Structural Time Series Model
t	Observed	Level	Slope	Seasonal	Stand. Residuals
1	41	41	0	0	0
2	39	39.4681786008149	-0.0979294436540218	-0.124264696701125	-0.0638919853075069
3	50	46.5437697350223	0.139008759086537	0.562048263237363	0.428901774879656
4	40	42.2803101188966	0.0522995425459843	-0.353964513427608	-0.276036645139372
5	43	42.6733032338094	0.0578321181602648	0.175836855906398	0.0214933581845457
6	38	39.5715625823359	0.00755165472164264	-0.170636625591731	-0.199394845746151
7	44	42.4387594726144	0.0547545420168677	0.294391990658129	0.180327708480934
8	35	37.5424864602514	-0.0311422615834274	-0.352202703776871	-0.311888748349939
9	39	38.4198102839839	-0.0145703356227538	0.178903624476463	0.0571669720681654
10	35	36.1532277334162	-0.0576370820621674	-0.159984380750529	-0.141560510440093
11	29	31.3631502606335	-0.152178877240164	-0.279023441236224	-0.297167760879146
12	49	42.9721984283404	0.092425451082355	0.855724433549017	0.737780218222501
13	50	46.5115120124834	-0.0662655835107792	1.93396815250258	0.266246838500981
14	59	55.7188179661075	0.299433547039956	0.191204643731	0.492463308392527
15	63	60.3150165245609	0.427467211892979	0.950391154808485	0.259785315192187
16	32	42.3586711510299	-0.00898801290880507	-2.58617255004916	-1.1424517720132
17	39	39.5279485357041	-0.0716560855407015	0.672559003404174	-0.17589346716942
18	47	44.5169811876152	0.041188414455789	0.329611721883347	0.315386752387433
19	53	49.8657865171349	0.162419589689746	0.877764712950798	0.330540295157587
20	60	56.9044549732757	0.323902799383802	0.175410601678809	0.427896048756906
21	57	57.0367512562049	0.31927863596959	0.0445286885340537	-0.0119142207694525
22	52	53.7286338890444	0.229421797654096	-0.191516321877984	-0.225391921552344
23	70	64.7614287478595	0.503513430670625	0.665167339569456	0.670825612085569
24	90	81.2522739009224	0.902487289927643	1.98539059745727	0.991384292019457
25	74	78.9804553273583	0.894980344337853	-3.62525481524946	-0.216919487050872
26	62	67.944883786078	0.470231608776671	-1.56747771749412	-0.678844852185979
27	55	57.8827130600853	0.125994259050555	1.30522505996275	-0.636513733079734
28	84	75.8699545050957	0.649864970478154	0.787617319870699	1.10145767096802
29	94	88.0563730632649	0.975973463563964	1.17844992566674	0.713006342990637
30	70	77.2236652181461	0.642379758312508	-2.34568071468906	-0.729646151837466
31	108	96.6745379332963	1.17929867560536	3.56039958760156	1.1616101577344
32	139	124.708446045847	1.95565867724072	3.2118447310455	1.65776872568695
33	120	122.920246982203	1.84605010273257	-1.37656688893993	-0.231014708066358
34	97	107.462682023266	1.33321393213363	-3.33210534366404	-1.06732218116826
35	126	119.783765408474	1.66177708327315	1.69075897292816	0.677462987476597
36	149	138.069900615628	2.14477414020098	4.09051472758022	1.02361043757679
37	158	151.695718779676	2.37343311589407	1.54626926395908	0.748559940683804
38	124	134.957919112068	1.70746962061804	-3.68439127307395	-1.12123337612557
39	140	138.711541246078	1.77768333228933	0.48272049235909	0.123626913477546
40	109	120.846463268423	1.13977347234442	-3.9127059355202	-1.20586918346958
41	114	114.840376978019	0.913249464122094	2.05778256723268	-0.439500155557618
42	77	93.7756114686156	0.219053609667765	-7.8610744598345	-1.35141262669071
43	120	109.684548595094	0.716528380018241	3.95353367410054	0.964467486167056
44	133	123.2522001158	1.12629331230989	4.53868674551659	0.789775841321633
45	110	115.644346582996	0.846164694427059	-2.10508222172593	-0.536660586794877
46	92	103.781680646046	0.436317880905144	-6.63314268393655	-0.780755211690291
47	97	99.5874805347803	0.286781076802437	-0.712329206445536	-0.284354627061858
48	78	83.8684351025245	-0.21753930521235	0.603322091440758	-0.98193785104253
49	99	88.9844084843725	-0.0700067152093569	7.84236581791309	0.339627951673189
50	107	103.220496704802	0.425768673665507	-1.75891356504923	0.853175494732954
51	112	107.754450041322	0.568898365607662	2.63499431425786	0.248401840875929
52	90	98.73642667512	0.244211318394393	-4.90362600244276	-0.58717557267884
53	98	95.0802774723711	0.114199944757123	4.48494651993072	-0.239296444444071
54	125	120.117073048979	0.941456659263719	-5.11922945745831	1.52863004688005
55	155	141.891176543443	1.63358320982373	4.74991453999353	1.27747051325415
56	190	170.269362806842	2.52431012415017	9.00135403459447	1.63979949374108
57	236	214.22896987096	3.90810613455924	5.15013802381294	2.54037857174548
58	189	204.925881394419	3.46592657890096	-10.6271489379084	-0.80990376253078
59	174	185.490282320905	2.70063719988553	-2.30934727760813	-1.40323816487932
60	178	181.061953468186	2.46649487327162	-0.208825554379717	-0.436647310873763
61	136	151.392008841462	1.46365697090616	-2.42701385222636	-2.01939810093448
62	161	158.57710959288	1.6614494675264	0.188467880204358	0.344457669000458
63	171	164.173121938932	1.79869515245294	5.28663906096859	0.238196628516746
64	149	157.67265512331	1.51332509272347	-5.37419909730093	-0.50770181431007
65	184	173.257614336486	1.99231291235929	5.12978987224549	0.862287097220564
66	155	167.4569196674	1.72801219500799	-9.34851948665104	-0.477388271613014
67	276	235.576735692886	3.97918721532816	13.9468610972378	4.0661055587189
68	224	229.403343658031	3.63458751758534	-1.35492718662874	-0.621745408306792
69	213	215.929708339769	3.05316154909365	3.89212524524071	-1.04770782742818
70	279	261.080642326783	4.48479954903512	1.1348155197288	2.57781714868866
71	268	268.964322978434	4.60011955725864	-2.31860305204272	0.207997940599125
72	287	280.120920871203	4.82012315031682	4.27048224745616	0.401344183091745