Goodness of Fit | |
Correlation | 0.9344 |
R-squared | 0.8731 |
RMSE | 29281.5104 |
Actuals, Predictions, and Residuals | |||
# | Actuals | Forecasts | Residuals |
1 | 210907 | 173457.133333333 | 37449.8666666667 |
2 | 120982 | 124193.777777778 | -3211.77777777778 |
3 | 176508 | 173457.133333333 | 3050.86666666667 |
4 | 179321 | 227016.525423729 | -47695.5254237288 |
5 | 123185 | 124193.777777778 | -1008.77777777778 |
6 | 52746 | 39424.1333333333 | 13321.8666666667 |
7 | 385534 | 321098.0625 | 64435.9375 |
8 | 33170 | 19387.4 | 13782.6 |
9 | 101645 | 86007.4 | 15637.6 |
10 | 149061 | 142807.636363636 | 6253.36363636365 |
11 | 165446 | 142807.636363636 | 22638.3636363636 |
12 | 237213 | 227016.525423729 | 10196.4745762712 |
13 | 173326 | 142807.636363636 | 30518.3636363636 |
14 | 133131 | 142807.636363636 | -9676.63636363635 |
15 | 258873 | 227016.525423729 | 31856.4745762712 |
16 | 180083 | 142807.636363636 | 37275.3636363636 |
17 | 324799 | 321098.0625 | 3700.9375 |
18 | 230964 | 227016.525423729 | 3947.4745762712 |
19 | 236785 | 227016.525423729 | 9768.4745762712 |
20 | 135473 | 124193.777777778 | 11279.2222222222 |
21 | 202925 | 227016.525423729 | -24091.5254237288 |
22 | 215147 | 227016.525423729 | -11869.5254237288 |
23 | 344297 | 227016.525423729 | 117280.474576271 |
24 | 153935 | 142807.636363636 | 11127.3636363636 |
25 | 132943 | 173457.133333333 | -40514.1333333333 |
26 | 174724 | 227016.525423729 | -52292.5254237288 |
27 | 174415 | 227016.525423729 | -52601.5254237288 |
28 | 225548 | 227016.525423729 | -1468.5254237288 |
29 | 223632 | 227016.525423729 | -3384.5254237288 |
30 | 124817 | 142807.636363636 | -17990.6363636364 |
31 | 221698 | 227016.525423729 | -5318.5254237288 |
32 | 210767 | 227016.525423729 | -16249.5254237288 |
33 | 170266 | 173457.133333333 | -3191.13333333333 |
34 | 260561 | 227016.525423729 | 33544.4745762712 |
35 | 84853 | 86007.4 | -1154.39999999999 |
36 | 294424 | 227016.525423729 | 67407.4745762712 |
37 | 101011 | 86007.4 | 15003.6 |
38 | 215641 | 227016.525423729 | -11375.5254237288 |
39 | 325107 | 227016.525423729 | 98090.4745762712 |
40 | 7176 | 19387.4 | -12211.4 |
41 | 167542 | 142807.636363636 | 24734.3636363636 |
42 | 106408 | 86007.4 | 20400.6 |
43 | 96560 | 153513.315789474 | -56953.3157894737 |
44 | 265769 | 227016.525423729 | 38752.4745762712 |
45 | 269651 | 321098.0625 | -51447.0625 |
46 | 149112 | 142807.636363636 | 6304.36363636365 |
47 | 175824 | 153513.315789474 | 22310.6842105263 |
48 | 152871 | 142807.636363636 | 10063.3636363636 |
49 | 111665 | 86007.4 | 25657.6 |
50 | 116408 | 153513.315789474 | -37105.3157894737 |
51 | 362301 | 321098.0625 | 41202.9375 |
52 | 78800 | 86007.4 | -7207.39999999999 |
53 | 183167 | 227016.525423729 | -43849.5254237288 |
54 | 277965 | 321098.0625 | -43133.0625 |
55 | 150629 | 227016.525423729 | -76387.5254237288 |
56 | 168809 | 173457.133333333 | -4648.13333333333 |
57 | 24188 | 39424.1333333333 | -15236.1333333333 |
58 | 329267 | 227016.525423729 | 102250.474576271 |
59 | 65029 | 60147 | 4882 |
60 | 101097 | 86007.4 | 15089.6 |
61 | 218946 | 227016.525423729 | -8070.5254237288 |
62 | 244052 | 227016.525423729 | 17035.4745762712 |
63 | 341570 | 321098.0625 | 20471.9375 |
64 | 103597 | 86007.4 | 17589.6 |
65 | 233328 | 227016.525423729 | 6311.4745762712 |
66 | 256462 | 227016.525423729 | 29445.4745762712 |
