063468010390.689365319896122
1142528.2836350486841-3.28363504868414
115921.0044477704288-12.0044477704288
1161618.0612276169349-2.06122761693493
1171921.2966898433179-2.29668984331794
1181719.6269476477759-2.62694764777592
1192524.73199799209820.268002007901781
1202015.63695124201494.36304875798512
1212921.87593440090527.12406559909483
1221419.1778709228727-5.17787092287271
1232227.0980959242537-5.09809592425374
1241515.9019397751253-0.901939775125262
1251925.6813751580878-6.68137515808782
1262022.1919545613241-2.19195456132411
1271517.7608142090159-2.76081420901586
1282022.1258994239983-2.12589942399832
1291820.5527935376764-2.55279353767642
1303325.78884797934847.2111520206516
1312224.0146988185677-2.01469881856773
1321616.7435243851904-0.743524385190438
1331719.4036823708245-2.40368237082451
1341615.3816109084570.618389091543024
1352117.36376958458823.63623041541183
1362627.9214437785666-1.92144377856656
1371821.4147283663736-3.41472836637364
1381823.276463760401-5.27646376040095
1391718.707861885554-1.70786188555397
1402224.9760915015815-2.97609150158152
1413024.9522424586755.047757541325
1423027.62202950655532.37797049344472
1432430.0288532518421-6.02885325184214
1442122.3733372368221-1.37333723682208
1452125.7186060818219-4.71860608182192
1462927.77606260715771.22393739284233
1473123.5675720133917.43242798660901
1482019.33817894762960.661821052370395
1491614.42711320950251.57288679049751
1502219.28885970434272.71114029565732
1512020.766728259862-0.766728259862021
1522827.72009986542640.279900134573624
1533827.081132159721610.9188678402784
1542219.59067155144752.40932844855246
1552026.0566974089159-6.05669740891587
1561718.448530410331-1.44853041033101
1572824.90557661215673.09442338784326
1582224.5396741854444-2.53967418544438
1593126.45186828782174.54813171217832


Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
p-valuesAlternative Hypothesis
breakpoint indexgreater2-sidedless
100.09861376610248370.1972275322049670.901386233897516
110.3549755718872730.7099511437745460.645024428112727
120.7492056729243740.5015886541512520.250794327075626
130.7439942746184630.5120114507630750.256005725381537
140.7271423515756790.5457152968486420.272857648424321
150.6898060323229990.6203879353540020.310193967677001
160.6075205230409110.7849589539181780.392479476959089
170.5529639770054740.8940720459890520.447036022994526
180.5244892972136240.9510214055727520.475510702786376
190.4697051197851480.9394102395702970.530294880214852
200.4986893216137580.9973786432275150.501310678386242
210.4311761806996540.8623523613993070.568823819300346
220.4194510925287380.8389021850574770.580548907471262
230.3769374835137520.7538749670275040.623062516486248
240.5309343490541270.9381313018917470.469065650945873
250.4887782716235470.9775565432470950.511221728376453
260.5057243044372710.9885513911254580.494275695562729
270.4383934621962860.8767869243925720.561606537803714
280.3793593171190680.7587186342381370.620640682880932
290.3178232475813530.6356464951627060.682176752418647
300.2780751083641660.5561502167283310.721924891635834
310.2696041099587240.5392082199174490.730395890041276
320.3990065914215250.798013182843050.600993408578475
330.3432220705289270.6864441410578540.656777929471073
340.3136417154916680.6272834309833350.686358284508332
350.3567734065587750.713546813117550.643226593441225
360.3239982756858650.647996551371730.676001724314135
370.4385551926157250.877110385231450.561444807384275
380.7456244379030730.5087511241938540.254375562096927
390.72998173480890.54003653038220.2700182651911
400.6939340840255180.6121318319489640.306065915974482
410.6567229917388230.6865540165223540.343277008261177
420.609635486056110.780729027887780.39036451394389
430.5594323516939840.8811352966120320.440567648306016
440.552798911731340.894402176537320.44720108826866
450.5401932485095580.9196135029808830.459806751490442
460.5841750100225660.8316499799548670.415824989977434
470.5471175912121230.9057648175757550.452882408787877
480.5370116247742430.9259767504515140.462988375225757
490.5896696370225970.8206607259548070.410330362977403
500.5684220332217530.8631559335564930.431577966778247
510.5381782265344360.9236435469311270.461821773465564
520.4910579843459140.9821159686918290.508942015654086
530.4455369726952110.8910739453904210.55446302730479
540.4049352117232140.8098704234464290.595064788276786
550.3665446293371980.7330892586743960.633455370662802
560.335762606108050.67152521221610.66423739389195
570.292733820431060.5854676408621210.70726617956894
580.2673715418270750.5347430836541510.732628458172925
590.2495105008442370.4990210016884740.750489499155763
600.3086708782982860.6173417565965720.691329121701714
610.2940977137318820.5881954274637640.705902286268118
620.255099579665820.5101991593316410.74490042033418
630.2394300655797740.4788601311595480.760569934420226
640.2656442274263840.5312884548527680.734355772573616
