Free Statistics

of Irreproducible Research!

Author's title

Author*Unverified author*
R Software Modulerwasp_exponentialsmoothing.wasp
Title produced by softwareExponential Smoothing
Date of computationWed, 28 Dec 2011 14:34:34 -0500
Cite this page as followsStatistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?v=date/2011/Dec/28/t1325101124zl64utcs7o4zija.htm/, Retrieved Fri, 03 May 2024 06:56:50 +0000
Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=160888, Retrieved Fri, 03 May 2024 06:56:50 +0000
QR Codes:

Original text written by user:
IsPrivate?No (this computation is public)
User-defined keywordsKDGP2W102
Estimated Impact143
Family? (F = Feedback message, R = changed R code, M = changed R Module, P = changed Parameters, D = changed Data)
-       [Exponential Smoothing] [index uitrusting ...] [2011-12-28 19:34:34] [77544ad9bc6b823fffe5e8df50f1b7b2] [Current]
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Dataseries X:
98,6
98,8
99,9
100,3
100,2
100,2
100,6
100,4
100,7
100,9
99,7
99,7
96,8
99,2
99,9
99,3
98,9
98,9
98,7
98,4
98,6
98,5
98,1
98,3
98,1
97,9
99,1
98,5
98,2
97,8
98
98
97,6
97,6
97,6
97,5
96,1
96,1
96,3
96,3
96,3
96
96
95,2
96
96,1
95,3
95,1
94,8
94,5
94,7
94,8
94,5
94,5
92,8
92,8
94,5
94,4
94,2
94,1
92,9
93,3
93,6
93,6
94
94
94,2
93,3
93
93
94,7
95,6
95,8
96
95,4
95,3
94,4
94,4
94,3
93,9
94,5
93,6
93,9
93,9
93,7
94,6
94,4
94
91,1
91,1
90,7
90,8
89,8
90,7
90,3
89,7
89
88,4
89,3
89,3
89,3
89,3
88,4
89,4
91,3
90,9
91
89,3
88,1
89
90,1
90,6
90,6
90,2
89,5
90,5
90,4
89,7
90
90,2
89,3
89,6
89,8
89,4
89,3
89,4
89,5
89,2
90
88
88,3
89,1




Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time2 seconds
R Server'Gertrude Mary Cox' @ cox.wessa.net

\begin{tabular}{lllllllll}
\hline
Summary of computational transaction \tabularnewline
Raw Input & view raw input (R code)  \tabularnewline
Raw Output & view raw output of R engine  \tabularnewline
Computing time & 2 seconds \tabularnewline
R Server & 'Gertrude Mary Cox' @ cox.wessa.net \tabularnewline
\hline
\end{tabular}
%Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=160888&T=0

[TABLE]
[ROW][C]Summary of computational transaction[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Raw Input[/C][C]view raw input (R code) [/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Raw Output[/C][C]view raw output of R engine [/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Computing time[/C][C]2 seconds[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]R Server[/C][C]'Gertrude Mary Cox' @ cox.wessa.net[/C][/ROW]
[/TABLE]
Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=160888&T=0

Globally Unique Identifier (entire table): ba.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=160888&T=0

As an alternative you can also use a QR Code:  

The GUIDs for individual cells are displayed in the table below:

Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time2 seconds
R Server'Gertrude Mary Cox' @ cox.wessa.net







Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.887025454798225
beta0.0292195142885685
gammaFALSE

\begin{tabular}{lllllllll}
\hline
Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing \tabularnewline
Parameter & Value \tabularnewline
alpha & 0.887025454798225 \tabularnewline
beta & 0.0292195142885685 \tabularnewline
gamma & FALSE \tabularnewline
\hline
\end{tabular}
%Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=160888&T=1

[TABLE]
[ROW][C]Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]Parameter[/C][C]Value[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]alpha[/C][C]0.887025454798225[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]beta[/C][C]0.0292195142885685[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]gamma[/C][C]FALSE[/C][/ROW]
[/TABLE]
Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=160888&T=1

Globally Unique Identifier (entire table): ba.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=160888&T=1

As an alternative you can also use a QR Code:  

The GUIDs for individual cells are displayed in the table below:

Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.887025454798225
beta0.0292195142885685
gammaFALSE







Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
399.9990.900000000000006
4100.3100.0216495169740.278350483025875
5100.2100.499094502327-0.299094502327307
6100.2100.45657902014-0.256579020140236
7100.6100.4451257216140.154874278385549
8100.4100.802656074039-0.402656074039342
9100.7100.655206589530.0447934104696088
10100.9100.905817163419-0.00581716341898186
1199.7101.11138409811-1.41138409811008
1299.7100.033596490965-0.333596490965064
1396.899.9031876212681-3.10318762126813
1499.297.23565109724961.96434890275036
1599.999.11406134777020.785938652229845
1699.399.9675620238639-0.667562023863866
1798.999.5144684267888-0.614468426788747
1898.999.0925441307966-0.192544130796605
1998.799.0398869793523-0.339886979352301
2098.498.8477236259737-0.44772362597368
2198.698.54830211834710.0516978816529274
2298.598.6932201297722-0.193220129772229
2398.198.6158816638821-0.51588166388207
2498.398.23896334931870.0610366506812881
2598.198.3753682406713-0.275368240671312
2697.998.2062363114855-0.306236311485534
2799.198.0017864463161.09821355368402
2898.599.0715833578608-0.571583357860831
2998.298.6454133481538-0.445413348153764
3097.898.3196149237812-0.519614923781234
319897.91453019808640.0854698019135611
329898.0483862714321-0.0483862714321361
3397.698.0622545031413-0.462254503141295
3497.697.6970301568011-0.0970301568011251
3597.697.6532542308229-0.0532542308228727
3697.597.6469283982187-0.146928398218677
3796.197.553703037901-1.45370303790101
3896.196.263657574708-0.163657574708054
3996.396.11367352406410.1863264759359
4096.396.27896352911480.0210364708852353
4196.396.29818232504260.0018176749573513
429696.3004006710948-0.300400671094792
439696.0267577306315-0.0267577306315019
4495.295.9951495249025-0.795149524902541
459695.26134919284710.738650807152936
4696.195.9072134840950.19278651590497
4795.396.0738789823827-0.773878982382669
4895.195.3630298314195-0.263029831419473
4994.895.0984995546124-0.298499554612391
5094.594.7947700837965-0.294770083796479
5194.794.4867087639790.213291236020964
5294.894.63483894630370.165161053696323
5394.594.7445571507618-0.244557150761807
5494.594.48450633556560.0154936644344446
5592.894.4555287848021-1.65552878480209
5692.892.9014030411089-0.101403041108952
5794.592.72319818207881.7768018179212
5894.494.25706079665480.142939203345207
5994.294.3453504454754-0.14535044547543
6094.194.1741525787549-0.0741525787548909
6192.994.0641871120191-1.16418711201914
6293.392.95715933878010.342840661219881
6393.693.19578946103940.404210538960555
6493.693.49933273884890.100667261151131
659493.53623454228030.463765457719731
669493.90723377185550.0927662281445407
6794.293.95155159820650.248448401793482
6893.394.1404028736551-0.840402873655094
699393.3416334089507-0.341633408950713
709392.97643054607890.0235694539210982
7194.792.93578280252211.76421719747789
7295.694.48485969576511.1151403042349
7395.895.48709157408910.312908425910933
749695.78583345800390.21416654199605
7595.496.002539642874-0.602539642873964
7695.395.4791897572883-0.179189757288327
7794.495.3267176752095-0.926717675209503
7894.494.4871502132987-0.087150213298699
7994.394.3900416624201-0.0900416624200773
8093.994.2880345819785-0.388034581978488
8194.593.91164294048270.588357059517335
8293.694.4165848436112-0.816584843611238
8393.993.65414290030260.245857099697389
8493.993.84048624062520.0595137593748376
8593.793.8630807993218-0.163080799321776
8694.693.68400151633050.915998483669483
8794.494.4858342886999-0.0858342886998855
889494.3967911985533-0.396791198553345
8991.194.0216372000104-2.92163720001039
9091.191.3311562124217-0.231156212421737
9190.791.0212091350589-0.321209135058936
9290.890.62305757918360.176942420816417
9389.890.6713652075259-0.87136520752594
9490.789.76721284693520.932787153064766
9590.390.4875659544626-0.187565954462613
9689.790.209275917885-0.509275917884992
978989.6324213107729-0.632421310772855
9888.488.9299422235397-0.529942223539692
9989.388.30462941267940.995370587320608
10089.389.05810635731810.24189364268193
10189.389.14949958145560.150500418544397
10289.389.16372542740420.136274572595809
10388.489.1688646119785-0.768864611978543
10489.488.3511945184291.04880548157097
10591.389.17302748181212.12697251818794
10690.991.006349888339-0.106349888339011
1079190.85590204692810.144097953071906
10889.390.9313426119649-1.63134261196493
10988.189.3896403255979-1.2896403255979
1108988.11761118309870.882388816901297
11190.188.7950973315951.30490266840496
11290.689.88118507979640.718814920203627
11390.690.46602864728740.133971352712607
11490.290.5355734135409-0.335573413540899
11589.590.1799224762299-0.679922476229876
11690.589.50120261626750.998797383732537
11790.490.33743728656470.0625627134353408
11889.790.3448295013883-0.644829501388287
1199089.70803383204430.291966167955749
12090.289.90976707874050.290232921259502
12189.390.1174852798122-0.817485279812161
12289.689.32144128602720.278558713972814
12389.889.50483602523030.295163974769679
12489.489.7106102470367-0.310610247036664
12589.389.3709967771664-0.0709967771663571
12689.489.24208642775490.157913572245107
12789.589.32031826063070.179681739369315
12889.289.4225160845579-0.22251608455791
1299089.16218692812880.837813071871182
1308889.8641115426019-1.86411154260192
13188.388.12104535977950.178954640220468
13289.188.19486911438090.905130885619073

