Goodness of Fit | |
Correlation | 0.879 |
R-squared | 0.7727 |
RMSE | 39191.5999 |
Actuals, Predictions, and Residuals | |||
# | Actuals | Forecasts | Residuals |
1 | 210907 | 218589.036363636 | -7682.03636363638 |
2 | 120982 | 146276.047619048 | -25294.0476190476 |
3 | 176508 | 191565.157894737 | -15057.1578947369 |
4 | 179321 | 271462.48 | -92141.48 |
5 | 123185 | 102790.641025641 | 20394.358974359 |
6 | 52746 | 42740.75 | 10005.25 |
7 | 385534 | 218589.036363636 | 166944.963636364 |
8 | 33170 | 42740.75 | -9570.75 |
9 | 101645 | 93154.0526315789 | 8490.94736842105 |
10 | 149061 | 147567.933333333 | 1493.06666666668 |
11 | 165446 | 146276.047619048 | 19169.9523809524 |
12 | 237213 | 218589.036363636 | 18623.9636363636 |
13 | 173326 | 218589.036363636 | -45263.0363636364 |
14 | 133131 | 147567.933333333 | -14436.9333333333 |
15 | 258873 | 271462.48 | -12589.48 |
16 | 180083 | 191565.157894737 | -11482.1578947369 |
17 | 324799 | 271462.48 | 53336.52 |
18 | 230964 | 218589.036363636 | 12374.9636363636 |
19 | 236785 | 218589.036363636 | 18195.9636363636 |
20 | 135473 | 218589.036363636 | -83116.0363636364 |
21 | 202925 | 218589.036363636 | -15664.0363636364 |
22 | 215147 | 218589.036363636 | -3442.03636363638 |
23 | 344297 | 271462.48 | 72834.52 |
24 | 153935 | 147567.933333333 | 6367.06666666668 |
25 | 132943 | 218589.036363636 | -85646.0363636364 |
26 | 174724 | 271462.48 | -96738.48 |
27 | 174415 | 191565.157894737 | -17150.1578947369 |
28 | 225548 | 218589.036363636 | 6958.96363636362 |
29 | 223632 | 218589.036363636 | 5042.96363636362 |
30 | 124817 | 147567.933333333 | -22750.9333333333 |
31 | 221698 | 271462.48 | -49764.48 |
32 | 210767 | 218589.036363636 | -7822.03636363638 |
33 | 170266 | 147567.933333333 | 22698.0666666667 |
34 | 260561 | 218589.036363636 | 41971.9636363636 |
35 | 84853 | 112216.944444444 | -27363.9444444444 |
36 | 294424 | 218589.036363636 | 75834.9636363636 |
37 | 101011 | 70761.2 | 30249.8 |
38 | 215641 | 191565.157894737 | 24075.8421052631 |
39 | 325107 | 218589.036363636 | 106517.963636364 |
40 | 7176 | 23347.8461538462 | -16171.8461538462 |
41 | 167542 | 146276.047619048 | 21265.9523809524 |
42 | 106408 | 102790.641025641 | 3617.35897435897 |
43 | 96560 | 93154.0526315789 | 3405.94736842105 |
44 | 265769 | 218589.036363636 | 47179.9636363636 |
45 | 269651 | 218589.036363636 | 51061.9636363636 |
46 | 149112 | 191565.157894737 | -42453.1578947369 |
47 | 175824 | 146276.047619048 | 29547.9523809524 |
48 | 152871 | 146276.047619048 | 6594.95238095237 |
49 | 111665 | 112216.944444444 | -551.944444444438 |
50 | 116408 | 102790.641025641 | 13617.358974359 |
51 | 362301 | 271462.48 | 90838.52 |
52 | 78800 | 112216.944444444 | -33416.9444444444 |
53 | 183167 | 218589.036363636 | -35422.0363636364 |
54 | 277965 | 271462.48 | 6502.52000000002 |
