Goodness of Fit | |
Correlation | 0.9397 |
R-squared | 0.883 |
RMSE | 28112.6784 |
Actuals, Predictions, and Residuals | |||
# | Actuals | Forecasts | Residuals |
1 | 210907 | 166707.884615385 | 44199.1153846154 |
2 | 120982 | 166707.884615385 | -45725.8846153846 |
3 | 176508 | 166707.884615385 | 9800.11538461538 |
4 | 179321 | 221840.5 | -42519.5 |
5 | 123185 | 109097.210526316 | 14087.7894736842 |
6 | 52746 | 33226.6111111111 | 19519.3888888889 |
7 | 385534 | 320569.294117647 | 64964.705882353 |
8 | 33170 | 33226.6111111111 | -56.6111111111095 |
9 | 101645 | 88132.0454545455 | 13512.9545454545 |
10 | 149061 | 166707.884615385 | -17646.8846153846 |
11 | 165446 | 166707.884615385 | -1261.88461538462 |
12 | 237213 | 242812.851851852 | -5599.85185185185 |
13 | 173326 | 137349.047619048 | 35976.9523809524 |
14 | 133131 | 137349.047619048 | -4218.04761904763 |
15 | 258873 | 221840.5 | 37032.5 |
16 | 180083 | 166707.884615385 | 13375.1153846154 |
17 | 324799 | 320569.294117647 | 4229.70588235295 |
18 | 230964 | 242812.851851852 | -11848.8518518519 |
19 | 236785 | 221840.5 | 14944.5 |
20 | 135473 | 166707.884615385 | -31234.8846153846 |
21 | 202925 | 195605.791666667 | 7319.20833333334 |
22 | 215147 | 242812.851851852 | -27665.8518518519 |
23 | 344297 | 320569.294117647 | 23727.705882353 |
24 | 153935 | 166707.884615385 | -12772.8846153846 |
25 | 132943 | 137349.047619048 | -4406.04761904763 |
26 | 174724 | 221840.5 | -47116.5 |
27 | 174415 | 195605.791666667 | -21190.7916666667 |
28 | 225548 | 242812.851851852 | -17264.8518518519 |
29 | 223632 | 242812.851851852 | -19180.8518518519 |
30 | 124817 | 109097.210526316 | 15719.7894736842 |
31 | 221698 | 242812.851851852 | -21114.8518518519 |
32 | 210767 | 242812.851851852 | -32045.8518518519 |
33 | 170266 | 166707.884615385 | 3558.11538461538 |
34 | 260561 | 242812.851851852 | 17748.1481481481 |
35 | 84853 | 88132.0454545455 | -3279.04545454546 |
36 | 294424 | 320569.294117647 | -26145.294117647 |
37 | 101011 | 109097.210526316 | -8086.21052631579 |
38 | 215641 | 221840.5 | -6199.5 |
39 | 325107 | 320569.294117647 | 4537.70588235295 |
40 | 7176 | 33226.6111111111 | -26050.6111111111 |
41 | 167542 | 166707.884615385 | 834.115384615376 |
42 | 106408 | 109097.210526316 | -2689.21052631579 |
43 | 96560 | 129652.714285714 | -33092.7142857143 |
44 | 265769 | 242812.851851852 | 22956.1481481481 |
45 | 269651 | 320569.294117647 | -50918.294117647 |
46 | 149112 | 137349.047619048 | 11762.9523809524 |
47 | 175824 | 221840.5 | -46016.5 |
48 | 152871 | 166707.884615385 | -13836.8846153846 |
49 | 111665 | 109097.210526316 | 2567.78947368421 |
50 | 116408 | 221840.5 | -105432.5 |
51 | 362301 | 221840.5 | 140460.5 |
52 | 78800 | 109097.210526316 | -30297.2105263158 |
53 | 183167 | 195605.791666667 | -12438.7916666667 |
54 | 277965 | 320569.294117647 | -42604.294117647 |
55 | 150629 | 195605.791666667 | -44976.7916666667 |
56 | 168809 | 166707.884615385 | 2101.11538461538 |
57 | 24188 | 33226.6111111111 | -9038.61111111111 |
58 | 329267 | 242812.851851852 | 86454.1481481481 |
59 | 65029 | 33226.6111111111 | 31802.3888888889 |
60 | 101097 | 109097.210526316 | -8000.21052631579 |
61 | 218946 | 221840.5 | -2894.5 |
62 | 244052 | 242812.851851852 | 1239.14814814815 |
63 | 341570 | 320569.294117647 | 21000.705882353 |
64 | 103597 | 109097.210526316 | -5500.21052631579 |
65 | 233328 | 242812.851851852 | -9484.85185185185 |