\begin{tabular}{lllllllll}
\hline
Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing \tabularnewline
t & Observed & Fitted & Residuals \tabularnewline
3 & 99.9 & 99 & 0.900000000000006 \tabularnewline
4 & 100.3 & 100.021649516974 & 0.278350483025875 \tabularnewline
5 & 100.2 & 100.499094502327 & -0.299094502327307 \tabularnewline
6 & 100.2 & 100.45657902014 & -0.256579020140236 \tabularnewline
7 & 100.6 & 100.445125721614 & 0.154874278385549 \tabularnewline
8 & 100.4 & 100.802656074039 & -0.402656074039342 \tabularnewline
9 & 100.7 & 100.65520658953 & 0.0447934104696088 \tabularnewline
10 & 100.9 & 100.905817163419 & -0.00581716341898186 \tabularnewline
11 & 99.7 & 101.11138409811 & -1.41138409811008 \tabularnewline
12 & 99.7 & 100.033596490965 & -0.333596490965064 \tabularnewline
13 & 96.8 & 99.9031876212681 & -3.10318762126813 \tabularnewline
14 & 99.2 & 97.2356510972496 & 1.96434890275036 \tabularnewline
15 & 99.9 & 99.1140613477702 & 0.785938652229845 \tabularnewline
16 & 99.3 & 99.9675620238639 & -0.667562023863866 \tabularnewline
17 & 98.9 & 99.5144684267888 & -0.614468426788747 \tabularnewline
18 & 98.9 & 99.0925441307966 & -0.192544130796605 \tabularnewline
19 & 98.7 & 99.0398869793523 & -0.339886979352301 \tabularnewline
20 & 98.4 & 98.8477236259737 & -0.44772362597368 \tabularnewline
21 & 98.6 & 98.5483021183471 & 0.0516978816529274 \tabularnewline
22 & 98.5 & 98.6932201297722 & -0.193220129772229 \tabularnewline
23 & 98.1 & 98.6158816638821 & -0.51588166388207 \tabularnewline
24 & 98.3 & 98.2389633493187 & 0.0610366506812881 \tabularnewline
25 & 98.1 & 98.3753682406713 & -0.275368240671312 \tabularnewline
26 & 97.9 & 98.2062363114855 & -0.306236311485534 \tabularnewline
27 & 99.1 & 98.001786446316 & 1.09821355368402 \tabularnewline
28 & 98.5 & 99.0715833578608 & -0.571583357860831 \tabularnewline
29 & 98.2 & 98.6454133481538 & -0.445413348153764 \tabularnewline
30 & 97.8 & 98.3196149237812 & -0.519614923781234 \tabularnewline
31 & 98 & 97.9145301980864 & 0.0854698019135611 \tabularnewline
32 & 98 & 98.0483862714321 & -0.0483862714321361 \tabularnewline
33 & 97.6 & 98.0622545031413 & -0.462254503141295 \tabularnewline
34 & 97.6 & 97.6970301568011 & -0.0970301568011251 \tabularnewline
35 & 97.6 & 97.6532542308229 & -0.0532542308228727 \tabularnewline
36 & 97.5 & 97.6469283982187 & -0.146928398218677 \tabularnewline
37 & 96.1 & 97.553703037901 & -1.45370303790101 \tabularnewline
38 & 96.1 & 96.263657574708 & -0.163657574708054 \tabularnewline
39 & 96.3 & 96.1136735240641 & 0.1863264759359 \tabularnewline
40 & 96.3 & 96.2789635291148 & 0.0210364708852353 \tabularnewline
41 & 96.3 & 96.2981823250426 & 0.0018176749573513 \tabularnewline
42 & 96 & 96.3004006710948 & -0.300400671094792 \tabularnewline
43 & 96 & 96.0267577306315 & -0.0267577306315019 \tabularnewline
44 & 95.2 & 95.9951495249025 & -0.795149524902541 \tabularnewline
45 & 96 & 95.2613491928471 & 0.738650807152936 \tabularnewline
46 & 96.1 & 95.907213484095 & 0.19278651590497 \tabularnewline
47 & 95.3 & 96.0738789823827 & -0.773878982382669 \tabularnewline
48 & 95.1 & 95.3630298314195 & -0.263029831419473 \tabularnewline
49 & 94.8 & 95.0984995546124 & -0.298499554612391 \tabularnewline
50 & 94.5 & 94.7947700837965 & -0.294770083796479 \tabularnewline
51 & 94.7 & 94.486708763979 & 0.213291236020964 \tabularnewline
52 & 94.8 & 94.6348389463037 & 0.165161053696323 \tabularnewline
53 & 94.5 & 94.7445571507618 & -0.244557150761807 \tabularnewline
54 & 94.5 & 94.4845063355656 & 0.0154936644344446 \tabularnewline
55 & 92.8 & 94.4555287848021 & -1.65552878480209 \tabularnewline
56 & 92.8 & 92.9014030411089 & -0.101403041108952 \tabularnewline
57 & 94.5 & 92.7231981820788 & 1.7768018179212 \tabularnewline
58 & 94.4 & 94.2570607966548 & 0.142939203345207 \tabularnewline
59 & 94.2 & 94.3453504454754 & -0.14535044547543 \tabularnewline
60 & 94.1 & 94.1741525787549 & -0.0741525787548909 \tabularnewline
61 & 92.9 & 94.0641871120191 & -1.16418711201914 \tabularnewline
62 & 93.3 & 92.9571593387801 & 0.342840661219881 \tabularnewline
63 & 93.6 & 93.1957894610394 & 0.404210538960555 \tabularnewline
64 & 93.6 & 93.4993327388489 & 0.100667261151131 \tabularnewline
65 & 94 & 93.5362345422803 & 0.463765457719731 \tabularnewline
66 & 94 & 93.9072337718555 & 0.0927662281445407 \tabularnewline
67 & 94.2 & 93.9515515982065 & 0.248448401793482 \tabularnewline
