Goodness of Fit | |
Correlation | 0.9178 |
R-squared | 0.8424 |
RMSE | 32633.3325 |
Actuals, Predictions, and Residuals | |||
# | Actuals | Forecasts | Residuals |
1 | 210907 | 192717.625 | 18189.375 |
2 | 120982 | 189887.018181818 | -68905.0181818182 |
3 | 176508 | 189887.018181818 | -13379.0181818182 |
4 | 179321 | 189887.018181818 | -10566.0181818182 |
5 | 123185 | 189887.018181818 | -66702.0181818182 |
6 | 52746 | 87820.6756756757 | -35074.6756756757 |
7 | 385534 | 290061.952380952 | 95472.0476190476 |
8 | 33170 | 42026.4 | -8856.4 |
9 | 101645 | 66406.5555555556 | 35238.4444444444 |
10 | 149061 | 189887.018181818 | -40826.0181818182 |
11 | 165446 | 189887.018181818 | -24441.0181818182 |
12 | 237213 | 276261.1 | -39048.1 |
13 | 173326 | 147306.277777778 | 26019.7222222222 |
14 | 133131 | 119628.744186047 | 13502.2558139535 |
15 | 258873 | 189887.018181818 | 68985.9818181818 |
16 | 180083 | 189887.018181818 | -9804.01818181819 |
17 | 324799 | 276261.1 | 48537.9 |
18 | 230964 | 192717.625 | 38246.375 |
19 | 236785 | 189887.018181818 | 46897.9818181818 |
20 | 135473 | 189887.018181818 | -54414.0181818182 |
21 | 202925 | 189887.018181818 | 13037.9818181818 |
22 | 215147 | 236933.769230769 | -21786.7692307692 |
23 | 344297 | 236933.769230769 | 107363.230769231 |
24 | 153935 | 189887.018181818 | -35952.0181818182 |
25 | 132943 | 189887.018181818 | -56944.0181818182 |
26 | 174724 | 189887.018181818 | -15163.0181818182 |
27 | 174415 | 189887.018181818 | -15472.0181818182 |
28 | 225548 | 236933.769230769 | -11385.7692307692 |
29 | 223632 | 236933.769230769 | -13301.7692307692 |
30 | 124817 | 119628.744186047 | 5188.25581395348 |
31 | 221698 | 290061.952380952 | -68363.9523809524 |
32 | 210767 | 192717.625 | 18049.375 |
33 | 170266 | 189887.018181818 | -19621.0181818182 |
34 | 260561 | 290061.952380952 | -29500.9523809524 |
35 | 84853 | 82828.7142857143 | 2024.28571428571 |
36 | 294424 | 290061.952380952 | 4362.04761904763 |
37 | 101011 | 119628.744186047 | -18617.7441860465 |
38 | 215641 | 189887.018181818 | 25753.9818181818 |
39 | 325107 | 290061.952380952 | 35045.0476190476 |
40 | 7176 | 19731.3 | -12555.3 |
41 | 167542 | 189887.018181818 | -22345.0181818182 |
42 | 106408 | 119628.744186047 | -13220.7441860465 |
43 | 96560 | 87820.6756756757 | 8739.32432432432 |
44 | 265769 | 236933.769230769 | 28835.2307692308 |
45 | 269651 | 236933.769230769 | 32717.2307692308 |
46 | 149112 | 147306.277777778 | 1805.72222222222 |
47 | 175824 | 119628.744186047 | 56195.2558139535 |
48 | 152871 | 189887.018181818 | -37016.0181818182 |
49 | 111665 | 119628.744186047 | -7963.74418604652 |
50 | 116408 | 189887.018181818 | -73479.0181818182 |
51 | 362301 | 189887.018181818 | 172413.981818182 |
52 | 78800 | 119628.744186047 | -40828.7441860465 |
53 | 183167 | 189887.018181818 | -6720.01818181819 |
54 | 277965 | 290061.952380952 | -12096.9523809524 |
55 | 150629 | 189887.018181818 | -39258.0181818182 |
