Goodness of Fit | |
Correlation | 0.8691 |
R-squared | 0.7553 |
RMSE | 25651.0533 |
Actuals, Predictions, and Residuals | |||
# | Actuals | Forecasts | Residuals |
1 | 140824 | 156589.185185185 | -15765.1851851852 |
2 | 110459 | 108419.547169811 | 2039.45283018867 |
3 | 105079 | 83722.7575757576 | 21356.2424242424 |
4 | 112098 | 108419.547169811 | 3678.45283018867 |
5 | 43929 | 83722.7575757576 | -39793.7575757576 |
6 | 76173 | 72925.2727272727 | 3247.72727272728 |
7 | 187326 | 156589.185185185 | 30736.8148148148 |
8 | 22807 | 3034.5 | 19772.5 |
9 | 144408 | 108419.547169811 | 35988.4528301887 |
10 | 66485 | 83722.7575757576 | -17237.7575757576 |
11 | 79089 | 108419.547169811 | -29330.5471698113 |
12 | 81625 | 83722.7575757576 | -2097.75757575757 |
13 | 68788 | 72925.2727272727 | -4137.27272727272 |
14 | 103297 | 108419.547169811 | -5122.54716981133 |
15 | 69446 | 83722.7575757576 | -14276.7575757576 |
16 | 114948 | 108419.547169811 | 6528.45283018867 |
17 | 167949 | 140986.272727273 | 26962.7272727273 |
18 | 125081 | 108419.547169811 | 16661.4528301887 |
19 | 125818 | 108419.547169811 | 17398.4528301887 |
20 | 136588 | 140986.272727273 | -4398.27272727274 |
21 | 112431 | 108419.547169811 | 4011.45283018867 |
22 | 103037 | 83722.7575757576 | 19314.2424242424 |
23 | 82317 | 83722.7575757576 | -1405.75757575757 |
24 | 118906 | 108419.547169811 | 10486.4528301887 |
25 | 83515 | 108419.547169811 | -24904.5471698113 |
26 | 104581 | 108419.547169811 | -3838.54716981133 |
27 | 103129 | 108419.547169811 | -5290.54716981133 |
28 | 83243 | 108419.547169811 | -25176.5471698113 |
29 | 37110 | 72925.2727272727 | -35815.2727272727 |
30 | 113344 | 156589.185185185 | -43245.1851851852 |
31 | 139165 | 156589.185185185 | -17424.1851851852 |
32 | 86652 | 83722.7575757576 | 2929.24242424243 |
33 | 112302 | 156589.185185185 | -44287.1851851852 |
34 | 69652 | 72925.2727272727 | -3273.27272727272 |
35 | 119442 | 156589.185185185 | -37147.1851851852 |
36 | 69867 | 83722.7575757576 | -13855.7575757576 |
37 | 101629 | 156589.185185185 | -54960.1851851852 |
38 | 70168 | 83722.7575757576 | -13554.7575757576 |
39 | 31081 | 31186.0769230769 | -105.076923076922 |
40 | 103925 | 108419.547169811 | -4494.54716981133 |
41 | 92622 | 108419.547169811 | -15797.5471698113 |
42 | 79011 | 83722.7575757576 | -4711.75757575757 |
43 | 93487 | 108419.547169811 | -14932.5471698113 |
44 | 64520 | 72925.2727272727 | -8405.27272727272 |
45 | 93473 | 83722.7575757576 | 9750.24242424243 |
46 | 114360 | 83722.7575757576 | 30637.2424242424 |
47 | 33032 | 31186.0769230769 | 1845.92307692308 |
48 | 96125 | 83722.7575757576 | 12402.2424242424 |
49 | 151911 | 156589.185185185 | -4678.1851851852 |
50 | 89256 | 108419.547169811 | -19163.5471698113 |
51 | 95671 | 108419.547169811 | -12748.5471698113 |
