Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 701 | 0 | 71 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 539 | 544.925738959867 | -8.53207670211424 | 541.606337742247 | 5.92573895986709 |
2 | 548 | 550.281874683091 | 3.04741061054521 | 542.670714706363 | 2.28187468309136 |
3 | 563 | 560.971343682326 | 21.2935646471938 | 543.73509167048 | -2.02865631767372 |
4 | 581 | 580.316114527306 | 36.8092971998294 | 544.874588272864 | -0.683885472693532 |
5 | 572 | 569.160888295641 | 28.8250268291106 | 546.014084875248 | -2.83911170435908 |
6 | 519 | 514.989521223347 | -24.1957973750738 | 547.206276151727 | -4.01047877665337 |
7 | 521 | 521.151491726121 | -27.5499591543271 | 548.398467428206 | 0.151491726121094 |
8 | 531 | 528.436404377292 | -16.0933502158166 | 549.656945838525 | -2.56359562270848 |
9 | 540 | 540.554659590428 | -11.4700838392726 | 550.915424248844 | 0.5546595904284 |
10 | 548 | 546.107639559453 | -2.79674555814926 | 552.689105998697 | -1.89236044054746 |
11 | 556 | 553.848724985797 | 3.68848726565402 | 554.462787748549 | -2.15127501420341 |
12 | 551 | 548.526727535998 | -3.02577823304361 | 556.499050697046 | -2.47327246400198 |
13 | 549 | 547.996763056572 | -8.53207670211424 | 558.535313645542 | -1.00323694342751 |
14 | 564 | 564.484985756721 | 3.04741061054521 | 560.467603632733 | 0.484985756721358 |
15 | 586 | 588.306541732881 | 21.2935646471938 | 562.399893619925 | 2.30654173288087 |
16 | 604 | 606.84027984638 | 36.8092971998294 | 564.35042295379 | 2.84027984638044 |
17 | 601 | 606.874020883234 | 28.8250268291106 | 566.300952287655 | 5.87402088323427 |
18 | 545 | 546.385297601696 | -24.1957973750738 | 567.810499773378 | 1.38529760169581 |
19 | 537 | 532.229911895226 | -27.5499591543271 | 569.320047259101 | -4.77008810477378 |
20 | 552 | 550.384301925856 | -16.0933502158166 | 569.70904828996 | -1.61569807414367 |
21 | 563 | 567.372034518453 | -11.4700838392726 | 570.09804932082 | 4.37203451845301 |
22 | 575 | 583.256201510061 | -2.79674555814926 | 569.540544048088 | 8.25620151006137 |
23 | 580 | 587.32847395899 | 3.68848726565402 | 568.983038775356 | 7.32847395898966 |
24 | 575 | 585.160452179023 | -3.02577823304361 | 567.865326054021 | 10.1604521790227 |
25 | 558 | 557.784463369429 | -8.53207670211424 | 566.747613332686 | -0.21553663057125 |
26 | 564 | 560.076386394469 | 3.04741061054521 | 564.876202994986 | -3.92361360553093 |
27 | 581 | 577.70164269552 | 21.2935646471938 | 563.004792657286 | -3.29835730447974 |
28 | 597 | 597.339708779586 | 36.8092971998294 | 559.850994020584 | 0.339708779586431 |
29 | 587 | 588.477777787007 | 28.8250268291106 | 556.697195383883 | 1.47777778700663 |
30 | 536 | 543.729798771997 | -24.1957973750738 | 552.465998603077 | 7.72979877199691 |
31 | 524 | 527.315157332056 | -27.5499591543271 | 548.234801822271 | 3.31515733205606 |
32 | 537 | 546.858147194001 | -16.0933502158166 | 543.235203021816 | 9.85814719400071 |
33 | 536 | 545.234479617912 | -11.4700838392726 | 538.235604221361 | 9.2344796179118 |
34 | 533 | 535.993267029374 | -2.79674555814926 | 532.803478528776 | 2.99326702937367 |
