Goodness of Fit | |
Correlation | 0.8696 |
R-squared | 0.7562 |
RMSE | 25604.7044 |
Actuals, Predictions, and Residuals | |||
# | Actuals | Forecasts | Residuals |
1 | 140824 | 156589.185185185 | -15765.1851851852 |
2 | 110459 | 106279.593220339 | 4179.40677966102 |
3 | 105079 | 106279.593220339 | -1200.59322033898 |
4 | 112098 | 106279.593220339 | 5818.40677966102 |
5 | 43929 | 82910.7777777778 | -38981.7777777778 |
6 | 76173 | 77916.5 | -1743.5 |
7 | 187326 | 156589.185185185 | 30736.8148148148 |
8 | 22807 | 3034.5 | 19772.5 |
9 | 144408 | 106279.593220339 | 38128.406779661 |
10 | 66485 | 82910.7777777778 | -16425.7777777778 |
11 | 79089 | 106279.593220339 | -27190.593220339 |
12 | 81625 | 82910.7777777778 | -1285.77777777778 |
13 | 68788 | 77916.5 | -9128.5 |
14 | 103297 | 106279.593220339 | -2982.59322033898 |
15 | 69446 | 82910.7777777778 | -13464.7777777778 |
16 | 114948 | 106279.593220339 | 8668.40677966102 |
17 | 167949 | 140986.272727273 | 26962.7272727273 |
18 | 125081 | 106279.593220339 | 18801.406779661 |
19 | 125818 | 106279.593220339 | 19538.406779661 |
20 | 136588 | 140986.272727273 | -4398.27272727274 |
21 | 112431 | 106279.593220339 | 6151.40677966102 |
22 | 103037 | 106279.593220339 | -3242.59322033898 |
23 | 82317 | 82910.7777777778 | -593.777777777781 |
24 | 118906 | 106279.593220339 | 12626.406779661 |
25 | 83515 | 106279.593220339 | -22764.593220339 |
26 | 104581 | 106279.593220339 | -1698.59322033898 |
27 | 103129 | 106279.593220339 | -3150.59322033898 |
28 | 83243 | 106279.593220339 | -23036.593220339 |
29 | 37110 | 30602.2857142857 | 6507.71428571429 |
30 | 113344 | 156589.185185185 | -43245.1851851852 |
31 | 139165 | 156589.185185185 | -17424.1851851852 |
32 | 86652 | 106279.593220339 | -19627.593220339 |
33 | 112302 | 156589.185185185 | -44287.1851851852 |
34 | 69652 | 77916.5 | -8264.5 |
35 | 119442 | 156589.185185185 | -37147.1851851852 |
36 | 69867 | 82910.7777777778 | -13043.7777777778 |
37 | 101629 | 156589.185185185 | -54960.1851851852 |
38 | 70168 | 106279.593220339 | -36111.593220339 |
39 | 31081 | 30602.2857142857 | 478.714285714286 |
40 | 103925 | 106279.593220339 | -2354.59322033898 |
41 | 92622 | 106279.593220339 | -13657.593220339 |
42 | 79011 | 82910.7777777778 | -3899.77777777778 |
43 | 93487 | 82910.7777777778 | 10576.2222222222 |
44 | 64520 | 77916.5 | -13396.5 |
45 | 93473 | 82910.7777777778 | 10562.2222222222 |
46 | 114360 | 82910.7777777778 | 31449.2222222222 |
47 | 33032 | 30602.2857142857 | 2429.71428571429 |
48 | 96125 | 106279.593220339 | -10154.593220339 |
49 | 151911 | 156589.185185185 | -4678.1851851852 |
50 | 89256 | 106279.593220339 | -17023.593220339 |
51 | 95671 | 106279.593220339 | -10608.593220339 |
52 | 5950 | 3034.5 | 2915.5 |
53 | 149695 | 156589.185185185 | -6894.1851851852 |
54 | 32551 | 30602.2857142857 | 1948.71428571429 |
55 | 31701 | 30602.2857142857 | 1098.71428571429 |
56 | 100087 | 106279.593220339 | -6192.59322033898 |
57 | 169707 | 156589.185185185 | 13117.8148148148 |
58 | 150491 | 156589.185185185 | -6098.1851851852 |
59 | 120192 | 156589.185185185 | -36397.1851851852 |
60 | 95893 | 82910.7777777778 | 12982.2222222222 |
61 | 151715 | 156589.185185185 | -4874.1851851852 |
62 | 176225 | 156589.185185185 | 19635.8148148148 |
63 | 59900 | 82910.7777777778 | -23010.7777777778 |
64 | 104767 | 106279.593220339 | -1512.59322033898 |
65 | 114799 | 106279.593220339 | 8519.40677966102 |
66 | 72128 | 106279.593220339 | -34151.593220339 |
67 | 143592 | 106279.593220339 | 37312.406779661 |
68 | 89626 | 106279.593220339 | -16653.593220339 |
69 | 131072 | 140986.272727273 | -9914.27272727274 |
70 | 126817 | 82910.7777777778 | 43906.2222222222 |
71 | 81351 | 106279.593220339 | -24928.593220339 |
72 | 22618 | 30602.2857142857 | -7984.28571428571 |
73 | 88977 | 106279.593220339 | -17302.593220339 |
74 | 92059 | 106279.593220339 | -14220.593220339 |
75 | 81897 | 106279.593220339 | -24382.593220339 |
76 | 108146 | 106279.593220339 | 1866.40677966102 |
77 | 126372 | 140986.272727273 | -14614.2727272727 |
78 | 249771 | 156589.185185185 | 93181.8148148148 |
