Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation
Loon[t] = + 1.97386995948922 -0.226789724375297Change[t] + 0.919863609515728Size[t] + 0.11669319227812Complex[t] + 0.107922912000111Big4[t] + 0.38889288282041Product[t] + e[t]


Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares
VariableParameterS.D.T-STAT
H0: parameter = 0
2-tail p-value1-tail p-value
(Intercept)1.973869959489220.3374445.849500
Change-0.2267897243752970.176982-1.28140.2051430.102571
Size0.9198636095157280.03632625.322600
Complex0.116693192278120.0550022.12160.0381520.019076
Big40.1079229120001110.2510280.42990.6688440.334422
Product0.388892882820410.1876052.07290.0426310.021316


Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics
Multiple R0.982641681321665
R-squared0.965584673870669
Adjusted R-squared0.962617835411244
F-TEST (value)325.459133375859
F-TEST (DF numerator)5
F-TEST (DF denominator)58
p-value0
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics
Residual Standard Deviation0.67670637370448
Sum Squared Residuals26.5600279403115


Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals
Time or IndexActualsInterpolation
Forecast
Residuals
Prediction Error
11615.4720661399890.527933860011005
2109.844961570894520.155038429105482
31414.2092082221672-0.2092082221672
488.80840476910067-0.80840476910067
51211.39712215892470.602877841075269
698.646301610655560.353698389344443
71817.89525932041110.104740679588946
81212.0901960440652-0.0901960440651619
91615.81554905664240.184450943357586
1067.49305161658359-1.49305161658359
111817.26638339285350.733616607146541
121312.48785920716360.512140792836418
131717.3051966988395-0.305196698839508
141413.51564572867940.484354271320579
1598.762994802933680.237005197066323
161314.1567129874719-1.15671298747191
171312.59578211916370.404217880836307
181516.3531164435187-1.35311644351868
1988.57501838454443-0.575018384544429
201010.531438795854-0.531438795854006
2199.15188768575409-0.151887685754087
221615.70545252454520.294547475454762
231616.0418501726704-0.0418501726703632
2498.691711576822550.308288423177451
251716.39192974950470.608070250495275
261718.5817365453705-1.58173654537054
271516.2364232512406-1.23642325124056
281415.1998664494467-1.19986644944671
291615.31873326182190.681266738178107
301010.0695776751728-0.0695776751727499
31109.721671718435450.278328281564546
321615.08317325716860.916826742831413
331715.70545252454521.29454747545476
34109.682858412449410.317141587550595
351212.4790889268856-0.479088926885572
361717.5451797435767-0.545179743576693
371212.0259980864823-0.0259980864823262
38109.494881994060160.505118005939843
391515.472066139989-0.472066139988997
401817.27298005303440.727019946965597
411514.77899225484860.221007745151434
4276.463091474970680.536908525029316
4399.7282683786164-0.728268378616398
441211.17910271482740.820897285172556
45109.955058102991690.0449418970083054
461514.66889572275140.331104277248611
471716.50862294178280.491377058217155
4887.8819444994040.118055500596002
491313.8591286453328-0.859128645332838
501717.5539500238547-0.553950023854703
5176.804400771527040.195599228472965
521516.3853330893238-1.38533308932378
531413.58692895479050.413071045209452
541010.0717512952698-0.0717512952698151
551514.77899225484860.221007745151434
561615.4720661399890.527933860011003
571413.74243545305470.257564546945283
581817.88866266023010.11133733976989
591212.0259980864823-0.0259980864823262
601616.4632129756159-0.463212975615852
61109.955058102991690.0449418970083054
621817.42848655129860.571513448701428
632120.18148071966480.818519280335188
641615.54334936610010.456650633899876


Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
p-valuesAlternative Hypothesis
breakpoint indexgreater2-sidedless
90.284402440544910.568804881089820.71559755945509
100.7534129904120130.4931740191759750.246587009587987
110.644438303852590.7111233922948210.35556169614741
120.5524698868838510.8950602262322990.447530113116149
130.539468904110150.92106219177970.46053109588985
140.4707157269322310.9414314538644630.529284273067769
150.398222435491960.7964448709839210.60177756450804
160.6120887468383520.7758225063232970.387911253161648
170.5436890351540640.9126219296918720.456310964845936
180.7985761854965720.4028476290068560.201423814503428
190.7692552720795870.4614894558408250.230744727920413
200.7273411167257510.5453177665484980.272658883274249
210.6531769335621920.6936461328756160.346823066437808
220.5826226436977190.8347547126045610.417377356302281
230.49935494111260.99870988222520.5006450588874
240.4423004157205740.8846008314411490.557699584279426
250.4131929117080060.8263858234160130.586807088291994
260.7099156514117090.5801686971765820.290084348588291
270.812052255883330.3758954882333410.18794774411667
280.9225836522357310.1548326955285370.0774163477642687
290.9378991388290670.1242017223418660.0621008611709329
300.9100750551550510.1798498896898990.0899249448449494
310.8806156090804030.2387687818391940.119384390919597
320.9119448343216650.1761103313566690.0880551656783346
330.9721369714860870.05572605702782680.0278630285139134
340.9598770112929610.08024597741407890.0401229887070394
350.9545216714083360.09095665718332770.0454783285916638
360.9512213154970370.09755736900592540.0487786845029627
370.9263683282515130.1472633434969740.0736316717484871
380.9078899182520280.1842201634959450.0921100817479724
390.9034719323483320.1930561353033360.0965280676516681
400.8909316116432230.2181367767135530.109068388356777
410.8516964189393270.2966071621213470.148303581060673
420.8133182498629930.3733635002740140.186681750137007
430.8478739587956910.3042520824086170.152126041204309
440.8216818509076660.3566362981846690.178318149092334
450.7583909942332580.4832180115334840.241609005766742
460.6844057494120150.631188501175970.315594250587985
470.6160166051462960.7679667897074090.383983394853704
480.5317545467179990.9364909065640020.468245453282001
490.5882172732058130.8235654535883740.411782726794187
500.6062016728079570.7875966543840870.393798327192043
510.4962110184255950.992422036851190.503788981574405
520.9753332467326890.04933350653462290.0246667532673114
530.964264317721130.07147136455774080.0357356822788704
540.9114744316780060.1770511366439880.0885255683219941
550.8030086142501850.3939827714996310.196991385749815


Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
Description# significant tests% significant testsOK/NOK
1% type I error level00OK
5% type I error level10.0212765957446809OK
10% type I error level60.127659574468085NOK