Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 961 | 0 | 97 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 6827 | 7127.15270060095 | -1623.76513827746 | 8150.6124376765 | 300.152700600955 |
2 | 6178 | 6310.98020767853 | -2138.53733550903 | 8183.55712783051 | 132.980207678526 |
3 | 7084 | 6388.30801150459 | -436.809829489103 | 8216.50181798451 | -695.691988495409 |
4 | 8162 | 8455.72652612685 | -380.175759460535 | 8248.44923333369 | 293.726526126846 |
5 | 8462 | 8207.52003791959 | 436.083313397538 | 8280.39664868287 | -254.479962080406 |
6 | 9644 | 9255.73654992511 | 1720.92949762257 | 8311.33395245232 | -388.263450074889 |
7 | 10466 | 11069.703137341 | 1520.02560643719 | 8342.27125622176 | 603.703137341048 |
8 | 10748 | 11391.9943474112 | 1726.7507442759 | 8377.25490831294 | 643.994347411166 |
9 | 9963 | 9280.53571962348 | 2233.22571997241 | 8412.23856040411 | -682.464280376521 |
10 | 8194 | 8217.62128300425 | -283.743977943824 | 8454.12269493958 | 23.6212830042477 |
11 | 6848 | 6974.33218936478 | -1774.33901883982 | 8496.00682947504 | 126.332189364784 |
12 | 7027 | 6519.93391528159 | -999.643575410484 | 8533.7096601289 | -507.066084718414 |
13 | 7269 | 7590.3526474947 | -1623.76513827746 | 8571.41249078276 | 321.352647494701 |
14 | 6775 | 7076.66694246074 | -2138.53733550903 | 8611.8703930483 | 301.666942460739 |
15 | 7819 | 7422.48153417527 | -436.809829489103 | 8652.32829531383 | -396.518465824727 |
16 | 8371 | 8414.20956264085 | -380.175759460535 | 8707.96619681969 | 43.20956264085 |
17 | 9069 | 8938.31258827692 | 436.083313397538 | 8763.60409832554 | -130.687411723078 |
18 | 10248 | 9945.96972327768 | 1720.92949762257 | 8829.10077909975 | -302.03027672232 |
19 | 11030 | 11645.3769336889 | 1520.02560643719 | 8894.59745987396 | 615.376933688856 |
20 | 10882 | 11055.3344971746 | 1726.7507442759 | 8981.91475854949 | 173.334497174608 |
21 | 10333 | 9363.54222280256 | 2233.22571997241 | 9069.23205722503 | -969.457777197443 |
22 | 9109 | 9325.98416315002 | -283.743977943824 | 9175.7598147938 | 216.984163150024 |
23 | 7685 | 7862.05144647726 | -1774.33901883982 | 9282.28757236257 | 177.051446477257 |
24 | 7602 | 6827.48733265774 | -999.643575410484 | 9376.15624275275 | -774.512667342264 |
25 | 8350 | 8853.74022513453 | -1623.76513827746 | 9470.02491314293 | 503.74022513453 |
26 | 7829 | 8270.95188568219 | -2138.53733550903 | 9525.58544982685 | 441.951885682189 |
27 | 8829 | 8513.66384297834 | -436.809829489103 | 9581.14598651076 | -315.336157021658 |
28 | 9948 | 10673.1340263912 | -380.175759460535 | 9603.04173306932 | 725.134026391219 |
29 | 10638 | 11214.9792069746 | 436.083313397538 | 9624.93747962787 | 576.979206974594 |
30 | 11253 | 11170.5785016649 | 1720.92949762257 | 9614.49200071257 | -82.4214983351376 |
31 | 11424 | 11723.9278717656 | 1520.02560643719 | 9604.04652179726 | 299.927871765551 |
32 | 11391 | 11482.1934205833 | 1726.7507442759 | 9573.05583514084 | 91.1934205832658 |
33 | 10665 | 9554.70913154318 | 2233.22571997241 | 9542.06514848441 | -1110.29086845682 |
34 | 9396 | 9549.73471952094 | -283.743977943824 | 9526.00925842288 | 153.734719520942 |
35 | 7775 | 7814.38565047848 | -1774.33901883982 | 9509.95336836135 | 39.3856504784781 |
36 | 7933 | 7326.37489092186 | -999.643575410484 | 9539.26868448862 | -606.625109078135 |
37 | 8186 | 8427.18113766157 | -1623.76513827746 | 9568.58400061589 | 241.181137661568 |
38 | 7444 | 7392.83140368102 | -2138.53733550903 | 9633.70593182801 | -51.1685963189775 |
39 | 8484 | 7705.98196644897 | -436.809829489103 | 9698.82786304013 | -778.01803355103 |
40 | 9864 | 10341.7207477258 | -380.175759460535 | 9766.45501173477 | 477.720747725769 |
41 | 10252 | 10233.8345261731 | 436.083313397538 | 9834.0821604294 | -18.1654738269353 |
42 | 12282 | 12952.834808833 | 1720.92949762257 | 9890.23569354439 | 670.834808833042 |
43 | 11637 | 11807.5851669034 | 1520.02560643719 | 9946.38922665937 | 170.585166903438 |
44 | 11577 | 11431.7133051309 | 1726.7507442759 | 9995.53595059317 | -145.286694869072 |
45 | 12417 | 12556.0916055006 | 2233.22571997241 | 10044.682674527 | 139.091605500616 |
46 | 9637 | 9469.53907162696 | -283.743977943824 | 10088.2049063169 | -167.460928373041 |
47 | 8094 | 7830.61188073307 | -1774.33901883982 | 10131.7271381068 | -263.388119266929 |
