Goodness of Fit | |
Correlation | 0.8179 |
R-squared | 0.6689 |
RMSE | 27032.3407 |
Actuals, Predictions, and Residuals | |||
# | Actuals | Forecasts | Residuals |
1 | 140824 | 156589.185185185 | -15765.1851851852 |
2 | 110459 | 105304.911111111 | 5154.08888888889 |
3 | 105079 | 105304.911111111 | -225.911111111112 |
4 | 112098 | 133964.4 | -21866.4 |
5 | 43929 | 83147.5517241379 | -39218.5517241379 |
6 | 76173 | 28178.1578947368 | 47994.8421052632 |
7 | 187326 | 156589.185185185 | 30736.8148148148 |
8 | 22807 | 28178.1578947368 | -5371.15789473684 |
9 | 144408 | 133964.4 | 10443.6 |
10 | 66485 | 83147.5517241379 | -16662.5517241379 |
11 | 79089 | 105304.911111111 | -26215.9111111111 |
12 | 81625 | 83147.5517241379 | -1522.55172413793 |
13 | 68788 | 81275.375 | -12487.375 |
14 | 103297 | 105304.911111111 | -2007.91111111111 |
15 | 69446 | 83147.5517241379 | -13701.5517241379 |
16 | 114948 | 105304.911111111 | 9643.08888888889 |
17 | 167949 | 133964.4 | 33984.6 |
18 | 125081 | 105304.911111111 | 19776.0888888889 |
19 | 125818 | 105304.911111111 | 20513.0888888889 |
20 | 136588 | 105304.911111111 | 31283.0888888889 |
21 | 112431 | 133964.4 | -21533.4 |
22 | 103037 | 105304.911111111 | -2267.91111111111 |
23 | 82317 | 83147.5517241379 | -830.551724137928 |
24 | 118906 | 105304.911111111 | 13601.0888888889 |
25 | 83515 | 105304.911111111 | -21789.9111111111 |
26 | 104581 | 105304.911111111 | -723.911111111112 |
27 | 103129 | 105304.911111111 | -2175.91111111111 |
28 | 83243 | 105304.911111111 | -22061.9111111111 |
29 | 37110 | 28178.1578947368 | 8931.84210526316 |
30 | 113344 | 156589.185185185 | -43245.1851851852 |
31 | 139165 | 156589.185185185 | -17424.1851851852 |
32 | 86652 | 105304.911111111 | -18652.9111111111 |
33 | 112302 | 156589.185185185 | -44287.1851851852 |
34 | 69652 | 81275.375 | -11623.375 |
35 | 119442 | 156589.185185185 | -37147.1851851852 |
36 | 69867 | 83147.5517241379 | -13280.5517241379 |
37 | 101629 | 156589.185185185 | -54960.1851851852 |
38 | 70168 | 83147.5517241379 | -12979.5517241379 |
39 | 31081 | 28178.1578947368 | 2902.84210526316 |
40 | 103925 | 133964.4 | -30039.4 |
41 | 92622 | 105304.911111111 | -12682.9111111111 |
42 | 79011 | 83147.5517241379 | -4136.55172413793 |
43 | 93487 | 83147.5517241379 | 10339.4482758621 |
44 | 64520 | 81275.375 | -16755.375 |
45 | 93473 | 83147.5517241379 | 10325.4482758621 |
46 | 114360 | 83147.5517241379 | 31212.4482758621 |
47 | 33032 | 28178.1578947368 | 4853.84210526316 |
48 | 96125 | 105304.911111111 | -9179.91111111111 |
49 | 151911 | 156589.185185185 | -4678.1851851852 |
50 | 89256 | 105304.911111111 | -16048.9111111111 |
51 | 95676 | 105304.911111111 | -9628.91111111111 |
52 | 5950 | 28178.1578947368 | -22228.1578947368 |
53 | 149695 | 156589.185185185 | -6894.1851851852 |
54 | 32551 | 28178.1578947368 | 4372.84210526316 |
55 | 31701 | 28178.1578947368 | 3522.84210526316 |
56 | 100087 | 105304.911111111 | -5217.91111111111 |
57 | 169707 | 156589.185185185 | 13117.8148148148 |
58 | 150491 | 156589.185185185 | -6098.1851851852 |
59 | 120192 | 156589.185185185 | -36397.1851851852 |
60 | 95893 | 83147.5517241379 | 12745.4482758621 |
61 | 151715 | 156589.185185185 | -4874.1851851852 |
62 | 176225 | 156589.185185185 | 19635.8148148148 |
63 | 59900 | 83147.5517241379 | -23247.5517241379 |
64 | 104767 | 105304.911111111 | -537.911111111112 |
65 | 114799 | 133964.4 | -19165.4 |
66 | 72128 | 105304.911111111 | -33176.9111111111 |
67 | 143592 | 105304.911111111 | 38287.0888888889 |
68 | 89626 | 105304.911111111 | -15678.9111111111 |
69 | 131072 | 105304.911111111 | 25767.0888888889 |
70 | 126817 | 83147.5517241379 | 43669.4482758621 |
71 | 81351 | 83147.5517241379 | -1796.55172413793 |