55 | 150629 | 218589.036363636 | -67960.0363636364 |
56 | 168809 | 218589.036363636 | -49780.0363636364 |
57 | 24188 | 23347.8461538462 | 840.153846153848 |
58 | 329267 | 218589.036363636 | 110677.963636364 |
59 | 65029 | 102790.641025641 | -37761.641025641 |
60 | 101097 | 102790.641025641 | -1693.64102564103 |
61 | 218946 | 271462.48 | -52516.48 |
62 | 244052 | 218589.036363636 | 25462.9636363636 |
63 | 341570 | 271462.48 | 70107.52 |
64 | 103597 | 93154.0526315789 | 10442.9473684211 |
65 | 233328 | 271462.48 | -38134.48 |
66 | 256462 | 218589.036363636 | 37872.9636363636 |
67 | 206161 | 218589.036363636 | -12428.0363636364 |
68 | 311473 | 218589.036363636 | 92883.9636363636 |
69 | 235800 | 271462.48 | -35662.48 |
70 | 177939 | 191565.157894737 | -13626.1578947369 |
71 | 207176 | 191565.157894737 | 15610.8421052631 |
72 | 196553 | 147567.933333333 | 48985.0666666667 |
73 | 174184 | 146276.047619048 | 27907.9523809524 |
74 | 143246 | 146276.047619048 | -3030.04761904763 |
75 | 187559 | 218589.036363636 | -31030.0363636364 |
76 | 187681 | 218589.036363636 | -30908.0363636364 |
77 | 119016 | 218589.036363636 | -99573.0363636364 |
78 | 182192 | 218589.036363636 | -36397.0363636364 |
79 | 73566 | 112216.944444444 | -38650.9444444444 |
80 | 194979 | 191565.157894737 | 3413.84210526315 |
81 | 167488 | 146276.047619048 | 21211.9523809524 |
82 | 143756 | 218589.036363636 | -74833.0363636364 |
83 | 275541 | 218589.036363636 | 56951.9636363636 |
84 | 243199 | 218589.036363636 | 24609.9636363636 |
85 | 182999 | 191565.157894737 | -8566.15789473685 |
86 | 135649 | 218589.036363636 | -82940.0363636364 |
87 | 152299 | 191565.157894737 | -39266.1578947369 |
88 | 120221 | 146276.047619048 | -26055.0476190476 |
89 | 346485 | 271462.48 | 75022.52 |
90 | 145790 | 112216.944444444 | 33573.0555555556 |
91 | 193339 | 218589.036363636 | -25250.0363636364 |
92 | 80953 | 102790.641025641 | -21837.641025641 |
93 | 122774 | 112216.944444444 | 10557.0555555556 |
94 | 130585 | 146276.047619048 | -15691.0476190476 |
95 | 112611 | 70761.2 | 41849.8 |
96 | 286468 | 191565.157894737 | 94902.8421052631 |
97 | 241066 | 218589.036363636 | 22476.9636363636 |
98 | 148446 | 218589.036363636 | -70143.0363636364 |
99 | 204713 | 191565.157894737 | 13147.8421052631 |
100 | 182079 | 218589.036363636 | -36510.0363636364 |
101 | 140344 | 112216.944444444 | 28127.0555555556 |
102 | 220516 | 218589.036363636 | 1926.96363636362 |
103 | 243060 | 191565.157894737 | 51494.8421052631 |
104 | 162765 | 146276.047619048 | 16488.9523809524 |
105 | 182613 | 218589.036363636 | -35976.0363636364 |
106 | 232138 | 218589.036363636 | 13548.9636363636 |
107 | 265318 | 271462.48 | -6144.47999999998 |
108 | 85574 | 93154.0526315789 | -7580.05263157895 |
109 | 310839 | 218589.036363636 | 92249.9636363636 |
