| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | sar1 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 1.1797 | -0.5679 | -0.1361 | -0.83 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.3334 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 1.0906 | -0.489 | 0 | -1.1851 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 0.111999924055659 |
| 5.1522144111225 |
| 10.9609120771892 |
| -6.50201300508845 |
| -3.54268677353807 |
| 18.8400772576791 |
| 9.89259203266423 |
| -0.421490388994591 |
| -5.91591490682519 |
| -8.2913363524289 |
| -8.95325938235087 |
| 14.3599674352398 |
| -13.1244637557254 |
| 7.79251202637678 |
| 9.83084850861076 |
| -9.24648618042001 |
| -4.4452322979197 |
| 29.4543011558424 |
| 15.8523933862876 |
| 0.243867976153019 |
| -1.38738694305803 |
| -12.0046748139385 |
| -7.76172181606352 |
| 28.2731856875984 |
| -8.34033532512523 |
| 1.98391692007455 |
| 28.4746727639582 |
| -18.1638542578993 |
| 21.3717868130059 |
| 10.3985668746793 |
| 25.8762983551346 |
| 2.70123972628725 |
| -3.73900306114643 |
| -7.82657949781111 |
| -5.64794489887909 |
| 21.8877364684278 |
| -5.92400474256692 |
| 5.77675055228023 |
| 11.9849058255226 |
| -11.5664575458847 |
| 10.9148613952502 |
| 38.0877703716918 |
| 6.97380429663226 |
| 19.6785336871767 |
| -21.5967209215901 |
| 4.32973348907739 |
| -9.1386442190462 |
| 24.359828297489 |
| -9.87246384070633 |
| -2.78666322801674 |
| 40.2021314434431 |
| -9.22210711138937 |
| 3.68537613781395 |
| 26.0041416840507 |
| 25.4509076849833 |
| 12.4481859691877 |
| -23.3797177039023 |
| -3.99699386032869 |
| -20.824854005557 |
| 22.7698529656532 |
| -14.6555400716935 |
| -25.134853872453 |
| 45.6811874339343 |
| -25.4208059597565 |
| 12.161248016914 |
| 33.1614799347662 |
| 36.4491508805574 |
| -5.64148015654076 |
| -11.490464710562 |
| -4.78477820104957 |
| -13.2107441516419 |
| 27.3191335813442 |
| -4.36981841285561 |
| -17.6104253211566 |
| 36.0815566997553 |
| -6.19704812080417 |
| 6.92542255600838 |
| 53.146704866371 |
| 46.711026144933 |
| -10.9565505015401 |
| -2.91255948017421 |
| -7.03083720697432 |
| -18.7518856281437 |
| 45.8631022170031 |
| -16.7322044968888 |
| -13.304925230032 |
| 41.875281257281 |
| -13.3760924834632 |
| 13.8274597198622 |
| 63.7201813654392 |
| 35.1732039696897 |
| 3.69370456577179 |
| -18.3693698578285 |
| -12.3120532275208 |
| -15.0711525201796 |
| 35.1902490009326 |
| -16.3641886814849 |
| -25.4200584170107 |
| 54.8836324206797 |
| -24.8532101087227 |
| 16.0460812090309 |
| 74.0040433665605 |
| 36.73477737177 |
| 15.4513662314161 |
| -29.5669773338648 |
| -11.6560715327055 |
| -17.7013773936323 |
| 32.0484843356498 |
| -23.2674674797412 |
| -36.1022373426659 |
| 41.0202663432786 |
| -34.5255984190344 |
| 17.1801338580494 |
| 68.3021157815655 |
| 42.5798914375279 |
| 21.3912955705573 |
| -69.4774333787366 |
| 12.7689426516914 |
| -31.505995040777 |
| 25.8481744994954 |
| -7.16362795137749 |
| -40.7351427650274 |
| 60.4321619387157 |
| -32.1879868272781 |
| 32.4030279776588 |
| 54.7196805039887 |
| 76.1542248359868 |
| 17.9330069786639 |
| -57.6146494870835 |
| 6.72026002698484 |
| -19.2416677244867 |
| 43.7579435919072 |
| -19.2168499888297 |
| -40.4320836704152 |
| 29.7875049629329 |
| 27.8375221722866 |
| -0.328335455914624 |
| 70.5226360936145 |
| 87.5133081915042 |
| -7.64197023025698 |
| -47.3329544003527 |
| 16.1913343744156 |
| -49.6745834976984 |
| 48.1446351646667 |