52 | 5950 | 3034.5 | 2915.5 |
53 | 149695 | 156589.185185185 | -6894.1851851852 |
54 | 32551 | 31186.0769230769 | 1364.92307692308 |
55 | 31701 | 31186.0769230769 | 514.923076923078 |
56 | 100087 | 108419.547169811 | -8332.54716981133 |
57 | 169707 | 156589.185185185 | 13117.8148148148 |
58 | 150491 | 156589.185185185 | -6098.1851851852 |
59 | 120192 | 156589.185185185 | -36397.1851851852 |
60 | 95893 | 108419.547169811 | -12526.5471698113 |
61 | 151715 | 156589.185185185 | -4874.1851851852 |
62 | 176225 | 156589.185185185 | 19635.8148148148 |
63 | 59900 | 83722.7575757576 | -23822.7575757576 |
64 | 104767 | 108419.547169811 | -3652.54716981133 |
65 | 114799 | 108419.547169811 | 6379.45283018867 |
66 | 72128 | 108419.547169811 | -36291.5471698113 |
67 | 143592 | 108419.547169811 | 35172.4528301887 |
68 | 89626 | 108419.547169811 | -18793.5471698113 |
69 | 131072 | 140986.272727273 | -9914.27272727274 |
70 | 126817 | 108419.547169811 | 18397.4528301887 |
71 | 81351 | 83722.7575757576 | -2371.75757575757 |
72 | 22618 | 31186.0769230769 | -8568.07692307692 |
73 | 88977 | 83722.7575757576 | 5254.24242424243 |
74 | 92059 | 108419.547169811 | -16360.5471698113 |
75 | 81897 | 108419.547169811 | -26522.5471698113 |
76 | 108146 | 108419.547169811 | -273.547169811325 |
77 | 126372 | 140986.272727273 | -14614.2727272727 |
78 | 249771 | 156589.185185185 | 93181.8148148148 |
79 | 71154 | 83722.7575757576 | -12568.7575757576 |
80 | 71571 | 83722.7575757576 | -12151.7575757576 |
81 | 55918 | 83722.7575757576 | -27804.7575757576 |
82 | 160141 | 156589.185185185 | 3551.8148148148 |
83 | 38692 | 72925.2727272727 | -34233.2727272727 |
84 | 102812 | 108419.547169811 | -5607.54716981133 |
85 | 56622 | 31186.0769230769 | 25435.9230769231 |
86 | 15986 | 31186.0769230769 | -15200.0769230769 |
87 | 123534 | 108419.547169811 | 15114.4528301887 |
88 | 108535 | 108419.547169811 | 115.452830188675 |
89 | 93879 | 108419.547169811 | -14540.5471698113 |
90 | 144551 | 108419.547169811 | 36131.4528301887 |
91 | 56750 | 83722.7575757576 | -26972.7575757576 |
92 | 127654 | 140986.272727273 | -13332.2727272727 |
93 | 65594 | 83722.7575757576 | -18128.7575757576 |
94 | 59938 | 83722.7575757576 | -23784.7575757576 |
95 | 146975 | 108419.547169811 | 38555.4528301887 |
96 | 143372 | 108419.547169811 | 34952.4528301887 |
97 | 168553 | 140986.272727273 | 27566.7272727273 |
98 | 183500 | 156589.185185185 | 26910.8148148148 |
99 | 165986 | 156589.185185185 | 9396.8148148148 |
100 | 184923 | 156589.185185185 | 28333.8148148148 |
101 | 140358 | 108419.547169811 | 31938.4528301887 |
102 | 149959 | 156589.185185185 | -6630.1851851852 |
103 | 57224 | 83722.7575757576 | -26498.7575757576 |
104 | 43750 | 31186.0769230769 | 12563.9230769231 |
105 | 48029 | 83722.7575757576 | -35693.7575757576 |
