Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation |
TNORC[t] = + 5.56598397372318 -0.0113708130309373TNOLI[t] -0.00214401091421035NOBC[t] + 0.233459590350354NOSFBM[t] + 0.00150904584946654TNOPV[t] + e[t] |
Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares | |||||
Variable | Parameter | S.D. | T-STAT H0: parameter = 0 | 2-tail p-value | 1-tail p-value |
(Intercept) | 5.56598397372318 | 0.794575 | 7.005 | 0 | 0 |
TNOLI | -0.0113708130309373 | 0.017952 | -0.6334 | 0.527522 | 0.263761 |
NOBC | -0.00214401091421035 | 0.025527 | -0.084 | 0.933185 | 0.466592 |
NOSFBM | 0.233459590350354 | 0.016165 | 14.4424 | 0 | 0 |
TNOPV | 0.00150904584946654 | 0.000946 | 1.5952 | 0.112932 | 0.056466 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics | |
Multiple R | 0.894794785748631 |
R-squared | 0.800657708602939 |
Adjusted R-squared | 0.794921239785758 |
F-TEST (value) | 139.573269570445 |
F-TEST (DF numerator) | 4 |
F-TEST (DF denominator) | 139 |
p-value | 0 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics | |
Residual Standard Deviation | 4.25069907861257 |
Sum Squared Residuals | 2511.51352931157 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals | |||
Time or Index | Actuals | Interpolation Forecast | Residuals Prediction Error |
1 | 18 | 21.814943977221 | -3.81494397722104 |
2 | 20 | 20.3195217078632 | -0.319521707863222 |
3 | 0 | 5.65104614226388 | -5.65104614226388 |
4 | 26 | 21.7151261046379 | 4.28487389536214 |
5 | 31 | 36.0757324929853 | -5.07573249298528 |
6 | 36 | 44.7444585582062 | -8.74445855820623 |
7 | 23 | 23.8607409001294 | -0.860740900129392 |
8 | 30 | 32.0377339644583 | -2.03773396445831 |
9 | 30 | 19.1881158952053 | 10.8118841047947 |
10 | 26 | 27.0629650100027 | -1.06296501000271 |
11 | 24 | 21.0900755895573 | 2.9099244104427 |
12 | 30 | 28.9518537390286 | 1.04814626097142 |
13 | 21 | 16.2932611250768 | 4.70673887492323 |
14 | 25 | 29.9690855072611 | -4.96908550726113 |
15 | 18 | 21.1575419600113 | -3.15754196001125 |
16 | 19 | 22.0160090813255 | -3.0160090813255 |
17 | 33 | 37.8560444559908 | -4.85604445599079 |
18 | 15 | 17.2195722229307 | -2.21957222293066 |
19 | 34 | 33.7731793334242 | 0.226820666575772 |
20 | 18 | 15.9326228101732 | 2.06737718982684 |
21 | 15 | 15.0406284429634 | -0.0406284429634107 |
22 | 30 | 27.9429445549369 | 2.05705544506308 |
23 | 25 | 22.9174867513417 | 2.08251324865833 |
24 | 34 | 24.0706545129941 | 9.92934548700586 |
25 | 21 | 20.8218491671574 | 0.178150832842575 |
26 | 21 | 21.2736610725308 | -0.273661072530842 |
27 | 25 | 27.2509177727846 | -2.25091777278463 |
28 | 31 | 23.9707329935294 | 7.02926700647062 |
29 | 31 | 31.0469463678199 | -0.0469463678198954 |
30 | 20 | 23.7853935583042 | -3.78539355830417 |
31 | 28 | 26.9813360036133 | 1.01866399638667 |
32 | 20 | 20.7941593096857 | -0.794159309685704 |
33 | 17 | 15.7511234805996 | 1.2488765194004 |