650.3303643276374640.6607286552749290.669635672362536
660.3389668445756480.6779336891512950.661033155424352
670.6838004982063620.6323990035872760.316199501793638
680.6733154810450920.6533690379098160.326684518954908
690.8411901611838280.3176196776323440.158809838816172
700.8191383275213760.3617233449572480.180861672478624
710.9308517380612750.1382965238774510.0691482619387253
720.9146569017311750.1706861965376490.0853430982688247
730.9382829337850670.1234341324298660.0617170662149329
740.9263861039557440.1472277920885110.0736138960442556
750.9276281033889790.1447437932220430.0723718966110213
760.9215329032608190.1569341934783620.0784670967391811
770.9693287817645060.06134243647098840.0306712182354942
780.9616673404392930.0766653191214140.038332659560707
790.954107486897140.09178502620571790.0458925131028589
800.9566019515869030.08679609682619450.0433980484130972
810.948666401436410.102667197127180.0513335985635901
820.9476745572405550.1046508855188910.0523254427594455
830.9338768639516510.1322462720966980.0661231360483489
840.9207784649871140.1584430700257720.079221535012886
850.9112558434902320.1774883130195360.088744156509768
860.8936859551560790.2126280896878430.106314044843921
870.8716472922200260.2567054155599490.128352707779974
880.9193797757638680.1612404484722640.0806202242361318
890.9026115625421930.1947768749156140.0973884374578069
900.881765243633470.2364695127330590.118234756366529
910.881397413989920.2372051720201590.11860258601008
920.8713980396681860.2572039206636290.128601960331815
930.8491324834995320.3017350330009370.150867516500468
940.8204223519995740.3591552960008510.179577648000426
950.7870177432280470.4259645135439060.212982256771953
960.7557157175194140.4885685649611720.244284282480586
970.7732214987018410.4535570025963180.226778501298159
980.7699916228250970.4600167543498070.230008377174903
990.7343600261062770.5312799477874460.265639973893723
1000.7122853425320180.5754293149359640.287714657467982
1010.6738041808869690.6523916382260620.326195819113031
1020.6328806957375120.7342386085249760.367119304262488
1030.5917954923026490.8164090153947020.408204507697351
1040.548631219337820.9027375613243610.45136878066218
1050.5063404886872420.9873190226255160.493659511312758
1060.4926916343885430.9853832687770870.507308365611457
1070.5000020890271850.999995821945630.499997910972815
1080.5393036213969170.9213927572061650.460696378603083
1090.5018653437622560.9962693124754880.498134656237744
1100.4607042898028220.9214085796056450.539295710197178
1110.4137439132316130.8274878264632260.586256086768387
1120.74061884066950.5187623186610010.2593811593305
1130.7755791622930010.4488416754139970.224420837706999
1140.7511924937027920.4976150125944160.248807506297208
1150.8754598640234440.2490802719531120.124540135976556
1160.8470931873958180.3058136252083640.152906812604182
1170.8176305257582430.3647389484835140.182369474241757
1180.7841697785052690.4316604429894630.215830221494731
1190.756239619419450.48752076116110.24376038058055
1200.8049705765881370.3900588468237270.195029423411863
1210.8840595190699330.2318809618601330.115940480930067
1220.8652497380235420.2695005239529170.134750261976459
1230.8449103247330520.3101793505338970.155089675266948
1240.8069001298555640.3861997402888730.193099870144436
1250.8115641803558520.3768716392882950.188435819644148
1260.7682122314611830.4635755370776340.231787768538817
1270.7368674094556410.5262651810887180.263132590544359
1280.6903307560793210.6193384878413580.309669243920679
1290.6450159225602040.7099681548795910.354984077439796
1300.7658939350196670.4682121299606670.234106064980334
1310.7135802827241450.5728394345517110.286419717275856
1320.6534074306808310.6931851386383380.346592569319169
1330.6153801898032810.7692396203934370.384619810196719
1340.545690341410030.908619317179940.45430965858997
1350.5710007073765480.8579985852469040.428999292623452
1360.5005357463897360.9989285072205270.499464253610264
1370.4534084939071970.9068169878143940.546591506092803
1380.4701866307889550.940373261577910.529813369211045
1390.3962812666779540.7925625333559080.603718733322046
1400.3228377971210870.6456755942421730.677162202878913
1410.4259405330405820.8518810660811630.574059466959418
1420.37594692793440.75189385586880.6240530720656
1430.3033504922152390.6067009844304790.696649507784761
1440.2271858956990650.454371791398130.772814104300935
1450.3335255447779450.6670510895558890.666474455222055
1460.2541505742180360.5083011484360710.745849425781964
1470.2528706232855870.5057412465711750.747129376714413
1480.1596123012853570.3192246025707130.840387698714643
1490.08634341410370030.1726868282074010.9136565858963


Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
Description# significant tests% significant testsOK/NOK
1% type I error level00OK
5% type I error level00OK
10% type I error level40.0285714285714286OK