68 & 93.3 & 94.1404028736551 & -0.840402873655094 \tabularnewline
69 & 93 & 93.3416334089507 & -0.341633408950713 \tabularnewline
70 & 93 & 92.9764305460789 & 0.0235694539210982 \tabularnewline
71 & 94.7 & 92.9357828025221 & 1.76421719747789 \tabularnewline
72 & 95.6 & 94.4848596957651 & 1.1151403042349 \tabularnewline
73 & 95.8 & 95.4870915740891 & 0.312908425910933 \tabularnewline
74 & 96 & 95.7858334580039 & 0.21416654199605 \tabularnewline
75 & 95.4 & 96.002539642874 & -0.602539642873964 \tabularnewline
76 & 95.3 & 95.4791897572883 & -0.179189757288327 \tabularnewline
77 & 94.4 & 95.3267176752095 & -0.926717675209503 \tabularnewline
78 & 94.4 & 94.4871502132987 & -0.087150213298699 \tabularnewline
79 & 94.3 & 94.3900416624201 & -0.0900416624200773 \tabularnewline
80 & 93.9 & 94.2880345819785 & -0.388034581978488 \tabularnewline
81 & 94.5 & 93.9116429404827 & 0.588357059517335 \tabularnewline
82 & 93.6 & 94.4165848436112 & -0.816584843611238 \tabularnewline
83 & 93.9 & 93.6541429003026 & 0.245857099697389 \tabularnewline
84 & 93.9 & 93.8404862406252 & 0.0595137593748376 \tabularnewline
85 & 93.7 & 93.8630807993218 & -0.163080799321776 \tabularnewline
86 & 94.6 & 93.6840015163305 & 0.915998483669483 \tabularnewline
87 & 94.4 & 94.4858342886999 & -0.0858342886998855 \tabularnewline
88 & 94 & 94.3967911985533 & -0.396791198553345 \tabularnewline
89 & 91.1 & 94.0216372000104 & -2.92163720001039 \tabularnewline
90 & 91.1 & 91.3311562124217 & -0.231156212421737 \tabularnewline
91 & 90.7 & 91.0212091350589 & -0.321209135058936 \tabularnewline
92 & 90.8 & 90.6230575791836 & 0.176942420816417 \tabularnewline
93 & 89.8 & 90.6713652075259 & -0.87136520752594 \tabularnewline
94 & 90.7 & 89.7672128469352 & 0.932787153064766 \tabularnewline
95 & 90.3 & 90.4875659544626 & -0.187565954462613 \tabularnewline
96 & 89.7 & 90.209275917885 & -0.509275917884992 \tabularnewline
97 & 89 & 89.6324213107729 & -0.632421310772855 \tabularnewline
98 & 88.4 & 88.9299422235397 & -0.529942223539692 \tabularnewline
99 & 89.3 & 88.3046294126794 & 0.995370587320608 \tabularnewline
100 & 89.3 & 89.0581063573181 & 0.24189364268193 \tabularnewline
101 & 89.3 & 89.1494995814556 & 0.150500418544397 \tabularnewline
102 & 89.3 & 89.1637254274042 & 0.136274572595809 \tabularnewline
103 & 88.4 & 89.1688646119785 & -0.768864611978543 \tabularnewline
104 & 89.4 & 88.351194518429 & 1.04880548157097 \tabularnewline
105 & 91.3 & 89.1730274818121 & 2.12697251818794 \tabularnewline
106 & 90.9 & 91.006349888339 & -0.106349888339011 \tabularnewline
107 & 91 & 90.8559020469281 & 0.144097953071906 \tabularnewline
108 & 89.3 & 90.9313426119649 & -1.63134261196493 \tabularnewline
109 & 88.1 & 89.3896403255979 & -1.2896403255979 \tabularnewline
110 & 89 & 88.1176111830987 & 0.882388816901297 \tabularnewline
111 & 90.1 & 88.795097331595 & 1.30490266840496 \tabularnewline
112 & 90.6 & 89.8811850797964 & 0.718814920203627 \tabularnewline
113 & 90.6 & 90.4660286472874 & 0.133971352712607 \tabularnewline
114 & 90.2 & 90.5355734135409 & -0.335573413540899 \tabularnewline
115 & 89.5 & 90.1799224762299 & -0.679922476229876 \tabularnewline
116 & 90.5 & 89.5012026162675 & 0.998797383732537 \tabularnewline
117 & 90.4 & 90.3374372865647 & 0.0625627134353408 \tabularnewline
118 & 89.7 & 90.3448295013883 & -0.644829501388287 \tabularnewline
119 & 90 & 89.7080338320443 & 0.291966167955749 \tabularnewline
120 & 90.2 & 89.9097670787405 & 0.290232921259502 \tabularnewline
121 & 89.3 & 90.1174852798122 & -0.817485279812161 \tabularnewline
122 & 89.6 & 89.3214412860272 & 0.278558713972814 \tabularnewline
123 & 89.8 & 89.5048360252303 & 0.295163974769679 \tabularnewline
124 & 89.4 & 89.7106102470367 & -0.310610247036664 \tabularnewline
125 & 89.3 & 89.3709967771664 & -0.0709967771663571 \tabularnewline
126 & 89.4 & 89.2420864277549 & 0.157913572245107 \tabularnewline
127 & 89.5 & 89.3203182606307 & 0.179681739369315 \tabularnewline
128 & 89.2 & 89.4225160845579 & -0.22251608455791 \tabularnewline
129 & 90 & 89.1621869281288 & 0.837813071871182 \tabularnewline
130 & 88 & 89.8641115426019 & -1.86411154260192 \tabularnewline
131 & 88.3 & 88.1210453597795 & 0.178954640220468 \tabularnewline
132 & 89.1 & 88.1948691143809 & 0.905130885619073 \tabularnewline
\hline
\end{tabular}
%Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=160888&T=2