34 | 25 | 25.834845139374 | -0.834845139373975 |
35 | 24 | 29.1913489705822 | -5.1913489705822 |
36 | 0 | 5.5561222065417 | -5.5561222065417 |
37 | 27 | 25.3233173680643 | 1.67668263193567 |
38 | 14 | 16.3681785741805 | -2.36817857418052 |
39 | 32 | 29.7928562710351 | 2.20714372896488 |
40 | 31 | 36.5652500189647 | -5.56525001896471 |
41 | 21 | 25.0350809570323 | -4.03508095703234 |
42 | 34 | 34.8774840321802 | -0.877484032180172 |
43 | 23 | 24.3697158675371 | -1.3697158675371 |
44 | 24 | 22.7946259443453 | 1.20537405565467 |
45 | 26 | 29.4357669079434 | -3.43576690794345 |
46 | 22 | 21.8627841045705 | 0.137215895429458 |
47 | 35 | 20.9948608228127 | 14.0051391771873 |
48 | 21 | 26.9772766752573 | -5.97727667525729 |
49 | 31 | 33.9872803651794 | -2.98728036517935 |
50 | 26 | 26.1597054094989 | -0.159705409498934 |
51 | 22 | 15.3197492704992 | 6.68025072950081 |
52 | 21 | 22.0393309681918 | -1.03933096819184 |
53 | 27 | 29.8869844280938 | -2.88698442809376 |
54 | 30 | 25.3570411041461 | 4.64295889585388 |
55 | 33 | 34.7470040898841 | -1.74700408988408 |
56 | 11 | 14.4083591964223 | -3.40835919642227 |
57 | 26 | 22.5802990661002 | 3.41970093389977 |
58 | 26 | 24.7811181667672 | 1.21888183323283 |
59 | 23 | 26.7582913539673 | -3.75829135396732 |
60 | 38 | 28.4841080228767 | 9.51589197712332 |
61 | 29 | 32.2257217000113 | -3.22572170001128 |
62 | 19 | 21.6547376964335 | -2.65473769643348 |
63 | 19 | 19.1429702087504 | -0.142970208750386 |
64 | 26 | 22.5598371167521 | 3.4401628832479 |
65 | 26 | 27.9890835006832 | -1.98908350068319 |
66 | 29 | 27.6864505998329 | 1.31354940016711 |
67 | 36 | 39.5345275166943 | -3.53452751669434 |
68 | 25 | 25.5748248524704 | -0.574824852470371 |
69 | 24 | 24.139485848407 | -0.139485848406973 |
70 | 21 | 15.7030801072215 | 5.29691989277845 |
71 | 19 | 18.0873247335393 | 0.91267526646069 |
72 | 12 | 8.51052444391922 | 3.48947555608078 |
73 | 30 | 26.9072711219919 | 3.09272887800812 |
74 | 21 | 16.5823727688614 | 4.41762723113859 |
75 | 34 | 36.1201850659524 | -2.12018506595244 |
76 | 32 | 28.4156414690402 | 3.58435853095977 |
77 | 28 | 31.8189673307316 | -3.81896733073157 |
78 | 28 | 28.915038534797 | -0.915038534797033 |
79 | 21 | 17.3568308494543 | 3.64316915054568 |
80 | 31 | 20.5554978767064 | 10.4445021232936 |
81 | 26 | 22.1922405024492 | 3.80775949755082 |
82 | 29 | 29.8935548769009 | -0.893554876900901 |
83 | 23 | 10.4592568836694 | 12.5407431163306 |
84 | 25 | 21.4442970030287 | 3.5557029969713 |
85 | 22 | 19.318824495208 | 2.68117550479196 |
86 | 26 | 20.229770607226 | 5.77022939277396 |
87 | 33 | 35.7842848641545 | -2.78428486415454 |
88 | 24 | 23.0684976941429 | 0.931502305857117 |
89 | 24 | 23.682407628928 | 0.317592371071978 |
90 | 21 | 22.7150640605824 | -1.71506406058243 |
91 | 28 | 22.9789317441211 | 5.02106825587888 |
92 | 27 | 25.3769094809716 | 1.62309051902841 |
