Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 581 | 0 | 59 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 101.76 | 101.57262666663 | -0.314709039710011 | 102.26208237308 | -0.187373333370076 |
2 | 102.37 | 102.506613899052 | -0.200632329634887 | 102.434018430583 | 0.136613899052065 |
3 | 102.38 | 102.55860101146 | -0.404555499545896 | 102.605954488086 | 0.178601011460344 |
4 | 102.86 | 103.072803784771 | -0.137799207513951 | 102.784995422743 | 0.212803784770614 |
5 | 102.87 | 103.121006576878 | -0.345042934279329 | 102.964036357401 | 0.251006576878211 |
6 | 102.92 | 102.940178202363 | -0.252409911639448 | 103.152231709277 | 0.0201782023628709 |
7 | 102.95 | 102.889349901591 | -0.329776962742988 | 103.340427061152 | -0.0606500984090275 |
8 | 103.02 | 102.720115703585 | -0.213289147245284 | 103.53317344366 | -0.299884296414831 |
9 | 104.08 | 103.582881304592 | 0.851198869239682 | 103.725919826168 | -0.497118695407877 |
10 | 104.16 | 103.625082075727 | 0.757233574888578 | 103.937684349384 | -0.534917924272591 |
11 | 104.24 | 103.949213220097 | 0.381337907303268 | 104.1494488726 | -0.290786779903101 |
12 | 104.33 | 104.043255364789 | 0.208444871228746 | 104.408299763982 | -0.286744635210923 |
13 | 104.73 | 105.107558384346 | -0.314709039710011 | 104.667150655364 | 0.377558384345519 |
14 | 104.86 | 104.964673901647 | -0.200632329634887 | 104.955958427988 | 0.104673901646535 |
15 | 105.03 | 105.219789298934 | -0.404555499545896 | 105.244766200612 | 0.189789298933675 |
16 | 105.62 | 105.832771598152 | -0.137799207513951 | 105.545027609362 | 0.212771598151619 |
17 | 105.63 | 105.759753916167 | -0.345042934279329 | 105.845289018112 | 0.129753916166877 |
18 | 105.63 | 105.367862957199 | -0.252409911639448 | 106.144546954441 | -0.262137042801086 |
19 | 105.94 | 105.765972071974 | -0.329776962742988 | 106.443804890769 | -0.174027928025637 |
20 | 106.61 | 106.694311942882 | -0.213289147245284 | 106.738977204363 | 0.0843119428820671 |
21 | 107.69 | 107.494651612802 | 0.851198869239682 | 107.034149517958 | -0.195348387197498 |
22 | 107.78 | 107.474826261735 | 0.757233574888578 | 107.327940163376 | -0.305173738264585 |
23 | 107.93 | 107.856931283903 | 0.381337907303268 | 107.621730808794 | -0.0730687160974668 |
24 | 108.48 | 108.837594716231 | 0.208444871228746 | 107.913960412541 | 0.357594716230608 |
25 | 108.14 | 108.388519023423 | -0.314709039710011 | 108.206190016287 | 0.248519023422929 |
26 | 108.48 | 108.656353222148 | -0.200632329634887 | 108.504279107487 | 0.176353222148222 |
27 | 108.48 | 108.56218730086 | -0.404555499545896 | 108.802368198686 | 0.0821873008596441 |
28 | 108.89 | 108.802507496114 | -0.137799207513951 | 109.1152917114 | -0.0874925038858265 |
29 | 108.93 | 108.776827710166 | -0.345042934279329 | 109.428215224113 | -0.153172289833961 |
30 | 109.21 | 108.916157948997 | -0.252409911639448 | 109.756251962643 | -0.293842051003267 |
31 | 109.47 | 109.185488261571 | -0.329776962742988 | 110.084288701172 | -0.284511738429131 |
32 | 109.8 | 109.374471191216 | -0.213289147245284 | 110.438817956029 | -0.425528808783795 |
33 | 111.73 | 111.815453919874 | 0.851198869239682 | 110.793347210886 | 0.085453919874297 |
34 | 111.85 | 111.76062881839 | 0.757233574888578 | 111.182137606721 | -0.0893711816097209 |
35 | 112.12 | 112.287734090141 | 0.381337907303268 | 111.570928002556 | 0.167734090140499 |
36 | 112.15 | 112.104979761821 | 0.208444871228746 | 111.98657536695 | -0.0450202381789211 |
37 | 112.17 | 112.252486308366 | -0.314709039710011 | 112.402222731344 | 0.0824863083658869 |
38 | 112.67 | 112.715291246914 | -0.200632329634887 | 112.825341082721 | 0.0452912469136209 |
39 | 112.8 | 112.756096065447 | -0.404555499545896 | 113.248459434098 | -0.0439039345525174 |
40 | 113.44 | 113.352456018971 | -0.137799207513951 | 113.665343188543 | -0.087543981028972 |
41 | 113.53 | 113.322815991292 | -0.345042934279329 | 114.082226942987 | -0.207184008708111 |
42 | 114.53 | 114.821565374852 | -0.252409911639448 | 114.490844536787 | 0.291565374852411 |
43 | 114.51 | 114.450314832156 | -0.329776962742988 | 114.899462130587 | -0.0596851678436394 |
44 | 115.05 | 115.019485197848 | -0.213289147245284 | 115.293803949397 | -0.0305148021515436 |
45 | 116.67 | 116.800655362553 | 0.851198869239682 | 115.688145768207 | 0.130655362553313 |
46 | 117.07 | 117.3271139711 | 0.757233574888578 | 116.055652454011 | 0.257113971100324 |
47 | 116.92 | 117.035502952882 | 0.381337907303268 | 116.423159139815 | 0.115502952881542 |
48 | 117 | 117.035461420826 | 0.208444871228746 | 116.756093707945 | 0.0354614208259818 |
49 | 117.02 | 117.265680763635 | -0.314709039710011 | 117.089028276075 | 0.245680763634681 |
50 | 117.35 | 117.537598786971 | -0.200632329634887 | 117.363033542664 | 0.187598786970852 |
51 | 117.36 | 117.487516690293 | -0.404555499545896 | 117.637038809253 | 0.127516690293163 |
52 | 117.82 | 117.873896328075 | -0.137799207513951 | 117.903902879439 | 0.0538963280750409 |
53 | 117.88 | 117.934275984654 | -0.345042934279329 | 118.170766949625 | 0.0542759846542396 |
54 | 118.24 | 118.298893709311 | -0.252409911639448 | 118.433516202328 | 0.0588937093110076 |
55 | 118.5 | 118.633511507711 | -0.329776962742988 | 118.696265455032 | 0.133511507711191 |
56 | 118.8 | 118.858909949145 | -0.213289147245284 | 118.9543791981 | 0.0589099491450327 |
57 | 119.76 | 119.456308189592 | 0.851198869239682 | 119.212492941169 | -0.303691810408381 |
58 | 120.09 | 119.956051233978 | 0.757233574888578 | 119.466715191134 | -0.133948766022186 |