[TABLE]
[ROW][C]Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]t[/C][C]Observed[/C][C]Fitted[/C][C]Residuals[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]3[/C][C]99.9[/C][C]99[/C][C]0.900000000000006[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]4[/C][C]100.3[/C][C]100.021649516974[/C][C]0.278350483025875[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]5[/C][C]100.2[/C][C]100.499094502327[/C][C]-0.299094502327307[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]6[/C][C]100.2[/C][C]100.45657902014[/C][C]-0.256579020140236[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]7[/C][C]100.6[/C][C]100.445125721614[/C][C]0.154874278385549[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]8[/C][C]100.4[/C][C]100.802656074039[/C][C]-0.402656074039342[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]9[/C][C]100.7[/C][C]100.65520658953[/C][C]0.0447934104696088[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]10[/C][C]100.9[/C][C]100.905817163419[/C][C]-0.00581716341898186[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]11[/C][C]99.7[/C][C]101.11138409811[/C][C]-1.41138409811008[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]12[/C][C]99.7[/C][C]100.033596490965[/C][C]-0.333596490965064[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]13[/C][C]96.8[/C][C]99.9031876212681[/C][C]-3.10318762126813[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]14[/C][C]99.2[/C][C]97.2356510972496[/C][C]1.96434890275036[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]15[/C][C]99.9[/C][C]99.1140613477702[/C][C]0.785938652229845[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]16[/C][C]99.3[/C][C]99.9675620238639[/C][C]-0.667562023863866[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]17[/C][C]98.9[/C][C]99.5144684267888[/C][C]-0.614468426788747[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]18[/C][C]98.9[/C][C]99.0925441307966[/C][C]-0.192544130796605[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]19[/C][C]98.7[/C][C]99.0398869793523[/C][C]-0.339886979352301[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]20[/C][C]98.4[/C][C]98.8477236259737[/C][C]-0.44772362597368[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]21[/C][C]98.6[/C][C]98.5483021183471[/C][C]0.0516978816529274[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]22[/C][C]98.5[/C][C]98.6932201297722[/C][C]-0.193220129772229[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]23[/C][C]98.1[/C][C]98.6158816638821[/C][C]-0.51588166388207[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]24[/C][C]98.3[/C][C]98.2389633493187[/C][C]0.0610366506812881[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]25[/C][C]98.1[/C][C]98.3753682406713[/C][C]-0.275368240671312[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]26[/C][C]97.9[/C][C]98.2062363114855[/C][C]-0.306236311485534[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]27[/C][C]99.1[/C][C]98.001786446316[/C][C]1.09821355368402[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]28[/C][C]98.5[/C][C]99.0715833578608[/C][C]-0.571583357860831[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]29[/C][C]98.2[/C][C]98.6454133481538[/C][C]-0.445413348153764[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]30[/C][C]97.8[/C][C]98.3196149237812[/C][C]-0.519614923781234[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]31[/C][C]98[/C][C]97.9145301980864[/C][C]0.0854698019135611[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]32[/C][C]98[/C][C]98.0483862714321[/C][C]-0.0483862714321361[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]33[/C][C]97.6[/C][C]98.0622545031413[/C][C]-0.462254503141295[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]34[/C][C]97.6[/C][C]97.6970301568011[/C][C]-0.0970301568011251[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]35[/C][C]97.6[/C][C]97.6532542308229[/C][C]-0.0532542308228727[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]36[/C][C]97.5[/C][C]97.6469283982187[/C][C]-0.146928398218677[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]37[/C][C]96.1[/C][C]97.553703037901[/C][C]-1.45370303790101[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]38[/C][C]96.1[/C][C]96.263657574708[/C][C]-0.163657574708054[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]39[/C][C]96.3[/C][C]96.1136735240641[/C][C]0.1863264759359[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]40[/C][C]96.3[/C][C]96.2789635291148[/C][C]0.0210364708852353[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]41[/C][C]96.3[/C][C]96.2981823250426[/C][C]0.0018176749573513[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]42[/C][C]96[/C][C]96.3004006710948[/C][C]-0.300400671094792[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]43[/C][C]96[/C][C]96.0267577306315[/C][C]-0.0267577306315019[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]44[/C][C]95.2[/C][C]95.9951495249025[/C][C]-0.795149524902541[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]45[/C][C]96[/C][C]95.2613491928471[/C][C]0.738650807152936[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]46[/C][C]96.1[/C][C]95.907213484095[/C][C]0.19278651590497[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]47[/C][C]95.3[/C][C]96.0738789823827[/C][C]-0.773878982382669[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]48[/C][C]95.1[/C][C]95.3630298314195[/C][C]-0.263029831419473[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]49[/C][C]94.8[/C][C]95.0984995546124[/C][C]-0.298499554612391[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]50[/C][C]94.5[/C][C]94.7947700837965[/C][C]-0.294770083796479[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]51[/C][C]94.7[/C][C]94.486708763979[/C][C]0.213291236020964[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]52[/C][C]94.8[/C][C]94.6348389463037[/C][C]0.165161053696323[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]53[/C][C]94.5[/C][C]94.7445571507618[/C][C]-0.244557150761807[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]54[/C][C]94.5[/C][C]94.4845063355656[/C][C]0.0154936644344446[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]55[/C][C]92.8[/C][C]94.4555287848021[/C][C]-1.65552878480209[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]56[/C][C]92.8[/C][C]92.9014030411089[/C][C]-0.101403041108952[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]57[/C][C]94.5[/C][C]92.7231981820788[/C][C]1.7768018179212[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]58[/C][C]94.4[/C][C]94.2570607966548[/C][C]0.142939203345207[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]59[/C][C]94.2[/C][C]94.3453504454754[/C][C]-0.14535044547543[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]60[/C][C]94.1[/C][C]94.1741525787549[/C][C]-0.0741525787548909[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]61[/C][C]92.9[/C][C]94.0641871120191[/C][C]-1.16418711201914[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]62[/C][C]93.3[/C][C]92.9571593387801[/C][C]0.342840661219881[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]63[/C][C]93.6[/C][C]93.1957894610394[/C][C]0.404210538960555[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]64[/C][C]93.6[/C][C]93.4993327388489[/C][C]0.100667261151131[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]65[/C][C]94[/C][C]93.5362345422803[/C][C]0.463765457719731[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]66[/C][C]94[/C][C]93.9072337718555[/C][C]0.0927662281445407[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]67[/C][C]94.2[/C][C]93.9515515982065[/C][C]0.248448401793482