Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation
Loon[t] = + 3.50066291082927 -0.110923670252448Change[t] + 0.554021747580255Size[t] + 0.512457650061833Complex[t] -0.235593372225139Big4[t] + 0.353091681649952Product[t] + e[t]


Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares
VariableParameterS.D.T-STAT
H0: parameter = 0
2-tail p-value1-tail p-value
(Intercept)3.500662910829271.0058113.48040.0009570.000479
Change-0.1109236702524480.527526-0.21030.8341930.417096
Size0.5540217475802550.1082755.11684e-062e-06
Complex0.5124576500618330.1639423.12580.0027690.001385
Big4-0.2355933722251390.748233-0.31490.7539930.376997
Product0.3530916816499520.559190.63140.5302380.265119


Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics
Multiple R0.795891501198665
R-squared0.633443281680265
Adjusted R-squared0.601843564583736
F-TEST (value)20.0458529342292
F-TEST (DF numerator)5
F-TEST (DF denominator)58
p-value1.4878875909119e-11
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics
Residual Standard Deviation2.0170432757326
Sum Squared Residuals235.970887418329


Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals
Time or IndexActualsInterpolation
Forecast
Residuals
Prediction Error
11512.80091496631072.1990850336893
2109.712377853054320.287622146945684
31413.34116809158810.658831908411854
4108.645898455412231.35410154458777
5109.317744664468520.682255335531483
678.40373044401472-1.40373044401472
71616.4712467117804-0.471246711780384
899.76084274179632-0.760842741796324
91213.424296286625-1.42429628662499
1066.8247933963108-0.824793396310802
111314.1792481001355-1.17924810013555
121210.86198544573321.13801455426675
131512.99496683162.0050331684
14811.1804138210884-3.18041382108836
15118.916188094076562.08381190592344
161110.97980990720930.0201900927907174
171010.6263920735081-0.626392073508109
181414.5392179824265-0.539217982426511
1997.620983155288561.37901684471144
2069.2414843005109-3.2414843005109
2199.26927977572651-0.269279775726509
221513.82583026643441.17416973356563
231111.8175637637055-0.817563763705463
24108.133440805350391.86655919464961
251413.3549367138910.645063286109037
261516.000353159237-1.00035315923697
27914.0267603323647-5.02676033236468
281312.96028093472260.0397190652774104
291313.3067979772002-0.306797977200177
30119.989242130891011.01075786910899
3188.28592857312126-0.285928573121264
321212.4478232846608-0.447823284660756
331413.82583026643440.174169733565625
34119.470209841656811.52979015834319
35910.1139344234463-1.11393442344628
361714.93387376159492.06612623840512
371211.60974327611340.390256723886646
38108.175004902868821.82499509713118
391312.80091496631070.199085033689292
401615.09323973000680.906760269993234
411412.35781688898291.6421831110171
42126.672305628539935.32769437146007
4369.19992020299248-3.19992020299248
4489.95487201650304-1.95487201650304
4589.31084387324493-1.31084387324493
461612.75935086879233.24064913120771
471713.86739436395283.1326056360472
4897.177885077960751.82211492203925
49911.8037951414026-2.80379514140265
501415.6819247838819-1.68192478388186
5167.46162755643846-1.46162755643846
52812.4409450840197-4.44094508401974
531211.96316110981450.0368388901854729
5489.82330152330676-1.82330152330676
551412.35781688898291.6421831110171
561212.8009149663107-0.800914966310708
571111.2913374913408-0.291337491340812
581715.55725508190921.44274491809083
59811.6097432761134-3.60974327611335
601514.13768400261710.862315997382874
6179.31084387324493-2.31084387324493
621614.42141611153311.57858388846695
631715.16948972440261.8305102755974
641613.58366225503692.41633774496313


Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
p-valuesAlternative Hypothesis
breakpoint indexgreater2-sidedless
90.2516447798769690.5032895597539390.748355220123031
100.1253937781444090.2507875562888190.874606221855591
110.08272899764264980.16545799528530.91727100235735
120.0436440785528770.0872881571057540.956355921447123
130.02281743273767630.04563486547535270.977182567262324
140.2739739284553890.5479478569107790.726026071544611
150.3113749697469440.6227499394938870.688625030253056
160.2239384173305660.4478768346611330.776061582669434
170.1551954019613580.3103908039227150.844804598038642
180.103397843386340.206795686772680.89660215661366
190.07193912288004710.1438782457600940.928060877119953
200.1957142191787690.3914284383575390.804285780821231
210.1437285573872130.2874571147744270.856271442612787
220.1167859369456610.2335718738913220.883214063054339
230.08373736029609860.1674747205921970.916262639703901
240.07804609156314540.1560921831262910.921953908436855
250.05376771559183830.1075354311836770.946232284408162
260.03798495963674310.07596991927348630.962015040363257
270.1681765614687360.3363531229374710.831823438531264
280.1419749960796650.283949992159330.858025003920335
290.1037727668012880.2075455336025750.896227233198712
300.07964292310469580.1592858462093920.920357076895304
310.05890866009571790.1178173201914360.941091339904282
320.0461450651338920.0922901302677840.953854934866108
330.03004169207103760.06008338414207530.969958307928962
340.0247623421284980.0495246842569960.975237657871502
350.01887961529983590.03775923059967180.981120384700164
360.02013376418811720.04026752837623440.979866235811883
370.01285983569738860.02571967139477710.987140164302611
380.01123360197286020.02246720394572040.98876639802714
390.006539373333772970.01307874666754590.993460626666227
400.004805629314585870.009611258629171730.995194370685414
410.003751301913498740.007502603826997490.996248698086501
420.08202361405421650.1640472281084330.917976385945783
430.1063100016727950.212620003345590.893689998327205
440.09266623181576240.1853324636315250.907333768184238
450.06896223602629510.137924472052590.931037763973705
460.1239645249459130.2479290498918260.876035475054087
470.2251514093616470.4503028187232940.774848590638353
480.4346151356107650.869230271221530.565384864389235
490.4731038085896510.9462076171793020.526896191410349
500.4342487822797520.8684975645595030.565751217720248
510.4176831538325480.8353663076650950.582316846167452
520.9050423019117850.1899153961764290.0949576980882145
530.8301277697041730.3397444605916540.169872230295827
540.7204810653732310.5590378692535390.279518934626769
550.7060823534450380.5878352931099240.293917646554962


Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
Description# significant tests% significant testsOK/NOK
1% type I error level20.0425531914893617NOK
5% type I error level90.191489361702128NOK
10% type I error level130.276595744680851NOK