56 | 168809 | 236933.769230769 | -68124.7692307692 |
57 | 24188 | 19731.3 | 4456.7 |
58 | 329267 | 290061.952380952 | 39205.0476190476 |
59 | 65029 | 66406.5555555556 | -1377.55555555556 |
60 | 101097 | 119628.744186047 | -18531.7441860465 |
61 | 218946 | 189887.018181818 | 29058.9818181818 |
62 | 244052 | 290061.952380952 | -46009.9523809524 |
63 | 341570 | 290061.952380952 | 51508.0476190476 |
64 | 103597 | 119628.744186047 | -16031.7441860465 |
65 | 233328 | 290061.952380952 | -56733.9523809524 |
66 | 256462 | 290061.952380952 | -33599.9523809524 |
67 | 206161 | 147306.277777778 | 58854.7222222222 |
68 | 311473 | 290061.952380952 | 21411.0476190476 |
69 | 235800 | 290061.952380952 | -54261.9523809524 |
70 | 177939 | 147306.277777778 | 30632.7222222222 |
71 | 207176 | 189887.018181818 | 17288.9818181818 |
72 | 196553 | 236933.769230769 | -40380.7692307692 |
73 | 174184 | 189887.018181818 | -15703.0181818182 |
74 | 143246 | 147306.277777778 | -4060.27777777778 |
75 | 187559 | 189887.018181818 | -2328.01818181819 |
76 | 187681 | 189887.018181818 | -2206.01818181819 |
77 | 119016 | 119628.744186047 | -612.744186046519 |
78 | 182192 | 189887.018181818 | -7695.01818181819 |
79 | 73566 | 82828.7142857143 | -9262.71428571429 |
80 | 194979 | 189887.018181818 | 5091.98181818181 |
81 | 167488 | 189887.018181818 | -22399.0181818182 |
82 | 143756 | 147306.277777778 | -3550.27777777778 |
83 | 275541 | 189887.018181818 | 85653.9818181818 |
84 | 243199 | 236933.769230769 | 6265.23076923078 |
85 | 182999 | 192717.625 | -9718.625 |
86 | 135649 | 147306.277777778 | -11657.2777777778 |
87 | 152299 | 147306.277777778 | 4992.72222222222 |
88 | 120221 | 119628.744186047 | 592.255813953481 |
89 | 346485 | 276261.1 | 70223.9 |
90 | 145790 | 119628.744186047 | 26161.2558139535 |
91 | 193339 | 189887.018181818 | 3451.98181818181 |
92 | 80953 | 119628.744186047 | -38675.7441860465 |
93 | 122774 | 82828.7142857143 | 39945.2857142857 |
94 | 130585 | 147306.277777778 | -16721.2777777778 |
95 | 112611 | 119628.744186047 | -7017.74418604652 |
96 | 286468 | 189887.018181818 | 96580.9818181818 |
97 | 241066 | 276261.1 | -35195.1 |
98 | 148446 | 147306.277777778 | 1139.72222222222 |
99 | 204713 | 189887.018181818 | 14825.9818181818 |
100 | 182079 | 189887.018181818 | -7808.01818181819 |
101 | 140344 | 119628.744186047 | 20715.2558139535 |
102 | 220516 | 189887.018181818 | 30628.9818181818 |
103 | 243060 | 236933.769230769 | 6126.23076923078 |
104 | 162765 | 189887.018181818 | -27122.0181818182 |
105 | 182613 | 192717.625 | -10104.625 |
106 | 232138 | 290061.952380952 | -57923.9523809524 |
107 | 265318 | 276261.1 | -10943.1 |
108 | 85574 | 87820.6756756757 | -2246.67567567568 |
109 | 310839 | 290061.952380952 | 20777.0476190476 |
110 | 225060 | 189887.018181818 | 35172.9818181818 |
111 | 232317 | 290061.952380952 | -57744.9523809524 |
112 | 144966 | 147306.277777778 | -2340.27777777778 |