93 | 25 | 26.0758563205608 | -1.07585632056075 |
94 | 15 | 19.5993180379392 | -4.59931803793923 |
95 | 13 | 12.6653834590136 | 0.334616540986415 |
96 | 36 | 34.4260087048038 | 1.57399129519616 |
97 | 24 | 25.028681450393 | -1.02868145039305 |
98 | 1 | 5.73817929989823 | -4.73817929989823 |
99 | 24 | 27.1388296651517 | -3.13882966515166 |
100 | 31 | 28.5822891786108 | 2.41771082138922 |
101 | 4 | 7.13778682004097 | -3.13778682004097 |
102 | 20 | 19.5149315621508 | 0.485068437849163 |
103 | 23 | 21.4263022507019 | 1.57369774929806 |
104 | 23 | 18.7225534295205 | 4.27744657047949 |
105 | 12 | 11.744025472651 | 0.255974527349019 |
106 | 16 | 10.1797424274522 | 5.82025757254779 |
107 | 29 | 31.4512873592547 | -2.45128735925469 |
108 | 10 | 11.2980010871165 | -1.29800108711648 |
109 | 0 | 5.56598397372317 | -5.56598397372317 |
110 | 25 | 18.575620600529 | 6.42437939947098 |
111 | 21 | 24.2100607173501 | -3.21006071735013 |
112 | 23 | 20.6701983560373 | 2.32980164396268 |
113 | 21 | 23.2580469909552 | -2.25804699095524 |
114 | 21 | 14.9933075975587 | 6.00669240244129 |
115 | 0 | 5.62683548482688 | -5.62683548482688 |
116 | 0 | 5.56598397372317 | -5.56598397372317 |
117 | 23 | 25.3535761126545 | -2.35357611265446 |
118 | 29 | 21.7654131970566 | 7.23458680294339 |
119 | 28 | 23.0084082285503 | 4.99159177144975 |
120 | 23 | 27.2252509462608 | -4.22525094626082 |
121 | 1 | 7.20934689167192 | -6.20934689167192 |
122 | 29 | 27.5109874178915 | 1.48901258210851 |
123 | 17 | 17.6034874971489 | -0.603487497148905 |
124 | 29 | 21.981160209218 | 7.01883979078196 |
125 | 12 | 13.6332674514304 | -1.63326745143042 |
126 | 2 | 6.7720105367092 | -4.7720105367092 |
127 | 21 | 23.8611834164464 | -2.86118341644635 |
128 | 25 | 27.7908852610533 | -2.79088526105334 |
129 | 29 | 28.570003295242 | 0.42999670475799 |
130 | 2 | 6.08127797334432 | -4.08127797334432 |
131 | 0 | 5.61153314969246 | -5.61153314969246 |
132 | 18 | 16.024045184092 | 1.97595481590796 |
133 | 1 | 5.59374241445849 | -4.59374241445849 |
134 | 21 | 17.9817660592179 | 3.01823394078212 |
135 | 0 | 5.5845314057369 | -5.5845314057369 |
136 | 4 | 7.7978922188853 | -3.7978922188853 |
137 | 0 | 5.56598397372317 | -5.56598397372317 |
138 | 25 | 24.0370073231628 | 0.962992676837165 |
139 | 26 | 19.1844909684762 | 6.81550903152383 |
140 | 0 | 5.64273343540621 | -5.64273343540621 |
141 | 4 | 6.03944777798425 | -2.03944777798425 |
142 | 17 | 18.0910829438782 | -1.09108294387821 |
143 | 21 | 22.7766105213118 | -1.77661052131178 |
144 | 22 | 20.0169969176375 | 1.98300308236254 |
Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity | |||
p-values | Alternative Hypothesis | ||
breakpoint index | greater | 2-sided | less |
8 | 0.751371040228014 | 0.497257919543973 | 0.248628959771986 |
9 | 0.811463314063969 | 0.377073371872062 | 0.188536685936031 |
10 | 0.747272157229699 | 0.505455685540603 | 0.252727842770301 |
