Goodness of Fit | |
Correlation | 0.8898 |
R-squared | 0.7918 |
RMSE | 37509.5662 |
Actuals, Predictions, and Residuals | |||
# | Actuals | Forecasts | Residuals |
1 | 210907 | 177578.289473684 | 33328.7105263158 |
2 | 120982 | 177578.289473684 | -56596.2894736842 |
3 | 176508 | 177578.289473684 | -1070.28947368421 |
4 | 179321 | 255726.843137255 | -76405.843137255 |
5 | 123185 | 104183.555555556 | 19001.4444444444 |
6 | 52746 | 47608.0952380952 | 5137.90476190476 |
7 | 385534 | 255726.843137255 | 129807.156862745 |
8 | 33170 | 47608.0952380952 | -14438.0952380952 |
9 | 101645 | 119253.217391304 | -17608.2173913044 |
10 | 149061 | 132433.36 | 16627.64 |
11 | 165446 | 177578.289473684 | -12132.2894736842 |
12 | 237213 | 255726.843137255 | -18513.8431372549 |
13 | 173326 | 255726.843137255 | -82400.843137255 |
14 | 133131 | 132433.36 | 697.640000000014 |
15 | 258873 | 219776.95 | 39096.05 |
16 | 180083 | 177578.289473684 | 2504.71052631579 |
17 | 324799 | 255726.843137255 | 69072.1568627451 |
18 | 230964 | 219776.95 | 11187.05 |
19 | 236785 | 255726.843137255 | -18941.8431372549 |
20 | 135473 | 121355.545454545 | 14117.4545454545 |
21 | 202925 | 219776.95 | -16851.95 |
22 | 215147 | 219776.95 | -4629.95000000001 |
23 | 344297 | 255726.843137255 | 88570.156862745 |
24 | 153935 | 132433.36 | 21501.64 |
25 | 132943 | 177578.289473684 | -44635.2894736842 |
26 | 174724 | 255726.843137255 | -81002.8431372549 |
27 | 174415 | 255726.843137255 | -81311.843137255 |
28 | 225548 | 255726.843137255 | -30178.8431372549 |
29 | 223632 | 255726.843137255 | -32094.8431372549 |
30 | 124817 | 132433.36 | -7616.35999999999 |
31 | 221698 | 219776.95 | 1921.04999999999 |
32 | 210767 | 177578.289473684 | 33188.7105263158 |
33 | 170266 | 132433.36 | 37832.64 |
34 | 260561 | 255726.843137255 | 4834.15686274509 |
35 | 84853 | 132433.36 | -47580.36 |
36 | 294424 | 255726.843137255 | 38697.1568627451 |
37 | 101011 | 81184.8474576271 | 19826.1525423729 |
38 | 215641 | 177578.289473684 | 38062.7105263158 |
39 | 325107 | 255726.843137255 | 69380.1568627451 |
40 | 7176 | 22366.5 | -15190.5 |
41 | 167542 | 177578.289473684 | -10036.2894736842 |
42 | 106408 | 81184.8474576271 | 25223.1525423729 |
43 | 96560 | 119253.217391304 | -22693.2173913044 |
44 | 265769 | 255726.843137255 | 10042.1568627451 |
45 | 269651 | 219776.95 | 49874.05 |
46 | 149112 | 177578.289473684 | -28466.2894736842 |
47 | 175824 | 255726.843137255 | -79902.8431372549 |
48 | 152871 | 177578.289473684 | -24707.2894736842 |
49 | 111665 | 132433.36 | -20768.36 |
50 | 116408 | 132433.36 | -16025.36 |
51 | 362301 | 255726.843137255 | 106574.156862745 |
52 | 78800 | 132433.36 | -53633.36 |
53 | 183167 | 177578.289473684 | 5588.71052631579 |
54 | 277965 | 255726.843137255 | 22238.1568627451 |
55 | 150629 | 177578.289473684 | -26949.2894736842 |
56 | 168809 | 177578.289473684 | -8769.28947368421 |