67 | 206161 | 227016.525423729 | -20855.5254237288 |
68 | 311473 | 321098.0625 | -9625.0625 |
69 | 235800 | 153513.315789474 | 82286.6842105263 |
70 | 177939 | 227016.525423729 | -49077.5254237288 |
71 | 207176 | 227016.525423729 | -19840.5254237288 |
72 | 196553 | 173457.133333333 | 23095.8666666667 |
73 | 174184 | 142807.636363636 | 31376.3636363636 |
74 | 143246 | 173457.133333333 | -30211.1333333333 |
75 | 187559 | 227016.525423729 | -39457.5254237288 |
76 | 187681 | 227016.525423729 | -39335.5254237288 |
77 | 119016 | 142807.636363636 | -23791.6363636364 |
78 | 182192 | 227016.525423729 | -44824.5254237288 |
79 | 73566 | 86007.4 | -12441.4 |
80 | 194979 | 227016.525423729 | -32037.5254237288 |
81 | 167488 | 173457.133333333 | -5969.13333333333 |
82 | 143756 | 173457.133333333 | -29701.1333333333 |
83 | 275541 | 227016.525423729 | 48524.4745762712 |
84 | 243199 | 227016.525423729 | 16182.4745762712 |
85 | 182999 | 142807.636363636 | 40191.3636363636 |
86 | 135649 | 142807.636363636 | -7158.63636363635 |
87 | 152299 | 142807.636363636 | 9491.36363636365 |
88 | 120221 | 142807.636363636 | -22586.6363636364 |
89 | 346485 | 321098.0625 | 25386.9375 |
90 | 145790 | 106634.636363636 | 39155.3636363636 |
91 | 193339 | 153513.315789474 | 39825.6842105263 |
92 | 80953 | 86007.4 | -5054.39999999999 |
93 | 122774 | 153513.315789474 | -30739.3157894737 |
94 | 130585 | 124193.777777778 | 6391.22222222222 |
95 | 112611 | 86007.4 | 26603.6 |
96 | 286468 | 321098.0625 | -34630.0625 |
97 | 241066 | 227016.525423729 | 14049.4745762712 |
98 | 148446 | 227016.525423729 | -78570.5254237288 |
99 | 204713 | 227016.525423729 | -22303.5254237288 |
100 | 182079 | 227016.525423729 | -44937.5254237288 |
101 | 140344 | 142807.636363636 | -2463.63636363635 |
102 | 220516 | 227016.525423729 | -6500.5254237288 |
103 | 243060 | 227016.525423729 | 16043.4745762712 |
104 | 162765 | 173457.133333333 | -10692.1333333333 |
105 | 182613 | 173457.133333333 | 9155.86666666667 |
106 | 232138 | 227016.525423729 | 5121.4745762712 |
107 | 265318 | 321098.0625 | -55780.0625 |
108 | 85574 | 106634.636363636 | -21060.6363636364 |
109 | 310839 | 321098.0625 | -10259.0625 |
110 | 225060 | 227016.525423729 | -1956.5254237288 |
111 | 232317 | 227016.525423729 | 5300.4745762712 |
112 | 144966 | 142807.636363636 | 2158.36363636365 |
113 | 43287 | 60147 | -16860 |
114 | 155754 | 153513.315789474 | 2240.68421052632 |
115 | 164709 | 173457.133333333 | -8748.13333333333 |
116 | 201940 | 227016.525423729 | -25076.5254237288 |
117 | 235454 | 227016.525423729 | 8437.4745762712 |
118 | 220801 | 153513.315789474 | 67287.6842105263 |
119 | 99466 | 86007.4 | 13458.6 |
120 | 92661 | 106634.636363636 | -13973.6363636364 |
121 | 133328 | 142807.636363636 | -9479.63636363635 |
122 | 61361 | 86007.4 | -24646.4 |
123 | 125930 | 153513.315789474 | -27583.3157894737 |
124 | 100750 | 142807.636363636 | -42057.6363636364 |
125 | 224549 | 173457.133333333 | 51091.8666666667 |
126 | 82316 | 86007.4 | -3691.39999999999 |
127 | 102010 | 86007.4 | 16002.6 |
128 | 101523 | 142807.636363636 | -41284.6363636364 |
129 | 243511 | 227016.525423729 | 16494.4745762712 |
130 | 22938 | 19387.4 | 3550.6 |
131 | 41566 | 60147 | -18581 |
132 | 152474 | 173457.133333333 | -20983.1333333333 |
133 | 61857 | 39424.1333333333 | 22432.8666666667 |
134 | 99923 | 153513.315789474 | -53590.3157894737 |
