Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	2297	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	2718	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	2321	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	3112	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	2664	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	2808	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	2668	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	2934	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	2616	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	2228	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	2463	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	2416	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	2407	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	2582	2519.7881	2208.916	2830.6603	0.3474	0.7615	0.1057	0.7615
50	2101	2272.4322	1952.3458	2592.5187	0.1469	0.029	0.3831	0.205
51	3305	3224.5652	2903.7991	3545.3313	0.3115	1	0.7542	1
52	2818	2551.8297	2162.088	2941.5714	0.0904	1e-04	0.2863	0.7668
53	2401	2796.7778	2405.8758	3187.6798	0.0236	0.4576	0.4776	0.9747
54	3019	2649.3182	2257.0982	3041.5381	0.0323	0.8927	0.4628	0.887
55	2507	2792.4933	2371.3414	3213.6451	0.092	0.1459	0.2551	0.9636
56	2948	2640.3829	2219.1779	3061.5879	0.0762	0.7326	0.5452	0.8613
57	2210	2217.2818	1794.5272	2640.0364	0.4865	4e-04	0.4802	0.1895
58	2467	2439.4882	2004.2749	2874.7014	0.4507	0.8493	0.4578	0.5582
59	2596	2464.6287	2029.4007	2899.8566	0.2771	0.4957	0.5867	0.6024
60	2451	2391.8372	1955.1725	2828.5018	0.3953	0.1797	0.4729	0.4729

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.0629	0.0247	0	3870.3179	0	0
50	0.0719	-0.0754	0.0501	29389.0141	16629.666	128.9561
51	0.0508	0.0249	0.0417	6469.7529	13243.0283	115.0784
52	0.0779	0.1043	0.0573	70846.6514	27643.9341	166.2647
53	0.0713	-0.1415	0.0742	156640.073	53443.1618	231.1778
54	0.0755	0.1395	0.0851	136664.6562	67313.4109	259.4483
55	0.0769	-0.1022	0.0875	81506.4069	69340.9818	263.3268
56	0.0814	0.1165	0.0911	94628.3066	72501.8974	269.2618
57	0.0973	-0.0033	0.0814	53.0248	64452.0226	253.874
58	0.091	0.0113	0.0744	756.9012	58082.5105	241.0031
59	0.0901	0.0533	0.0725	17258.4309	54371.2305	233.1764
60	0.0931	0.0247	0.0685	3500.2399	50131.9813	223.9017