48 | 9280 | 9378.54462049528 | -999.643575410484 | 10181.0989549152 | 98.5446204952768 |
49 | 8334 | 8061.2943665538 | -1623.76513827746 | 10230.4707717237 | -272.705633446201 |
50 | 7899 | 7639.50315820765 | -2138.53733550903 | 10297.0341773014 | -259.496841792346 |
51 | 9994 | 10061.21224661 | -436.809829489103 | 10363.5975828791 | 67.2122466100027 |
52 | 10078 | 10107.0773876565 | -380.175759460535 | 10429.0983718041 | 29.0773876564726 |
53 | 10801 | 10671.3175258734 | 436.083313397538 | 10494.599160729 | -129.682474126561 |
54 | 12950 | 13635.8229726274 | 1720.92949762257 | 10543.24752975 | 685.822972627378 |
55 | 12222 | 12332.0784947917 | 1520.02560643719 | 10591.8958987711 | 110.078494791738 |
56 | 12246 | 12131.2594693852 | 1726.7507442759 | 10633.9897863389 | -114.740530614788 |
57 | 13281 | 13652.6906061209 | 2233.22571997241 | 10676.0836739067 | 371.690606120883 |
58 | 10366 | 10327.128819473 | -283.743977943824 | 10688.6151584708 | -38.8711805269741 |
59 | 8730 | 8533.19237580494 | -1774.33901883982 | 10701.1466430349 | -196.807624195064 |
60 | 9614 | 9575.93810930162 | -999.643575410484 | 10651.7054661089 | -38.0618906983818 |
61 | 8639 | 8299.50084909461 | -1623.76513827746 | 10602.2642891828 | -339.499150905385 |
62 | 8772 | 9113.44522190153 | -2138.53733550903 | 10569.0921136075 | 341.445221901527 |
63 | 10894 | 11688.8898914569 | -436.809829489103 | 10535.9199380322 | 794.889891456934 |
64 | 10455 | 10726.5962767071 | -380.175759460535 | 10563.5794827534 | 271.596276707109 |
65 | 11179 | 11330.6776591278 | 436.083313397538 | 10591.2390274747 | 151.677659127778 |
66 | 10588 | 8803.17461301688 | 1720.92949762257 | 10651.8958893605 | -1784.82538698312 |
67 | 10794 | 9355.42164231641 | 1520.02560643719 | 10712.5527512464 | -1438.57835768359 |
68 | 12770 | 13047.260737892 | 1726.7507442759 | 10765.9885178321 | 277.260737891975 |
69 | 13812 | 14571.3499956097 | 2233.22571997241 | 10819.4242844179 | 759.349995609733 |
70 | 10857 | 11099.5069713601 | -283.743977943824 | 10898.2370065837 | 242.506971360079 |
71 | 9290 | 9377.28929009019 | -1774.33901883982 | 10977.0497287496 | 87.2892900901916 |
72 | 10925 | 11724.5716563058 | -999.643575410484 | 11125.0719191047 | 799.571656305779 |
73 | 9491 | 9332.67102881768 | -1623.76513827746 | 11273.0941094598 | -158.328971182318 |
74 | 8919 | 8561.30225860559 | -2138.53733550903 | 11415.2350769034 | -357.697741394411 |
75 | 11607 | 12093.433785142 | -436.809829489103 | 11557.3760443471 | 486.43378514199 |
76 | 8852 | 6410.70693493225 | -380.175759460535 | 11673.4688245283 | -2441.29306506775 |
77 | 12537 | 12848.355081893 | 436.083313397538 | 11789.5616047095 | 311.355081893003 |
78 | 14759 | 15877.8276559164 | 1720.92949762257 | 11919.2428464611 | 1118.82765591635 |
79 | 13667 | 13765.0503053501 | 1520.02560643719 | 12048.9240882127 | 98.0503053501197 |
80 | 13731 | 13524.4982352338 | 1726.7507442759 | 12210.7510204903 | -206.501764766221 |
81 | 15110 | 15614.1963272596 | 2233.22571997241 | 12372.577952768 | 504.196327259635 |
82 | 12185 | 12123.5509869012 | -283.743977943824 | 12530.1929910426 | -61.4490130987724 |
83 | 10645 | 10376.5309895226 | -1774.33901883982 | 12687.8080293172 | -268.469010477413 |
84 | 12161 | 12547.6248206849 | -999.643575410484 | 12774.0187547256 | 386.624820684861 |
85 | 10840 | 10443.5356581434 | -1623.76513827746 | 12860.229480134 | -396.46434185655 |
86 | 10436 | 10101.4259438585 | -2138.53733550903 | 12909.1113916505 | -334.574056141497 |
87 | 13589 | 14656.816526322 | -436.809829489103 | 12957.9933031671 | 1067.81652632205 |
88 | 13402 | 14184.9855648789 | -380.175759460535 | 12999.1901945816 | 782.985564878943 |
89 | 13103 | 12729.5296006063 | 436.083313397538 | 13040.3870859961 | -373.470399393667 |
90 | 14933 | 15055.9548102594 | 1720.92949762257 | 13089.115692118 | 122.954810259442 |
91 | 14147 | 13636.130095323 | 1520.02560643719 | 13137.8442982398 | -510.869904677033 |
92 | 14057 | 13206.1425543348 | 1726.7507442759 | 13181.1067013893 | -850.857445665233 |
93 | 16234 | 17010.4051754888 | 2233.22571997241 | 13224.3691045388 | 776.405175488762 |
94 | 12389 | 11796.967929893 | -283.743977943824 | 13264.7760480508 | -592.032070107021 |
95 | 11595 | 11659.156027277 | -1774.33901883982 | 13305.1829915629 | 64.156027276962 |
96 | 12772 | 13197.8565747961 | -999.643575410484 | 13345.7870006144 | 425.856574796118 |