Goodness of Fit | |
Correlation | 0.8623 |
R-squared | 0.7435 |
RMSE | 38628.0736 |
Actuals, Predictions, and Residuals | |||
# | Actuals | Forecasts | Residuals |
1 | 158258 | 157211.553191489 | 1046.44680851063 |
2 | 186930 | 157211.553191489 | 29718.4468085106 |
3 | 7215 | 6214.69230769231 | 1000.30769230769 |
4 | 129098 | 202277.695652174 | -73179.6956521739 |
5 | 230632 | 254273.454545455 | -23641.4545454546 |
6 | 508313 | 254273.454545455 | 254039.545454545 |
7 | 180745 | 157211.553191489 | 23533.4468085106 |
8 | 185559 | 157211.553191489 | 28347.4468085106 |
9 | 154581 | 157211.553191489 | -2630.55319148937 |
10 | 290658 | 254273.454545455 | 36384.5454545454 |
11 | 121844 | 157211.553191489 | -35367.5531914894 |
12 | 184039 | 202277.695652174 | -18238.6956521739 |
13 | 100324 | 157211.553191489 | -56887.5531914894 |
14 | 215855 | 254273.454545455 | -38418.4545454546 |
15 | 168265 | 157211.553191489 | 11053.4468085106 |
16 | 154647 | 157211.553191489 | -2564.55319148937 |
17 | 142018 | 157211.553191489 | -15193.5531914894 |
18 | 79030 | 123725.958333333 | -44695.9583333333 |
19 | 167047 | 254273.454545455 | -87226.4545454546 |
20 | 27997 | 36422.8571428571 | -8425.85714285714 |
21 | 73019 | 82260.2105263158 | -9241.21052631579 |
22 | 241082 | 254273.454545455 | -13191.4545454546 |
23 | 195820 | 157211.553191489 | 38608.4468085106 |
24 | 141899 | 202277.695652174 | -60378.6956521739 |
25 | 145433 | 157211.553191489 | -11778.5531914894 |
26 | 183744 | 157211.553191489 | 26532.4468085106 |
27 | 202232 | 157211.553191489 | 45020.4468085106 |
28 | 199532 | 157211.553191489 | 42320.4468085106 |
29 | 354924 | 254273.454545455 | 100650.545454545 |
30 | 192399 | 202277.695652174 | -9878.69565217392 |
31 | 182286 | 157211.553191489 | 25074.4468085106 |
32 | 181590 | 157211.553191489 | 24378.4468085106 |
33 | 133801 | 202277.695652174 | -68476.6956521739 |
34 | 233686 | 254273.454545455 | -20587.4545454546 |
35 | 219428 | 202277.695652174 | 17150.3043478261 |
36 | 0 | 6214.69230769231 | -6214.69230769231 |
37 | 223044 | 202277.695652174 | 20766.3043478261 |
38 | 100129 | 157211.553191489 | -57082.5531914894 |
39 | 136733 | 157211.553191489 | -20478.5531914894 |
40 | 249965 | 202277.695652174 | 47687.3043478261 |
41 | 242379 | 202277.695652174 | 40101.3043478261 |
42 | 145794 | 157211.553191489 | -11417.5531914894 |
43 | 96404 | 82260.2105263158 | 14143.7894736842 |
44 | 195891 | 202277.695652174 | -6386.69565217392 |
45 | 117156 | 123725.958333333 | -6569.95833333333 |
46 | 157787 | 123725.958333333 | 34061.0416666667 |
47 | 81293 | 82260.2105263158 | -967.210526315786 |
48 | 224049 | 202277.695652174 | 21771.3043478261 |
49 | 223789 | 202277.695652174 | 21511.3043478261 |
50 | 160344 | 202277.695652174 | -41933.6956521739 |
51 | 48188 | 36422.8571428571 | 11765.1428571429 |
52 | 161922 | 157211.553191489 | 4710.44680851063 |
53 | 294283 | 202277.695652174 | 92005.3043478261 |
54 | 235223 | 157211.553191489 | 78011.4468085106 |
55 | 195583 | 157211.553191489 | 38371.4468085106 |
56 | 146061 | 157211.553191489 | -11150.5531914894 |
57 | 208834 | 157211.553191489 | 51622.4468085106 |
58 | 93764 | 82260.2105263158 | 11503.7894736842 |
59 | 151985 | 123725.958333333 | 28259.0416666667 |
60 | 190545 | 254273.454545455 | -63728.4545454546 |
61 | 148922 | 157211.553191489 | -8289.55319148937 |
62 | 132856 | 157211.553191489 | -24355.5531914894 |
63 | 126107 | 123725.958333333 | 2381.04166666667 |
64 | 112718 | 123725.958333333 | -11007.9583333333 |
65 | 160930 | 123725.958333333 | 37204.0416666667 |
66 | 99184 | 123725.958333333 | -24541.9583333333 |
67 | 192535 | 202277.695652174 | -9742.69565217392 |
68 | 138708 | 254273.454545455 | -115565.454545455 |
69 | 114408 | 123725.958333333 | -9317.95833333333 |
70 | 31970 | 36422.8571428571 | -4452.85714285714 |
71 | 225558 | 254273.454545455 | -28715.4545454546 |
