| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 1 |
| beta | 0 |
| gamma | FALSE |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 3 | 1.2262 | 1.2679 | -0.0416999999999998 |
| 4 | 1.1985 | 1.2295 | -0.0309999999999999 |
| 5 | 1.2007 | 1.2018 | -0.00109999999999966 |
| 6 | 1.2138 | 1.204 | 0.00980000000000003 |
| 7 | 1.2266 | 1.2171 | 0.00950000000000006 |
| 8 | 1.2176 | 1.2299 | -0.0122999999999998 |
| 9 | 1.2218 | 1.2209 | 0.000900000000000123 |
| 10 | 1.249 | 1.2251 | 0.0239000000000003 |
| 11 | 1.2991 | 1.2523 | 0.0468 |
| 12 | 1.3408 | 1.3024 | 0.0384000000000002 |
| 13 | 1.3119 | 1.3441 | -0.0321999999999998 |
| 14 | 1.3014 | 1.3152 | -0.0138 |
| 15 | 1.3201 | 1.3047 | 0.0154000000000003 |
| 16 | 1.2938 | 1.3234 | -0.0295999999999998 |
| 17 | 1.2694 | 1.2971 | -0.0276999999999998 |
| 18 | 1.2165 | 1.2727 | -0.0562 |
| 19 | 1.2037 | 1.2198 | -0.0160999999999998 |
| 20 | 1.2292 | 1.207 | 0.0222000000000002 |
| 21 | 1.2256 | 1.2325 | -0.00689999999999991 |
| 22 | 1.2015 | 1.2289 | -0.0273999999999999 |
| 23 | 1.1786 | 1.2048 | -0.0261999999999998 |
| 24 | 1.1856 | 1.1819 | 0.00370000000000004 |
| 25 | 1.2103 | 1.1889 | 0.0214000000000001 |
| 26 | 1.1938 | 1.2136 | -0.0197999999999998 |
| 27 | 1.202 | 1.1971 | 0.00490000000000013 |
| 28 | 1.2271 | 1.2053 | 0.0218000000000003 |
| 29 | 1.277 | 1.2304 | 0.0466 |
| 30 | 1.265 | 1.2803 | -0.0152999999999999 |
| 31 | 1.2684 | 1.2683 | 0.000100000000000211 |
| 32 | 1.2811 | 1.2717 | 0.00940000000000007 |
| 33 | 1.2727 | 1.2844 | -0.0116999999999998 |
| 34 | 1.2611 | 1.276 | -0.0148999999999997 |
| 35 | 1.2881 | 1.2644 | 0.0237000000000001 |
| 36 | 1.3213 | 1.2914 | 0.0299 |
| 37 | 1.2999 | 1.3246 | -0.0246999999999997 |
| 38 | 1.3074 | 1.3032 | 0.00419999999999998 |
| 39 | 1.3242 | 1.3107 | 0.0135000000000003 |
| 40 | 1.3516 | 1.3275 | 0.0241 |
| 41 | 1.3511 | 1.3549 | -0.0037999999999998 |
| 42 | 1.3419 | 1.3544 | -0.0124999999999997 |
| 43 | 1.3716 | 1.3452 | 0.0264 |
| 44 | 1.3622 | 1.3749 | -0.0126999999999997 |
| 45 | 1.3896 | 1.3655 | 0.0241 |
| 46 | 1.4227 | 1.3929 | 0.0298000000000003 |
| 47 | 1.4684 | 1.426 | 0.0424 |
| 48 | 1.457 | 1.4717 | -0.0146999999999997 |
| 49 | 1.4718 | 1.4603 | 0.0115000000000001 |
| 50 | 1.4748 | 1.4751 | -0.000299999999999745 |
| 51 | 1.5527 | 1.4781 | 0.0746 |
| 52 | 1.575 | 1.556 | 0.0190000000000001 |
| 53 | 1.5557 | 1.5783 | -0.0225999999999997 |
| 54 | 1.5553 | 1.559 | -0.00370000000000004 |
| 55 | 1.577 | 1.5586 | 0.0184000000000002 |