[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]68[/C][C]93.3[/C][C]94.1404028736551[/C][C]-0.840402873655094[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]69[/C][C]93[/C][C]93.3416334089507[/C][C]-0.341633408950713[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]70[/C][C]93[/C][C]92.9764305460789[/C][C]0.0235694539210982[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]71[/C][C]94.7[/C][C]92.9357828025221[/C][C]1.76421719747789[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]72[/C][C]95.6[/C][C]94.4848596957651[/C][C]1.1151403042349[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]73[/C][C]95.8[/C][C]95.4870915740891[/C][C]0.312908425910933[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]74[/C][C]96[/C][C]95.7858334580039[/C][C]0.21416654199605[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]75[/C][C]95.4[/C][C]96.002539642874[/C][C]-0.602539642873964[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]76[/C][C]95.3[/C][C]95.4791897572883[/C][C]-0.179189757288327[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]77[/C][C]94.4[/C][C]95.3267176752095[/C][C]-0.926717675209503[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]78[/C][C]94.4[/C][C]94.4871502132987[/C][C]-0.087150213298699[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]79[/C][C]94.3[/C][C]94.3900416624201[/C][C]-0.0900416624200773[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]80[/C][C]93.9[/C][C]94.2880345819785[/C][C]-0.388034581978488[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]81[/C][C]94.5[/C][C]93.9116429404827[/C][C]0.588357059517335[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]82[/C][C]93.6[/C][C]94.4165848436112[/C][C]-0.816584843611238[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]83[/C][C]93.9[/C][C]93.6541429003026[/C][C]0.245857099697389[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]84[/C][C]93.9[/C][C]93.8404862406252[/C][C]0.0595137593748376[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]85[/C][C]93.7[/C][C]93.8630807993218[/C][C]-0.163080799321776[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]86[/C][C]94.6[/C][C]93.6840015163305[/C][C]0.915998483669483[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]87[/C][C]94.4[/C][C]94.4858342886999[/C][C]-0.0858342886998855[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]88[/C][C]94[/C][C]94.3967911985533[/C][C]-0.396791198553345[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]89[/C][C]91.1[/C][C]94.0216372000104[/C][C]-2.92163720001039[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]90[/C][C]91.1[/C][C]91.3311562124217[/C][C]-0.231156212421737[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]91[/C][C]90.7[/C][C]91.0212091350589[/C][C]-0.321209135058936[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]92[/C][C]90.8[/C][C]90.6230575791836[/C][C]0.176942420816417[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]93[/C][C]89.8[/C][C]90.6713652075259[/C][C]-0.87136520752594[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]94[/C][C]90.7[/C][C]89.7672128469352[/C][C]0.932787153064766[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]95[/C][C]90.3[/C][C]90.4875659544626[/C][C]-0.187565954462613[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]96[/C][C]89.7[/C][C]90.209275917885[/C][C]-0.509275917884992[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]97[/C][C]89[/C][C]89.6324213107729[/C][C]-0.632421310772855[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]98[/C][C]88.4[/C][C]88.9299422235397[/C][C]-0.529942223539692[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]99[/C][C]89.3[/C][C]88.3046294126794[/C][C]0.995370587320608[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]100[/C][C]89.3[/C][C]89.0581063573181[/C][C]0.24189364268193[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]101[/C][C]89.3[/C][C]89.1494995814556[/C][C]0.150500418544397[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]102[/C][C]89.3[/C][C]89.1637254274042[/C][C]0.136274572595809[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]103[/C][C]88.4[/C][C]89.1688646119785[/C][C]-0.768864611978543[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]104[/C][C]89.4[/C][C]88.351194518429[/C][C]1.04880548157097[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]105[/C][C]91.3[/C][C]89.1730274818121[/C][C]2.12697251818794[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]106[/C][C]90.9[/C][C]91.006349888339[/C][C]-0.106349888339011[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]107[/C][C]91[/C][C]90.8559020469281[/C][C]0.144097953071906[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]108[/C][C]89.3[/C][C]90.9313426119649[/C][C]-1.63134261196493[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]109[/C][C]88.1[/C][C]89.3896403255979[/C][C]-1.2896403255979[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]110[/C][C]89[/C][C]88.1176111830987[/C][C]0.882388816901297[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]111[/C][C]90.1[/C][C]88.795097331595[/C][C]1.30490266840496[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]112[/C][C]90.6[/C][C]89.8811850797964[/C][C]0.718814920203627[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]113[/C][C]90.6[/C][C]90.4660286472874[/C][C]0.133971352712607[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]114[/C][C]90.2[/C][C]90.5355734135409[/C][C]-0.335573413540899[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]115[/C][C]89.5[/C][C]90.1799224762299[/C][C]-0.679922476229876[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]116[/C][C]90.5[/C][C]89.5012026162675[/C][C]0.998797383732537[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]117[/C][C]90.4[/C][C]90.3374372865647[/C][C]0.0625627134353408[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]118[/C][C]89.7[/C][C]90.3448295013883[/C][C]-0.644829501388287[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]119[/C][C]90[/C][C]89.7080338320443[/C][C]0.291966167955749[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]120[/C][C]90.2[/C][C]89.9097670787405[/C][C]0.290232921259502[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]121[/C][C]89.3[/C][C]90.1174852798122[/C][C]-0.817485279812161[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]122[/C][C]89.6[/C][C]89.3214412860272[/C][C]0.278558713972814[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]123[/C][C]89.8[/C][C]89.5048360252303[/C][C]0.295163974769679[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]124[/C][C]89.4[/C][C]89.7106102470367[/C][C]-0.310610247036664[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]125[/C][C]89.3[/C][C]89.3709967771664[/C][C]-0.0709967771663571[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]126[/C][C]89.4[/C][C]89.2420864277549[/C][C]0.157913572245107[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]127[/C][C]89.5[/C][C]89.3203182606307[/C][C]0.179681739369315[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]128[/C][C]89.2[/C][C]89.4225160845579[/C][C]-0.22251608455791[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]129[/C][C]90[/C][C]89.1621869281288[/C][C]0.837813071871182[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]130[/C][C]88[/C][C]89.8641115426019[/C][C]-1.86411154260192[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]131[/C][C]88.3[/C][C]88.1210453597795[/C][C]0.178954640220468[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]132[/C][C]89.1[/C][C]88.1948691143809[/C][C]0.905130885619073[/C][/ROW]
[/TABLE]
Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=160888&T=2

