| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.1172 | 0.058 | -0.0582 | -1 | 1.011 | -0.0114 | -0.9638 |
| (p-val) | (0.3331 ) | (0.6495 ) | (0.6331 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.9403 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.1168 | 0.0548 | -0.0583 | -1 | 0.9951 | 0 | -0.884 |
| (p-val) | (0.3332 ) | (0.667 ) | (0.6387 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.1175 | 0 | -0.0558 | -1 | 0.9956 | 0 | -0.8934 |
| (p-val) | (0.3292 ) | (NA ) | (0.65 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0.1208 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0.9954 | 0 | -0.8944 |
| (p-val) | (0.317 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0.9945 | 0 | -0.8846 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 0.0459999128668554 |
| 8.22041661121988 |
| 6.31154132834228 |
| 0.10897985674582 |
| -0.00967284319322342 |
| 1.9557974214979 |
| -11.3137114981803 |
| -17.30692470327 |
| 5.86513146149396 |
| 10.6523692379567 |
| -5.00768966154267 |
| 4.0124656055512 |
| -5.04006777786846 |
| -18.2905297167277 |
| 11.7722892848891 |
| -10.9134174785553 |
| 1.21516602554633 |
| -3.05833624426531 |
| 6.07578228388479 |
| -3.36284813616973 |
| 4.51071867997217 |
| -9.5910844400472 |
| -1.955179931877 |
| -4.02826047831199 |
| 4.91466735590813 |
| 11.161870453175 |
| 6.91784071833429 |
| -7.57247817120838 |
| -3.64018728198219 |
| 7.46325326637786 |
| -12.2412212011555 |
| -4.87355870603965 |
| -1.62119441859778 |
| 5.06861444782093 |
| -9.7795512444026 |
| -11.6016563821556 |
| 15.101739248419 |
| -9.49049002200983 |
| -6.4819728958656 |
| 5.48181385030572 |
| -13.9116232168617 |
| 7.07877067416942 |
| -17.4015964881357 |
| -4.37314436123641 |
| -10.0527086725406 |
| -1.29286840876335 |
| -0.751660956691809 |
| 17.839762907708 |
| 5.99009469615001 |
| 3.33404006063394 |
| -7.25122099094357 |
| -0.221558905853446 |
| 0.0184512140637023 |
| -6.0074981414376 |
| -3.07559056765406 |
| -10.3777451693433 |
| 2.23253983015863 |
| 10.1891233339388 |
| 13.9846779261512 |
| 1.76820018288527 |
| -14.0095898615814 |
| -1.53282375331227 |
| -5.07659553784073 |
| -3.05926128211667 |
| -8.2754639599869 |
| 4.83437045036958 |
| -1.68744502877068 |
| 8.48232041516736 |
| 16.108298931006 |
| 6.40330245342871 |
| 3.75315848494867 |
| 9.08986815078307 |
