Goodness of Fit | |
Correlation | 0.8875 |
R-squared | 0.7877 |
RMSE | 37872.9614 |
Actuals, Predictions, and Residuals | |||
# | Actuals | Forecasts | Residuals |
1 | 210907 | 209753.161290323 | 1153.83870967742 |
2 | 120982 | 164010.787878788 | -43028.7878787879 |
3 | 176508 | 164010.787878788 | 12497.2121212121 |
4 | 179321 | 272321.375 | -93000.375 |
5 | 123185 | 112183.071428571 | 11001.9285714286 |
6 | 52746 | 59934.7586206897 | -7188.75862068965 |
7 | 385534 | 272321.375 | 113212.625 |
8 | 33170 | 45023.6 | -11853.6 |
9 | 101645 | 109181.8 | -7536.8 |
10 | 149061 | 164010.787878788 | -14949.7878787879 |
11 | 165446 | 164010.787878788 | 1435.21212121213 |
12 | 237213 | 272321.375 | -35108.375 |
13 | 173326 | 212530.875 | -39204.875 |
14 | 133131 | 164010.787878788 | -30879.7878787879 |
15 | 258873 | 209753.161290323 | 49119.8387096774 |
16 | 180083 | 164010.787878788 | 16072.2121212121 |
17 | 324799 | 272321.375 | 52477.625 |
18 | 230964 | 209753.161290323 | 21210.8387096774 |
19 | 236785 | 212530.875 | 24254.125 |
20 | 135473 | 112183.071428571 | 23289.9285714286 |
21 | 202925 | 209753.161290323 | -6828.16129032258 |
22 | 215147 | 209753.161290323 | 5393.83870967742 |
23 | 344297 | 272321.375 | 71975.625 |
24 | 153935 | 164010.787878788 | -10075.7878787879 |
25 | 132943 | 209753.161290323 | -76810.1612903226 |
26 | 174724 | 272321.375 | -97597.375 |
27 | 174415 | 212530.875 | -38115.875 |
28 | 225548 | 212530.875 | 13017.125 |
29 | 223632 | 212530.875 | 11101.125 |
30 | 124817 | 136000.352941176 | -11183.3529411765 |
31 | 221698 | 209753.161290323 | 11944.8387096774 |
32 | 210767 | 209753.161290323 | 1013.83870967742 |
33 | 170266 | 209753.161290323 | -39487.1612903226 |
34 | 260561 | 272321.375 | -11760.375 |
35 | 84853 | 82401 | 2452 |
36 | 294424 | 272321.375 | 22102.625 |
37 | 101011 | 82401 | 18610 |
38 | 215641 | 164010.787878788 | 51630.2121212121 |
39 | 325107 | 212530.875 | 112576.125 |
40 | 7176 | 22366.5 | -15190.5 |
41 | 167542 | 164010.787878788 | 3531.21212121213 |
42 | 106408 | 82401 | 24007 |
43 | 96560 | 109181.8 | -12621.8 |
44 | 265769 | 272321.375 | -6552.375 |
45 | 269651 | 209753.161290323 | 59897.8387096774 |
46 | 149112 | 164010.787878788 | -14898.7878787879 |
47 | 175824 | 212530.875 | -36706.875 |
48 | 152871 | 164010.787878788 | -11139.7878787879 |
49 | 111665 | 136000.352941176 | -24335.3529411765 |
50 | 116408 | 109181.8 | 7226.2 |
51 | 362301 | 212530.875 | 149770.125 |
52 | 78800 | 82401 | -3601 |
53 | 183167 | 209753.161290323 | -26586.1612903226 |
54 | 277965 | 272321.375 | 5643.625 |
55 | 150629 | 209753.161290323 | -59124.1612903226 |
56 | 168809 | 164010.787878788 | 4798.21212121213 |
57 | 24188 | 22366.5 | 1821.5 |
58 | 329267 | 272321.375 | 56945.625 |
59 | 65029 | 59934.7586206897 | 5094.24137931035 |
60 | 101097 | 109181.8 | -8084.8 |
61 | 218946 | 209753.161290323 | 9192.83870967742 |
62 | 244052 | 209753.161290323 | 34298.8387096774 |
63 | 341570 | 272321.375 | 69248.625 |
64 | 103597 | 82401 | 21196 |
65 | 233328 | 272321.375 | -38993.375 |
66 | 256462 | 272321.375 | -15859.375 |
67 | 206161 | 212530.875 | -6369.875 |