135 | 132487 | 142807.636363636 | -10320.6363636364 |
136 | 317394 | 227016.525423729 | 90377.4745762712 |
137 | 21054 | 19387.4 | 1666.6 |
138 | 209641 | 153513.315789474 | 56127.6842105263 |
139 | 22648 | 60147 | -37499 |
140 | 31414 | 39424.1333333333 | -8010.13333333333 |
141 | 46698 | 60147 | -13449 |
142 | 131698 | 153513.315789474 | -21815.3157894737 |
143 | 91735 | 86007.4 | 5727.60000000001 |
144 | 244749 | 227016.525423729 | 17732.4745762712 |
145 | 184510 | 142807.636363636 | 41702.3636363636 |
146 | 79863 | 106634.636363636 | -26771.6363636364 |
147 | 128423 | 86007.4 | 42415.6 |
148 | 97839 | 124193.777777778 | -26354.7777777778 |
149 | 38214 | 39424.1333333333 | -1210.13333333333 |
150 | 151101 | 142807.636363636 | 8293.36363636365 |
151 | 272458 | 227016.525423729 | 45441.4745762712 |
152 | 172494 | 124193.777777778 | 48300.2222222222 |
153 | 108043 | 106634.636363636 | 1408.36363636363 |
154 | 328107 | 321098.0625 | 7008.9375 |
155 | 250579 | 227016.525423729 | 23562.4745762712 |
156 | 351067 | 321098.0625 | 29968.9375 |
157 | 158015 | 124193.777777778 | 33821.2222222222 |
158 | 98866 | 86007.4 | 12858.6 |
159 | 85439 | 86007.4 | -568.399999999994 |
160 | 229242 | 227016.525423729 | 2225.4745762712 |
161 | 351619 | 321098.0625 | 30520.9375 |
162 | 84207 | 86007.4 | -1800.39999999999 |
163 | 120445 | 142807.636363636 | -22362.6363636364 |
164 | 324598 | 321098.0625 | 3499.9375 |
165 | 131069 | 142807.636363636 | -11738.6363636364 |
166 | 204271 | 173457.133333333 | 30813.8666666667 |
167 | 165543 | 227016.525423729 | -61473.5254237288 |
168 | 141722 | 142807.636363636 | -1085.63636363635 |
169 | 116048 | 124193.777777778 | -8145.77777777778 |
170 | 250047 | 153513.315789474 | 96533.6842105263 |
171 | 299775 | 321098.0625 | -21323.0625 |
172 | 195838 | 227016.525423729 | -31178.5254237288 |
173 | 173260 | 153513.315789474 | 19746.6842105263 |
174 | 254488 | 227016.525423729 | 27471.4745762712 |
175 | 104389 | 142807.636363636 | -38418.6363636364 |
176 | 136084 | 106634.636363636 | 29449.3636363636 |
177 | 199476 | 227016.525423729 | -27540.5254237288 |
178 | 92499 | 86007.4 | 6491.60000000001 |
179 | 224330 | 227016.525423729 | -2686.5254237288 |
180 | 135781 | 106634.636363636 | 29146.3636363636 |
181 | 74408 | 106634.636363636 | -32226.6363636364 |
182 | 81240 | 106634.636363636 | -25394.6363636364 |
183 | 14688 | 19387.4 | -4699.4 |
184 | 181633 | 227016.525423729 | -45383.5254237288 |
185 | 271856 | 227016.525423729 | 44839.4745762712 |
186 | 7199 | 19387.4 | -12188.4 |
187 | 46660 | 39424.1333333333 | 7235.86666666667 |
188 | 17547 | 19387.4 | -1840.4 |
189 | 133368 | 153513.315789474 | -20145.3157894737 |
190 | 95227 | 86007.4 | 9219.60000000001 |
191 | 152601 | 142807.636363636 | 9793.36363636365 |
192 | 98146 | 86007.4 | 12138.6 |
193 | 79619 | 106634.636363636 | -27015.6363636364 |
194 | 59194 | 106634.636363636 | -47440.6363636364 |
195 | 139942 | 142807.636363636 | -2865.63636363635 |
196 | 118612 | 142807.636363636 | -24195.6363636364 |
197 | 72880 | 86007.4 | -13127.4 |
198 | 65475 | 60147 | 5328 |
199 | 99643 | 142807.636363636 | -43164.6363636364 |
200 | 71965 | 60147 | 11818 |
201 | 77272 | 60147 | 17125 |
202 | 49289 | 39424.1333333333 | 9864.86666666667 |
203 | 135131 | 106634.636363636 | 28496.3636363636 |
204 | 108446 | 106634.636363636 | 1811.36363636363 |
205 | 89746 | 106634.636363636 | -16888.6363636364 |