57 | 24188 | 22366.5 | 1821.5 |
58 | 329267 | 255726.843137255 | 73540.156862745 |
59 | 65029 | 81184.8474576271 | -16155.8474576271 |
60 | 101097 | 119253.217391304 | -18156.2173913044 |
61 | 218946 | 177578.289473684 | 41367.7105263158 |
62 | 244052 | 219776.95 | 24275.05 |
63 | 341570 | 255726.843137255 | 85843.156862745 |
64 | 103597 | 81184.8474576271 | 22412.1525423729 |
65 | 233328 | 255726.843137255 | -22398.8431372549 |
66 | 256462 | 255726.843137255 | 735.15686274509 |
67 | 206161 | 177578.289473684 | 28582.7105263158 |
68 | 311473 | 255726.843137255 | 55746.1568627451 |
69 | 235800 | 255726.843137255 | -19926.8431372549 |
70 | 177939 | 255726.843137255 | -77787.843137255 |
71 | 207176 | 177578.289473684 | 29597.7105263158 |
72 | 196553 | 132433.36 | 64119.64 |
73 | 174184 | 177578.289473684 | -3394.28947368421 |
74 | 143246 | 255726.843137255 | -112480.843137255 |
75 | 187559 | 255726.843137255 | -68167.8431372549 |
76 | 187681 | 219776.95 | -32095.95 |
77 | 119016 | 121355.545454545 | -2339.54545454546 |
78 | 182192 | 177578.289473684 | 4613.71052631579 |
79 | 73566 | 81184.8474576271 | -7618.84745762713 |
80 | 194979 | 177578.289473684 | 17400.7105263158 |
81 | 167488 | 177578.289473684 | -10090.2894736842 |
82 | 143756 | 219776.95 | -76020.95 |
83 | 275541 | 219776.95 | 55764.05 |
84 | 243199 | 255726.843137255 | -12527.8431372549 |
85 | 182999 | 255726.843137255 | -72727.843137255 |
86 | 135649 | 177578.289473684 | -41929.2894736842 |
87 | 152299 | 177578.289473684 | -25279.2894736842 |
88 | 120221 | 121355.545454545 | -1134.54545454546 |
89 | 346485 | 255726.843137255 | 90758.156862745 |
90 | 145790 | 132433.36 | 13356.64 |
91 | 193339 | 255726.843137255 | -62387.8431372549 |
92 | 80953 | 104183.555555556 | -23230.5555555556 |
93 | 122774 | 132433.36 | -9659.35999999999 |
94 | 130585 | 177578.289473684 | -46993.2894736842 |
95 | 112611 | 104183.555555556 | 8427.44444444444 |
96 | 286468 | 255726.843137255 | 30741.1568627451 |
97 | 241066 | 255726.843137255 | -14660.8431372549 |
98 | 148446 | 255726.843137255 | -107280.843137255 |
99 | 204713 | 177578.289473684 | 27134.7105263158 |
100 | 182079 | 219776.95 | -37697.95 |
101 | 140344 | 132433.36 | 7910.64000000001 |
102 | 220516 | 177578.289473684 | 42937.7105263158 |
103 | 243060 | 177578.289473684 | 65481.7105263158 |
104 | 162765 | 177578.289473684 | -14813.2894736842 |
105 | 182613 | 177578.289473684 | 5034.71052631579 |
106 | 232138 | 219776.95 | 12361.05 |
107 | 265318 | 255726.843137255 | 9591.1568627451 |
108 | 85574 | 81184.8474576271 | 4389.15254237287 |
109 | 310839 | 255726.843137255 | 55112.1568627451 |
110 | 225060 | 255726.843137255 | -30666.8431372549 |
111 | 232317 | 219776.95 | 12540.05 |
112 | 144966 | 132433.36 | 12532.64 |
113 | 43287 | 47608.0952380952 | -4321.09523809524 |
