Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[57])
45	620	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	588	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	566	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	557	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	561	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	549	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
51	532	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
52	526	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
53	511	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
54	499	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
55	555	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
56	565	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	542	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	527	509.3661	495.1264	523.6058	0.0076	0	0	0
59	510	487.0429	466.9049	507.1809	0.0127	1e-04	0	0
60	514	477.2303	452.5663	501.8942	0.0017	0.0046	0	0
61	517	481.6682	453.1887	510.1476	0.0075	0.013	0	0
62	508	469.0832	437.2422	500.9242	0.0083	0.0016	0	0
63	493	451.7442	416.8641	486.6242	0.0102	8e-04	0	0
64	490	445.6548	407.9801	483.3295	0.0105	0.0069	0	0
65	469	429.6114	389.3355	469.8874	0.0276	0.0016	0	0
66	478	416.8285	374.1094	459.5476	0.0025	0.0083	1e-04	0
67	528	473.5878	428.558	518.6177	0.0089	0.4239	2e-04	0.0015
68	534	483.8051	436.5775	531.0328	0.0186	0.0333	4e-04	0.0079
69	518	459.7588	410.4311	509.0865	0.0103	0.0016	5e-04	5e-04

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
58	0.0143	0.0346	0	310.9538	0	0
59	0.0211	0.0471	0.0409	527.0285	418.9911	20.4693
60	0.0264	0.077	0.0529	1352.0126	729.9983	27.0185
61	0.0302	0.0734	0.058	1248.3388	859.5834	29.3187
62	0.0346	0.083	0.063	1514.5168	990.5701	31.4733
63	0.0394	0.0913	0.0677	1702.0448	1109.1492	33.3039
64	0.0431	0.0995	0.0723	1966.4996	1231.6278	35.0946
65	0.0478	0.0917	0.0747	1551.459	1271.6067	35.6596
66	0.0523	0.1468	0.0827	3741.9517	1546.0895	39.3203
67	0.0485	0.1149	0.0859	2960.6868	1687.5492	41.0798
68	0.0498	0.1038	0.0875	2519.5238	1763.1833	41.9903
69	0.0547	0.1267	0.0908	3392.0399	1898.9213	43.5766