72 | 137011 | 123725.958333333 | 13285.0416666667 |
73 | 113612 | 157211.553191489 | -43599.5531914894 |
74 | 108641 | 157211.553191489 | -48570.5531914894 |
75 | 162203 | 202277.695652174 | -40074.6956521739 |
76 | 100098 | 157211.553191489 | -57113.5531914894 |
77 | 174768 | 202277.695652174 | -27509.6956521739 |
78 | 158459 | 202277.695652174 | -43818.6956521739 |
79 | 80934 | 82260.2105263158 | -1326.21052631579 |
80 | 84971 | 123725.958333333 | -38754.9583333333 |
81 | 80545 | 82260.2105263158 | -1715.21052631579 |
82 | 287191 | 202277.695652174 | 84913.3043478261 |
83 | 62974 | 82260.2105263158 | -19286.2105263158 |
84 | 134091 | 157211.553191489 | -23120.5531914894 |
85 | 75555 | 82260.2105263158 | -6705.21052631579 |
86 | 162154 | 157211.553191489 | 4942.44680851063 |
87 | 226638 | 202277.695652174 | 24360.3043478261 |
88 | 115019 | 123725.958333333 | -8706.95833333333 |
89 | 108749 | 123725.958333333 | -14976.9583333333 |
90 | 155537 | 157211.553191489 | -1674.55319148937 |
91 | 153133 | 157211.553191489 | -4078.55319148937 |
92 | 165618 | 202277.695652174 | -36659.6956521739 |
93 | 151517 | 123725.958333333 | 27791.0416666667 |
94 | 133686 | 123725.958333333 | 9960.04166666667 |
95 | 61342 | 82260.2105263158 | -20918.2105263158 |
96 | 245196 | 202277.695652174 | 42918.3043478261 |
97 | 195576 | 157211.553191489 | 38364.4468085106 |
98 | 19349 | 6214.69230769231 | 13134.3076923077 |
99 | 225371 | 202277.695652174 | 23093.3043478261 |
100 | 152796 | 157211.553191489 | -4415.55319148937 |
101 | 59117 | 36422.8571428571 | 22694.1428571429 |
102 | 91762 | 82260.2105263158 | 9501.78947368421 |
103 | 136769 | 123725.958333333 | 13043.0416666667 |
104 | 114798 | 123725.958333333 | -8927.95833333333 |
105 | 85338 | 82260.2105263158 | 3077.78947368421 |
106 | 27676 | 36422.8571428571 | -8746.85714285714 |
107 | 153535 | 157211.553191489 | -3676.55319148937 |
108 | 122417 | 123725.958333333 | -1308.95833333333 |
109 | 0 | 6214.69230769231 | -6214.69230769231 |
110 | 91529 | 82260.2105263158 | 9268.78947368421 |
111 | 107205 | 123725.958333333 | -16520.9583333333 |
112 | 144664 | 157211.553191489 | -12547.5531914894 |
113 | 136540 | 157211.553191489 | -20671.5531914894 |
114 | 76656 | 82260.2105263158 | -5604.21052631579 |
115 | 3616 | 6214.69230769231 | -2598.69230769231 |
116 | 0 | 6214.69230769231 | -6214.69230769231 |
117 | 183065 | 123725.958333333 | 59339.0416666667 |
118 | 144677 | 157211.553191489 | -12534.5531914894 |
119 | 159104 | 157211.553191489 | 1892.44680851063 |
120 | 113273 | 82260.2105263158 | 31012.7894736842 |
121 | 43410 | 82260.2105263158 | -38850.2105263158 |
122 | 175774 | 157211.553191489 | 18562.4468085106 |
123 | 95401 | 82260.2105263158 | 13140.7894736842 |
124 | 118893 | 157211.553191489 | -38318.5531914894 |
125 | 60493 | 82260.2105263158 | -21767.2105263158 |
126 | 19764 | 36422.8571428571 | -16658.8571428571 |
127 | 164062 | 157211.553191489 | 6850.44680851063 |
128 | 132696 | 123725.958333333 | 8970.04166666667 |
129 | 155367 | 157211.553191489 | -1844.55319148937 |
130 | 11796 | 6214.69230769231 | 5581.30769230769 |
131 | 10674 | 6214.69230769231 | 4459.30769230769 |
132 | 142261 | 157211.553191489 | -14950.5531914894 |
133 | 6836 | 6214.69230769231 | 621.307692307692 |
134 | 162563 | 157211.553191489 | 5351.44680851063 |
135 | 5118 | 6214.69230769231 | -1096.69230769231 |
136 | 40248 | 36422.8571428571 | 3825.14285714286 |
137 | 0 | 6214.69230769231 | -6214.69230769231 |
138 | 122641 | 82260.2105263158 | 40380.7894736842 |
139 | 88837 | 123725.958333333 | -34888.9583333333 |
140 | 7131 | 6214.69230769231 | 916.307692307692 |
141 | 9056 | 6214.69230769231 | 2841.30769230769 |
142 | 76611 | 82260.2105263158 | -5649.21052631579 |
143 | 132697 | 123725.958333333 | 8971.04166666667 |
144 | 100681 | 123725.958333333 | -23044.9583333333 |