113 | 43287 | 73271.9230769231 | -29984.9230769231 |
114 | 155754 | 119628.744186047 | 36125.2558139535 |
115 | 164709 | 189887.018181818 | -25178.0181818182 |
116 | 201940 | 189887.018181818 | 12052.9818181818 |
117 | 235454 | 236933.769230769 | -1479.76923076922 |
118 | 220801 | 189887.018181818 | 30913.9818181818 |
119 | 99466 | 192717.625 | -93251.625 |
120 | 92661 | 87820.6756756757 | 4840.32432432432 |
121 | 133328 | 119628.744186047 | 13699.2558139535 |
122 | 61361 | 66406.5555555556 | -5045.55555555556 |
123 | 125930 | 119628.744186047 | 6301.25581395348 |
124 | 100750 | 147306.277777778 | -46556.2777777778 |
125 | 224549 | 192717.625 | 31831.375 |
126 | 82316 | 87820.6756756757 | -5504.67567567568 |
127 | 102010 | 87820.6756756757 | 14189.3243243243 |
128 | 101523 | 119628.744186047 | -18105.7441860465 |
129 | 243511 | 189887.018181818 | 53623.9818181818 |
130 | 22938 | 19731.3 | 3206.7 |
131 | 41566 | 42026.4 | -460.400000000001 |
132 | 152474 | 189887.018181818 | -37413.0181818182 |
133 | 61857 | 66406.5555555556 | -4549.55555555556 |
134 | 99923 | 87820.6756756757 | 12102.3243243243 |
135 | 132487 | 147306.277777778 | -14819.2777777778 |
136 | 317394 | 290061.952380952 | 27332.0476190476 |
137 | 21054 | 19731.3 | 1322.7 |
138 | 209641 | 189887.018181818 | 19753.9818181818 |
139 | 22648 | 42026.4 | -19378.4 |
140 | 31414 | 42026.4 | -10612.4 |
141 | 46698 | 42026.4 | 4671.6 |
142 | 131698 | 119628.744186047 | 12069.2558139535 |
143 | 91735 | 73271.9230769231 | 18463.0769230769 |
144 | 244749 | 236933.769230769 | 7815.23076923078 |
145 | 184510 | 147306.277777778 | 37203.7222222222 |
146 | 79863 | 73271.9230769231 | 6591.07692307692 |
147 | 128423 | 82828.7142857143 | 45594.2857142857 |
148 | 97839 | 119628.744186047 | -21789.7441860465 |
149 | 38214 | 42026.4 | -3812.4 |
150 | 151101 | 147306.277777778 | 3794.72222222222 |
151 | 272458 | 276261.1 | -3803.09999999998 |
152 | 172494 | 189887.018181818 | -17393.0181818182 |
153 | 108043 | 119628.744186047 | -11585.7441860465 |
154 | 328107 | 290061.952380952 | 38045.0476190476 |
155 | 250579 | 290061.952380952 | -39482.9523809524 |
156 | 351067 | 290061.952380952 | 61005.0476190476 |
157 | 158015 | 189887.018181818 | -31872.0181818182 |
158 | 98866 | 87820.6756756757 | 11045.3243243243 |
159 | 85439 | 119628.744186047 | -34189.7441860465 |
160 | 229242 | 189887.018181818 | 39354.9818181818 |
161 | 351619 | 290061.952380952 | 61557.0476190476 |
162 | 84207 | 73271.9230769231 | 10935.0769230769 |
163 | 120445 | 119628.744186047 | 816.255813953481 |
164 | 324598 | 276261.1 | 48336.9 |
165 | 131069 | 147306.277777778 | -16237.2777777778 |
166 | 204271 | 236933.769230769 | -32662.7692307692 |
167 | 165543 | 189887.018181818 | -24344.0181818182 |
168 | 141722 | 147306.277777778 | -5584.27777777778 |
169 | 116048 | 119628.744186047 | -3580.74418604652 |
170 | 250047 | 189887.018181818 | 60159.9818181818 |
171 | 299775 | 189887.018181818 | 109887.981818182 |