110 | 225060 | 218589.036363636 | 6470.96363636362 |
111 | 232317 | 218589.036363636 | 13727.9636363636 |
112 | 144966 | 112216.944444444 | 32749.0555555556 |
113 | 43287 | 68105.52 | -24818.52 |
114 | 155754 | 146276.047619048 | 9477.95238095237 |
115 | 164709 | 218589.036363636 | -53880.0363636364 |
116 | 201940 | 271462.48 | -69522.48 |
117 | 235454 | 218589.036363636 | 16864.9636363636 |
118 | 220801 | 146276.047619048 | 74524.9523809524 |
119 | 99466 | 112216.944444444 | -12750.9444444444 |
120 | 92661 | 102790.641025641 | -10129.641025641 |
121 | 133328 | 146276.047619048 | -12948.0476190476 |
122 | 61361 | 70761.2 | -9400.2 |
123 | 125930 | 102790.641025641 | 23139.358974359 |
124 | 100750 | 218589.036363636 | -117839.036363636 |
125 | 224549 | 191565.157894737 | 32983.8421052631 |
126 | 82316 | 70761.2 | 11554.8 |
127 | 102010 | 102790.641025641 | -780.641025641031 |
128 | 101523 | 146276.047619048 | -44753.0476190476 |
129 | 243511 | 218589.036363636 | 24921.9636363636 |
130 | 22938 | 23347.8461538462 | -409.846153846152 |
131 | 41566 | 36807.2857142857 | 4758.71428571428 |
132 | 152474 | 218589.036363636 | -66115.0363636364 |
133 | 61857 | 70761.2 | -8904.2 |
134 | 99923 | 147567.933333333 | -47644.9333333333 |
135 | 132487 | 191565.157894737 | -59078.1578947369 |
136 | 317394 | 218589.036363636 | 98804.9636363636 |
137 | 21054 | 23347.8461538462 | -2293.84615384615 |
138 | 209641 | 146276.047619048 | 63364.9523809524 |
139 | 22648 | 36807.2857142857 | -14159.2857142857 |
140 | 31414 | 36807.2857142857 | -5393.28571428572 |
141 | 46698 | 68105.52 | -21407.52 |
142 | 131698 | 146276.047619048 | -14578.0476190476 |
143 | 91735 | 68105.52 | 23629.48 |
144 | 244749 | 271462.48 | -26713.48 |
145 | 184510 | 191565.157894737 | -7055.15789473685 |
146 | 79863 | 102790.641025641 | -22927.641025641 |
147 | 128423 | 112216.944444444 | 16206.0555555556 |
148 | 97839 | 112216.944444444 | -14377.9444444444 |
149 | 38214 | 36807.2857142857 | 1406.71428571428 |
150 | 151101 | 147567.933333333 | 3533.06666666668 |
151 | 272458 | 271462.48 | 995.520000000019 |
152 | 172494 | 147567.933333333 | 24926.0666666667 |
153 | 108043 | 102790.641025641 | 5252.35897435897 |
154 | 328107 | 271462.48 | 56644.52 |
155 | 250579 | 271462.48 | -20883.48 |
156 | 351067 | 271462.48 | 79604.52 |
157 | 158015 | 191565.157894737 | -33550.1578947369 |
158 | 98866 | 93154.0526315789 | 5711.94736842105 |
159 | 85439 | 112216.944444444 | -26777.9444444444 |
160 | 229242 | 191565.157894737 | 37676.8421052631 |
161 | 351619 | 271462.48 | 80156.52 |
162 | 84207 | 68105.52 | 16101.48 |
163 | 120445 | 102790.641025641 | 17654.358974359 |
164 | 324598 | 271462.48 | 53135.52 |
165 | 131069 | 147567.933333333 | -16498.9333333333 |
166 | 204271 | 218589.036363636 | -14318.0363636364 |
167 | 165543 | 191565.157894737 | -26022.1578947369 |