114 | 155754 | 121355.545454545 | 34398.4545454545 |
115 | 164709 | 255726.843137255 | -91017.8431372549 |
116 | 201940 | 219776.95 | -17836.95 |
117 | 235454 | 255726.843137255 | -20272.8431372549 |
118 | 220801 | 255726.843137255 | -34925.8431372549 |
119 | 99466 | 81184.8474576271 | 18281.1525423729 |
120 | 92661 | 119253.217391304 | -26592.2173913044 |
121 | 133328 | 121355.545454545 | 11972.4545454545 |
122 | 61361 | 119253.217391304 | -57892.2173913044 |
123 | 125930 | 119253.217391304 | 6676.78260869565 |
124 | 100750 | 177578.289473684 | -76828.2894736842 |
125 | 224549 | 177578.289473684 | 46970.7105263158 |
126 | 82316 | 81184.8474576271 | 1131.15254237287 |
127 | 102010 | 81184.8474576271 | 20825.1525423729 |
128 | 101523 | 121355.545454545 | -19832.5454545455 |
129 | 243511 | 219776.95 | 23734.05 |
130 | 22938 | 22366.5 | 571.5 |
131 | 41566 | 66878.45 | -25312.45 |
132 | 152474 | 219776.95 | -67302.95 |
133 | 61857 | 81184.8474576271 | -19327.8474576271 |
134 | 99923 | 132433.36 | -32510.36 |
135 | 132487 | 177578.289473684 | -45091.2894736842 |
136 | 317394 | 255726.843137255 | 61667.1568627451 |
137 | 21054 | 22366.5 | -1312.5 |
138 | 209641 | 177578.289473684 | 32062.7105263158 |
139 | 22648 | 47608.0952380952 | -24960.0952380952 |
140 | 31414 | 47608.0952380952 | -16194.0952380952 |
141 | 46698 | 66878.45 | -20180.45 |
142 | 131698 | 121355.545454545 | 10342.4545454545 |
143 | 91735 | 66878.45 | 24856.55 |
144 | 244749 | 255726.843137255 | -10977.8431372549 |
145 | 184510 | 177578.289473684 | 6931.71052631579 |
146 | 79863 | 81184.8474576271 | -1321.84745762713 |
147 | 128423 | 132433.36 | -4010.35999999999 |
148 | 97839 | 132433.36 | -34594.36 |
149 | 38214 | 66878.45 | -28664.45 |
150 | 151101 | 132433.36 | 18667.64 |
151 | 272458 | 219776.95 | 52681.05 |
152 | 172494 | 132433.36 | 40060.64 |
153 | 108043 | 119253.217391304 | -11210.2173913044 |
154 | 328107 | 219776.95 | 108330.05 |
155 | 250579 | 255726.843137255 | -5147.84313725491 |
156 | 351067 | 255726.843137255 | 95340.156862745 |
157 | 158015 | 177578.289473684 | -19563.2894736842 |
158 | 98866 | 81184.8474576271 | 17681.1525423729 |
159 | 85439 | 132433.36 | -46994.36 |
160 | 229242 | 255726.843137255 | -26484.8431372549 |
161 | 351619 | 255726.843137255 | 95892.156862745 |
162 | 84207 | 66878.45 | 17328.55 |
163 | 120445 | 119253.217391304 | 1191.78260869565 |
164 | 324598 | 255726.843137255 | 68871.1568627451 |
165 | 131069 | 132433.36 | -1364.35999999999 |
166 | 204271 | 177578.289473684 | 26692.7105263158 |
167 | 165543 | 177578.289473684 | -12035.2894736842 |
168 | 141722 | 132433.36 | 9288.64000000001 |
169 | 116048 | 119253.217391304 | -3205.21739130435 |
170 | 250047 | 119253.217391304 | 130793.782608696 |
171 | 299775 | 255726.843137255 | 44048.1568627451 |
172 | 195838 | 219776.95 | -23938.95 |
173 | 173260 | 119253.217391304 | 54006.7826086956 |