172 | 195838 | 189887.018181818 | 5950.98181818181 |
173 | 173260 | 73271.9230769231 | 99988.0769230769 |
174 | 254488 | 276261.1 | -21773.1 |
175 | 104389 | 147306.277777778 | -42917.2777777778 |
176 | 136084 | 119628.744186047 | 16455.2558139535 |
177 | 199476 | 192717.625 | 6758.375 |
178 | 92499 | 82828.7142857143 | 9670.28571428571 |
179 | 224330 | 276261.1 | -51931.1 |
180 | 135781 | 119628.744186047 | 16152.2558139535 |
181 | 74408 | 66406.5555555556 | 8001.44444444444 |
182 | 81240 | 73271.9230769231 | 7968.07692307692 |
183 | 14688 | 19731.3 | -5043.3 |
184 | 181633 | 189887.018181818 | -8254.01818181819 |
185 | 271856 | 276261.1 | -4405.09999999998 |
186 | 7199 | 19731.3 | -12532.3 |
187 | 46660 | 66406.5555555556 | -19746.5555555556 |
188 | 17547 | 19731.3 | -2184.3 |
189 | 133368 | 119628.744186047 | 13739.2558139535 |
190 | 95227 | 73271.9230769231 | 21955.0769230769 |
191 | 152601 | 119628.744186047 | 32972.2558139535 |
192 | 98146 | 87820.6756756757 | 10325.3243243243 |
193 | 79619 | 66406.5555555556 | 13212.4444444444 |
194 | 59194 | 82828.7142857143 | -23634.7142857143 |
195 | 139942 | 189887.018181818 | -49945.0181818182 |
196 | 118612 | 87820.6756756757 | 30791.3243243243 |
197 | 72880 | 82828.7142857143 | -9948.71428571429 |
198 | 65475 | 87820.6756756757 | -22345.6756756757 |
199 | 99643 | 87820.6756756757 | 11822.3243243243 |
200 | 71965 | 66406.5555555556 | 5558.44444444444 |
201 | 77272 | 87820.6756756757 | -10548.6756756757 |
202 | 49289 | 73271.9230769231 | -23982.9230769231 |
203 | 135131 | 87820.6756756757 | 47310.3243243243 |
204 | 108446 | 119628.744186047 | -11182.7441860465 |
205 | 89746 | 82828.7142857143 | 6917.28571428571 |
206 | 44296 | 73271.9230769231 | -28975.9230769231 |
207 | 77648 | 66406.5555555556 | 11241.4444444444 |
208 | 181528 | 119628.744186047 | 61899.2558139535 |
209 | 134019 | 119628.744186047 | 14390.2558139535 |
210 | 124064 | 119628.744186047 | 4435.25581395348 |
211 | 92630 | 119628.744186047 | -26998.7441860465 |
212 | 121848 | 87820.6756756757 | 34027.3243243243 |
213 | 52915 | 66406.5555555556 | -13491.5555555556 |
214 | 81872 | 119628.744186047 | -37756.7441860465 |
215 | 58981 | 73271.9230769231 | -14290.9230769231 |
216 | 53515 | 82828.7142857143 | -29313.7142857143 |
217 | 60812 | 66406.5555555556 | -5594.55555555556 |
218 | 56375 | 87820.6756756757 | -31445.6756756757 |
219 | 65490 | 87820.6756756757 | -22330.6756756757 |
220 | 80949 | 87820.6756756757 | -6871.67567567568 |
221 | 76302 | 87820.6756756757 | -11518.6756756757 |
222 | 104011 | 189887.018181818 | -85876.0181818182 |
223 | 98104 | 119628.744186047 | -21524.7441860465 |
224 | 67989 | 87820.6756756757 | -19831.6756756757 |
225 | 30989 | 73271.9230769231 | -42282.9230769231 |
226 | 135458 | 119628.744186047 | 15829.2558139535 |
227 | 73504 | 87820.6756756757 | -14316.6756756757 |
228 | 63123 | 66406.5555555556 | -3283.55555555556 |
