Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[132])
130	407	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
131	362	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
132	405	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
133	417	422.7286	366.6287	478.8285	0.4207	0.7322	0.9831	0.7322
134	391	407.5083	311.671	503.3456	0.3678	0.423	0.5205	0.5205
135	419	399.1712	277.25	521.0924	0.375	0.5523	0.3872	0.4627
136	461	375.0277	232.6583	517.3972	0.1183	0.2725	0.413	0.3399
137	472	364.7247	209.8437	519.6057	0.0873	0.1115	0.2461	0.3051
138	535	347.1892	182.7459	511.6325	0.0126	0.0684	0.0875	0.2454
139	622	339.2043	168.4744	509.9341	6e-04	0.0123	0.0637	0.225
140	606	325.2348	149.5044	500.9653	9e-04	5e-04	0.0097	0.1868
141	508	319.1529	140.1727	498.1331	0.0193	8e-04	5e-04	0.1736
142	461	309.1855	127.6272	490.7438	0.0506	0.0159	7e-04	0.1505
143	390	304.7324	121.4537	488.0111	0.1809	0.0473	0.0149	0.1418
144	432	297.2133	112.548	481.8785	0.0763	0.1624	0.0411	0.1263

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
133	0.0677	-0.0136	0	32.8173	0	0
134	0.12	-0.0405	0.027	272.5235	152.6704	12.356
135	0.1558	0.0497	0.0346	393.1815	232.8408	15.2591
136	0.1937	0.2292	0.0832	7391.2279	2022.4376	44.9715
137	0.2167	0.2941	0.1254	11507.9891	3919.5479	62.6063
138	0.2417	0.5409	0.1947	35272.9036	9145.1072	95.6301
139	0.2568	0.8337	0.286	79973.428	19263.4387	138.7928
140	0.2757	0.8633	0.3581	78829.0776	26709.1436	163.4293
141	0.2861	0.5917	0.3841	35663.2228	27704.0413	166.4453
142	0.2996	0.491	0.3948	23047.644	27238.4015	165.0406
143	0.3069	0.2798	0.3843	7270.569	25423.144	159.4464
144	0.317	0.4535	0.3901	18167.4664	24818.5042	157.5389