174 | 254488 | 255726.843137255 | -1238.84313725491 |
175 | 104389 | 219776.95 | -115387.95 |
176 | 136084 | 81184.8474576271 | 54899.1525423729 |
177 | 199476 | 177578.289473684 | 21897.7105263158 |
178 | 92499 | 81184.8474576271 | 11314.1525423729 |
179 | 224330 | 255726.843137255 | -31396.8431372549 |
180 | 135781 | 104183.555555556 | 31597.4444444444 |
181 | 74408 | 119253.217391304 | -44845.2173913044 |
182 | 81240 | 121355.545454545 | -40115.5454545455 |
183 | 14688 | 22366.5 | -7678.5 |
184 | 181633 | 132433.36 | 49199.64 |
185 | 271856 | 255726.843137255 | 16129.1568627451 |
186 | 7199 | 22366.5 | -15167.5 |
187 | 46660 | 47608.0952380952 | -948.095238095237 |
188 | 17547 | 22366.5 | -4819.5 |
189 | 133368 | 81184.8474576271 | 52183.1525423729 |
190 | 95227 | 132433.36 | -37206.36 |
191 | 152601 | 132433.36 | 20167.64 |
192 | 98146 | 66878.45 | 31267.55 |
193 | 79619 | 104183.555555556 | -24564.5555555556 |
194 | 59194 | 66878.45 | -7684.45 |
195 | 139942 | 121355.545454545 | 18586.4545454545 |
196 | 118612 | 121355.545454545 | -2743.54545454546 |
197 | 72880 | 66878.45 | 6001.55 |
198 | 65475 | 47608.0952380952 | 17866.9047619048 |
199 | 99643 | 119253.217391304 | -19610.2173913044 |
200 | 71965 | 81184.8474576271 | -9219.84745762713 |
201 | 77272 | 119253.217391304 | -41981.2173913044 |
202 | 49289 | 47608.0952380952 | 1680.90476190476 |
203 | 135131 | 119253.217391304 | 15877.7826086956 |
204 | 108446 | 119253.217391304 | -10807.2173913044 |
205 | 89746 | 81184.8474576271 | 8561.15254237287 |
206 | 44296 | 47608.0952380952 | -3312.09523809524 |
207 | 77648 | 81184.8474576271 | -3536.84745762713 |
208 | 181528 | 119253.217391304 | 62274.7826086956 |
209 | 134019 | 81184.8474576271 | 52834.1525423729 |
210 | 124064 | 104183.555555556 | 19880.4444444444 |
211 | 92630 | 81184.8474576271 | 11445.1525423729 |
212 | 121848 | 81184.8474576271 | 40663.1525423729 |
213 | 52915 | 81184.8474576271 | -28269.8474576271 |
214 | 81872 | 81184.8474576271 | 687.152542372874 |
215 | 58981 | 66878.45 | -7897.45 |
216 | 53515 | 66878.45 | -13363.45 |
217 | 60812 | 81184.8474576271 | -20372.8474576271 |
218 | 56375 | 66878.45 | -10503.45 |
219 | 65490 | 81184.8474576271 | -15694.8474576271 |
220 | 80949 | 47608.0952380952 | 33340.9047619048 |
221 | 76302 | 81184.8474576271 | -4882.84745762713 |
222 | 104011 | 119253.217391304 | -15242.2173913044 |
223 | 98104 | 121355.545454545 | -23251.5454545455 |
224 | 67989 | 81184.8474576271 | -13195.8474576271 |
225 | 30989 | 47608.0952380952 | -16619.0952380952 |
226 | 135458 | 119253.217391304 | 16204.7826086956 |
227 | 73504 | 81184.8474576271 | -7680.84745762713 |
228 | 63123 | 81184.8474576271 | -18061.8474576271 |
229 | 61254 | 81184.8474576271 | -19930.8474576271 |
230 | 74914 | 81184.8474576271 | -6270.84745762713 |
