Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha1
beta0.107590001844371
gammaFALSE


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
310.8910.91-0.0199999999999996
410.9410.87784819996310.0621518000368866
510.9810.93453511224370.0454648877562889
610.9910.97942667960130.0105733203987342
711.0210.99056426316250.0294357368375326
811.0411.02373125414310.0162687458568929
911.0511.04548160853990.00451839146014521
1011.0511.0559677422854-0.00596774228538699
1111.0211.0553256728819-0.0353256728818963
1210.9111.0215249836714-0.111524983671378
1311.0110.89952601047250.110473989527518
1411.0211.01141190720950.00858809279049844
1511.0311.02233590012870.0076640998713291
1611.0411.0331604806480.0068395193520363
1711.0611.04389634454770.0161036554523388
1811.0811.06562893686750.0143710631325185
1911.0611.0871751195764-0.0271751195764143
2011.0611.0642513484111-0.00425134841106711
2111.0911.06379394582770.0262060541723201
2211.0711.0966134552444-0.0266134552444122
2311.0611.0737501135456-0.0137501135455818
2411.0811.06227073880390.0177292611961466
2511.0811.0841782300486-0.00417823004864459
2611.0811.08372869427-0.00372869427000566
2711.1111.08332752404660.0266724759533812
2811.0911.1161972157836-0.0261972157836361
2911.0811.0933786572892-0.0133786572891577
3011.0511.0819392475267-0.0319392475267417
3111.0711.04850290382640.021497096173567
3211.0611.0708157764434-0.010815776443394
3311.0611.05965210703590.000347892964098762
3411.0711.05968953684060.0103104631594491
3511.0211.0707988395909-0.0507988395908932
3611.0111.0153333923456-0.00533339234561581
3711.0411.00475957265330.0352404273466842
3811.0211.0385510902965-0.0185510902965405
3911.0311.01655517845730.013444821542679
4011.1711.02800170683190.141998293168106
4111.1911.18327930345570.00672069654425123
4211.1511.2040023832093-0.0540023832093386
4311.1311.1581922667002-0.0281922667002465
4411.0611.135159060674-0.07515906067397
4511.0111.0570726971974-0.0470726971974376
4611.0311.00200814561910.0279918543808542
4710.9911.0250197892836-0.0350197892836075
4810.9410.98125201009-0.0412520100899965
491110.92681370624830.0731862937516716
5011.0610.99468781972810.0653121802719472
5111.0611.061714757324-0.00171475732397219
5211.0511.0615302665803-0.0115302665803227
5311.0411.0502897251777-0.0102897251776817
5411.1511.03918265362680.110817346373166
5511.211.16110549212750.0388945078724863
5611.1611.2152901523012-0.0552901523012483
5711.311.16934148471320.130658515286818
5811.2311.3233990346139-0.0933990346138742
5911.2511.24335023230750.00664976769249392
6011.2511.2640656808258-0.0140656808258051
6111.1211.2625523541998-0.142552354199815
6211.1411.11721514614850.0227848538514639
6311.1711.13966656861640.0303334313835588
6411.2511.17293014255490.077069857445057
6511.2711.26122208865960.00877791134039718
6611.3411.28216650415690.0578334958430951
6711.3911.35838881008130.0316111899186708
6811.4411.4117898580630.0282101419370164
6911.4611.464824987286-0.00482498728601399
7011.4911.4843058668950.0056941331049849
7111.5111.5149184986863-0.00491849868628336
7211.4811.5343893174036-0.0543893174035528
7311.4911.4985375706438-0.00853757064379224
7411.5211.50761901340250.0123809865975204
7511.5611.53895108377330.0210489162266594
7611.5811.581215736709-0.00121573670899089
7711.5811.6010849355942-0.021084935594228
7811.5811.5988164073348-0.0188164073347554
7911.611.59679195003490.00320804996509416
8011.6211.61713710413660.00286289586343358
8111.6211.6374451231078-0.0174451231077928
8211.6411.63556820228040.00443179771955116
8311.6711.65604501940530.013954980594729
8411.6611.6875464357932-0.0275464357931963
8511.7211.67458271471540.0454172852846
8611.8211.73946916052290.0805308394770634
8711.911.84813347369080.0518665263091975
8812.0411.93371379335210.106286206647928
8912.0812.0851491265214-0.00514912652135102
9012.1512.12459513198940.0254048680105772
9112.1912.1973284417855-0.00732844178553727
9212.2212.2365399747203-0.0165399747203132
9312.2312.2647604388097-0.0347604388096503
9412.2512.271020563134-0.0210205631340088
9512.2612.2887589607077-0.0287589607076519
9612.2712.2956647840721-0.0256647840720721
9712.3412.30290350990640.0370964900935782
9812.3812.3768947213440.00310527865599042
9912.4212.41722881828030.00277118171966251
10012.4312.4575269697267-0.0275269697266651
10112.4812.4645653430030.0154346569969963
10212.512.5162259577778-0.0162259577777775
10312.512.5344802069505-0.0344802069505405
10412.4912.5307704814211-0.040770481421136
10512.4612.5163839852498-0.0563839852498411
10612.4512.4803176321728-0.0303176321728191
10712.4512.4670557580714-0.017055758071427
10812.3812.4652207290291-0.0852207290290643
10912.4212.38605183063570.0339481693643489
11012.3712.4297043142402-0.0597043142401734
11112.3512.373280726961-0.0232807269609552
11212.3512.3507759535043-0.00077595350428794
11312.3612.35069246866530.00930753133466844
11412.3212.3616938659788-0.0416938659787931
11512.3212.31720802286120.002791977138763
11612.3412.31750841168670.0224915883132528
11712.3512.33992828171490.0100717182851486
11812.3412.3510118979037-0.0110118979037264
11912.3112.339827127788-0.0298271277879536
12012.2412.3066180270542-0.0666180270542363


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
12112.229450593400612.14284397556812.3160572112332
12212.218901186801212.089664041433112.3481383321693
12312.208351780201812.041683694025912.3750198663777
12412.197802373602411.995558979766312.4000457674386
12512.18725296700311.950085708673712.4244202253324
12612.176703560403611.904693164192612.4487139566146
12712.166154153804211.859070968822312.4732373387861
12812.155604747204811.813036156325812.4981733380838
12912.145055340605411.766475392642712.5236352885682
13012.13450593400611.719316404267312.5496954637448
13112.123956527406611.671512502415112.5764005523981
13212.113407120807211.623033612229412.6037806293851