| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.26 | 0.3048 | 0.4047 | -0.6442 | -0.4029 | 0.0142 |
| (p-val) | (0.2221 ) | (0.03 ) | (0.0403 ) | (0.0029 ) | (0.0415 ) | (0.9498 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.2573 | 0.3046 | 0.408 | -0.6423 | -0.41 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.2175 ) | (0.0298 ) | (0.0325 ) | (0.0027 ) | (0.012 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0 | 0.3294 | 0.5593 | -0.3304 | -0.4316 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.0088 ) | (0 ) | (0.0938 ) | (0.0066 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | 0.2982 | 0.5225 | 0 | -0.3362 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.0124 ) | (1e-04 ) | (NA ) | (0.0643 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0 | 0.2568 | 0.3976 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.0516 ) | (0.003 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | 0 | 0 | 0.4014 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0043 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 2.05099229868668 |
| 412.984224508777 |
| -161.466852206173 |
| -12.086948169588 |
| 344.070168235547 |
| 43.0875001425989 |
| 118.167964787072 |
| 178.868916358701 |
| -98.7930406963142 |
| -159.25626410011 |
| 202.231167862954 |
| 97.4268507219438 |
| -46.6291850128947 |
| 111.844772942974 |
| 51.1938565555805 |
| 149.796147771426 |
| 83.4997991284387 |
| -245.482081924428 |
| -255.538646560117 |
| 78.1116045830098 |
| 99.9012816208088 |
| 229.467282790615 |
| -92.6249082026769 |
| 99.5212318325617 |
| 97.9167567404108 |
| 158.543430093726 |
| -4.32340701724463 |
| -212.804055195697 |
| -146.837849008869 |
| 55.5927212039599 |
| 368.934841212732 |
| 230.889757268675 |
| -137.605377687028 |
| -22.8256831457585 |
| -269.575684486236 |
| -149.778530185772 |
| 92.040262990968 |
| -32.5301405909538 |
| -201.327661650004 |
| 184.185910850418 |
| 264.577920514315 |
| -369.083655234508 |
| 234.70612766267 |
| -383.714194978955 |
| 403.698951830353 |
| -47.9133042050608 |
| 88.5312120788422 |
| 52.6056786076518 |
| 50.1302960914948 |