11 | 0.677474991255381 | 0.645050017489239 | 0.322525008744619 |
12 | 0.588800540655364 | 0.822398918689273 | 0.411199459344636 |
13 | 0.643465490951515 | 0.71306901809697 | 0.356534509048485 |
14 | 0.723464921828651 | 0.553070156342697 | 0.276535078171349 |
15 | 0.725990722938245 | 0.54801855412351 | 0.274009277061755 |
16 | 0.68434584436184 | 0.63130831127632 | 0.31565415563816 |
17 | 0.611594719658254 | 0.776810560683492 | 0.388405280341746 |
18 | 0.597058835013365 | 0.805882329973269 | 0.402941164986635 |
19 | 0.608036850851808 | 0.783926298296385 | 0.391963149148192 |
20 | 0.537677977989142 | 0.924644044021715 | 0.462322022010858 |
21 | 0.463093264173604 | 0.926186528347208 | 0.536906735826396 |
22 | 0.394374829203515 | 0.78874965840703 | 0.605625170796485 |
23 | 0.370322852476583 | 0.740645704953166 | 0.629677147523417 |
24 | 0.497835281774391 | 0.995670563548783 | 0.502164718225609 |
25 | 0.431480254865461 | 0.862960509730923 | 0.568519745134539 |
26 | 0.442651852543248 | 0.885303705086496 | 0.557348147456752 |
27 | 0.51738935237582 | 0.96522129524836 | 0.48261064762418 |
28 | 0.601645870275999 | 0.796708259448002 | 0.398354129724001 |
29 | 0.567294431517075 | 0.865411136965849 | 0.432705568482925 |
30 | 0.599584792151137 | 0.800830415697725 | 0.400415207848863 |
31 | 0.541485073953783 | 0.917029852092433 | 0.458514926046217 |
32 | 0.505550983307473 | 0.988898033385053 | 0.494449016692527 |
33 | 0.44469939647808 | 0.889398792956159 | 0.55530060352192 |
34 | 0.391989219122905 | 0.783978438245811 | 0.608010780877095 |
35 | 0.418975984501888 | 0.837951969003777 | 0.581024015498112 |
36 | 0.539950892704603 | 0.920098214590794 | 0.460049107295397 |
37 | 0.493575366813009 | 0.987150733626018 | 0.506424633186991 |
38 | 0.472581820634393 | 0.945163641268786 | 0.527418179365607 |
39 | 0.461577089820511 | 0.923154179641021 | 0.538422910179489 |
40 | 0.492444828849482 | 0.984889657698963 | 0.507555171150518 |
41 | 0.513211925049422 | 0.973576149901155 | 0.486788074950578 |
42 | 0.46083728526865 | 0.921674570537299 | 0.53916271473135 |
43 | 0.40992414345857 | 0.819848286917139 | 0.59007585654143 |
44 | 0.362783071502833 | 0.725566143005666 | 0.637216928497167 |
45 | 0.335782972231257 | 0.671565944462513 | 0.664217027768743 |
46 | 0.288973834885337 | 0.577947669770675 | 0.711026165114663 |
47 | 0.77617944124539 | 0.447641117509219 | 0.22382055875461 |
48 | 0.811627693340779 | 0.376744613318442 | 0.188372306659221 |
49 | 0.792191496912434 | 0.415617006175132 | 0.207808503087566 |
50 | 0.75824847262215 | 0.4835030547557 | 0.24175152737785 |
51 | 0.801883727375225 | 0.396232545249551 | 0.198116272624775 |
52 | 0.769782293137486 | 0.460435413725028 | 0.230217706862514 |
53 | 0.756718202618377 | 0.486563594763245 | 0.243281797381623 |
54 | 0.761672017038605 | 0.476655965922789 | 0.238327982961395 |