231 | 31774 | 47608.0952380952 | -15834.0952380952 |
232 | 81437 | 81184.8474576271 | 252.152542372874 |
233 | 87186 | 119253.217391304 | -32067.2173913044 |
234 | 50090 | 47608.0952380952 | 2481.90476190476 |
235 | 65745 | 81184.8474576271 | -15439.8474576271 |
236 | 56653 | 81184.8474576271 | -24531.8474576271 |
237 | 158399 | 81184.8474576271 | 77214.1525423729 |
238 | 46455 | 81184.8474576271 | -34729.8474576271 |
239 | 73624 | 81184.8474576271 | -7560.84745762713 |
240 | 38395 | 66878.45 | -28483.45 |
241 | 91899 | 66878.45 | 25020.55 |
242 | 139526 | 119253.217391304 | 20272.7826086956 |
243 | 52164 | 81184.8474576271 | -29020.8474576271 |
244 | 51567 | 81184.8474576271 | -29617.8474576271 |
245 | 70551 | 81184.8474576271 | -10633.8474576271 |
246 | 84856 | 81184.8474576271 | 3671.15254237287 |
247 | 102538 | 119253.217391304 | -16715.2173913044 |
248 | 86678 | 66878.45 | 19799.55 |
249 | 85709 | 81184.8474576271 | 4524.15254237287 |
250 | 34662 | 47608.0952380952 | -12946.0952380952 |
251 | 150580 | 119253.217391304 | 31326.7826086956 |
252 | 99611 | 104183.555555556 | -4572.55555555556 |
253 | 19349 | 22366.5 | -3017.5 |
254 | 99373 | 66878.45 | 32494.55 |
255 | 86230 | 81184.8474576271 | 5045.15254237287 |
256 | 30837 | 22366.5 | 8470.5 |
257 | 31706 | 81184.8474576271 | -49478.8474576271 |
258 | 89806 | 81184.8474576271 | 8621.15254237287 |
259 | 62088 | 66878.45 | -4790.45 |
260 | 40151 | 66878.45 | -26727.45 |
261 | 27634 | 47608.0952380952 | -19974.0952380952 |
262 | 76990 | 104183.555555556 | -27193.5555555556 |
263 | 37460 | 47608.0952380952 | -10148.0952380952 |
264 | 54157 | 81184.8474576271 | -27027.8474576271 |
265 | 49862 | 66878.45 | -17016.45 |
266 | 84337 | 81184.8474576271 | 3152.15254237287 |
267 | 64175 | 81184.8474576271 | -17009.8474576271 |
268 | 59382 | 81184.8474576271 | -21802.8474576271 |
269 | 119308 | 81184.8474576271 | 38123.1525423729 |
270 | 76702 | 81184.8474576271 | -4482.84745762713 |
271 | 103425 | 66878.45 | 36546.55 |
272 | 70344 | 81184.8474576271 | -10840.8474576271 |
273 | 43410 | 22366.5 | 21043.5 |
274 | 104838 | 104183.555555556 | 654.444444444438 |
275 | 62215 | 81184.8474576271 | -18969.8474576271 |
276 | 69304 | 81184.8474576271 | -11880.8474576271 |
277 | 53117 | 47608.0952380952 | 5508.90476190476 |
278 | 19764 | 22366.5 | -2602.5 |
279 | 86680 | 81184.8474576271 | 5495.15254237287 |
280 | 84105 | 47608.0952380952 | 36496.9047619048 |
281 | 77945 | 81184.8474576271 | -3239.84745762713 |
282 | 89113 | 81184.8474576271 | 7928.15254237287 |
283 | 91005 | 81184.8474576271 | 9820.15254237287 |
284 | 40248 | 22366.5 | 17881.5 |
285 | 64187 | 66878.45 | -2691.45 |
286 | 50857 | 47608.0952380952 | 3248.90476190476 |
287 | 56613 | 47608.0952380952 | 9004.90476190476 |
288 | 62792 | 81184.8474576271 | -18392.8474576271 |
289 | 72535 | 47608.0952380952 | 24926.9047619048 |