106 | 104978 | 140986.272727273 | -36008.2727272727 |
107 | 100046 | 108419.547169811 | -8373.54716981133 |
108 | 101047 | 108419.547169811 | -7372.54716981133 |
109 | 197426 | 156589.185185185 | 40836.8148148148 |
110 | 160902 | 83722.7575757576 | 77179.2424242424 |
111 | 147172 | 156589.185185185 | -9417.1851851852 |
112 | 109432 | 108419.547169811 | 1012.45283018867 |
113 | 1168 | 3034.5 | -1866.5 |
114 | 83248 | 108419.547169811 | -25171.5471698113 |
115 | 25162 | 31186.0769230769 | -6024.07692307692 |
116 | 45724 | 72925.2727272727 | -27201.2727272727 |
117 | 110529 | 156589.185185185 | -46060.1851851852 |
118 | 855 | 3034.5 | -2179.5 |
119 | 101382 | 83722.7575757576 | 17659.2424242424 |
120 | 14116 | 31186.0769230769 | -17070.0769230769 |
121 | 89506 | 108419.547169811 | -18913.5471698113 |
122 | 135356 | 108419.547169811 | 26936.4528301887 |
123 | 116066 | 72925.2727272727 | 43140.7272727273 |
124 | 144244 | 83722.7575757576 | 60521.2424242424 |
125 | 8773 | 31186.0769230769 | -22413.0769230769 |
126 | 102153 | 83722.7575757576 | 18430.2424242424 |
127 | 117440 | 108419.547169811 | 9020.45283018867 |
128 | 104128 | 108419.547169811 | -4291.54716981133 |
129 | 134238 | 156589.185185185 | -22351.1851851852 |
130 | 134047 | 156589.185185185 | -22542.1851851852 |
131 | 279488 | 156589.185185185 | 122898.814814815 |
132 | 79756 | 108419.547169811 | -28663.5471698113 |
133 | 66089 | 72925.2727272727 | -6836.27272727272 |
134 | 102070 | 108419.547169811 | -6349.54716981133 |
135 | 146760 | 156589.185185185 | -9829.1851851852 |
136 | 154771 | 72925.2727272727 | 81845.7272727273 |
137 | 165933 | 140986.272727273 | 24946.7272727273 |
138 | 64593 | 72925.2727272727 | -8332.27272727272 |
139 | 92280 | 108419.547169811 | -16139.5471698113 |
140 | 67150 | 83722.7575757576 | -16572.7575757576 |
141 | 128692 | 108419.547169811 | 20272.4528301887 |
142 | 124089 | 83722.7575757576 | 40366.2424242424 |
143 | 125386 | 140986.272727273 | -15600.2727272727 |
144 | 37238 | 31186.0769230769 | 6051.92307692308 |
145 | 140015 | 140986.272727273 | -971.272727272735 |
146 | 150047 | 108419.547169811 | 41627.4528301887 |
147 | 154451 | 108419.547169811 | 46031.4528301887 |
148 | 156349 | 140986.272727273 | 15362.7272727273 |
149 | 0 | 3034.5 | -3034.5 |
150 | 6023 | 3034.5 | 2988.5 |
151 | 0 | 3034.5 | -3034.5 |
152 | 0 | 3034.5 | -3034.5 |
153 | 0 | 3034.5 | -3034.5 |
154 | 0 | 3034.5 | -3034.5 |
155 | 84601 | 83722.7575757576 | 878.242424242431 |
156 | 68946 | 108419.547169811 | -39473.5471698113 |
157 | 0 | 3034.5 | -3034.5 |
158 | 0 | 3034.5 | -3034.5 |
159 | 1644 | 3034.5 | -1390.5 |
160 | 6179 | 3034.5 | 3144.5 |
161 | 3926 | 3034.5 | 891.5 |
162 | 52789 | 31186.0769230769 | 21602.9230769231 |
163 | 0 | 3034.5 | -3034.5 |
164 | 100350 | 83722.7575757576 | 16627.2424242424 |