68 | 311473 | 272321.375 | 39151.625 |
69 | 235800 | 272321.375 | -36521.375 |
70 | 177939 | 212530.875 | -34591.875 |
71 | 207176 | 164010.787878788 | 43165.2121212121 |
72 | 196553 | 209753.161290323 | -13200.1612903226 |
73 | 174184 | 164010.787878788 | 10173.2121212121 |
74 | 143246 | 212530.875 | -69284.875 |
75 | 187559 | 212530.875 | -24971.875 |
76 | 187681 | 209753.161290323 | -22072.1612903226 |
77 | 119016 | 112183.071428571 | 6832.92857142857 |
78 | 182192 | 164010.787878788 | 18181.2121212121 |
79 | 73566 | 82401 | -8835 |
80 | 194979 | 164010.787878788 | 30968.2121212121 |
81 | 167488 | 209753.161290323 | -42265.1612903226 |
82 | 143756 | 209753.161290323 | -65997.1612903226 |
83 | 275541 | 209753.161290323 | 65787.8387096774 |
84 | 243199 | 272321.375 | -29122.375 |
85 | 182999 | 136000.352941176 | 46998.6470588235 |
86 | 135649 | 164010.787878788 | -28361.7878787879 |
87 | 152299 | 164010.787878788 | -11711.7878787879 |
88 | 120221 | 136000.352941176 | -15779.3529411765 |
89 | 346485 | 272321.375 | 74163.625 |
90 | 145790 | 109181.8 | 36608.2 |
91 | 193339 | 272321.375 | -78982.375 |
92 | 80953 | 59934.7586206897 | 21018.2413793103 |
93 | 122774 | 82401 | 40373 |
94 | 130585 | 164010.787878788 | -33425.7878787879 |
95 | 112611 | 82401 | 30210 |
96 | 286468 | 212530.875 | 73937.125 |
97 | 241066 | 136000.352941176 | 105065.647058824 |
98 | 148446 | 272321.375 | -123875.375 |
99 | 204713 | 212530.875 | -7817.875 |
100 | 182079 | 209753.161290323 | -27674.1612903226 |
101 | 140344 | 164010.787878788 | -23666.7878787879 |
102 | 220516 | 164010.787878788 | 56505.2121212121 |
103 | 243060 | 209753.161290323 | 33306.8387096774 |
104 | 162765 | 164010.787878788 | -1245.78787878787 |
105 | 182613 | 209753.161290323 | -27140.1612903226 |
106 | 232138 | 209753.161290323 | 22384.8387096774 |
107 | 265318 | 272321.375 | -7003.375 |
108 | 85574 | 82401 | 3173 |
109 | 310839 | 272321.375 | 38517.625 |
110 | 225060 | 212530.875 | 12529.125 |
111 | 232317 | 209753.161290323 | 22563.8387096774 |
112 | 144966 | 136000.352941176 | 8965.64705882352 |
113 | 43287 | 59934.7586206897 | -16647.7586206897 |
114 | 155754 | 112183.071428571 | 43570.9285714286 |
115 | 164709 | 272321.375 | -107612.375 |
116 | 201940 | 164010.787878788 | 37929.2121212121 |
117 | 235454 | 212530.875 | 22923.125 |
118 | 220801 | 212530.875 | 8270.125 |
119 | 99466 | 136000.352941176 | -36534.3529411765 |
120 | 92661 | 109181.8 | -16520.8 |
121 | 133328 | 112183.071428571 | 21144.9285714286 |
122 | 61361 | 109181.8 | -47820.8 |
123 | 125930 | 212530.875 | -86600.875 |
124 | 100750 | 136000.352941176 | -35250.3529411765 |
125 | 224549 | 164010.787878788 | 60538.2121212121 |
126 | 82316 | 82401 | -85 |
127 | 102010 | 109181.8 | -7171.8 |
128 | 101523 | 112183.071428571 | -10660.0714285714 |
129 | 243511 | 272321.375 | -28810.375 |
130 | 22938 | 22366.5 | 571.5 |
131 | 41566 | 82401 | -40835 |
132 | 152474 | 164010.787878788 | -11536.7878787879 |
133 | 61857 | 59934.7586206897 | 1922.24137931035 |
134 | 99923 | 109181.8 | -9258.8 |
135 | 132487 | 164010.787878788 | -31523.7878787879 |
