Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 1011 | 0 | 102 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 183.046 | 184.384959946037 | 4.97403906152967 | 176.733000992434 | 1.33895994603674 |
2 | 175.714 | 176.02477123239 | 4.02411035290606 | 171.379118414704 | 0.310771232390039 |
3 | 175.768 | 180.19380328317 | 5.31696087985635 | 166.025235836974 | 4.4258032831695 |
4 | 171.029 | 176.406535151293 | 4.56432379451873 | 161.087141054189 | 5.37753515129256 |
5 | 170.465 | 180.213604722607 | 4.56734900598969 | 156.149046271403 | 9.74860472260713 |
6 | 170.102 | 184.987353447167 | 3.41390274266166 | 151.802743810171 | 14.8853534471673 |
7 | 156.389 | 164.416310864635 | 0.90524778642601 | 147.456441348939 | 8.02731086463518 |
8 | 124.291 | 108.615755037628 | -3.63170322723002 | 143.597948189602 | -15.6752449623717 |
9 | 99.36 | 65.6114516810673 | -6.630906711332 | 139.739455030265 | -33.7485483189327 |
10 | 86.675 | 45.494206219381 | -9.45365301656387 | 137.309446797183 | -41.180793780619 |
11 | 85.056 | 42.9644607463419 | -7.73189931044287 | 134.879438564101 | -42.0915392536581 |
12 | 128.236 | 121.623601437397 | -0.317768008069139 | 135.166166570672 | -6.61239856260298 |
13 | 164.257 | 188.087066361227 | 4.97403906152967 | 135.452894577243 | 23.8300663612271 |
14 | 162.401 | 182.744299149972 | 4.02411035290606 | 138.033590497122 | 20.343299149972 |
15 | 152.779 | 159.626752703143 | 5.31696087985635 | 140.614286417001 | 6.84775270314296 |
16 | 156.005 | 163.393591764514 | 4.56432379451873 | 144.052084440967 | 7.3885917645143 |
17 | 153.387 | 154.716768529077 | 4.56734900598969 | 147.489882464933 | 1.32976852907711 |
18 | 153.19 | 154.148762729604 | 3.41390274266166 | 148.817334527734 | 0.958762729603961 |
19 | 148.84 | 146.629965623038 | 0.90524778642601 | 150.144786590536 | -2.21003437696154 |
20 | 144.211 | 143.089284993217 | -3.63170322723002 | 148.964418234013 | -1.12171500678309 |
21 | 145.953 | 150.752856833841 | -6.630906711332 | 147.784049877491 | 4.79985683384129 |
22 | 145.542 | 154.880306509847 | -9.45365301656387 | 145.657346506717 | 9.33830650984675 |
23 | 150.271 | 164.743256174499 | -7.73189931044287 | 143.530643135944 | 14.4722561744993 |
24 | 147.489 | 154.169072618716 | -0.317768008069139 | 141.126695389353 | 6.68007261871631 |
25 | 143.824 | 143.951213295708 | 4.97403906152967 | 138.722747642762 | 0.127213295708174 |
26 | 134.754 | 129.437554429411 | 4.02411035290606 | 136.046335217683 | -5.31644557058931 |
27 | 131.736 | 124.785116327539 | 5.31696087985635 | 133.369922792604 | -6.95088367246065 |
28 | 126.304 | 117.692864997848 | 4.56432379451873 | 130.350811207633 | -8.61113500215201 |
29 | 125.511 | 119.122951371348 | 4.56734900598969 | 127.331699622662 | -6.38804862865202 |
30 | 125.495 | 122.525143799885 | 3.41390274266166 | 125.050953457453 | -2.96985620011478 |
31 | 130.133 | 136.59054492133 | 0.90524778642601 | 122.770207292244 | 6.45754492133007 |
32 | 126.257 | 133.878333294905 | -3.63170322723002 | 122.267369932325 | 7.62133329490484 |
33 | 110.323 | 105.512374138926 | -6.630906711332 | 121.764532572406 | -4.81062586107444 |