168 | 141722 | 112216.944444444 | 29505.0555555556 |
169 | 116048 | 102790.641025641 | 13257.358974359 |
170 | 250047 | 102790.641025641 | 147256.358974359 |
171 | 299775 | 271462.48 | 28312.52 |
172 | 195838 | 218589.036363636 | -22751.0363636364 |
173 | 173260 | 147567.933333333 | 25692.0666666667 |
174 | 254488 | 218589.036363636 | 35898.9636363636 |
175 | 104389 | 271462.48 | -167073.48 |
176 | 136084 | 93154.0526315789 | 42929.9473684211 |
177 | 199476 | 218589.036363636 | -19113.0363636364 |
178 | 92499 | 93154.0526315789 | -655.052631578947 |
179 | 224330 | 218589.036363636 | 5740.96363636362 |
180 | 135781 | 93154.0526315789 | 42626.9473684211 |
181 | 74408 | 102790.641025641 | -28382.641025641 |
182 | 81240 | 146276.047619048 | -65036.0476190476 |
183 | 14688 | 23347.8461538462 | -8659.84615384615 |
184 | 181633 | 147567.933333333 | 34065.0666666667 |
185 | 271856 | 271462.48 | 393.520000000019 |
186 | 7199 | 23347.8461538462 | -16148.8461538462 |
187 | 46660 | 23347.8461538462 | 23312.1538461538 |
188 | 17547 | 23347.8461538462 | -5800.84615384615 |
189 | 133368 | 102790.641025641 | 30577.358974359 |
190 | 95227 | 112216.944444444 | -16989.9444444444 |
191 | 152601 | 147567.933333333 | 5033.06666666668 |
192 | 98146 | 68105.52 | 30040.48 |
193 | 79619 | 93154.0526315789 | -13535.0526315789 |
194 | 59194 | 68105.52 | -8911.52 |
195 | 139942 | 146276.047619048 | -6334.04761904763 |
196 | 118612 | 146276.047619048 | -27664.0476190476 |
197 | 72880 | 68105.52 | 4774.48 |
198 | 65475 | 68105.52 | -2630.52 |
199 | 99643 | 102790.641025641 | -3147.64102564103 |
200 | 71965 | 102790.641025641 | -30825.641025641 |
201 | 77272 | 70761.2 | 6510.8 |
202 | 49289 | 68105.52 | -18816.52 |
203 | 135131 | 102790.641025641 | 32340.358974359 |
204 | 108446 | 102790.641025641 | 5655.35897435897 |
205 | 89746 | 93154.0526315789 | -3408.05263157895 |
206 | 44296 | 68105.52 | -23809.52 |
207 | 77648 | 70761.2 | 6886.8 |
208 | 181528 | 102790.641025641 | 78737.358974359 |
209 | 134019 | 102790.641025641 | 31228.358974359 |
210 | 124064 | 147567.933333333 | -23503.9333333333 |
211 | 92630 | 93154.0526315789 | -524.052631578947 |
212 | 121848 | 102790.641025641 | 19057.358974359 |
213 | 52915 | 70761.2 | -17846.2 |
214 | 81872 | 70761.2 | 11110.8 |
215 | 58981 | 42740.75 | 16240.25 |
216 | 53515 | 42740.75 | 10774.25 |
217 | 60812 | 93154.0526315789 | -32342.0526315789 |
218 | 56375 | 68105.52 | -11730.52 |
219 | 65490 | 70761.2 | -5271.2 |
220 | 80949 | 68105.52 | 12843.48 |
221 | 76302 | 102790.641025641 | -26488.641025641 |
222 | 104011 | 112216.944444444 | -8205.94444444444 |
223 | 98104 | 146276.047619048 | -48172.0476190476 |
224 | 67989 | 102790.641025641 | -34801.641025641 |
225 | 30989 | 42740.75 | -11751.75 |
226 | 135458 | 93154.0526315789 | 42303.9473684211 |
