Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[60])
4869-------
4960-------
5056-------
5158-------
5250-------
5351-------
5453-------
5537-------
5622-------
5755-------
5870-------
5962-------
6058-------
613927-38.038292.03820.35880.17510.160.1751
624946.5-18.5382111.53820.470.58940.38730.3645
635833-32.038298.03820.22560.31480.22560.2256
644722.3333-42.704987.37160.22860.14120.20220.1412
654232.3333-32.704997.37160.38540.32920.28690.2196
666225.6667-39.371690.70490.13680.31130.2050.1649
673920-45.038285.03820.28350.10280.30420.1261
68407.5-57.538272.53820.16370.17120.33110.064
697232.6667-32.371697.70490.11790.41250.25050.2226
707046.6667-18.3716111.70490.2410.22260.2410.3663
715433.6667-31.371698.70490.270.13680.19660.2317
726515.1667-49.871680.20490.06660.12090.09840.0984


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
611.2290.4444014400
620.71360.05380.24916.2575.1258.6675
631.00550.75760.4186625258.416716.0753
641.48581.10450.5901608.4444345.923618.599
651.02630.2990.531893.4444295.427817.188
661.29281.41560.67911320.1111466.208321.5919
671.65910.950.7178361451.178621.241
684.42444.33331.16981056.25526.812522.9524
691.01581.20411.17361547.1111640.17925.3018
700.71110.51.1062544.4444630.605625.1119
710.98560.6041.0606413.4444610.863624.7157
722.18793.28571.2462483.3611766.905127.6931