Goodness of Fit | |
Correlation | 0.8531 |
R-squared | 0.7277 |
RMSE | 27057.8393 |
Actuals, Predictions, and Residuals | |||
# | Actuals | Forecasts | Residuals |
1 | 140824 | 156589.185185185 | -15765.1851851852 |
2 | 110459 | 96902.2631578947 | 13556.7368421053 |
3 | 105079 | 96902.2631578947 | 8176.73684210527 |
4 | 112098 | 96902.2631578947 | 15195.7368421053 |
5 | 43929 | 96902.2631578947 | -52973.2631578947 |
6 | 76173 | 74206.8181818182 | 1966.18181818182 |
7 | 187326 | 156589.185185185 | 30736.8148148148 |
8 | 22807 | 3034.5 | 19772.5 |
9 | 144408 | 96902.2631578947 | 47505.7368421053 |
10 | 66485 | 96902.2631578947 | -30417.2631578947 |
11 | 79089 | 96902.2631578947 | -17813.2631578947 |
12 | 81625 | 96902.2631578947 | -15277.2631578947 |
13 | 68788 | 74206.8181818182 | -5418.81818181818 |
14 | 103297 | 96902.2631578947 | 6394.73684210527 |
15 | 69446 | 96902.2631578947 | -27456.2631578947 |
16 | 114948 | 96902.2631578947 | 18045.7368421053 |
17 | 167949 | 128350.666666667 | 39598.3333333333 |
18 | 125081 | 96902.2631578947 | 28178.7368421053 |
19 | 125818 | 128350.666666667 | -2532.66666666667 |
20 | 136588 | 128350.666666667 | 8237.33333333333 |
21 | 112431 | 96902.2631578947 | 15528.7368421053 |
22 | 103037 | 96902.2631578947 | 6134.73684210527 |
23 | 82317 | 96902.2631578947 | -14585.2631578947 |
24 | 118906 | 96902.2631578947 | 22003.7368421053 |
25 | 83515 | 96902.2631578947 | -13387.2631578947 |
26 | 104581 | 96902.2631578947 | 7678.73684210527 |
27 | 103129 | 96902.2631578947 | 6226.73684210527 |
28 | 83243 | 96902.2631578947 | -13659.2631578947 |
29 | 37110 | 74206.8181818182 | -37096.8181818182 |
30 | 113344 | 156589.185185185 | -43245.1851851852 |
31 | 139165 | 156589.185185185 | -17424.1851851852 |
32 | 86652 | 128350.666666667 | -41698.6666666667 |
33 | 112302 | 156589.185185185 | -44287.1851851852 |
34 | 69652 | 74206.8181818182 | -4554.81818181818 |
35 | 119442 | 156589.185185185 | -37147.1851851852 |
36 | 69867 | 96902.2631578947 | -27035.2631578947 |
37 | 101629 | 156589.185185185 | -54960.1851851852 |
38 | 70168 | 96902.2631578947 | -26734.2631578947 |
39 | 31081 | 30101.6923076923 | 979.307692307691 |
40 | 103925 | 96902.2631578947 | 7022.73684210527 |
41 | 92622 | 96902.2631578947 | -4280.26315789473 |
42 | 79011 | 96902.2631578947 | -17891.2631578947 |
43 | 93487 | 96902.2631578947 | -3415.26315789473 |
44 | 64520 | 74206.8181818182 | -9686.81818181818 |
45 | 93473 | 96902.2631578947 | -3429.26315789473 |
46 | 114360 | 96902.2631578947 | 17457.7368421053 |
47 | 33032 | 30101.6923076923 | 2930.30769230769 |
48 | 96125 | 128350.666666667 | -32225.6666666667 |
49 | 151911 | 156589.185185185 | -4678.1851851852 |
50 | 89256 | 96902.2631578947 | -7646.26315789473 |
51 | 95671 | 96902.2631578947 | -1231.26315789473 |