66 | 256462 | 242812.851851852 | 13649.1481481481 |
67 | 206161 | 195605.791666667 | 10555.2083333333 |
68 | 311473 | 320569.294117647 | -9096.29411764705 |
69 | 235800 | 242812.851851852 | -7012.85185185185 |
70 | 177939 | 221840.5 | -43901.5 |
71 | 207176 | 195605.791666667 | 11570.2083333333 |
72 | 196553 | 166707.884615385 | 29845.1153846154 |
73 | 174184 | 166707.884615385 | 7476.11538461538 |
74 | 143246 | 137349.047619048 | 5896.95238095237 |
75 | 187559 | 195605.791666667 | -8046.79166666666 |
76 | 187681 | 195605.791666667 | -7924.79166666666 |
77 | 119016 | 109097.210526316 | 9918.78947368421 |
78 | 182192 | 195605.791666667 | -13413.7916666667 |
79 | 73566 | 88132.0454545455 | -14566.0454545455 |
80 | 194979 | 195605.791666667 | -626.791666666657 |
81 | 167488 | 166707.884615385 | 780.115384615376 |
82 | 143756 | 137349.047619048 | 6406.95238095237 |
83 | 275541 | 221840.5 | 53700.5 |
84 | 243199 | 242812.851851852 | 386.148148148146 |
85 | 182999 | 166707.884615385 | 16291.1153846154 |
86 | 135649 | 137349.047619048 | -1700.04761904763 |
87 | 152299 | 137349.047619048 | 14949.9523809524 |
88 | 120221 | 137349.047619048 | -17128.0476190476 |
89 | 346485 | 320569.294117647 | 25915.705882353 |
90 | 145790 | 137349.047619048 | 8440.95238095237 |
91 | 193339 | 195605.791666667 | -2266.79166666666 |
92 | 80953 | 109097.210526316 | -28144.2105263158 |
93 | 122774 | 129652.714285714 | -6878.71428571429 |
94 | 130585 | 109097.210526316 | 21487.7894736842 |
95 | 112611 | 109097.210526316 | 3513.78947368421 |
96 | 286468 | 221840.5 | 64627.5 |
97 | 241066 | 242812.851851852 | -1746.85185185185 |
98 | 148446 | 221840.5 | -73394.5 |
99 | 204713 | 195605.791666667 | 9107.20833333334 |
100 | 182079 | 195605.791666667 | -13526.7916666667 |
101 | 140344 | 137349.047619048 | 2994.95238095237 |
102 | 220516 | 221840.5 | -1324.5 |
103 | 243060 | 242812.851851852 | 247.148148148146 |
104 | 162765 | 166707.884615385 | -3942.88461538462 |
105 | 182613 | 166707.884615385 | 15905.1153846154 |
106 | 232138 | 242812.851851852 | -10674.8518518519 |
107 | 265318 | 242812.851851852 | 22505.1481481481 |
108 | 85574 | 88132.0454545455 | -2558.04545454546 |
109 | 310839 | 320569.294117647 | -9730.29411764705 |
110 | 225060 | 195605.791666667 | 29454.2083333333 |
111 | 232317 | 242812.851851852 | -10495.8518518519 |
112 | 144966 | 137349.047619048 | 7616.95238095237 |
113 | 43287 | 33226.6111111111 | 10060.3888888889 |
114 | 155754 | 129652.714285714 | 26101.2857142857 |
115 | 164709 | 166707.884615385 | -1998.88461538462 |
116 | 201940 | 221840.5 | -19900.5 |
117 | 235454 | 242812.851851852 | -7358.85185185185 |
118 | 220801 | 195605.791666667 | 25195.2083333333 |
119 | 99466 | 166707.884615385 | -67241.8846153846 |
120 | 92661 | 88132.0454545455 | 4528.95454545454 |
121 | 133328 | 137349.047619048 | -4021.04761904763 |
122 | 61361 | 88132.0454545455 | -26771.0454545455 |
123 | 125930 | 129652.714285714 | -3722.71428571429 |
124 | 100750 | 109097.210526316 | -8347.21052631579 |
125 | 224549 | 166707.884615385 | 57841.1153846154 |
126 | 82316 | 88132.0454545455 | -5816.04545454546 |
127 | 102010 | 88132.0454545455 | 13877.9545454545 |
128 | 101523 | 109097.210526316 | -7574.21052631579 |
129 | 243511 | 195605.791666667 | 47905.2083333333 |
130 | 22938 | 33226.6111111111 | -10288.6111111111 |
131 | 41566 | 33226.6111111111 | 8339.38888888889 |
132 | 152474 | 166707.884615385 | -14233.8846153846 |