136 | 317394 | 272321.375 | 45072.625 |
137 | 21054 | 22366.5 | -1312.5 |
138 | 209641 | 164010.787878788 | 45630.2121212121 |
139 | 22648 | 59934.7586206897 | -37286.7586206897 |
140 | 31414 | 59934.7586206897 | -28520.7586206897 |
141 | 46698 | 82401 | -35703 |
142 | 131698 | 112183.071428571 | 19514.9285714286 |
143 | 91735 | 82401 | 9334 |
144 | 244749 | 212530.875 | 32218.125 |
145 | 184510 | 164010.787878788 | 20499.2121212121 |
146 | 79863 | 82401 | -2538 |
147 | 128423 | 109181.8 | 19241.2 |
148 | 97839 | 164010.787878788 | -66171.7878787879 |
149 | 38214 | 82401 | -44187 |
150 | 151101 | 136000.352941176 | 15100.6470588235 |
151 | 272458 | 209753.161290323 | 62704.8387096774 |
152 | 172494 | 209753.161290323 | -37259.1612903226 |
153 | 108043 | 109181.8 | -1138.8 |
154 | 328107 | 209753.161290323 | 118353.838709677 |
155 | 250579 | 272321.375 | -21742.375 |
156 | 351067 | 272321.375 | 78745.625 |
157 | 158015 | 164010.787878788 | -5995.78787878787 |
158 | 98866 | 59934.7586206897 | 38931.2413793103 |
159 | 85439 | 82401 | 3038 |
160 | 229242 | 212530.875 | 16711.125 |
161 | 351619 | 272321.375 | 79297.625 |
162 | 84207 | 82401 | 1806 |
163 | 120445 | 136000.352941176 | -15555.3529411765 |
164 | 324598 | 272321.375 | 52276.625 |
165 | 131069 | 164010.787878788 | -32941.7878787879 |
166 | 204271 | 209753.161290323 | -5482.16129032258 |
167 | 165543 | 209753.161290323 | -44210.1612903226 |
168 | 141722 | 212530.875 | -70808.875 |
169 | 116048 | 112183.071428571 | 3864.92857142857 |
170 | 250047 | 136000.352941176 | 114046.647058824 |
171 | 299775 | 212530.875 | 87244.125 |
172 | 195838 | 209753.161290323 | -13915.1612903226 |
173 | 173260 | 109181.8 | 64078.2 |
174 | 254488 | 272321.375 | -17833.375 |
175 | 104389 | 164010.787878788 | -59621.7878787879 |
176 | 136084 | 82401 | 53683 |
177 | 199476 | 209753.161290323 | -10277.1612903226 |
178 | 92499 | 82401 | 10098 |
179 | 224330 | 272321.375 | -47991.375 |
180 | 135781 | 82401 | 53380 |
181 | 74408 | 109181.8 | -34773.8 |
182 | 81240 | 109181.8 | -27941.8 |
183 | 14688 | 22366.5 | -7678.5 |
184 | 181633 | 164010.787878788 | 17622.2121212121 |
185 | 271856 | 272321.375 | -465.375 |
186 | 7199 | 22366.5 | -15167.5 |
187 | 46660 | 45023.6 | 1636.4 |
188 | 17547 | 22366.5 | -4819.5 |
189 | 133368 | 136000.352941176 | -2632.35294117648 |
190 | 95227 | 82401 | 12826 |
191 | 152601 | 136000.352941176 | 16600.6470588235 |
192 | 98146 | 82401 | 15745 |
193 | 79619 | 82401 | -2782 |
194 | 59194 | 82401 | -23207 |
195 | 139942 | 112183.071428571 | 27758.9285714286 |
196 | 118612 | 112183.071428571 | 6428.92857142857 |
197 | 72880 | 82401 | -9521 |
198 | 65475 | 59934.7586206897 | 5540.24137931035 |
199 | 99643 | 136000.352941176 | -36357.3529411765 |
200 | 71965 | 112183.071428571 | -40218.0714285714 |
201 | 77272 | 109181.8 | -31909.8 |
202 | 49289 | 59934.7586206897 | -10645.7586206897 |
203 | 135131 | 109181.8 | 25949.2 |
204 | 108446 | 109181.8 | -735.800000000003 |
205 | 89746 | 82401 | 7345 |
206 | 44296 | 45023.6 | -727.599999999999 |
207 | 77648 | 82401 | -4753 |
208 | 181528 | 109181.8 | 72346.2 |