229 | 61254 | 42026.4 | 19227.6 |
230 | 74914 | 82828.7142857143 | -7914.71428571429 |
231 | 31774 | 42026.4 | -10252.4 |
232 | 81437 | 87820.6756756757 | -6383.67567567568 |
233 | 87186 | 119628.744186047 | -32442.7441860465 |
234 | 50090 | 66406.5555555556 | -16316.5555555556 |
235 | 65745 | 82828.7142857143 | -17083.7142857143 |
236 | 56653 | 66406.5555555556 | -9753.55555555556 |
237 | 158399 | 87820.6756756757 | 70578.3243243243 |
238 | 46455 | 66406.5555555556 | -19951.5555555556 |
239 | 73624 | 87820.6756756757 | -14196.6756756757 |
240 | 38395 | 42026.4 | -3631.4 |
241 | 91899 | 87820.6756756757 | 4078.32432432432 |
242 | 139526 | 119628.744186047 | 19897.2558139535 |
243 | 52164 | 42026.4 | 10137.6 |
244 | 51567 | 42026.4 | 9540.6 |
245 | 70551 | 87820.6756756757 | -17269.6756756757 |
246 | 84856 | 87820.6756756757 | -2964.67567567568 |
247 | 102538 | 119628.744186047 | -17090.7441860465 |
248 | 86678 | 87820.6756756757 | -1142.67567567568 |
249 | 85709 | 66406.5555555556 | 19302.4444444444 |
250 | 34662 | 66406.5555555556 | -31744.5555555556 |
251 | 150580 | 119628.744186047 | 30951.2558139535 |
252 | 99611 | 119628.744186047 | -20017.7441860465 |
253 | 19349 | 19731.3 | -382.299999999999 |
254 | 99373 | 82828.7142857143 | 16544.2857142857 |
255 | 86230 | 87820.6756756757 | -1590.67567567568 |
256 | 30837 | 42026.4 | -11189.4 |
257 | 31706 | 42026.4 | -10320.4 |
258 | 89806 | 66406.5555555556 | 23399.4444444444 |
259 | 62088 | 66406.5555555556 | -4318.55555555556 |
260 | 40151 | 66406.5555555556 | -26255.5555555556 |
261 | 27634 | 42026.4 | -14392.4 |
262 | 76990 | 87820.6756756757 | -10830.6756756757 |
263 | 37460 | 42026.4 | -4566.4 |
264 | 54157 | 66406.5555555556 | -12249.5555555556 |
265 | 49862 | 42026.4 | 7835.6 |
266 | 84337 | 87820.6756756757 | -3483.67567567568 |
267 | 64175 | 82828.7142857143 | -18653.7142857143 |
268 | 59382 | 66406.5555555556 | -7024.55555555556 |
269 | 119308 | 119628.744186047 | -320.744186046519 |
270 | 76702 | 87820.6756756757 | -11118.6756756757 |
271 | 103425 | 87820.6756756757 | 15604.3243243243 |
272 | 70344 | 66406.5555555556 | 3937.44444444444 |
273 | 43410 | 19731.3 | 23678.7 |
274 | 104838 | 87820.6756756757 | 17017.3243243243 |
275 | 62215 | 66406.5555555556 | -4191.55555555556 |
276 | 69304 | 73271.9230769231 | -3967.92307692308 |
277 | 53117 | 42026.4 | 11090.6 |
278 | 19764 | 19731.3 | 32.7000000000007 |
279 | 86680 | 87820.6756756757 | -1140.67567567568 |
280 | 84105 | 66406.5555555556 | 17698.4444444444 |
281 | 77945 | 82828.7142857143 | -4883.71428571429 |
282 | 89113 | 66406.5555555556 | 22706.4444444444 |
283 | 91005 | 66406.5555555556 | 24598.4444444444 |
284 | 40248 | 42026.4 | -1778.4 |
285 | 64187 | 42026.4 | 22160.6 |
286 | 50857 | 73271.9230769231 | -22414.9230769231 |
287 | 56613 | 42026.4 | 14586.6 |
288 | 62792 | 87820.6756756757 | -25028.6756756757 |
289 | 72535 | 87820.6756756757 | -15285.6756756757 |