227 | 73504 | 102790.641025641 | -29286.641025641 |
228 | 63123 | 102790.641025641 | -39667.641025641 |
229 | 61254 | 93154.0526315789 | -31900.0526315789 |
230 | 74914 | 112216.944444444 | -37302.9444444444 |
231 | 31774 | 42740.75 | -10966.75 |
232 | 81437 | 93154.0526315789 | -11717.0526315789 |
233 | 87186 | 102790.641025641 | -15604.641025641 |
234 | 50090 | 68105.52 | -18015.52 |
235 | 65745 | 102790.641025641 | -37045.641025641 |
236 | 56653 | 70761.2 | -14108.2 |
237 | 158399 | 102790.641025641 | 55608.358974359 |
238 | 46455 | 70761.2 | -24306.2 |
239 | 73624 | 93154.0526315789 | -19530.0526315789 |
240 | 38395 | 68105.52 | -29710.52 |
241 | 91899 | 68105.52 | 23793.48 |
242 | 139526 | 112216.944444444 | 27309.0555555556 |
243 | 52164 | 70761.2 | -18597.2 |
244 | 51567 | 70761.2 | -19194.2 |
245 | 70551 | 102790.641025641 | -32239.641025641 |
246 | 84856 | 102790.641025641 | -17934.641025641 |
247 | 102538 | 102790.641025641 | -252.641025641031 |
248 | 86678 | 68105.52 | 18572.48 |
249 | 85709 | 102790.641025641 | -17081.641025641 |
250 | 34662 | 23347.8461538462 | 11314.1538461538 |
251 | 150580 | 112216.944444444 | 38363.0555555556 |
252 | 99611 | 147567.933333333 | -47956.9333333333 |
253 | 19349 | 23347.8461538462 | -3998.84615384615 |
254 | 99373 | 68105.52 | 31267.48 |
255 | 86230 | 70761.2 | 15468.8 |
256 | 30837 | 23347.8461538462 | 7489.15384615385 |
257 | 31706 | 70761.2 | -39055.2 |
258 | 89806 | 93154.0526315789 | -3348.05263157895 |
259 | 62088 | 68105.52 | -6017.52 |
260 | 40151 | 36807.2857142857 | 3343.71428571428 |
261 | 27634 | 42740.75 | -15106.75 |
262 | 76990 | 93154.0526315789 | -16164.0526315789 |
263 | 37460 | 23347.8461538462 | 14112.1538461538 |
264 | 54157 | 70761.2 | -16604.2 |
265 | 49862 | 68105.52 | -18243.52 |
266 | 84337 | 70761.2 | 13575.8 |
267 | 64175 | 70761.2 | -6586.2 |
268 | 59382 | 70761.2 | -11379.2 |
269 | 119308 | 70761.2 | 48546.8 |
270 | 76702 | 102790.641025641 | -26088.641025641 |
271 | 103425 | 68105.52 | 35319.48 |
272 | 70344 | 70761.2 | -417.199999999997 |
273 | 43410 | 36807.2857142857 | 6602.71428571428 |
274 | 104838 | 102790.641025641 | 2047.35897435897 |
275 | 62215 | 70761.2 | -8546.2 |
276 | 69304 | 70761.2 | -1457.2 |
277 | 53117 | 42740.75 | 10376.25 |
278 | 19764 | 23347.8461538462 | -3583.84615384615 |
279 | 86680 | 70761.2 | 15918.8 |
280 | 84105 | 68105.52 | 15999.48 |
281 | 77945 | 93154.0526315789 | -15209.0526315789 |
282 | 89113 | 102790.641025641 | -13677.641025641 |
283 | 91005 | 102790.641025641 | -11785.641025641 |
284 | 40248 | 36807.2857142857 | 3440.71428571428 |
285 | 64187 | 68105.52 | -3918.52 |
286 | 50857 | 68105.52 | -17248.52 |
287 | 56613 | 68105.52 | -11492.52 |
288 | 62792 | 102790.641025641 | -39998.641025641 |
289 | 72535 | 68105.52 | 4429.48 |