Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[94])
8256-------
8397-------
84210-------
85260-------
86257-------
87210-------
88125-------
8980-------
9042-------
9135-------
9231-------
9332-------
9450-------
9592107.402373.3611141.44340.18760.99950.72540.9995
96189194.4017156.9558231.84770.388710.20711
97256248.4663210.3099286.62260.34940.99890.27681
98250231.6556193.2886270.02260.17430.10680.09771
99198179.5048141.0679217.94160.17282e-040.061
100136130.369391.9061168.83250.38713e-040.60781
1017367.116328.6424105.59030.38222e-040.25580.8084
1023934.8685-3.610473.34730.41670.0260.35820.2204
1033227.8774-10.604566.35920.41680.28550.35840.1299
1043022.6496-15.835661.13480.35410.3170.33530.0818
1053125.8272-12.664264.31870.39610.41590.37660.1092
1064544.82526.320583.32990.49650.75920.39610.3961


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
950.1617-0.14340237.230200
960.0983-0.02780.085629.1788133.204511.5414
970.07840.03030.067256.7568107.721910.3789
980.08450.07920.0702336.5169164.920712.8421
990.10920.1030.0767342.0734200.351214.1545
1000.15050.04320.071231.7051172.243513.1242
1010.29250.08770.073534.6174152.582712.3524
1020.5630.11850.079117.0695135.643511.6466
1030.70430.14790.086816.9962122.460511.0662
1040.86690.32450.110554.0281115.617210.7525
1050.76040.20030.118726.7575107.539110.3701
1060.43830.00390.10910.030698.589.9287