209 | 134019 | 109181.8 | 24837.2 |
210 | 124064 | 82401 | 41663 |
211 | 92630 | 82401 | 10229 |
212 | 121848 | 82401 | 39447 |
213 | 52915 | 59934.7586206897 | -7019.75862068965 |
214 | 81872 | 82401 | -529 |
215 | 58981 | 82401 | -23420 |
216 | 53515 | 59934.7586206897 | -6419.75862068965 |
217 | 60812 | 82401 | -21589 |
218 | 56375 | 82401 | -26026 |
219 | 65490 | 59934.7586206897 | 5555.24137931035 |
220 | 80949 | 45023.6 | 35925.4 |
221 | 76302 | 82401 | -6099 |
222 | 104011 | 109181.8 | -5170.8 |
223 | 98104 | 112183.071428571 | -14079.0714285714 |
224 | 67989 | 59934.7586206897 | 8054.24137931035 |
225 | 30989 | 45023.6 | -14034.6 |
226 | 135458 | 212530.875 | -77072.875 |
227 | 73504 | 82401 | -8897 |
228 | 63123 | 112183.071428571 | -49060.0714285714 |
229 | 61254 | 82401 | -21147 |
230 | 74914 | 82401 | -7487 |
231 | 31774 | 45023.6 | -13249.6 |
232 | 81437 | 82401 | -964 |
233 | 87186 | 109181.8 | -21995.8 |
234 | 50090 | 59934.7586206897 | -9844.75862068965 |
235 | 65745 | 109181.8 | -43436.8 |
236 | 56653 | 82401 | -25748 |
237 | 158399 | 82401 | 75998 |
238 | 46455 | 59934.7586206897 | -13479.7586206897 |
239 | 73624 | 59934.7586206897 | 13689.2413793103 |
240 | 38395 | 82401 | -44006 |
241 | 91899 | 82401 | 9498 |
242 | 139526 | 212530.875 | -73004.875 |
243 | 52164 | 82401 | -30237 |
244 | 51567 | 82401 | -30834 |
245 | 70551 | 82401 | -11850 |
246 | 84856 | 82401 | 2455 |
247 | 102538 | 136000.352941176 | -33462.3529411765 |
248 | 86678 | 82401 | 4277 |
249 | 85709 | 82401 | 3308 |
250 | 34662 | 59934.7586206897 | -25272.7586206897 |
251 | 150580 | 109181.8 | 41398.2 |
252 | 99611 | 136000.352941176 | -36389.3529411765 |
253 | 19349 | 22366.5 | -3017.5 |
254 | 99373 | 109181.8 | -9808.8 |
255 | 86230 | 82401 | 3829 |
256 | 30837 | 22366.5 | 8470.5 |
257 | 31706 | 59934.7586206897 | -28228.7586206897 |
258 | 89806 | 82401 | 7405 |
259 | 62088 | 82401 | -20313 |
260 | 40151 | 82401 | -42250 |
261 | 27634 | 45023.6 | -17389.6 |
262 | 76990 | 59934.7586206897 | 17055.2413793103 |
263 | 37460 | 45023.6 | -7563.6 |
264 | 54157 | 59934.7586206897 | -5777.75862068965 |
265 | 49862 | 82401 | -32539 |
266 | 84337 | 59934.7586206897 | 24402.2413793103 |
267 | 64175 | 82401 | -18226 |
268 | 59382 | 82401 | -23019 |
269 | 119308 | 82401 | 36907 |
270 | 76702 | 136000.352941176 | -59298.3529411765 |
271 | 103425 | 109181.8 | -5756.8 |
272 | 70344 | 59934.7586206897 | 10409.2413793103 |
273 | 43410 | 22366.5 | 21043.5 |
274 | 104838 | 82401 | 22437 |
275 | 62215 | 59934.7586206897 | 2280.24137931035 |
276 | 69304 | 82401 | -13097 |
277 | 53117 | 45023.6 | 8093.4 |
278 | 19764 | 22366.5 | -2602.5 |
279 | 86680 | 82401 | 4279 |
280 | 84105 | 59934.7586206897 | 24170.2413793103 |
281 | 77945 | 59934.7586206897 | 18010.2413793103 |
282 | 89113 | 82401 | 6712 |
283 | 91005 | 82401 | 8604 |
284 | 40248 | 22366.5 | 17881.5 |
285 | 64187 | 45023.6 | 19163.4 |
286 | 50857 | 59934.7586206897 | -9077.75862068965 |
287 | 56613 | 59934.7586206897 | -3321.75862068965 |
288 | 62792 | 112183.071428571 | -49391.0714285714 |
289 | 72535 | 59934.7586206897 | 12600.2413793103 |