52 | 5950 | 3034.5 | 2915.5 |
53 | 149695 | 156589.185185185 | -6894.1851851852 |
54 | 32551 | 30101.6923076923 | 2449.30769230769 |
55 | 31701 | 30101.6923076923 | 1599.30769230769 |
56 | 100087 | 96902.2631578947 | 3184.73684210527 |
57 | 169707 | 156589.185185185 | 13117.8148148148 |
58 | 150491 | 156589.185185185 | -6098.1851851852 |
59 | 120192 | 156589.185185185 | -36397.1851851852 |
60 | 95893 | 96902.2631578947 | -1009.26315789473 |
61 | 151715 | 156589.185185185 | -4874.1851851852 |
62 | 176225 | 156589.185185185 | 19635.8148148148 |
63 | 59900 | 96902.2631578947 | -37002.2631578947 |
64 | 104767 | 96902.2631578947 | 7864.73684210527 |
65 | 114799 | 96902.2631578947 | 17896.7368421053 |
66 | 72128 | 96902.2631578947 | -24774.2631578947 |
67 | 143592 | 128350.666666667 | 15241.3333333333 |
68 | 89626 | 96902.2631578947 | -7276.26315789473 |
69 | 131072 | 128350.666666667 | 2721.33333333333 |
70 | 126817 | 96902.2631578947 | 29914.7368421053 |
71 | 81351 | 96902.2631578947 | -15551.2631578947 |
72 | 22618 | 30101.6923076923 | -7483.69230769231 |
73 | 88977 | 96902.2631578947 | -7925.26315789473 |
74 | 92059 | 96902.2631578947 | -4843.26315789473 |
75 | 81897 | 96902.2631578947 | -15005.2631578947 |
76 | 108146 | 96902.2631578947 | 11243.7368421053 |
77 | 126372 | 128350.666666667 | -1978.66666666667 |
78 | 249771 | 156589.185185185 | 93181.8148148148 |
79 | 71154 | 96902.2631578947 | -25748.2631578947 |
80 | 71571 | 96902.2631578947 | -25331.2631578947 |
81 | 55918 | 96902.2631578947 | -40984.2631578947 |
82 | 160141 | 156589.185185185 | 3551.8148148148 |
83 | 38692 | 30101.6923076923 | 8590.30769230769 |
84 | 102812 | 128350.666666667 | -25538.6666666667 |
85 | 56622 | 30101.6923076923 | 26520.3076923077 |
86 | 15986 | 30101.6923076923 | -14115.6923076923 |
87 | 123534 | 96902.2631578947 | 26631.7368421053 |
88 | 108535 | 96902.2631578947 | 11632.7368421053 |
89 | 93879 | 96902.2631578947 | -3023.26315789473 |
90 | 144551 | 128350.666666667 | 16200.3333333333 |
91 | 56750 | 96902.2631578947 | -40152.2631578947 |
92 | 127654 | 128350.666666667 | -696.666666666672 |
93 | 65594 | 96902.2631578947 | -31308.2631578947 |
94 | 59938 | 96902.2631578947 | -36964.2631578947 |
95 | 146975 | 96902.2631578947 | 50072.7368421053 |
96 | 143372 | 96902.2631578947 | 46469.7368421053 |
97 | 168553 | 128350.666666667 | 40202.3333333333 |
98 | 183500 | 156589.185185185 | 26910.8148148148 |
99 | 165986 | 156589.185185185 | 9396.8148148148 |
100 | 184923 | 156589.185185185 | 28333.8148148148 |
101 | 140358 | 96902.2631578947 | 43455.7368421053 |
102 | 149959 | 156589.185185185 | -6630.1851851852 |
103 | 57224 | 96902.2631578947 | -39678.2631578947 |
104 | 43750 | 30101.6923076923 | 13648.3076923077 |
105 | 48029 | 96902.2631578947 | -48873.2631578947 |