79 | 71154 | 106279.593220339 | -35125.593220339 |
80 | 71571 | 82910.7777777778 | -11339.7777777778 |
81 | 55918 | 82910.7777777778 | -26992.7777777778 |
82 | 160141 | 156589.185185185 | 3551.8148148148 |
83 | 38692 | 30602.2857142857 | 8089.71428571429 |
84 | 102812 | 106279.593220339 | -3467.59322033898 |
85 | 56622 | 30602.2857142857 | 26019.7142857143 |
86 | 15986 | 30602.2857142857 | -14616.2857142857 |
87 | 123534 | 106279.593220339 | 17254.406779661 |
88 | 108535 | 82910.7777777778 | 25624.2222222222 |
89 | 93879 | 82910.7777777778 | 10968.2222222222 |
90 | 144551 | 106279.593220339 | 38271.406779661 |
91 | 56750 | 82910.7777777778 | -26160.7777777778 |
92 | 127654 | 140986.272727273 | -13332.2727272727 |
93 | 65594 | 82910.7777777778 | -17316.7777777778 |
94 | 59938 | 82910.7777777778 | -22972.7777777778 |
95 | 146975 | 106279.593220339 | 40695.406779661 |
96 | 143372 | 106279.593220339 | 37092.406779661 |
97 | 168553 | 140986.272727273 | 27566.7272727273 |
98 | 183500 | 156589.185185185 | 26910.8148148148 |
99 | 165986 | 156589.185185185 | 9396.8148148148 |
100 | 184923 | 156589.185185185 | 28333.8148148148 |
101 | 140358 | 106279.593220339 | 34078.406779661 |
102 | 149959 | 156589.185185185 | -6630.1851851852 |
103 | 57224 | 82910.7777777778 | -25686.7777777778 |
104 | 43750 | 30602.2857142857 | 13147.7142857143 |
105 | 48029 | 82910.7777777778 | -34881.7777777778 |
106 | 104978 | 140986.272727273 | -36008.2727272727 |
107 | 100046 | 106279.593220339 | -6233.59322033898 |
108 | 101047 | 106279.593220339 | -5232.59322033898 |
109 | 197426 | 156589.185185185 | 40836.8148148148 |
110 | 160902 | 82910.7777777778 | 77991.2222222222 |
111 | 147172 | 156589.185185185 | -9417.1851851852 |
112 | 109432 | 106279.593220339 | 3152.40677966102 |
113 | 1168 | 3034.5 | -1866.5 |
114 | 83248 | 106279.593220339 | -23031.593220339 |
115 | 25162 | 30602.2857142857 | -5440.28571428571 |
116 | 45724 | 77916.5 | -32192.5 |
117 | 110529 | 156589.185185185 | -46060.1851851852 |
118 | 855 | 3034.5 | -2179.5 |
119 | 101382 | 82910.7777777778 | 18471.2222222222 |
120 | 14116 | 30602.2857142857 | -16486.2857142857 |
121 | 89506 | 106279.593220339 | -16773.593220339 |
122 | 135356 | 106279.593220339 | 29076.406779661 |
123 | 116066 | 77916.5 | 38149.5 |
124 | 144244 | 106279.593220339 | 37964.406779661 |
125 | 8773 | 30602.2857142857 | -21829.2857142857 |
126 | 102153 | 82910.7777777778 | 19242.2222222222 |
127 | 117440 | 106279.593220339 | 11160.406779661 |
128 | 104128 | 106279.593220339 | -2151.59322033898 |
129 | 134238 | 156589.185185185 | -22351.1851851852 |
130 | 134047 | 156589.185185185 | -22542.1851851852 |
131 | 279488 | 156589.185185185 | 122898.814814815 |
132 | 79756 | 82910.7777777778 | -3154.77777777778 |
133 | 66089 | 77916.5 | -11827.5 |
134 | 102070 | 106279.593220339 | -4209.59322033898 |
135 | 146760 | 156589.185185185 | -9829.1851851852 |
136 | 154771 | 77916.5 | 76854.5 |
137 | 165933 | 140986.272727273 | 24946.7272727273 |
138 | 64593 | 77916.5 | -13323.5 |
139 | 92280 | 106279.593220339 | -13999.593220339 |
140 | 67150 | 106279.593220339 | -39129.593220339 |
141 | 128692 | 106279.593220339 | 22412.406779661 |
142 | 124089 | 106279.593220339 | 17809.406779661 |
143 | 125386 | 140986.272727273 | -15600.2727272727 |
144 | 37238 | 30602.2857142857 | 6635.71428571429 |
145 | 140015 | 140986.272727273 | -971.272727272735 |
146 | 150047 | 106279.593220339 | 43767.406779661 |
147 | 154451 | 106279.593220339 | 48171.406779661 |
148 | 156349 | 140986.272727273 | 15362.7272727273 |
149 | 0 | 3034.5 | -3034.5 |
150 | 6023 | 3034.5 | 2988.5 |
151 | 0 | 3034.5 | -3034.5 |
152 | 0 | 3034.5 | -3034.5 |
153 | 0 | 3034.5 | -3034.5 |
154 | 0 | 3034.5 | -3034.5 |
155 | 84601 | 106279.593220339 | -21678.593220339 |
156 | 68946 | 106279.593220339 | -37333.593220339 |
157 | 0 | 3034.5 | -3034.5 |
158 | 0 | 3034.5 | -3034.5 |
159 | 1644 | 3034.5 | -1390.5 |
160 | 6179 | 3034.5 | 3144.5 |
161 | 3926 | 3034.5 | 891.5 |
162 | 52789 | 77916.5 | -25127.5 |
163 | 0 | 3034.5 | -3034.5 |
164 | 100350 | 82910.7777777778 | 17439.2222222222 |