34 | 98.417 | 83.5303499917564 | -9.45365301656387 | 122.757303024807 | -14.8866500082436 |
35 | 105.749 | 95.4798258332343 | -7.73189931044287 | 123.750073477209 | -10.2691741667657 |
36 | 120.665 | 116.199483800413 | -0.317768008069139 | 125.448284207656 | -4.46551619958709 |
37 | 124.075 | 116.029466000366 | 4.97403906152967 | 127.146494938104 | -8.0455339996336 |
38 | 127.245 | 120.894055678653 | 4.02411035290606 | 129.571833968441 | -6.3509443213467 |
39 | 146.731 | 156.147866121366 | 5.31696087985635 | 131.997172998777 | 9.4168661213663 |
40 | 144.979 | 150.178285766838 | 4.56432379451873 | 135.215390438643 | 5.19928576683822 |
41 | 148.21 | 153.419043115502 | 4.56734900598969 | 138.433607878509 | 5.20904311550157 |
42 | 144.67 | 144.729375835593 | 3.41390274266166 | 141.196721421746 | 0.0593758355926468 |
43 | 142.97 | 141.074917248591 | 0.90524778642601 | 143.959834964983 | -1.89508275140858 |
44 | 142.524 | 143.009292380498 | -3.63170322723002 | 145.670410846732 | 0.485292380498407 |
45 | 146.142 | 151.533919982851 | -6.630906711332 | 147.380986728481 | 5.39191998285139 |
46 | 146.522 | 154.089571043004 | -9.45365301656387 | 148.40808197356 | 7.56757104300414 |
47 | 148.128 | 154.552722091804 | -7.73189931044287 | 149.435177218639 | 6.42472209180403 |
48 | 148.798 | 147.616227787249 | -0.317768008069139 | 150.29754022082 | -1.1817722127513 |
49 | 150.181 | 144.228057715468 | 4.97403906152967 | 151.159903223002 | -5.95294228453173 |
50 | 152.388 | 148.718237003193 | 4.02411035290606 | 152.033652643901 | -3.66976299680729 |
51 | 155.694 | 153.163637055343 | 5.31696087985635 | 152.9074020648 | -2.53036294465673 |
52 | 160.662 | 163.071781896531 | 4.56432379451873 | 153.687894308951 | 2.4097818965306 |
53 | 155.52 | 152.004264440909 | 4.56734900598969 | 154.468386553101 | -3.51573555909059 |
54 | 158.262 | 158.455136381388 | 3.41390274266166 | 154.654960875951 | 0.193136381387518 |
55 | 154.338 | 152.929217014773 | 0.90524778642601 | 154.841535198801 | -1.40878298522674 |
56 | 158.196 | 165.987294023999 | -3.63170322723002 | 154.036409203231 | 7.79129402399948 |
57 | 160.371 | 174.141623503672 | -6.630906711332 | 153.23128320766 | 13.7706235036717 |
58 | 154.856 | 167.716615342131 | -9.45365301656387 | 151.449037674432 | 12.8606153421314 |
59 | 150.636 | 159.337107169238 | -7.73189931044287 | 149.666792141205 | 8.70110716923821 |
60 | 145.899 | 145.11248403816 | -0.317768008069139 | 147.003283969909 | -0.786515961839882 |
61 | 141.242 | 133.170185139857 | 4.97403906152967 | 144.339775798613 | -8.07181486014306 |
62 | 140.834 | 136.515447789601 | 4.02411035290606 | 141.128441857493 | -4.31855221039928 |
63 | 141.119 | 139.003931203771 | 5.31696087985635 | 137.917107916373 | -2.11506879622939 |
64 | 139.104 | 138.470090294045 | 4.56432379451873 | 135.173585911436 | -0.633909705954807 |
65 | 134.437 | 131.876587087511 | 4.56734900598969 | 132.430063906499 | -2.56041291248877 |
66 | 129.425 | 124.803131729725 | 3.41390274266166 | 130.632965527614 | -4.62186827027523 |
67 | 123.155 | 116.568885064846 | 0.90524778642601 | 128.835867148728 | -6.58611493515407 |
