| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.1311 | -0.0366 | 0.1605 | -0.8847 | -0.8964 | -0.4142 | 0.2154 |
| (p-val) | (0.4977 ) | (0.8346 ) | (0.3771 ) | (0 ) | (0.4504 ) | (0.5065 ) | (0.8704 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.1347 | -0.0371 | 0.1596 | -0.8859 | -0.7015 | -0.3108 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.4829 ) | (0.8326 ) | (0.3823 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.0794 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.1467 | 0 | 0.173 | -0.9044 | -0.6901 | -0.3008 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.3906 ) | (NA ) | (0.2964 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.08 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | 0 | 0.1154 | -1.2157 | -0.6926 | -0.2907 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.4622 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.0917 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.2617 | -0.7298 | -0.3301 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.0409 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 0.557961757257332 |
| 2.41367811563689 |
| 5.04415438618639 |
| 35.6110577689119 |
| -10.297392855516 |
| 15.1166132112774 |
| -36.2609922534115 |
| -17.2402028723653 |
| 23.6325682145748 |
| -40.209930321263 |
| -3.42955629391579 |
| 7.38995914213736 |
| -25.9776159385218 |
| -23.3121666972273 |
| -28.2586791500233 |
| -5.62815766903159 |
| 8.9599865124414 |
| -15.1324985540225 |
| -12.1151776417625 |
| 30.2212352254443 |
| -8.53392226623526 |
| 38.7325671210457 |
| -0.0310411465497675 |
| -37.8456615894299 |
| -22.3250829390579 |
| 25.3713717717934 |
| 17.7257257315143 |
| 16.9371057957349 |
| 9.49605940991578 |
| -2.57290112339009 |
| 24.732599817704 |
| 30.4703919341921 |
| 4.39122294546515 |
| 10.0275901126477 |
| -30.472174346672 |
| -15.7717086941022 |
| -2.07931042967729 |
| 4.8627070656717 |
| 27.6440012928071 |
| 8.69659509958769 |
| -9.35572364370477 |
| 1.91054335988033 |
| 26.0366962051562 |
| -9.1763123616475 |
| -9.41310834037058 |
| -5.38379823278001 |
| -3.10110405357865 |
| 7.00501136692355 |
| -16.2189848333027 |
| 18.4786894809463 |
| 25.3609584329555 |
| -6.04737074996563 |
| -15.4444378206404 |
| -0.497099440600568 |
| 12.0681334888179 |
| 11.0776055184895 |
