Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[44])
32	2.833	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
33	2.836	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
34	2.866	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
35	2.893	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
36	2.897	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	2.897	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	2.913	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	2.921	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	2.922	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	2.924	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	2.924	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	2.945	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	2.948	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	2.952	2.951	2.9352	2.9668	0.451	0.6454	1	0.6454
46	2.968	2.967	2.9447	2.9894	0.4656	0.906	1	0.9523
47	2.987	2.9817	2.9543	3.0091	0.352	0.8365	1	0.9921
48	2.997	2.984	2.9524	3.0156	0.2108	0.4271	1	0.9873
49	3.002	2.986	2.9507	3.0214	0.1882	0.2718	1	0.9826
50	3.012	2.9975	2.959	3.0361	0.231	0.4104	1	0.9942
51	3.027	3.0091	2.9676	3.0505	0.198	0.4445	1	0.9981
52	3.032	3.0148	2.9706	3.059	0.2228	0.2942	1	0.9985
53	3.036	3.0216	2.9748	3.0683	0.2724	0.3308	1	0.999
54	3.039	3.0271	2.9779	3.0763	0.3171	0.3608	1	0.9992
55	3.048	3.0416	2.99	3.0931	0.4033	0.5388	0.9999	0.9998
56	3.05	3.0493	2.9956	3.1031	0.4901	0.5192	0.9999	0.9999
57	3.089	3.0523	2.9952	3.1095	0.1042	0.5318	0.9997	0.9998
58	3.093	3.0683	3.008	3.1287	0.2114	0.251	0.9994	1
59	3.094	3.083	3.0197	3.1464	0.3669	0.3786	0.9985	1
60	3.098	3.0854	3.0191	3.1516	0.3541	0.399	0.9955	1
61	3.104	3.0874	3.0184	3.1564	0.3183	0.3813	0.9923	1
62	3.106	3.0989	3.0275	3.1702	0.4223	0.4439	0.9915	1
63	3.116	3.1104	3.0368	3.184	0.4404	0.5463	0.9868	1
64	3.119	3.1161	3.0403	3.1919	0.4703	0.5013	0.9852	1
65	3.124	3.1229	3.0449	3.2008	0.4887	0.5388	0.9855	1
66	3.131	3.1284	3.0484	3.2084	0.4744	0.5427	0.9857	1
67	3.147	3.1429	3.0608	3.2249	0.4608	0.6118	0.9883	1
68	3.156	3.1506	3.0666	3.2347	0.4502	0.5338	0.9906	1

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
45	0.0027	3e-04	0	0	0	0
46	0.0038	3e-04	3e-04	0	0	0.001
47	0.0047	0.0018	8e-04	0	0	0.0032
48	0.0054	0.0043	0.0017	2e-04	0	0.007
49	0.006	0.0053	0.0024	3e-04	1e-04	0.0095
50	0.0066	0.0048	0.0028	2e-04	1e-04	0.0105
51	0.007	0.006	0.0033	3e-04	1e-04	0.0119
52	0.0075	0.0057	0.0036	3e-04	2e-04	0.0126
53	0.0079	0.0048	0.0037	2e-04	2e-04	0.0129
54	0.0083	0.0039	0.0037	1e-04	2e-04	0.0128
55	0.0086	0.0021	0.0036	0	2e-04	0.0123
56	0.009	2e-04	0.0033	0	1e-04	0.0118
57	0.0095	0.012	0.004	0.0013	2e-04	0.0152
58	0.01	0.008	0.0043	6e-04	3e-04	0.0161
59	0.0105	0.0036	0.0042	1e-04	2e-04	0.0158
60	0.011	0.0041	0.0042	2e-04	2e-04	0.0156
61	0.0114	0.0054	0.0043	3e-04	2e-04	0.0157
62	0.0117	0.0023	0.0042	1e-04	2e-04	0.0153
63	0.0121	0.0018	0.004	0	2e-04	0.015
64	0.0124	9e-04	0.0039	0	2e-04	0.0146
65	0.0127	4e-04	0.0037	0	2e-04	0.0143
66	0.013	8e-04	0.0036	0	2e-04	0.014
67	0.0133	0.0013	0.0035	0	2e-04	0.0137
68	0.0136	0.0017	0.0034	0	2e-04	0.0134