Globally Unique Identifier (entire table): ba.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=160888&T=2

As an alternative you can also use a QR Code:  

The GUIDs for individual cells are displayed in the table below:

Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
399.9990.900000000000006
4100.3100.0216495169740.278350483025875
5100.2100.499094502327-0.299094502327307
6100.2100.45657902014-0.256579020140236
7100.6100.4451257216140.154874278385549
8100.4100.802656074039-0.402656074039342
9100.7100.655206589530.0447934104696088
10100.9100.905817163419-0.00581716341898186
1199.7101.11138409811-1.41138409811008
1299.7100.033596490965-0.333596490965064
1396.899.9031876212681-3.10318762126813
1499.297.23565109724961.96434890275036
1599.999.11406134777020.785938652229845
1699.399.9675620238639-0.667562023863866
1798.999.5144684267888-0.614468426788747
1898.999.0925441307966-0.192544130796605
1998.799.0398869793523-0.339886979352301
2098.498.8477236259737-0.44772362597368
2198.698.54830211834710.0516978816529274
2298.598.6932201297722-0.193220129772229
2398.198.6158816638821-0.51588166388207
2498.398.23896334931870.0610366506812881
2598.198.3753682406713-0.275368240671312
2697.998.2062363114855-0.306236311485534
2799.198.0017864463161.09821355368402
2898.599.0715833578608-0.571583357860831
2998.298.6454133481538-0.445413348153764
3097.898.3196149237812-0.519614923781234
319897.91453019808640.0854698019135611
329898.0483862714321-0.0483862714321361
3397.698.0622545031413-0.462254503141295
3497.697.6970301568011-0.0970301568011251
3597.697.6532542308229-0.0532542308228727
3697.597.6469283982187-0.146928398218677
3796.197.553703037901-1.45370303790101
3896.196.263657574708-0.163657574708054
3996.396.11367352406410.1863264759359
4096.396.27896352911480.0210364708852353
4196.396.29818232504260.0018176749573513
429696.3004006710948-0.300400671094792
439696.0267577306315-0.0267577306315019
4495.295.9951495249025-0.795149524902541
459695.26134919284710.738650807152936
4696.195.9072134840950.19278651590497
4795.396.0738789823827-0.773878982382669
4895.195.3630298314195-0.263029831419473
4994.895.0984995546124-0.298499554612391
5094.594.7947700837965-0.294770083796479
5194.794.4867087639790.213291236020964
5294.894.63483894630370.165161053696323
5394.594.7445571507618-0.244557150761807
5494.594.48450633556560.0154936644344446
5592.894.4555287848021-1.65552878480209
5692.892.9014030411089-0.101403041108952
5794.592.72319818207881.7768018179212
5894.494.25706079665480.142939203345207
5994.294.3453504454754-0.14535044547543
6094.194.1741525787549-0.0741525787548909
6192.994.0641871120191-1.16418711201914
6293.392.95715933878010.342840661219881
6393.693.19578946103940.404210538960555
6493.693.49933273884890.100667261151131
659493.53623454228030.463765457719731
669493.90723377185550.0927662281445407
6794.293.95155159820650.248448401793482
6893.394.1404028736551-0.840402873655094
699393.3416334089507-0.341633408950713
709392.97643054607890.0235694539210982
7194.792.93578280252211.76421719747789
7295.694.48485969576511.1151403042349
7395.895.48709157408910.312908425910933
749695.78583345800390.21416654199605
7595.496.002539642874-0.602539642873964
7695.395.4791897572883-0.179189757288327
7794.495.3267176752095-0.926717675209503
7894.494.4871502132987-0.087150213298699
7994.394.3900416624201-0.0900416624200773
8093.994.2880345819785-0.388034581978488
8194.593.91164294048270.588357059517335
8293.694.4165848436112-0.816584843611238
8393.993.65414290030260.245857099697389
8493.993.84048624062520.0595137593748376
8593.793.8630807993218-0.163080799321776
8694.693.68400151633050.915998483669483
8794.494.4858342886999-0.0858342886998855
889494.3967911985533-0.396791198553345
8991.194.0216372000104-2.92163720001039
9091.191.3311562124217-0.231156212421737
9190.791.0212091350589-0.321209135058936
9290.890.62305757918360.176942420816417
9389.890.6713652075259-0.87136520752594
9490.789.76721284693520.932787153064766
9590.390.4875659544626-0.187565954462613
9689.790.209275917885-0.509275917884992
978989.6324213107729-0.632421310772855
9888.488.9299422235397-0.529942223539692
9989.388.30462941267940.995370587320608
10089.389.05810635731810.24189364268193
10189.389.14949958145560.150500418544397
10289.389.16372542740420.136274572595809
10388.489.1688646119785-0.768864611978543
10489.488.3511945184291.04880548157097
10591.389.17302748181212.12697251818794
10690.991.006349888339-0.106349888339011
1079190.85590204692810.144097953071906
10889.390.9313426119649-1.63134261196493
10988.189.3896403255979-1.2896403255979
1108988.11761118309870.882388816901297
11190.188.7950973315951.30490266840496
11290.689.88118507979640.718814920203627
11390.690.46602864728740.133971352712607
11490.290.5355734135409-0.335573413540899
11589.590.1799224762299-0.679922476229876
11690.589.50120261626750.998797383732537
11790.490.33743728656470.0625627134353408
11889.790.3448295013883-0.644829501388287
1199089.70803383204430.291966167955749
12090.289.90976707874050.290232921259502
12189.390.1174852798122-0.817485279812161
12289.689.32144128602720.278558713972814
12389.889.50483602523030.295163974769679
12489.489.7106102470367-0.310610247036664
12589.389.3709967771664-0.0709967771663571
12689.489.24208642775490.157913572245107
12789.589.32031826063070.179681739369315
12889.289.4225160845579-0.22251608455791
1299089.16218692812880.837813071871182
1308889.8641115426019-1.86411154260192
13188.388.12104535977950.178954640220468
13289.188.19486911438090.905130885619073







Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
13388.936289275593987.431845715759490.4407328354284
13488.874835301338786.837735068258590.911935534419
13588.813381327083586.334503363857891.2922592903093
13688.751927352828385.879373245379291.6244814602775
13788.690473378573285.454270097685391.926676659461
13888.62901940431885.049604568590292.2084342400457
13988.567565430062884.659598611132192.4755322489934
14088.506111455807684.28047128717392.7317516244421
14188.444657481552483.90960048283592.9797144802698
14288.383203507297283.545087450088693.2213195645058
14388.32174953304283.18551056628593.4579884997991
14488.260295558786882.829776790924993.6908143266488

\begin{tabular}{lllllllll}
\hline
Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing \tabularnewline
t & Forecast & 95% Lower Bound & 95% Upper Bound \tabularnewline
133 & 88.9362892755939 & 87.4318457157594 & 90.4407328354284 \tabularnewline
134 & 88.8748353013387 & 86.8377350682585 & 90.911935534419 \tabularnewline
135 & 88.8133813270835 & 86.3345033638578 & 91.2922592903093 \tabularnewline
136 & 88.7519273528283 & 85.8793732453792 & 91.6244814602775 \tabularnewline
137 & 88.6904733785732 & 85.4542700976853 & 91.926676659461 \tabularnewline
138 & 88.629019404318 & 85.0496045685902 & 92.2084342400457 \tabularnewline
139 & 88.5675654300628 & 84.6595986111321 & 92.4755322489934 \tabularnewline
140 & 88.5061114558076 & 84.280471287173 & 92.7317516244421 \tabularnewline
141 & 88.4446574815524 & 83.909600482835 & 92.9797144802698 \tabularnewline
142 & 88.3832035072972 & 83.5450874500886 & 93.2213195645058 \tabularnewline
143 & 88.321749533042 & 83.185510566285 & 93.4579884997991 \tabularnewline
144 & 88.2602955587868 & 82.8297767909249 & 93.6908143266488 \tabularnewline
\hline
\end{tabular}
%Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=160888&T=3

[TABLE]
[ROW][C]Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]t[/C][C]Forecast[/C][C]95% Lower Bound[/C][C]95% Upper Bound[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]133[/C][C]88.9362892755939[/C][C]87.4318457157594[/C][C]90.4407328354284[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]134[/C][C]88.8748353013387[/C][C]86.8377350682585[/C][C]90.911935534419[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]135[/C][C]88.8133813270835[/C][C]86.3345033638578[/C][C]91.2922592903093[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]136[/C][C]88.7519273528283[/C][C]85.8793732453792[/C][C]91.6244814602775[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]137[/C][C]88.6904733785732[/C][C]85.4542700976853[/C][C]91.926676659461[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]138[/C][C]88.629019404318[/C][C]85.0496045685902[/C][C]92.2084342400457[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]139[/C][C]88.5675654300628[/C][C]84.6595986111321[/C][C]92.4755322489934[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]140[/C][C]88.5061114558076[/C][C]84.280471287173[/C][C]92.7317516244421[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]141[/C][C]88.4446574815524[/C][C]83.909600482835[/C][C]92.9797144802698[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]142[/C][C]88.3832035072972[/C][C]83.5450874500886[/C][C]93.2213195645058[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]143[/C][C]88.321749533042[/C][C]83.185510566285[/C][C]93.4579884997991[/C][/ROW]
[ROW][C]144[/C][C]88.2602955587868[/C][C]82.8297767909249[/C][C]93.6908143266488[/C][/ROW]
[/TABLE]
Source: https://freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=160888&T=3

Globally Unique Identifier (entire table): ba.freestatistics.org/blog/index.php?pk=160888&T=3

As an alternative you can also use a QR Code:  

The GUIDs for individual cells are displayed in the table below:

Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
13388.936289275593987.431845715759490.4407328354284
13488.874835301338786.837735068258590.911935534419
13588.813381327083586.334503363857891.2922592903093
13688.751927352828385.879373245379291.6244814602775
13788.690473378573285.454270097685391.926676659461
13888.62901940431885.049604568590292.2084342400457
13988.567565430062884.659598611132192.4755322489934
14088.506111455807684.28047128717392.7317516244421
14188.444657481552483.90960048283592.9797144802698
14288.383203507297283.545087450088693.2213195645058
14388.32174953304283.18551056628593.4579884997991
14488.260295558786882.829776790924993.6908143266488



Parameters (Session):
par1 = 12 ; par2 = Double ; par3 = additive ;
Parameters (R input):
par1 = 12 ; par2 = Double ; par3 = additive ;
R code (references can be found in the software module):
par1 <- as.numeric(par1)
if (par2 == 'Single') K <- 1
if (par2 == 'Double') K <- 2
if (par2 == 'Triple') K <- par1
nx <- length(x)
nxmK <- nx - K
x <- ts(x, frequency = par1)
if (par2 == 'Single') fit <- HoltWinters(x, gamma=F, beta=F)
if (par2 == 'Double') fit <- HoltWinters(x, gamma=F)
if (par2 == 'Triple') fit <- HoltWinters(x, seasonal=par3)
fit
myresid <- x - fit$fitted[,'xhat']
bitmap(file='test1.png')
op <- par(mfrow=c(2,1))
plot(fit,ylab='Observed (black) / Fitted (red)',main='Interpolation Fit of Exponential Smoothing')
plot(myresid,ylab='Residuals',main='Interpolation Prediction Errors')
par(op)
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test2.png')
p <- predict(fit, par1, prediction.interval=TRUE)
np <- length(p[,1])
plot(fit,p,ylab='Observed (black) / Fitted (red)',main='Extrapolation Fit of Exponential Smoothing')
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test3.png')
op <- par(mfrow = c(2,2))
acf(as.numeric(myresid),lag.max = nx/2,main='Residual ACF')
spectrum(myresid,main='Residals Periodogram')
cpgram(myresid,main='Residal Cumulative Periodogram')
qqnorm(myresid,main='Residual Normal QQ Plot')
qqline(myresid)
par(op)
dev.off()
load(file='createtable')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing',2,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Parameter',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Value',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'alpha',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,fit$alpha)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'beta',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,fit$beta)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'gamma',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,fit$gamma)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing',4,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'t',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Observed',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Fitted',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Residuals',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:nxmK) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,i+K,header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,x[i+K])
a<-table.element(a,fit$fitted[i,'xhat'])
a<-table.element(a,myresid[i])
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable1.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing',4,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'t',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Forecast',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'95% Lower Bound',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'95% Upper Bound',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:np) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,nx+i,header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,p[i,'fit'])
a<-table.element(a,p[i,'lwr'])
a<-table.element(a,p[i,'upr'])
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable2.tab')