| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 1 |
| beta | 0.104119016628758 |
| gamma | FALSE |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 3 | 15.73 | 15.74 | -0.00999999999999979 |
| 4 | 15.74 | 15.8089588098337 | -0.0689588098337133 |
| 5 | 15.77 | 15.8117788863659 | -0.0417788863659379 |
| 6 | 15.78 | 15.8374289098017 | -0.0574289098016703 |
| 7 | 15.8 | 15.8414494681871 | -0.0414494681870572 |
| 8 | 15.81 | 15.8571337903196 | -0.0471337903196378 |
| 9 | 15.82 | 15.8622262664216 | -0.0422262664215705 |
| 10 | 15.88 | 15.8678297090859 | 0.0121702909141472 |
| 11 | 15.85 | 15.9290968678079 | -0.0790968678079214 |
| 12 | 15.89 | 15.8908613797133 | -0.00086137971334388 |
| 13 | 15.92 | 15.9307716937046 | -0.0107716937046476 |
| 14 | 16.02 | 15.9596501555487 | 0.0603498444513075 |
| 15 | 16.1 | 16.0659337220067 | 0.0340662779933396 |
| 16 | 16.13 | 16.1494806693715 | -0.0194806693715321 |
| 17 | 16.21 | 16.1774523612333 | 0.0325476387667045 |
| 18 | 16.25 | 16.2608411893753 | -0.0108411893752738 |
| 19 | 16.27 | 16.2997124153984 | -0.0297124153984356 |
| 20 | 16.21 | 16.3166187879255 | -0.106618787925484 |
| 21 | 16.21 | 16.2455177445725 | -0.0355177445725339 |
| 22 | 16.24 | 16.2418196719348 | -0.00181967193477206 |
| 23 | 16.32 | 16.2716302094823 | 0.0483697905176683 |
| 24 | 16.32 | 16.3566664245056 | -0.0366664245055723 |
| 25 | 16.36 | 16.3528487524428 | 0.00715124755723906 |
| 26 | 16.48 | 16.3935933333061 | 0.0864066666939145 |
| 27 | 16.54 | 16.5225899104724 | 0.0174100895275728 |
| 28 | 16.58 | 16.5844026318735 | -0.00440263187345735 |
| 29 | 16.56 | 16.6239442341722 | -0.0639442341722116 |
| 30 | 16.55 | 16.5972864233911 | -0.047286423391121 |
| 31 | 16.58 | 16.5823630074877 | -0.00236300748775164 |
| 32 | 16.53 | 16.6121169734718 | -0.0821169734718339 |
| 33 | 16.6 | 16.5535670349454 | 0.0464329650545778 |
| 34 | 16.46 | 16.6284015896061 | -0.168401589606063 |
| 35 | 16.48 | 16.4708677816976 | 0.00913221830244026 |
| 36 | 16.48 | 16.4918186192868 | -0.0118186192868492 |
| 37 | 16.49 | 16.4905880762688 | -0.000588076268794424 |
| 38 | 16.54 | 16.500526846346 | 0.0394731536540185 |
| 39 | 16.67 | 16.5546367522877 | 0.115363247712327 |
| 40 | 16.72 | 16.6966482601946 | 0.0233517398054168 |
| 41 | 16.79 | 16.7490796203797 | 0.0409203796203066 |
| 42 | 16.86 | 16.8233402100658 | 0.0366597899341663 |
| 43 | 16.84 | 16.8971571913436 | -0.0571571913435953 |
| 44 | 16.86 | 16.8712060407876 | -0.0112060407876413 |
| 45 | 16.96 | 16.8900392788405 | 0.0699607211594717 |
| 46 | 17.01 | 16.9973235203303 | 0.0126764796697074 |
| 47 | 17.02 | 17.0486433829278 | -0.0286433829278181 |
| 48 | 17.04 | 17.0556610620645 | -0.0156610620644528 |
| 49 | 17.04 | 17.0740304476829 | -0.0340304476829374 |
| 50 | 17.39 | 17.0704872309348 | 0.319512769065248 |
| 51 | 17.54 | 17.4537545862502 | 0.0862454137498396 |
| 52 | 17.57 | 17.6127343739185 | -0.0427343739185311 |
| 53 | 17.58 | 17.6382849129299 | -0.0582849129298921 |
| 54 | 17.56 | 17.6422163451113 | -0.0822163451113376 |
| 55 | 17.63 | 17.6136560601075 | 0.0163439398924652 |
| 56 | 17.67 | 17.685357775057 | -0.0153577750569731 |
| 57 | 17.71 | 17.7237587386204 | -0.0137587386204387 |
| 58 | 17.75 | 17.7623261922852 | -0.0123261922852294 |
| 59 | 17.82 | 17.8010428012657 | 0.018957198734288 |
| 60 | 17.86 | 17.873016606156 | -0.0130166061559613 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 61 | 17.9116613299232 | 17.7823640559878 | 18.0409586038585 |
| 62 | 17.9633226598463 | 17.7707140348339 | 18.1559312848587 |
| 63 | 18.0149839897695 | 17.7669852811865 | 18.2629826983524 |
| 64 | 18.0666453196926 | 17.7661522524704 | 18.3671383869149 |
| 65 | 18.1183066496158 | 17.7663993866738 | 18.4702139125578 |
| 66 | 18.169967979539 | 17.7668628548389 | 18.573073104239 |
| 67 | 18.2216293094621 | 17.767070611046 | 18.6761880078782 |
| 68 | 18.2732906393853 | 17.766742719379 | 18.7798385593915 |
| 69 | 18.3249519693084 | 17.7657044715554 | 18.8841994670614 |
| 70 | 18.3766132992316 | 17.7638433725386 | 18.9893832259246 |
| 71 | 18.4282746291547 | 17.7610858099107 | 19.0954634483988 |
| 72 | 18.4799359590779 | 17.7573835087669 | 19.2024884093889 |
