Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	1.1856	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	1.2103	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	1.1938	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	1.202	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	1.2271	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	1.277	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	1.265	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	1.2684	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	1.2811	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	1.2727	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	1.2611	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	1.2881	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	1.3213	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	1.2999	1.3298	1.2797	1.3799	0.1207	0.6309	1	0.6309
50	1.3074	1.3298	1.2435	1.4162	0.3053	0.7516	0.999	0.5768
51	1.3242	1.3298	1.2184	1.4412	0.4605	0.6535	0.9877	0.5597
52	1.3516	1.3298	1.1981	1.4616	0.3731	0.5334	0.9368	0.5505
53	1.3511	1.3298	1.1805	1.4792	0.3901	0.3876	0.756	0.5446
54	1.3419	1.3298	1.1647	1.495	0.4431	0.4004	0.7793	0.5404
55	1.3716	1.3298	1.1504	1.5093	0.3242	0.4476	0.7489	0.5372
56	1.3622	1.3298	1.1371	1.5226	0.3711	0.3356	0.6899	0.5346
57	1.3896	1.3298	1.1246	1.5351	0.2841	0.3786	0.7074	0.5325
58	1.4227	1.3298	1.1129	1.5468	0.2008	0.2946	0.7327	0.5308
59	1.4684	1.3298	1.1018	1.5579	0.1169	0.2124	0.6401	0.5293
60	1.457	1.3298	1.0912	1.5685	0.1482	0.1276	0.528	0.528

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.0192	-0.0225	0	9e-04	0	0
50	0.0331	-0.0169	0.0197	5e-04	7e-04	0.0265
51	0.0427	-0.0042	0.0145	0	5e-04	0.0218
52	0.0506	0.0164	0.015	5e-04	5e-04	0.0218
53	0.0573	0.016	0.0152	5e-04	5e-04	0.0217
54	0.0633	0.0091	0.0142	1e-04	4e-04	0.0204
55	0.0689	0.0314	0.0166	0.0017	6e-04	0.0246
56	0.074	0.0243	0.0176	0.001	7e-04	0.0257
57	0.0787	0.0449	0.0206	0.0036	0.001	0.0314
58	0.0832	0.0698	0.0256	0.0086	0.0017	0.0418
59	0.0875	0.1042	0.0327	0.0192	0.0033	0.0578
60	0.0916	0.0956	0.0379	0.0162	0.0044	0.0664