| Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast | ||||||||
| time | Y[t] | F[t] | 95% LB | 95% UB | p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t]) | P(F[t]>Y[t-1]) | P(F[t]>Y[t-s]) | P(F[t]>Y[369]) |
| 357 | 643.7 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 358 | 622.1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 359 | 634.6 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 360 | 588 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 361 | 689.7 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 362 | 673.9 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 363 | 647.9 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 364 | 568.8 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 365 | 545.7 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 366 | 632.6 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 367 | 643.8 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 368 | 593.1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 369 | 579.7 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| 370 | 546 | 556.628 | 508.4229 | 607.0161 | 0.3397 | 0.1847 | 0.0054 | 0.1847 |
| 371 | 562.9 | 575.1852 | 503.6058 | 651.5193 | 0.3762 | 0.7732 | 0.0636 | 0.4539 |
| 372 | 572.5 | 562.547 | 468.8898 | 664.7261 | 0.4243 | 0.4973 | 0.3127 | 0.3711 |
| Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance | ||||||
| time | % S.E. | PE | MAPE | Sq.E | MSE | RMSE |
| 370 | 0.0462 | -0.0191 | 0 | 112.955 | 0 | 0 |
| 371 | 0.0677 | -0.0214 | 0.0202 | 150.9267 | 131.9408 | 11.4866 |
| 372 | 0.0927 | 0.0177 | 0.0194 | 99.0628 | 120.9815 | 10.9992 |