68 | 119.273 | 114.739218547005 | -3.63170322723002 | 127.438484680225 | -4.5337814529947 |
69 | 120.472 | 121.533804499611 | -6.630906711332 | 126.041102211721 | 1.0618044996106 |
70 | 121.523 | 127.874585084297 | -9.45365301656387 | 124.625067932266 | 6.35158508429748 |
71 | 121.983 | 128.488865657631 | -7.73189931044287 | 123.209033652811 | 6.50586565763149 |
72 | 123.658 | 125.608523823043 | -0.317768008069139 | 122.025244185027 | 1.9505238230426 |
73 | 124.794 | 123.772506221229 | 4.97403906152967 | 120.841454717242 | -1.02149377877136 |
74 | 124.827 | 125.518482145081 | 4.02411035290606 | 120.111407502013 | 0.691482145080727 |
75 | 120.382 | 116.065678833359 | 5.31696087985635 | 119.381360286785 | -4.31632116664107 |
76 | 117.395 | 111.002867163921 | 4.56432379451873 | 119.22280904156 | -6.39213283607904 |
77 | 115.79 | 107.948393197674 | 4.56734900598969 | 119.064257796336 | -7.84160680232559 |
78 | 114.283 | 105.823295796512 | 3.41390274266166 | 119.328801460827 | -8.45970420348837 |
79 | 117.271 | 114.043407088256 | 0.90524778642601 | 119.593345125318 | -3.22759291174354 |
80 | 117.448 | 118.720754581433 | -3.63170322723002 | 119.806948645797 | 1.27275458143259 |
81 | 118.764 | 124.138354545055 | -6.630906711332 | 120.020552166277 | 5.37435454505469 |
82 | 120.55 | 130.618871477015 | -9.45365301656387 | 119.934781539548 | 10.0688714770154 |
83 | 123.554 | 134.990888397623 | -7.73189931044287 | 119.84901091282 | 11.4368883976233 |
84 | 125.412 | 131.722101679732 | -0.317768008069139 | 119.419666328337 | 6.31010167973218 |
85 | 124.182 | 124.399639194616 | 4.97403906152967 | 118.990321743854 | 0.217639194615998 |
86 | 119.828 | 117.351963445082 | 4.02411035290606 | 118.279926202012 | -2.47603655491801 |
87 | 115.361 | 107.835508459974 | 5.31696087985635 | 117.56953066017 | -7.52549154002591 |
88 | 114.226 | 107.015980651182 | 4.56432379451873 | 116.871695554299 | -7.21001934881785 |
89 | 115.214 | 109.686790545582 | 4.56734900598969 | 116.173860448429 | -5.52720945441837 |
90 | 115.864 | 112.580538224281 | 3.41390274266166 | 115.733559033057 | -3.28346177571868 |
91 | 114.276 | 112.353494595889 | 0.90524778642601 | 115.293257617685 | -1.92250540411139 |
92 | 113.469 | 115.258415024078 | -3.63170322723002 | 115.311288203152 | 1.7894150240779 |
93 | 114.883 | 121.067587922713 | -6.630906711332 | 115.329318788619 | 6.18458792271312 |
94 | 114.172 | 122.108021394032 | -9.45365301656387 | 115.689631622532 | 7.93602139403208 |
95 | 111.225 | 114.131954853998 | -7.73189931044287 | 116.049944456445 | 2.9069548539982 |
96 | 112.149 | 108.180177591103 | -0.317768008069139 | 116.435590416966 | -3.96882240889657 |
97 | 115.618 | 109.440724560984 | 4.97403906152967 | 116.821236377487 | -6.17727543901643 |
98 | 118.002 | 114.840937275264 | 4.02411035290606 | 117.13895237183 | -3.16106272473608 |
99 | 121.382 | 119.99037075397 | 5.31696087985635 | 117.456668366173 | -1.39162924602962 |
100 | 120.663 | 119.029475823977 | 4.56432379451873 | 117.732200381504 | -1.63352417602286 |
101 | 128.049 | 133.522918597175 | 4.56734900598969 | 118.007732396835 | 5.47391859717533 |