| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 0.758461231173782 |
| beta | 0 |
| gamma | 1 |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 13 | 30.8 | 31.0295130932007 | -0.229513093200673 |
| 14 | 30.74 | 30.7985139390763 | -0.0585139390763416 |
| 15 | 30.71 | 30.7239286864673 | -0.0139286864672847 |
| 16 | 30.58 | 30.565732339645 | 0.0142676603549496 |
| 17 | 30.71 | 30.6738569167536 | 0.0361430832464222 |
| 18 | 30.7 | 30.6610979850371 | 0.038902014962936 |
| 19 | 30.7 | 30.7657518124672 | -0.0657518124671554 |
| 20 | 30.72 | 30.7071150131168 | 0.0128849868831722 |
| 21 | 30.68 | 30.6640828872898 | 0.0159171127102091 |
| 22 | 30.78 | 30.402841548659 | 0.377158451341039 |
| 23 | 30.84 | 30.7838966493506 | 0.0561033506493764 |
| 24 | 30.8 | 30.8187395581557 | -0.0187395581556693 |
| 25 | 30.8 | 30.7335793972693 | 0.0664206027307301 |
| 26 | 30.88 | 30.7683092284805 | 0.111690771519466 |
| 27 | 30.87 | 30.8336265541972 | 0.0363734458028233 |
| 28 | 30.92 | 30.7198483772703 | 0.200151622729749 |
| 29 | 30.82 | 30.975504980166 | -0.155504980166025 |
| 30 | 30.75 | 30.8180029448015 | -0.0680029448014778 |
| 31 | 30.75 | 30.8164439943423 | -0.0664439943422934 |
| 32 | 30.75 | 30.7763631436589 | -0.0263631436588625 |
| 33 | 30.63 | 30.7042683920392 | -0.0742683920392295 |
| 34 | 30.52 | 30.4611928839052 | 0.0588071160947905 |
| 35 | 30.58 | 30.5227970882121 | 0.057202911787865 |
| 36 | 30.6 | 30.5403517368031 | 0.0596482631969124 |
| 37 | 30.6 | 30.535326948408 | 0.064673051591992 |
| 38 | 30.63 | 30.5794110362067 | 0.0505889637932775 |
| 39 | 30.56 | 30.5802445472788 | -0.0202445472787751 |
| 40 | 30.61 | 30.4635517597572 | 0.14644824024284 |
| 41 | 30.53 | 30.5918876859844 | -0.0618876859843915 |
| 42 | 30.6 | 30.5263900464164 | 0.0736099535836203 |
| 43 | 30.6 | 30.6321471087439 | -0.0321471087438852 |
| 44 | 30.63 | 30.6275215109021 | 0.00247848909789994 |
| 45 | 30.66 | 30.5658275796859 | 0.0941724203140559 |
| 46 | 30.34 | 30.4826006428311 | -0.14260064283113 |
| 47 | 30.32 | 30.3908126769674 | -0.0708126769673889 |
| 48 | 30.3 | 30.3117993189941 | -0.0117993189941323 |
| 49 | 30.3 | 30.2539524408127 | 0.0460475591873291 |
| 50 | 30.08 | 30.2802666352654 | -0.200266635265422 |
| 51 | 29.96 | 30.0741183941002 | -0.11411839410022 |
| 52 | 29.91 | 29.926934210457 | -0.0169342104570163 |
| 53 | 29.83 | 29.8810641465671 | -0.0510641465670787 |
| 54 | 29.89 | 29.8554635014911 | 0.0345364985089276 |
| 55 | 29.85 | 29.90474233412 | -0.0547423341199718 |
| 56 | 30.06 | 29.889925887053 | 0.170074112947034 |
| 57 | 29.83 | 29.9776562967155 | -0.147656296715493 |
| 58 | 29.95 | 29.658399915659 | 0.291600084341038 |
| 59 | 30.02 | 29.9122703728119 | 0.107729627188135 |
| 60 | 30.03 | 29.982717321719 | 0.0472826782809577 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 61 | 29.9836815476486 | 29.7629314814413 | 30.2044316138559 |
| 62 | 29.9157266050638 | 29.638790423365 | 30.1926627867625 |
| 63 | 29.8822176053627 | 29.5586197912974 | 30.205815419428 |
| 64 | 29.845076932496 | 29.4807811098234 | 30.2093727551686 |
| 65 | 29.8038144160439 | 29.4029853564848 | 30.2046434756031 |
| 66 | 29.8375559687487 | 29.4024675394004 | 30.272644398097 |
| 67 | 29.8390011229641 | 29.3724202497635 | 30.3055819961646 |
| 68 | 29.9197888622145 | 29.4225904489006 | 30.4169872755283 |
| 69 | 29.8020547124015 | 29.2786783278106 | 30.3254310969924 |
| 70 | 29.7004326148413 | 29.1520256585116 | 30.2488395711709 |
| 71 | 29.6884960365999 | 29.1147927460695 | 30.2621993271304 |
| 72 | 29.6625679317812 | 22.4227246215064 | 36.902411242056 |