72 | 22618 | 28178.1578947368 | -5560.15789473684 |
73 | 88977 | 105304.911111111 | -16327.9111111111 |
74 | 92059 | 105304.911111111 | -13245.9111111111 |
75 | 81897 | 105304.911111111 | -23407.9111111111 |
76 | 108146 | 105304.911111111 | 2841.08888888889 |
77 | 126372 | 105304.911111111 | 21067.0888888889 |
78 | 249771 | 156589.185185185 | 93181.8148148148 |
79 | 71154 | 83147.5517241379 | -11993.5517241379 |
80 | 71571 | 83147.5517241379 | -11576.5517241379 |
81 | 55918 | 83147.5517241379 | -27229.5517241379 |
82 | 160141 | 156589.185185185 | 3551.8148148148 |
83 | 38692 | 28178.1578947368 | 10513.8421052632 |
84 | 102812 | 105304.911111111 | -2492.91111111111 |
85 | 56622 | 28178.1578947368 | 28443.8421052632 |
86 | 15986 | 28178.1578947368 | -12192.1578947368 |
87 | 123534 | 133964.4 | -10430.4 |
88 | 108535 | 83147.5517241379 | 25387.4482758621 |
89 | 93879 | 133964.4 | -40085.4 |
90 | 144551 | 133964.4 | 10586.6 |
91 | 56750 | 83147.5517241379 | -26397.5517241379 |
92 | 127654 | 105304.911111111 | 22349.0888888889 |
93 | 65594 | 83147.5517241379 | -17553.5517241379 |
94 | 59938 | 83147.5517241379 | -23209.5517241379 |
95 | 146975 | 133964.4 | 13010.6 |
96 | 165904 | 133964.4 | 31939.6 |
97 | 169265 | 133964.4 | 35300.6 |
98 | 183500 | 156589.185185185 | 26910.8148148148 |
99 | 165986 | 156589.185185185 | 9396.8148148148 |
100 | 184923 | 156589.185185185 | 28333.8148148148 |
101 | 140358 | 133964.4 | 6393.60000000001 |
102 | 149959 | 156589.185185185 | -6630.1851851852 |
103 | 57224 | 83147.5517241379 | -25923.5517241379 |
104 | 43750 | 28178.1578947368 | 15571.8421052632 |
105 | 48029 | 83147.5517241379 | -35118.5517241379 |
106 | 104978 | 133964.4 | -28986.4 |
107 | 100046 | 133964.4 | -33918.4 |
108 | 101047 | 105304.911111111 | -4257.91111111111 |
109 | 197426 | 156589.185185185 | 40836.8148148148 |
110 | 160902 | 83147.5517241379 | 77754.4482758621 |
111 | 147172 | 156589.185185185 | -9417.1851851852 |
112 | 109432 | 105304.911111111 | 4127.08888888889 |
113 | 1168 | 28178.1578947368 | -27010.1578947368 |
114 | 83248 | 105304.911111111 | -22056.9111111111 |
115 | 25162 | 28178.1578947368 | -3016.15789473684 |
116 | 45724 | 81275.375 | -35551.375 |
117 | 110529 | 156589.185185185 | -46060.1851851852 |
118 | 855 | 28178.1578947368 | -27323.1578947368 |
119 | 101382 | 83147.5517241379 | 18234.4482758621 |
120 | 14116 | 28178.1578947368 | -14062.1578947368 |
121 | 89506 | 105304.911111111 | -15798.9111111111 |
122 | 135356 | 105304.911111111 | 30051.0888888889 |
123 | 116066 | 81275.375 | 34790.625 |
124 | 144244 | 83147.5517241379 | 61096.4482758621 |
125 | 8773 | 28178.1578947368 | -19405.1578947368 |
126 | 102153 | 83147.5517241379 | 19005.4482758621 |
127 | 117440 | 133964.4 | -16524.4 |
128 | 104128 | 105304.911111111 | -1176.91111111111 |
129 | 134238 | 156589.185185185 | -22351.1851851852 |
130 | 134047 | 156589.185185185 | -22542.1851851852 |
131 | 279488 | 156589.185185185 | 122898.814814815 |
132 | 79756 | 83147.5517241379 | -3391.55172413793 |
133 | 66089 | 81275.375 | -15186.375 |
134 | 102070 | 105304.911111111 | -3234.91111111111 |
135 | 146760 | 156589.185185185 | -9829.1851851852 |
136 | 154771 | 81275.375 | 73495.625 |
137 | 165933 | 133964.4 | 31968.6 |
138 | 64593 | 81275.375 | -16682.375 |
139 | 92280 | 105304.911111111 | -13024.9111111111 |
140 | 67150 | 105304.911111111 | -38154.9111111111 |
141 | 128692 | 105304.911111111 | 23387.0888888889 |
142 | 124089 | 105304.911111111 | 18784.0888888889 |
143 | 125386 | 105304.911111111 | 20081.0888888889 |
144 | 37238 | 28178.1578947368 | 9059.84210526316 |
145 | 140015 | 133964.4 | 6050.60000000001 |
146 | 150047 | 105304.911111111 | 44742.0888888889 |
147 | 154451 | 133964.4 | 20486.6 |
148 | 156349 | 133964.4 | 22384.6 |