206 | 44296 | 39424.1333333333 | 4871.86666666667 |
207 | 77648 | 86007.4 | -8359.39999999999 |
208 | 181528 | 142807.636363636 | 38720.3636363636 |
209 | 134019 | 106634.636363636 | 27384.3636363636 |
210 | 124064 | 86007.4 | 38056.6 |
211 | 92630 | 86007.4 | 6622.60000000001 |
212 | 121848 | 106634.636363636 | 15213.3636363636 |
213 | 52915 | 60147 | -7232 |
214 | 81872 | 60147 | 21725 |
215 | 58981 | 86007.4 | -27026.4 |
216 | 53515 | 60147 | -6632 |
217 | 60812 | 86007.4 | -25195.4 |
218 | 56375 | 60147 | -3772 |
219 | 65490 | 60147 | 5343 |
220 | 80949 | 60147 | 20802 |
221 | 76302 | 86007.4 | -9705.39999999999 |
222 | 104011 | 106634.636363636 | -2623.63636363637 |
223 | 98104 | 153513.315789474 | -55409.3157894737 |
224 | 67989 | 60147 | 7842 |
225 | 30989 | 19387.4 | 11601.6 |
226 | 135458 | 153513.315789474 | -18055.3157894737 |
227 | 73504 | 60147 | 13357 |
228 | 63123 | 124193.777777778 | -61070.7777777778 |
229 | 61254 | 86007.4 | -24753.4 |
230 | 74914 | 106634.636363636 | -31720.6363636364 |
231 | 31774 | 60147 | -28373 |
232 | 81437 | 86007.4 | -4570.39999999999 |
233 | 87186 | 106634.636363636 | -19448.6363636364 |
234 | 50090 | 60147 | -10057 |
235 | 65745 | 86007.4 | -20262.4 |
236 | 56653 | 60147 | -3494 |
237 | 158399 | 106634.636363636 | 51764.3636363636 |
238 | 46455 | 60147 | -13692 |
239 | 73624 | 86007.4 | -12383.4 |
240 | 38395 | 60147 | -21752 |
241 | 91899 | 86007.4 | 5891.60000000001 |
242 | 139526 | 153513.315789474 | -13987.3157894737 |
243 | 52164 | 60147 | -7983 |
244 | 51567 | 60147 | -8580 |
245 | 70551 | 86007.4 | -15456.4 |
246 | 84856 | 86007.4 | -1151.39999999999 |
247 | 102538 | 153513.315789474 | -50975.3157894737 |
248 | 86678 | 60147 | 26531 |
249 | 85709 | 86007.4 | -298.399999999994 |
250 | 34662 | 39424.1333333333 | -4762.13333333333 |
251 | 150580 | 106634.636363636 | 43945.3636363636 |
252 | 99611 | 86007.4 | 13603.6 |
253 | 19349 | 19387.4 | -38.4000000000015 |
254 | 99373 | 86007.4 | 13365.6 |
255 | 86230 | 86007.4 | 222.600000000006 |
256 | 30837 | 39424.1333333333 | -8587.13333333333 |
257 | 31706 | 39424.1333333333 | -7718.13333333333 |
258 | 89806 | 86007.4 | 3798.60000000001 |
259 | 62088 | 60147 | 1941 |
260 | 40151 | 39424.1333333333 | 726.866666666669 |
261 | 27634 | 39424.1333333333 | -11790.1333333333 |
262 | 76990 | 86007.4 | -9017.39999999999 |
263 | 37460 | 39424.1333333333 | -1964.13333333333 |
264 | 54157 | 60147 | -5990 |
265 | 49862 | 60147 | -10285 |
266 | 84337 | 86007.4 | -1670.39999999999 |
267 | 64175 | 86007.4 | -21832.4 |
268 | 59382 | 60147 | -765 |
269 | 119308 | 60147 | 59161 |
270 | 76702 | 86007.4 | -9305.39999999999 |
271 | 103425 | 106634.636363636 | -3209.63636363637 |
272 | 70344 | 60147 | 10197 |
273 | 43410 | 60147 | -16737 |
274 | 104838 | 86007.4 | 18830.6 |
275 | 62215 | 60147 | 2068 |
276 | 69304 | 86007.4 | -16703.4 |
277 | 53117 | 60147 | -7030 |
278 | 19764 | 19387.4 | 376.599999999999 |
279 | 86680 | 86007.4 | 672.600000000006 |
280 | 84105 | 60147 | 23958 |
281 | 77945 | 86007.4 | -8062.39999999999 |
282 | 89113 | 86007.4 | 3105.60000000001 |
283 | 91005 | 86007.4 | 4997.60000000001 |
284 | 40248 | 39424.1333333333 | 823.866666666669 |
285 | 64187 | 60147 | 4040 |
286 | 50857 | 86007.4 | -35150.4 |
287 | 56613 | 86007.4 | -29394.4 |
288 | 62792 | 60147 | 2645 |
289 | 72535 | 86007.4 | -13472.4 |