106 | 104978 | 128350.666666667 | -23372.6666666667 |
107 | 100046 | 96902.2631578947 | 3143.73684210527 |
108 | 101047 | 96902.2631578947 | 4144.73684210527 |
109 | 197426 | 156589.185185185 | 40836.8148148148 |
110 | 160902 | 96902.2631578947 | 63999.7368421053 |
111 | 147172 | 156589.185185185 | -9417.1851851852 |
112 | 109432 | 96902.2631578947 | 12529.7368421053 |
113 | 1168 | 3034.5 | -1866.5 |
114 | 83248 | 96902.2631578947 | -13654.2631578947 |
115 | 25162 | 30101.6923076923 | -4939.69230769231 |
116 | 45724 | 74206.8181818182 | -28482.8181818182 |
117 | 110529 | 156589.185185185 | -46060.1851851852 |
118 | 855 | 3034.5 | -2179.5 |
119 | 101382 | 96902.2631578947 | 4479.73684210527 |
120 | 14116 | 30101.6923076923 | -15985.6923076923 |
121 | 89506 | 96902.2631578947 | -7396.26315789473 |
122 | 135356 | 96902.2631578947 | 38453.7368421053 |
123 | 116066 | 74206.8181818182 | 41859.1818181818 |
124 | 144244 | 96902.2631578947 | 47341.7368421053 |
125 | 8773 | 30101.6923076923 | -21328.6923076923 |
126 | 102153 | 96902.2631578947 | 5250.73684210527 |
127 | 117440 | 128350.666666667 | -10910.6666666667 |
128 | 104128 | 128350.666666667 | -24222.6666666667 |
129 | 134238 | 156589.185185185 | -22351.1851851852 |
130 | 134047 | 156589.185185185 | -22542.1851851852 |
131 | 279488 | 156589.185185185 | 122898.814814815 |
132 | 79756 | 96902.2631578947 | -17146.2631578947 |
133 | 66089 | 74206.8181818182 | -8117.81818181818 |
134 | 102070 | 96902.2631578947 | 5167.73684210527 |
135 | 146760 | 156589.185185185 | -9829.1851851852 |
136 | 154771 | 74206.8181818182 | 80564.1818181818 |
137 | 165933 | 128350.666666667 | 37582.3333333333 |
138 | 64593 | 74206.8181818182 | -9613.81818181818 |
139 | 92280 | 96902.2631578947 | -4622.26315789473 |
140 | 67150 | 96902.2631578947 | -29752.2631578947 |
141 | 128692 | 96902.2631578947 | 31789.7368421053 |
142 | 124089 | 96902.2631578947 | 27186.7368421053 |
143 | 125386 | 128350.666666667 | -2964.66666666667 |
144 | 37238 | 30101.6923076923 | 7136.30769230769 |
145 | 140015 | 128350.666666667 | 11664.3333333333 |
146 | 150047 | 96902.2631578947 | 53144.7368421053 |
147 | 154451 | 128350.666666667 | 26100.3333333333 |
148 | 156349 | 128350.666666667 | 27998.3333333333 |
149 | 0 | 3034.5 | -3034.5 |
150 | 6023 | 3034.5 | 2988.5 |
151 | 0 | 3034.5 | -3034.5 |
152 | 0 | 3034.5 | -3034.5 |
153 | 0 | 3034.5 | -3034.5 |
154 | 0 | 3034.5 | -3034.5 |
155 | 84601 | 96902.2631578947 | -12301.2631578947 |
156 | 68946 | 128350.666666667 | -59404.6666666667 |
157 | 0 | 3034.5 | -3034.5 |
158 | 0 | 3034.5 | -3034.5 |
159 | 1644 | 3034.5 | -1390.5 |
160 | 6179 | 3034.5 | 3144.5 |
161 | 3926 | 3034.5 | 891.5 |
162 | 52789 | 74206.8181818182 | -21417.8181818182 |
163 | 0 | 3034.5 | -3034.5 |
164 | 100350 | 96902.2631578947 | 3447.73684210527 |