Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
Parameter | Value |
alpha | 0.999918963503717 |
beta | FALSE |
gamma | FALSE |
Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
2 | 63.69 | 63.69 | 0 |
3 | 63.69 | 63.69 | 0 |
4 | 63.69 | 63.69 | 0 |
5 | 63.69 | 63.69 | 0 |
6 | 63.69 | 63.69 | 0 |
7 | 63.69 | 63.69 | 0 |
8 | 63.69 | 63.69 | 0 |
9 | 65.03 | 63.69 | 1.34 |
10 | 65.03 | 65.029891411095 | 0.000108588905021634 |
11 | 65.03 | 65.0299999912003 | 8.7996596676021e-09 |
12 | 65.03 | 65.0299999999993 | 7.105427357601e-13 |
13 | 65.03 | 65.03 | 0 |
14 | 65.03 | 65.03 | 0 |
15 | 65.03 | 65.03 | 0 |
16 | 65.03 | 65.03 | 0 |
17 | 65.03 | 65.03 | 0 |
18 | 65.03 | 65.03 | 0 |
19 | 65.03 | 65.03 | 0 |
20 | 65.03 | 65.03 | 0 |
21 | 65.03 | 65.03 | 0 |
22 | 65.03 | 65.03 | 0 |
23 | 65.03 | 65.03 | 0 |
24 | 65.03 | 65.03 | 0 |
25 | 101.16 | 65.03 | 36.13 |
26 | 101.16 | 101.157072151389 | 0.00292784861071027 |
27 | 101.16 | 101.159999762737 | 2.37262597124754e-07 |
28 | 101.16 | 101.159999999981 | 1.92272864296683e-11 |
29 | 101.16 | 101.16 | 0 |
30 | 101.16 | 101.16 | 0 |
31 | 101.16 | 101.16 | 0 |
32 | 101.16 | 101.16 | 0 |
33 | 101.16 | 101.16 | 0 |
34 | 101.21 | 101.16 | 0.0499999999999972 |
35 | 101.21 | 101.209995948175 | 4.0518248169974e-06 |
36 | 101.21 | 101.209999999672 | 3.28341798194742e-10 |
37 | 103.16 | 101.21 | 1.95000000000003 |
38 | 103.16 | 103.159841978832 | 0.000158021167749212 |
39 | 103.16 | 103.159999987195 | 1.28054864489968e-08 |
40 | 103.16 | 103.159999999999 | 1.03739239420975e-12 |
41 | 101.13 | 103.16 | -2.03 |
42 | 101.13 | 101.130164504087 | -0.000164504087450723 |
43 | 100.53 | 101.130000013331 | -0.600000013330828 |
44 | 100.53 | 100.530048621899 | -4.8621898855572e-05 |
45 | 100.53 | 100.53000000394 | -3.94014421090105e-09 |
46 | 100.53 | 100.53 | -3.12638803734444e-13 |
47 | 100.53 | 100.53 | 0 |
48 | 100.53 | 100.53 | 0 |
49 | 100.53 | 100.53 | 0 |
50 | 100.53 | 100.53 | 0 |
51 | 100.53 | 100.53 | 0 |
52 | 99.42 | 100.53 | -1.11 |
53 | 99.42 | 99.4200899505109 | -8.99505108691301e-05 |
54 | 99.42 | 99.4200000072893 | -7.28927318505157e-09 |
55 | 99.42 | 99.4200000000006 | -5.96855898038484e-13 |
56 | 100.31 | 99.42 | 0.890000000000001 |
57 | 100.31 | 100.309927877518 | 7.21224816970789e-05 |
58 | 102.25 | 100.309999994155 | 1.94000000584455 |
59 | 102.25 | 102.249842789197 | 0.000157210803266139 |
60 | 102.25 | 102.24999998726 | 1.27398180893579e-08 |
61 | 101.81 | 102.249999999999 | -0.43999999999896 |
62 | 101.81 | 101.810035656058 | -3.56560583583132e-05 |
63 | 101.81 | 101.810000002889 | -2.88943624582316e-09 |
64 | 101.81 | 101.81 | -2.27373675443232e-13 |
65 | 101.81 | 101.81 | 0 |
66 | 101.81 | 101.81 | 0 |
67 | 101.81 | 101.81 | 0 |
68 | 101.81 | 101.81 | 0 |
69 | 101.81 | 101.81 | 0 |
70 | 101.81 | 101.81 | 0 |
71 | 101.81 | 101.81 | 0 |
72 | 101.81 | 101.81 | 0 |
73 | 101.81 | 101.81 | 0 |
74 | 101.81 | 101.81 | 0 |
75 | 101.81 | 101.81 | 0 |
76 | 101.81 | 101.81 | 0 |
77 | 101.81 | 101.81 | 0 |
78 | 101.81 | 101.81 | 0 |
79 | 101.81 | 101.81 | 0 |
80 | 101.94 | 101.81 | 0.129999999999995 |
81 | 101.94 | 101.939989465255 | 1.05347445185089e-05 |
82 | 101.94 | 101.939999999146 | 8.53702886161045e-10 |
83 | 101.94 | 101.94 | 7.105427357601e-14 |
84 | 101.94 | 101.94 | 0 |
Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
85 | 101.94 | 94.124602311706 | 109.755397688294 |
86 | 101.94 | 90.8878064184693 | 112.992193581531 |
87 | 101.94 | 88.4040654219568 | 115.475934578043 |
88 | 101.94 | 86.3101546124569 | 117.569845387543 |
89 | 101.94 | 84.4653724281192 | 119.414627571881 |
90 | 101.94 | 82.797556302463 | 121.082443697537 |
91 | 101.94 | 81.2638375743754 | 122.616162425625 |
92 | 101.94 | 79.8362845976463 | 124.043715402354 |
93 | 101.94 | 78.495495814036 | 125.384504185964 |
94 | 101.94 | 77.2273449734125 | 126.652655026588 |
95 | 101.94 | 76.0211678426562 | 127.858832157344 |
96 | 101.94 | 74.868679338865 | 129.011320661135 |