| 56 | 1.4975 | 1.5803 | -0.0827999999999998 |
| 57 | 1.437 | 1.5008 | -0.0637999999999999 |
| 58 | 1.3322 | 1.4403 | -0.1081 |
| 59 | 1.2732 | 1.3355 | -0.0622999999999998 |
| 60 | 1.3449 | 1.2765 | 0.0684 |
| 61 | 1.3239 | 1.3482 | -0.0242999999999998 |
| 62 | 1.2785 | 1.3272 | -0.0487 |
| 63 | 1.305 | 1.2818 | 0.0232000000000001 |
| 64 | 1.319 | 1.3083 | 0.0107000000000002 |
| 65 | 1.365 | 1.3223 | 0.0427000000000002 |
| 66 | 1.4016 | 1.3683 | 0.0333000000000001 |
| 67 | 1.4088 | 1.4049 | 0.00390000000000024 |
| 68 | 1.4268 | 1.4121 | 0.0147000000000002 |
| 69 | 1.4562 | 1.4301 | 0.0261 |
| 70 | 1.4816 | 1.4595 | 0.0221000000000002 |
| 71 | 1.4914 | 1.4849 | 0.00650000000000017 |
| 72 | 1.4614 | 1.4947 | -0.0332999999999999 |
| 73 | 1.4272 | 1.4647 | -0.0374999999999999 |
| 74 | 1.3686 | 1.4305 | -0.0618999999999998 |
| 75 | 1.3569 | 1.3719 | -0.0149999999999999 |
| 76 | 1.3406 | 1.3602 | -0.0195999999999998 |
| 77 | 1.2565 | 1.3439 | -0.0874 |
| 78 | 1.2208 | 1.2598 | -0.0389999999999997 |
| 79 | 1.277 | 1.2241 | 0.0529 |
| 80 | 1.2894 | 1.2803 | 0.00910000000000033 |
| 81 | 1.3067 | 1.2927 | 0.014 |
| 82 | 1.3898 | 1.31 | 0.0798000000000001 |
| 83 | 1.3661 | 1.3931 | -0.0269999999999997 |
| 84 | 1.322 | 1.3694 | -0.0473999999999999 |
| 85 | 1.336 | 1.3253 | 0.0107000000000002 |
| 86 | 1.3649 | 1.3393 | 0.0256000000000001 |
| 87 | 1.3999 | 1.3682 | 0.0317000000000001 |
| 88 | 1.4442 | 1.4032 | 0.0410000000000001 |
| 89 | 1.4349 | 1.4475 | -0.0125999999999997 |
| 90 | 1.4388 | 1.4382 | 0.000600000000000156 |
| 91 | 1.4264 | 1.4421 | -0.0157 |
| 92 | 1.4343 | 1.4297 | 0.00460000000000016 |
| 93 | 1.377 | 1.4376 | -0.0605999999999998 |
| 94 | 1.3706 | 1.3803 | -0.00969999999999982 |
| 95 | 1.3556 | 1.3739 | -0.0183 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 96 | 1.3589 | 1.29129590464457 | 1.42650409535543 |
| 97 | 1.3622 | 1.26659337147639 | 1.45780662852361 |
| 98 | 1.3655 | 1.24840627204467 | 1.48259372795533 |
| 99 | 1.3688 | 1.23359180928914 | 1.50400819071086 |
| 100 | 1.3721 | 1.22093264722788 | 1.52326735277212 |
| 101 | 1.3754 | 1.20980446185674 | 1.54099553814326 |
| 102 | 1.3787 | 1.19983637608004 | 1.55756362391996 |
| 103 | 1.382 | 1.19078674295278 | 1.57321325704722 |
| 104 | 1.3853 | 1.18248771393371 | 1.58811228606628 |
| 105 | 1.3886 | 1.17481707952163 | 1.60238292047836 |
| 106 | 1.3919 | 1.16768258141463 | 1.61611741858536 |
| 107 | 1.3952 | 1.16101254408933 | 1.62938745591066 |