55 | 0.726342488104655 | 0.547315023790691 | 0.273657511895345 |
56 | 0.735605700424774 | 0.528788599150453 | 0.264394299575226 |
57 | 0.715041517114289 | 0.569916965771421 | 0.284958482885711 |
58 | 0.677112965006483 | 0.645774069987034 | 0.322887034993517 |
59 | 0.66285590735789 | 0.674288185284219 | 0.33714409264211 |
60 | 0.796294346196689 | 0.407411307606621 | 0.20370565380331 |
61 | 0.779557314877255 | 0.44088537024549 | 0.220442685122745 |
62 | 0.769052426658581 | 0.461895146682838 | 0.230947573341419 |
63 | 0.730580050185259 | 0.538839899629483 | 0.269419949814741 |
64 | 0.714401624486633 | 0.571196751026734 | 0.285598375513367 |
65 | 0.682277725548897 | 0.635444548902205 | 0.317722274451103 |
66 | 0.642404762004429 | 0.715190475991142 | 0.357595237995571 |
67 | 0.632133650544246 | 0.735732698911508 | 0.367866349455754 |
68 | 0.617320474698243 | 0.765359050603515 | 0.382679525301757 |
69 | 0.56986329655498 | 0.860273406890039 | 0.43013670344502 |
70 | 0.614548584465429 | 0.770902831069141 | 0.385451415534571 |
71 | 0.591971531559776 | 0.816056936880448 | 0.408028468440224 |
72 | 0.551898268180199 | 0.896203463639603 | 0.448101731819801 |
73 | 0.535744457902813 | 0.928511084194375 | 0.464255542097187 |
74 | 0.515253666565989 | 0.969492666868022 | 0.484746333434011 |
75 | 0.520520422207007 | 0.958959155585985 | 0.479479577792993 |
76 | 0.512275334038492 | 0.975449331923017 | 0.487724665961508 |
77 | 0.562434654609169 | 0.875130690781663 | 0.437565345390831 |
78 | 0.580563109466535 | 0.83887378106693 | 0.419436890533465 |
79 | 0.571874880181094 | 0.856250239637811 | 0.428125119818906 |
80 | 0.819016697475744 | 0.361966605048512 | 0.180983302524256 |
81 | 0.832856000561127 | 0.334287998877747 | 0.167143999438873 |
82 | 0.813355799959892 | 0.373288400080217 | 0.186644200040108 |
83 | 0.974198673434594 | 0.0516026531308117 | 0.0258013265654058 |
84 | 0.968677879189007 | 0.0626442416219856 | 0.0313221208109928 |
85 | 0.965974759641793 | 0.0680504807164148 | 0.0340252403582074 |
86 | 0.967526378567138 | 0.0649472428657243 | 0.0324736214328621 |
87 | 0.969099086896915 | 0.0618018262061693 | 0.0309009131030847 |
88 | 0.959377686415552 | 0.0812446271688966 | 0.0406223135844483 |
89 | 0.947376910186481 | 0.105246179627037 | 0.0526230898135186 |
90 | 0.939607790831153 | 0.120784418337693 | 0.0603922091688466 |
91 | 0.937902046858182 | 0.124195906283637 | 0.0620979531418184 |
92 | 0.929175851975038 | 0.141648296049925 | 0.0708241480249624 |
93 | 0.91084400259746 | 0.178311994805081 | 0.0891559974025403 |
94 | 0.931588383893001 | 0.136823232213998 | 0.0684116161069989 |
95 | 0.916854558200568 | 0.166290883598863 | 0.0831454417994317 |
96 | 0.903539751045423 | 0.192920497909155 | 0.0964602489545775 |
97 | 0.916864584391994 | 0.166270831216012 | 0.083135415608006 |
98 | 0.927620744776967 | 0.144758510446066 | 0.0723792552230331 |