35 | 528 | 524.940159898156 | 3.68848726565402 | 527.37135283619 | -3.05984010184443 |
36 | 516 | 512.827354855858 | -3.02577823304361 | 522.198423377185 | -3.1726451441416 |
37 | 502 | 495.506582783934 | -8.53207670211424 | 517.02549391818 | -6.49341721606578 |
38 | 506 | 495.920050104767 | 3.04741061054521 | 513.032539284688 | -10.079949895233 |
39 | 518 | 505.666850701611 | 21.2935646471938 | 509.039584651195 | -12.3331492983893 |
40 | 534 | 524.214793394197 | 36.8092971998294 | 506.975909405974 | -9.78520660580318 |
41 | 528 | 522.262739010137 | 28.8250268291106 | 504.912234160752 | -5.73726098986276 |
42 | 478 | 475.23715969494 | -24.1957973750738 | 504.958637680134 | -2.76284030505997 |
43 | 469 | 460.544917954812 | -27.5499591543271 | 505.005041199515 | -8.45508204518825 |
44 | 490 | 489.504309858667 | -16.0933502158166 | 506.589040357149 | -0.49569014133283 |
45 | 493 | 489.297044324489 | -11.4700838392726 | 508.173039514783 | -3.70295567551085 |
46 | 508 | 508.311941953123 | -2.79674555814926 | 510.484803605026 | 0.31194195312338 |
47 | 517 | 517.514945039078 | 3.68848726565402 | 512.796567695268 | 0.514945039077702 |
48 | 514 | 515.653869791267 | -3.02577823304361 | 515.371908441777 | 1.65386979126674 |
49 | 510 | 510.584827513829 | -8.53207670211424 | 517.947249188285 | 0.584827513828827 |
50 | 527 | 530.074235647617 | 3.04741061054521 | 520.878353741837 | 3.07423564761746 |
51 | 542 | 538.896977057417 | 21.2935646471938 | 523.809458295389 | -3.10302294258304 |
52 | 565 | 566.064005602511 | 36.8092971998294 | 527.126697197659 | 1.06400560251143 |
53 | 555 | 550.73103707096 | 28.8250268291106 | 530.443936099929 | -4.26896292903984 |
54 | 499 | 487.776124786328 | -24.1957973750738 | 534.419672588745 | -11.2238752136716 |
55 | 511 | 511.154550076765 | -27.5499591543271 | 538.395409077562 | 0.154550076765418 |
56 | 526 | 524.597374194686 | -16.0933502158166 | 543.495976021131 | -1.4026258053143 |
57 | 532 | 526.873540874572 | -11.4700838392726 | 548.5965429647 | -5.12645912542757 |
58 | 549 | 546.392643162825 | -2.79674555814926 | 554.404102395324 | -2.60735683717462 |
59 | 561 | 558.099850908398 | 3.68848726565402 | 560.211661825948 | -2.90014909160163 |
60 | 557 | 551.126341628078 | -3.02577823304361 | 565.899436604966 | -5.87365837192215 |
61 | 566 | 568.94486531813 | -8.53207670211424 | 571.587211383984 | 2.9448653181305 |
62 | 588 | 597.465394593492 | 3.04741061054521 | 575.487194795963 | 9.46539459349162 |
63 | 620 | 639.319257144864 | 21.2935646471938 | 579.387178207942 | 19.3192571448636 |
64 | 626 | 632.128190231704 | 36.8092971998294 | 583.062512568467 | 6.12819023170368 |
65 | 620 | 624.437126241898 | 28.8250268291106 | 586.737846928992 | 4.43712624189789 |
66 | 573 | 579.912152025754 | -24.1957973750738 | 590.28364534932 | 6.91215202575404 |
67 | 573 | 579.720515384679 | -27.5499591543271 | 593.829443769648 | 6.72051538467883 |
68 | 574 | 566.960248644407 | -16.0933502158166 | 597.13310157141 | -7.03975135559324 |
69 | 580 | 571.033324466101 | -11.4700838392726 | 600.436759373171 | -8.96667553389887 |
70 | 590 | 579.283182738306 | -2.79674555814926 | 603.513562819843 | -10.7168172616937 |