133 | 61857 | 33226.6111111111 | 28630.3888888889 |
134 | 99923 | 129652.714285714 | -29729.7142857143 |
135 | 132487 | 137349.047619048 | -4862.04761904763 |
136 | 317394 | 320569.294117647 | -3175.29411764705 |
137 | 21054 | 33226.6111111111 | -12172.6111111111 |
138 | 209641 | 195605.791666667 | 14035.2083333333 |
139 | 22648 | 33226.6111111111 | -10578.6111111111 |
140 | 31414 | 33226.6111111111 | -1812.61111111111 |
141 | 46698 | 33226.6111111111 | 13471.3888888889 |
142 | 131698 | 195605.791666667 | -63907.7916666667 |
143 | 91735 | 88132.0454545455 | 3602.95454545454 |
144 | 244749 | 320569.294117647 | -75820.294117647 |
145 | 184510 | 195605.791666667 | -11095.7916666667 |
146 | 79863 | 88132.0454545455 | -8269.04545454546 |
147 | 128423 | 88132.0454545455 | 40290.9545454545 |
148 | 97839 | 109097.210526316 | -11258.2105263158 |
149 | 38214 | 33226.6111111111 | 4987.38888888889 |
150 | 151101 | 137349.047619048 | 13751.9523809524 |
151 | 272458 | 242812.851851852 | 29645.1481481481 |
152 | 172494 | 166707.884615385 | 5786.11538461538 |
153 | 108043 | 137349.047619048 | -29306.0476190476 |
154 | 328107 | 320569.294117647 | 7537.70588235295 |
155 | 250579 | 242812.851851852 | 7766.14814814815 |
156 | 351067 | 320569.294117647 | 30497.705882353 |
157 | 158015 | 166707.884615385 | -8692.88461538462 |
158 | 98866 | 88132.0454545455 | 10733.9545454545 |
159 | 85439 | 109097.210526316 | -23658.2105263158 |
160 | 229242 | 195605.791666667 | 33636.2083333333 |
161 | 351619 | 320569.294117647 | 31049.705882353 |
162 | 84207 | 88132.0454545455 | -3925.04545454546 |
163 | 120445 | 137349.047619048 | -16904.0476190476 |
164 | 324598 | 320569.294117647 | 4028.70588235295 |
165 | 131069 | 137349.047619048 | -6280.04761904763 |
166 | 204271 | 166707.884615385 | 37563.1153846154 |
167 | 165543 | 195605.791666667 | -30062.7916666667 |
168 | 141722 | 109097.210526316 | 32624.7894736842 |
169 | 116048 | 109097.210526316 | 6950.78947368421 |
170 | 250047 | 195605.791666667 | 54441.2083333333 |
171 | 299775 | 221840.5 | 77934.5 |
172 | 195838 | 195605.791666667 | 232.208333333343 |
173 | 173260 | 129652.714285714 | 43607.2857142857 |
174 | 254488 | 242812.851851852 | 11675.1481481481 |
175 | 104389 | 137349.047619048 | -32960.0476190476 |
176 | 136084 | 137349.047619048 | -1265.04761904763 |
177 | 199476 | 242812.851851852 | -43336.8518518519 |
178 | 92499 | 88132.0454545455 | 4366.95454545454 |
179 | 224330 | 242812.851851852 | -18482.8518518519 |
180 | 135781 | 109097.210526316 | 26683.7894736842 |
181 | 74408 | 88132.0454545455 | -13724.0454545455 |
182 | 81240 | 88132.0454545455 | -6892.04545454546 |
183 | 14688 | 33226.6111111111 | -18538.6111111111 |
184 | 181633 | 195605.791666667 | -13972.7916666667 |
185 | 271856 | 242812.851851852 | 29043.1481481481 |
186 | 7199 | 33226.6111111111 | -26027.6111111111 |
187 | 46660 | 33226.6111111111 | 13433.3888888889 |
188 | 17547 | 33226.6111111111 | -15679.6111111111 |
189 | 133368 | 129652.714285714 | 3715.28571428571 |
190 | 95227 | 88132.0454545455 | 7094.95454545454 |
191 | 152601 | 137349.047619048 | 15251.9523809524 |
192 | 98146 | 88132.0454545455 | 10013.9545454545 |
193 | 79619 | 88132.0454545455 | -8513.04545454546 |
194 | 59194 | 88132.0454545455 | -28938.0454545455 |
195 | 139942 | 166707.884615385 | -26765.8846153846 |
196 | 118612 | 88132.0454545455 | 30479.9545454545 |
197 | 72880 | 88132.0454545455 | -15252.0454545455 |