99 | 0.971604193390825 | 0.0567916132183491 | 0.0283958066091745 |
100 | 0.964181642443654 | 0.0716367151126916 | 0.0358183575563458 |
101 | 0.964367864408198 | 0.0712642711836045 | 0.0356321355918023 |
102 | 0.957725574640666 | 0.0845488507186679 | 0.0422744253593339 |
103 | 0.943837688994776 | 0.112324622010448 | 0.0561623110052239 |
104 | 0.940040614487861 | 0.119918771024277 | 0.0599593855121386 |
105 | 0.922588366672798 | 0.154823266654404 | 0.0774116333272018 |
106 | 0.97379845110119 | 0.0524030977976196 | 0.0262015488988098 |
107 | 0.97136107932604 | 0.0572778413479193 | 0.0286389206739596 |
108 | 0.96323088343392 | 0.0735382331321599 | 0.0367691165660799 |
109 | 0.962523861941093 | 0.0749522761178146 | 0.0374761380589073 |
110 | 0.985610140157465 | 0.028779719685071 | 0.0143898598425355 |
111 | 0.987271176860828 | 0.0254576462783436 | 0.0127288231391718 |
112 | 0.982950706837861 | 0.0340985863242782 | 0.0170492931621391 |
113 | 0.987231382682683 | 0.0255372346346333 | 0.0127686173173167 |
114 | 0.994357046042019 | 0.0112859079159617 | 0.00564295395798087 |
115 | 0.993150615395482 | 0.0136987692090367 | 0.00684938460451834 |
116 | 0.991192791558144 | 0.0176144168837126 | 0.00880720844185629 |
117 | 0.986343822608398 | 0.0273123547832038 | 0.0136561773916019 |
118 | 0.99416374214684 | 0.0116725157063195 | 0.00583625785315974 |
119 | 0.990971407761791 | 0.0180571844764171 | 0.00902859223820854 |
120 | 0.988813203655089 | 0.0223735926898223 | 0.0111867963449112 |
121 | 0.996539837600895 | 0.00692032479820971 | 0.00346016239910485 |
122 | 0.993707989745217 | 0.0125840205095663 | 0.00629201025478315 |
123 | 0.989565193521613 | 0.0208696129567744 | 0.0104348064783872 |
124 | 0.996947416257495 | 0.00610516748500977 | 0.00305258374250489 |
125 | 0.998122261049076 | 0.00375547790184816 | 0.00187773895092408 |
126 | 0.996386398881861 | 0.00722720223627829 | 0.00361360111813914 |
127 | 0.99987808233926 | 0.000243835321479892 | 0.000121917660739946 |
128 | 0.999831811744259 | 0.000336376511482531 | 0.000168188255741266 |
129 | 0.999636073084578 | 0.000727853830844143 | 0.000363926915422071 |
130 | 0.998991021402735 | 0.00201795719453084 | 0.00100897859726542 |
131 | 0.997919263894217 | 0.00416147221156605 | 0.00208073610578303 |
132 | 0.995851840865178 | 0.00829631826964473 | 0.00414815913482236 |
133 | 0.989447979837192 | 0.021104040325615 | 0.0105520201628075 |
134 | 0.971311624101526 | 0.0573767517969485 | 0.0286883758984743 |
135 | 0.948199949069608 | 0.103600101860783 | 0.0518000509303916 |
136 | 0.925060872458751 | 0.149878255082499 | 0.0749391275412493 |
Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity | |||
Description | # significant tests | % significant tests | OK/NOK |
1% type I error level | 10 | 0.0775193798449612 | NOK |
5% type I error level | 24 | 0.186046511627907 | NOK |
10% type I error level | 39 | 0.302325581395349 | NOK |